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  • in reply to: Tom Tomorrow #111922
    Avatar photoZooey
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    in reply to: super Tuesday thread #111920
    Avatar photoZooey
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    Interesting.

    I am particularly interested in how to get poor whites and poor blacks on the same page. A strategy there could be transforming.

    in reply to: super Tuesday thread #111906
    Avatar photoZooey
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    I don’t know, W. If we didn’t have the Electoral College, and the popular vote actually determined the winner, I would be in a serious pickle. As it is, California is not going to go to Trump no matter how I vote. My vote counts only as a personal statement, not as a vote. I’m not as deep in despair as WV is, though I’m not far from it. I have kids, though. I can’t give up. I do not want them to suffer because of climate catastrophe.

    My wife and I were gently chiding our daughter the other day over her teenage fondness for junk food, and she said, “It doesn’t matter. Climate change is going to kill me before this does.”

    My wife chuckled. I didn’t.

    in reply to: super Tuesday thread #111904
    Avatar photoZooey
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    If the polling showed Sanders had a better chance of beating Trump why did those voting for Biden yesterday say it was because they viewed him as a “better chance of beating Trump”. Polls are not votes.

    Because for 36 hours straight after South Carolina, every single media talking head and every Democrat politician beat that message into the heads of viewers with a sledge hammer.

    We shall see. It’s not over. If they have more debates, Sanders can pick up some ground. Biden has looked lost at times on the stage, and okay sometimes, but he has mostly just stood back and let Buttigieg and Klobuchar and Warren all attack each other. He’s going to have to talk more from now on, and I seriously do not think that’s good for him. He is slightly unhinged. Not enough that it SHOULD matter, but enough that it MAY matter.

    in reply to: super Tuesday thread #111899
    Avatar photoZooey
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    Well, I’m in despair.

    I really think we have a pretty awesome planet here, and I am sorry to see it destroyed by greedy sociopaths.

    I have no confidence that Biden can beat Trump. He looks muddled and lost from time-to-time. And his primary draw seems to be he isn’t Trump. That’s what the Democrat establishment is running on. Not Trump. And that’s important, but I also think it’s not enough.

    And if Biden loses, the courts are gone. And if the courts are gone, they will formally disenfranchise minorities from voting in a variety of ways, and we won’t be able to regain the government through the ballot box. And they will move to voting machines that produce whatever numbers they want anyway. They’ve already undermined confidence in polls, so people won’t really have any idea what’s going on anymore, and…we’re dead. So…you know…placing hopes of averting that on Joe Biden does make me sad. That’s it. Joe Biden. He’s the people’s Last Champion. A man in mental decline who is Not Trump.

    Not exactly Henry V.

    Yippee.

    in reply to: If you have any concerns about the environment #111882
    Avatar photoZooey
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    Climate change is going to disrupt food and water supplies.

    Which candidate is most likely to make significant changes to our emissions and long term energy plans?

    in reply to: signs, comics, memes, & other visual aids #111879
    Avatar photoZooey
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    in reply to: signs, comics, memes, & other visual aids #111877
    Avatar photoZooey
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    in reply to: super Tuesday thread #111865
    Avatar photoZooey
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    And Bloomberg takes votes from Biden so he gets to stay in too. Sanders will do well in Calif-maybe not as high as previously expected. Both Biden and Sanders hope for the magic 15%. One of them won’t get it. Likely Warren. Then we will have a contest for the Democratic voters-progressive or moderate. Both want the same end result but each has a different path.

    I think both of their chances (you meant Warren, not Sanders) of hitting 15% in California gratly increased with the dropouts from the race. They only need a few of those votes to put them over 15%.

    in reply to: signs, comics, memes, & other visual aids #111838
    Avatar photoZooey
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    in reply to: signs, comics, memes, & other visual aids #111837
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    in reply to: Mayor Pete quits #111829
    Avatar photoZooey
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    Actually…this probably hurts Bernie, and the timing is a big part of this.

    Tomorrow is Super Tuesday, and California is the biggest haul.

    Sanders is way ahead there. Warren is hovering right at about 15% which is the threshold for delegates. She has, so far, underperformed in every single state (i.e. got fewer votes than the polls said she would). Biden is under 15%, but in double digits.

    Buttigieg’s support – according to polls – is pretty evenly split between Bernie, Warren, Biden, Klobuchar, and Bloomberg, with Sanders narrowly polling higher than the others.

    But Buttigieg’s votes could put Warren and Biden over the 15% threshold that they might otherwise fail to reach. If they fail, Sanders takes the entire 400+ haul of delegates. If they hit it, he ends up with 200-something, and they take a bunch.

    I think that’s why Pete quit. He originally packaged himself as a progressive, in favor of universal health care, but got no popular support. He sold out to the billionaires. He has positioned himself as the billionaires’ candidate of the future. He’s their tool, now. And I suspect – after Biden’s showing in SC – they told him it was time to get out of the race. They will see him again down the road, but he had no pathway to the nomination, and it was time to rally behind Biden. And Warren – who also sold out – is going to stay in the entire race even though she can’t even win her home state, just to suck enough delegates away from Sanders to wreck his bid.

    in reply to: Mayor Pete quits #111805
    Avatar photoZooey
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    in reply to: signs, comics, memes, & other visual aids #111794
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    in reply to: Coronavirus epidemy in Iran has past the crisis level #111791
    Avatar photoZooey
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    Here is a link to Johns Hopkins tracker map. Madagascar looks safe for now.

    https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

    in reply to: South Carolina #111790
    Avatar photoZooey
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    It’s been two or three weeks since I’ve seen a poll, but last I knew, Sanders was leading in every Super Tuesday state except Minnesota. South Carolina is like a 0.25 cents an hour pay raise for Biden the day before his landlord tells him his rent is going up $250 a month.

    I’m sure the kids will be tough enough to make it to Tuesday.

    in reply to: Richard Wolfe: “the middle is collapsing” #111777
    Avatar photoZooey
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    I agree with all of that.

    in reply to: A plea #111767
    Avatar photoZooey
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    But they do sound extreme to Trump supporters. Believe me-I talk to them every day ! It just seems so very simple to me: this is a contest. The idea of a contest is to win. Sanders will not win Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania-game over.

    You lost me there. Biden is too extreme for Trump supporters.

    in reply to: A plea #111727
    Avatar photoZooey
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    I think Sanders is a bigger threat than any of the other candidates to Trump. And I think that is because Sanders competes with Trump in the one category of voters that put Trump over the top, and that is anti-establishment votes. People pissed off with the establishment put Trump in the White House.

    Not only do I think the center has shifted, as zn pointed out, I think the division in this country is no longer the same old Left/Right division. I think it is undergoing a kind of Hegelian shift from that to Establishment/Anti-Establishment.

    Sanders will bring out different voters than Clinton did, and then ALL of his competitors will. He will bring out more voters. And…he will peel away some of the Anti-Establishment voters who went for Trump the first time, but did so for economic reasons rather than racial reasons. Those people wanted a shake up, Trump promised it to them, and he broke that promise. Sanders appeals to those people. It would only take a few thousand of those to tip the election into Sanders’ hands.

    One other thing about Sanders. He isn’t a hypocrite. He has not been duplicitous in his career. All of the other candidates have been, and that is the kind of vulnerability Trump has a nose for, and will exploit endlessly. Trump defines his opponents. Every single one of them. He can’t define Bernie because Bernie is what he is, always has been, and owns it.

    in reply to: A plea #111708
    Avatar photoZooey
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    Polls show Sanders with the widest margin of polling advantage of all the potential opponents to Trump. But I agree that those polls are not meaningful right now. There are months to go, and…whatever.

    I also agree that Sanders is a better debate match up to Trump than any of the other candidates.

    That aside…W’s central point is to encourage us to vote blue no matter who because…Trump.

    And I will preface what I say by first pointing out that, thanks to the electoral college, it makes no difference whatsoever whom I vote for, or if I vote at all. I am in California, and the corpse of Hubert Humphrey would beat Trump in this state by at least 4 million votes.

    I’m not sure where my heart will be on that day, though. It depends in large part on how the nominee gets named.

    If it is apparent that the Democrat establishment conspires to prevent Bernie from getting the nomination, that will be the end of it for me. Because if – as polls suggest – Bernie wins the plurality in nearly every state, and the plurality of delegates by a substantial margin – and they deal him out…

    I don’t know how I can possibly interpret that other than that the Democrat establishment itself prefers to run the risk of another term of Trump, to running the risk of a Sanders presidency. That conclusion is inescapable because they KNOW what Waterfield knows, that the votes of Sanders supporters are very much in doubt. That will be undeniable proof that they would rather lose to Trump, but retain control of the party (and, btw, wrap their arms around the coffers of money that will pour into the party in opposition to Trump) then to risk Sanders winning, and his likely reconfiguration of the party away from corporate fealty. The Democrats will have told all of us to go to hell. In my view, they will have spit in the face of W’s sentiment: “The stakes are really high here. For some of us older voters its no longer about us-its about our children and their children.”

    Avatar photoZooey
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    I wonder if Owen will try his best to represent the will of the people.

    in reply to: signs, comics, memes, & other visual aids #111705
    Avatar photoZooey
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    Avatar photoZooey
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    Which is funny because just yesterday, my right wing brother was claiming that the Chinese government clamped down on information in the early going with the virus, and that was proof that government-run healthcare is a disaster.

    in reply to: Tom Tomorrow #111676
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    in reply to: signs, comics, memes, & other visual aids #111675
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    in reply to: Robert B. Reich: Sanders might be the safest choice #111674
    Avatar photoZooey
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    I am waiting for the articles that say, “Hey, it will be fine. Don’t worry. Sanders won’t get this crap passed, anyway.”

    That’s when it’s safe to stop chewing the bedsheet.

    Avatar photoZooey
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    Well I deleted my earlier one. If someone doubles a posting I already made & the simplest solution is to delete mine, that’s what I do. Why? Obviously because I am just BREATHTAKINGLY and AMAZINGLY selfless and egoless about things like that.

    Okay, but you’re soft on crime.

    I would have executed wv in Central Park. That’s what they did in France in 1940.

    Avatar photoZooey
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    So the media-bias against bernie has made it to late-night comedy. Better late, than never

    That’s a popular clip. It’s the same one I deleted above because zn beat us to it. It’s up there ^^^^^^^

    Avatar photoZooey
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    Are you still thinking of immigrating, Zooey?

    Yeah. I don’t remember what all I said, but basically I can’t afford to stay in California anyway on my pension, so as long as I’m moving, I may as well go somewhere I find more interesting. At least until I feel the call to return home. But, yes, that’s the plan. I think I want to spend at least a couple of years in Mallorca, Malta, Portugal, Italy…somewhere like that. Then…we’ll see. I liked SE Asia a lot. Lots of variables, though.

    Avatar photoZooey
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    Oops. I posted a video zn already posted.

    • This reply was modified 6 years, 8 months ago by Avatar photoZooey.
Viewing 30 posts - 4,441 through 4,470 (of 8,310 total)