wv wrote:

Well, the eyeball test told me it was solid and dependable, but the Eagles running attack last year was in a different league.

w
v

I am new at this stat and just now looked up everything I post here.

Eagles had more big plays.

Success rate is a different metric. In success rate, “solid and dependable” is precisely what you’re measuring.

I post a couple of things on success rate below. But before that I’m going to compare the Rams 2025 offense to the Eagles 2024 offense.

Rams 2025 were 1st in yards, 1st in points, 1st in first downs, 4th in success rate per play, 2nd in yards per drive, and 1st in points per drive…and while 16th in rushing attempts were 6th in YPC.
Eagles 2024 were 8th in yards, 7th in points, 6th in first downs, 8th in success rate per play, 11th in yards per drive, and 8th in points per drive…and while 1st in rushing attempts were 5th in YPC.

Do those numbers say that the Rams had the better passing attack? Yes. But the numbers also say that while they did not run as often as the 2024 Eagles, they had pretty much the same yards per rushing attempt.

The 2024 Eagles got more yards total rushing, but the Rams while running less got enough yards per carry to sustain more drives and get more yards per drive. How? Well that would probably be RB success rate.

So to me what RB success rate doesn’t measure is this–probably, the 2025 Rams were so good in the passing game that they faced defenses that were thinking pass first, which allowed them to use the run to stay on the field (when they did in fact use the run). The backs were doing consistently well because of Stafford, though on the other hand their running game (when they used it) helped them stay on the field and be first in points per drive.

With the 2024 Eagles it was the opposite. The pass worked because of the run.

Anyway I looked up success rate.

This is from AI:

AI Overview
Success rate in the NFL running game measures the percentage of carries that keep an offense “on schedule” based on down and distance, rather than just total yardage. A run is generally considered successful if it gains at least 40% of required yards on 1st down, 60% on 2nd down, and 100% on 3rd/4th down.

Key Aspects of Running Game Success Rate:

Consistency over Big Plays: Unlike yards-per-carry (YPC), which can be skewed by one long run, success rate rewards consistent, efficient running. A 10-yard run on 3rd-and-15 is deemed unsuccessful, while a 3-yard run on 3rd-and-2 is successful.

Definition of a “Success”:

1st Down: Gain 40%–50% of necessary yards.
2nd Down: Gain 60%–70% of necessary yards.
3rd/4th Down: Gain 100% (convert or score).

Contextual Metric: It helps analyze how frequently a running back or team avoids wasted downs, keeping the offense in manageable situations.

Alternative Definition (Next Gen Stats): Sometimes, success rate refers to “Rush Yards Over Expected” (RYOE%), measuring how often a runner gains more yards than a league-average player would on that specific play.

This metric is favored for determining the reliability of a running game and its ability to keep drives moving, often highlighting consistent backs over those who only provide occasional big plays.

***

This is from a human: https://www.dawgsbynature.com/2015/11/23/9783200/by-the-numbers-rushing-efficiency

Success Rate [is] the percentage of plays where a running back makes the minimum gain necessary for “success.” It’s explained in detail by Football Outsiders here, but here’s the basics of what’s considered a success:

In general, a play counts as a “hit” if it gains 40% of yards on first down, 60% of yards on second down, and 100% of yards on third down.

If the team is behind by more than a touchdown in the fourth quarter, the benchmarks switch to 50%/65%/100%.
If the team is ahead by any amount in the fourth quarter, the benchmarks switch to 30%/50%/100%.

What you may notice is that there’s no “extra credit” for breaking a big run. This is simply a measure of consistency. A back who always picks up exactly two yards on third and one will have a perfect success rate. Meanwhile, a back who breaks half of his third down attempts for long touchdowns and gets stuffed on the other half will have a 50% success rate. But is that first scenario really preferable to the second? I don’t think so.

from facebook: https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=122130172227066949&set=a.122106011391066949

Anthony Hopkins spent an entire day searching for a book—and never found it in a single shop.
Then, by pure chance, he sat down on a subway bench.
It was 1973. Hopkins had just been cast in The Girl from Petrovka, a film adapted from a novel by American journalist and author George Feifer. As any serious actor would, Hopkins wanted to read the original book before stepping into the role.
So he did what actors and writers had done for decades. He walked the length of London’s famous Charing Cross Road, moving from bookstore to bookstore, asking the same question again and again.
Nothing.
The novel wasn’t available anywhere in the UK. Not new. Not used. Not forgotten on a dusty shelf.
By evening, frustrated and exhausted, Hopkins entered Leicester Square Underground Station to head home. As he sat down on a bench to wait for his train, something caught his eye.
A book had been left behind.
He picked it up, turned it over—and froze.
The Girl from Petrovka.
The exact book he’d spent the entire day searching for, abandoned on a subway bench in a city of millions.
Hopkins took it home and began reading immediately. That’s when he noticed something even stranger. The margins were filled with handwritten notes in red ink—careful annotations throughout the text, clearly written by someone deeply familiar with the story.
He didn’t question it. He used the notes to better understand his character, prepared for the role, and quietly filed the incident away as one of life’s odd coincidences.
Months later, filming took Hopkins to Vienna.
One day on set, he was introduced to a visitor.
George Feifer.
The two spoke about the adaptation, the characters, and the process of translating a novel to the screen. Then Feifer mentioned something that stopped Hopkins cold.
“I don’t have a copy of my own book anymore,” Feifer said. “Years ago, I lent my personal copy to a friend in London. It had all my notes written in the margins. He lost it—and I’ve never seen it again.”
Hopkins felt a chill.
“I think I found it,” he said carefully. “On a bench in the Underground. It has handwritten notes all through it.”
Feifer stared at him in disbelief.
Hopkins retrieved the book and handed it over.
Feifer didn’t need long. One look was enough.
It was his handwriting. His annotations. His personal copy—lost years earlier—somehow left on asubway bench at the exact moment Anthony Hopkins sat down beside it.
In a city of millions.
Across countless streets and stations.
The right book.
The right bench.
The right moment.
Feifer recovered a book he thought was gone forever. Hopkins gained a story he would tell for the rest of his life.

LAFB Network@LAFBNetwork
Tom Brady handed out his personal end of season awards, and Quentin Lake took home 6th Round Pick of the Year. From late round flyer to impact piece, another Rams draft hit.

Stu Jackson@StuJRams
Sean McVay said he “absolutely” expects WR Davante Adams to be back next season

Nate Atkins@NateAtkins_
The Rams hired Bubba Ventrone as their new special teams coordinator, Sean McVay said.

They also hired Kyle Hoke as assistant special teams coordinator.

Both spent last season with the Browns.

zn wrote:

Brock Vierra@BrockVierra
Scheelhasse’s lack of coordinator experience likely cost him a head coaching opportunity this cycle. However, an elevation to offensive coordinator would be the best for both parties as he’ll be a top candidate next year

from https://theramswire.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/rams/2026/02/01/rams-offensive-coordinator-mike-lafleur-nate-scheelhaase/88465737007/

[McVay] shouldn’t have to look very far (or long) to find LaFleur’s replacement. His top choice is an incredibly obvious one: Nate Scheelhaase.

The Rams’ 35-year-old pass game coordinator interviewed for multiple head coaching jobs this offseason despite never being an offensive coordinator in the NFL. At one point, he even looked like the frontrunner for the Cleveland Browns’ position before they hired Todd Monken.

Scheelhaase has familiarity with the offense and McVay’s system, working in it for the last two years. He’s already getting looks for head coaching jobs so it’s clear teams around the league are already eyeing him; it’s only a matter of time before the Rams lose him.

Given his current position as pass game coordinator, the Rams can’t block Scheelhaase from interviewing for offensive coordinator positions. If LaFleur wants to poach Scheelhaase away from Los Angeles and to his new staff in Arizona, the Rams can’t prevent that from happening – unless McVay promotes him to OC.

It’s the necessary next step for the 35-year-old assistant, too. He’s seemingly bound to become a head coach at some point but his lack of coordinator experience likely hurt his chances during this hiring cycle. One year under McVay as his OC all but guarantees he’ll land a head coaching job in the very near future.

Pete Prisco@PriscoCBS
So now that it looks like all the coaches are hired, here is the reality: Three will be really good, three will be OK, two will be below average and two will be really bad. Watch. Figuring out who’s who depends on QB and roster.

Rams Bros.@RamsBrothers
So annoying that the Cardinals hire Mike LaFleur and the 49ers hire Raheem Morris within the same hour.

Nate Atkins@NateAtkins_
As for what the Rams do next at offensive coordinator:

Gotta think pass game coordinator Nathan Scheelhaase has a good chance at a promotion.

Many offensive coaches around the league will also want to interview — for the OC role or pass game coordinator if it opens.

Brock Vierra@BrockVierra
Scheelhasse’s lack of coordinator experience likely cost him a head coaching opportunity this cycle. However, an elevation to offensive coordinator would be the best for both parties as he’ll be a top candidate next year

Jourdan Rodrigue@JourdanRodrigue
Sean McVay has frequently looked for external candidates for his coordinator roles but in this circumstance he shouldn’t have to look far for his new OC. Nate Scheelhaase, who had interviews this cycle including for HC, is already in the building as passing game coordinator.

On the first point, the reason McVay does this is to bring in new ideas or those from other buildings. (A luxury bc he never has to develop a QB/hire an OC with it in mind)…KOC passing system (eventually developed a new one together for Stafford in 21)…LaFleur run game in 23.

Ian Rapoport@RapSheet
The #Raiders are targeting #Seahawks OC Klint Kubiak as their new head coach, per me and @TomPelissero, after Saturday’s second interview.

Las Vegas can’t officially hire Kubiak until after Super Bowl LX. But they believe they have their guy.