zn wrote:

(Another thing I left out is how the Tide passing game was infamously plagued by drops throughout 2025.)

From analysts in this thread:

Blocking and pass catchers let him down too often, including 30 drops in 2025 (second most among all Power 4 quarterbacks)

Receiver drops distort his accuracy numbers.

InvaderRam wrote:

i’d feel way more confident if simpson had beat milroe in the qb competition and had at least one more year of games played under his belt. milroe did come in the year before simpson arrived in 2022,

You add some important details. I will say I am not feeling unconfident at all, though as I already said my “feeling” is cautious optimism. Until Simpson actually plays games, though, we will all be speculating; it’s games that will tell us what they actually have in him.

I want to add a couple of bits. In addition to everything already said, Milroe was a full-blown dual threat qb who ran for 736 yards and 20 rushing TDs. Simpson as we know is very mobile but he’s not a full-blown dual threat that way. I assume that helped put him ahead of TS as a college qb.

My main points about all of this is that their numbers are comparable if you account for 2 things: TS’s injury in the final 6 games, and the bad regression of the Tide OL, which was evident all season. (Another thing I left out is how the Tide passing game was infamously plagued by drops throughout 2025.)

Given those circumstances, IMO we have to give TS some credit. I also assume, as I said, that a genuine dual threat qb is going to be preferred over what is basically a pro passer, albeit a mobile one. (That’s in addition to what you say about the coach sticking with Milroe for other reasons.)

That make sense?

And as I said, your points are good ones, good research:

InvaderRam wrote:

that combined with milroe being the incumbent starter. if deboer, who had literally just been hired, demoted jalen, that could have torn apart the locker room. he instead pledged his loyalty to milroe as milroe had done for him. milroe was a leader on this team. he was the more experienced of the two and had backed deboer replacing the legendary saban. so how could he give the job to someone who had never been the starter at alabama?

InvaderRam wrote:

it’s not nothing. and milroe at least in terms of stats outperformed simpson’s 2025 season.

did they run the same offense?

Simpson played with a cracked rib in his final 6 games. Plus the whole Alabama OL played poorly for all of 2025.

So, to compare Milroe’s whole 2024 season to Simpson’s 1st 9 games, where he played healthy.

Milroe averaged (running and passing) 274 yards and 2.77 TDs his final season at Alabama. He had 11 INTs for an avg. of 0.85 per game

Before he got hurt, in his first 9 games Simpson averaged 280 yards and 2.66 TDs per game. He had 2 INts total for all those games for avg of 0.22.

In many respects in 2025 Simpson, before he got injured, outperformed Milroe’s 2024 season (with the INTs and the OL regression both factored in large here). The 2025 Alabama OL was a well-known mess that had regressed heavily from its play in 2024. In fact they got the lowest average rushing yards per game in Alabama history since 1946. In 2024, Alabama averaged 173.8 yards rushing per game with an average of 4.63 YPC; in 2025 they got 104.1 yards per game rushing with an average of 3.4 YPC.

Blake Corum “Lil’ Demon” 👹 Rams Highlights 🎞️ pic.twitter.com/oQH3gP5jeG

— Rams Tapes 🇵🇷 (@RamsTapes) April 8, 2026

Aakash Gupta@aakashgupta
Look at this Norwegian church. It has been standing through Norwegian rain for over 840 years.

The trees were prepared for nearly two decades before anyone cut them down.

Workers walked into old-growth pine forests and stripped the chosen trees of their tops and their branches. The trunks stayed standing for fifteen to twenty years. The roots kept pulling resin upward. The pitch bled out of every old branch socket and saturated the heartwood from the inside.

By the time the trunks were felled in winter, the heartwood was no longer wood. It was malmfuru. Ore-pine. Functionally pressure-treated lumber, except the pressure was applied by the tree itself, for free, across two decades before construction started.

That is why iron was rejected. Iron rusts. Iron expands and contracts on a different cycle than the wood around it. After 100 winters iron splits the fiber and the joint dies. Wooden pegs swell with moisture in the same direction as the staves. The joints get tighter over time. Tongue-and-groove walls. Ground sills on a stone foundation. Four corner posts carrying load down through stone, never up through soil.

Then the tar. Pine roots and stumps stacked under clay, lit on fire, burned for two days under controlled airflow. The wood decomposes into pitch. The pitch gets reapplied to the church every 10 to 15 years. Including this decade.

Norway built around 2,000 stave churches between 1150 and 1350. 28 survive. Borgund is the best preserved because its corner staves rest on stone, not soil. The ground never won.

Modern lumber arrives at the construction site finished.

Borgund’s builders made the lumber finish itself.

Look at this Norwegian church. It has been standing through Norwegian rain for over 840 years.

The trees were prepared for nearly two decades before anyone cut them down.

Workers walked into old-growth pine forests and stripped the chosen trees of their tops and their branches.… pic.twitter.com/iIVNd2UPQJ

— Aakash Gupta (@aakashgupta) May 2, 2026

“Vic Fangio fad that teams are going to play two high safeties…”

“…get in these big personnel groups and run the ball and FORCE them to drop into a one high coverage defense…”@ZErtz_86 explains why tight-end heavy personnel has SKYROCKETED across the NFL: pic.twitter.com/VnViQNTuuY

— Ross Tucker Podcast (@RossTuckerPod) May 1, 2026

aka this vid. I know James. I met him while bartending in the 80s.

These seem almost impossible. Terminator X is what??!! pic.twitter.com/Q3DuHeObh0

— Lance Zierlein (@LanceZierlein) May 1, 2026

He gets to the Rams at about 10:48 in.

Jonah Tuls@JonahTuls
Just got to the tape of Missouri RT Keagen Trost and I can’t believe that people aren’t talking about him more. His film is outstanding. Love his mean streak and movement skills in the run game + he went through the gauntlet of SEC rushers (Howell, Faulk, Crawford, Stewart, Rhodes, Pierre, etc.) – he gets to his landmarks well and has a very good anchor.

Think he’s best for a zone blocking scheme – I didn’t see the stiffness or pad level concerns that some flagged. Needs to clean up his footwork, but there really isn’t a fatal flaw in his game. Gonna have a hard time convincing me that Trost isn’t a Day 2 player.

Me: according to Atkins, there was an offer to trade down from 13, but the Rams didn’t like it. I underline the passage where he says that.

***

How the Rams made the bold business decision to draft QB Ty Simpson

Nate Atkins

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7231192/2026/04/29/rams-ty-simpson-nfl-draft-matthew-stafford/?source=emp_shared_article&unlocked_article_code=1.elA.y07C.afQVGuEZZ3MB

INGLEWOOD, Calif. — The story of the Los Angeles Rams’ 2026 draft class will run through Ty Simpson.

The choice to spend the No. 13 pick on a quarterback, with Matthew Stafford coming off his first MVP season, was a splash that created a ripple. The discourse inside and outside the Rams’ draft headquarters at Hollywood Park took on a life of its own in the phone calls, news conferences and days afterward.

A pick of this type, this year, held an underlying tension that was impossible to avoid.

Coach Sean McVay and general manager Les Snead felt two forces pulling them at once: an urge to push this team over the top for another Super Bowl it could host in SoFi Stadium in February, and staying power at the game’s most important position that defines whether they’re a contender going forward.

The competing messages, the body language and unfolding timelines left people outside the Rams’ facility, as well as some inside, wondering the same question: Who really is Ty Simpson, and why is he the quarterback the Rams felt they had to select in a Super Bowl-or-bust campaign?

How Simpson became the pick

This was always supposed to be the year the Rams drafted the heir to Stafford’s throne.

It’s why they traded out of the first round last year with the Atlanta Falcons to add an extra 2026 first-rounder. A Rams franchise that expects to be in the playoffs each year needed to forge a path to a pick in the top 20.

As this year’s quarterback class whittled in size and quality with Texas’ Arch Manning, Oregon’s Dante Moore and South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers returning to school, the concept of picking late in most drafts still drove the decision to take Simpson at No. 13.

The Rams took the second quarterback in this class behind Fernando Mendoza, who went No. 1 to the Las Vegas Raiders. Had they waited, they likely would have been left looking at the fifth or sixth quarterback available in the 2027 draft.

They weren’t sure where Simpson would go if they didn’t draft him. But they believed the Arizona Cardinals, who owned pick No. 34 in the second round, had heavy interest, a team source told The Athletic. They could either lock in Simpson as their future or risk facing him twice a year within the NFC West.

“Like I’ve mentioned here, the sea is going to shape the 13th pick,” Snead said shortly after the selection. “He had to fall.”

The risk of Simpson going before No. 13 was low, given league expectations and a profile that featured just 15 college starts and average measurables.

But the quote also showed how the Rams handled being on the clock. The available options looked much as expected, as the first 12 picks featured 11 players they projected to be gone before their selection, with the lone exception being Alabama offensive tackle Kadyn Proctor, who went to the Miami Dolphins one pick earlier.

The trade offers that came the Rams’ way at No. 13 were “soft,” a team source told The Athletic. The Dallas Cowboys traded up to take Ohio State safety Caleb Downs. The Detroit Lions had interest in moving up, a team source said, but the return didn’t excite in a draft that thinned out considerably by Day 3 due to so many college players returning for name, image and likeness compensation.

With a deep roster, the Rams weren’t looking to add late picks, as showcased by their later decision to turn three selections into one to move up 10 spots in the sixth round for Miami wide receiver CJ Daniels. And in the end, they came out with a five-player draft class.

“We’re fortunate that our roster’s in a place where we felt like we didn’t have a ton of glaring needs,” assistant general manager John McKay said. “We were able to take guys that we really felt confident in being contributors right away, but also be starters three, four years or two years down the line.”

The Rams did consider players at potential impact positions. They looked into USC’s Makai Lemon, who won the Biletnikoff Award as college football’s top wide receiver. They examined Oregon’s Kenyon Sadiq, who posted the fastest 40 time of any tight end since at least 2003.

Had the Rams not taken Simpson, they would have gone with an offensive skill player, according to a team source. But it was difficult to see either rookie providing an immediate impact, given the Rams’ crowded tight end room and the limited volume remaining for a third receiver to play behind Davante Adams and Puka Nacua.

It was a risk, given that what they need is impact in big moments. In the NFC Championship Game against the Seattle Seahawks, the Rams had a third-and-goal where rookie Terrance Ferguson couldn’t get open and seventh-round rookie Konata Mumpfield couldn’t reel in the pass, and the Rams lost 31-27 to end their season.

The draft did feature a wide receiver the league saw as a true No. 1 option in Ohio State’s Carnell Tate. But the first big surprise of the event came when the Tennessee Titans drafted him No. 4 overall. The Cleveland Browns at No. 6 were looking to trade back, and they did so with the Kansas City Chiefs.

Without a player obtainable who screamed Year 1 impact, the Rams fell more in love with the idea of long-term fits.

One they took a liking to was Penn State guard Olaivavega Ioane, who went one pick later to the Baltimore Ravens. But like Simpson, he would have been a backup this season with Kevin Dotson and Steve Avila playing out contract years.

The Rams were prepared enough to draft and stash Simpson that they planned to do so even if Jimmy Garoppolo re-signed as their backup, a team source said. They were building out a quarterback room for a rookie to learn in. The Rams wanted to keep that interest quiet, so they held a secret meeting with McVay and Simpson, which ran “hours and hours” on football, Simpson told ESPN Radio on Monday.

“We tried to keep this under wraps as long as we could,” Simpson said on ESPN Radio. “It was something where I knew they were interested, but they wanted to make it private and didn’t want people to know that they were interested. So, I had some secret meetings with Coach McVay, and I just was trying to be on script and do what everybody told me and not to tell anybody.”

Snead confirmed on “The Pat McAfee Show” Tuesday that he was also part of the meeting.

“I was in that meeting with him and Sean, for sure,” Snead said. “They talked football at a high level.”

Los Angeles viewed this year’s first round as a two-player haul. The first was Trent McDuffie, the All-Pro cornerback from the Chiefs whom they landed by trading the No. 29 overall pick, and then signed Jaylen Watson to complete their secondary.

Had the Rams sent out the No. 13 pick to the Chiefs for McDuffie and spent No. 29 on Simpson, it’s possible that the vision could have spoken more for itself.

When they didn’t, McVay and Snead held an 11-minute news conference without an opening statement, their usual humor or many details about Simpson the player. The vibe was one of “just trust us,” except they couldn’t find the trust to speak freely that night.

A deeper look at the process behind some of the more interesting moves and trends of this year’s NFL Draft.
They feared how a jubilant news conference would play with Stafford, who has been actively engaged in contract discussions with the team. Snead said two days before the draft to expect no drama with Stafford’s deal, and holding a muted presser about his backup was part of carrying that hope through.

It was a curious calculation, though, about a reigning MVP who should have no reason to fear a quarterback with 15 college starts coming to take his job. As the Rams weighed protecting the emotions and confidence of their quarterbacks, they sided with a 38-year-old in his 18th season over a 23-year-old rookie.

It all produced a tone that struggled to fit the biggest moment in their new quarterback’s football life. As Simpson broke into tears on the phone and said, “Let’s go make history, coach,” McVay struggled to match the energy. It was a rare slip for one of the sport’s most energetic forces.

When Simpson arrived at the draft headquarters for his own news conference and held up a freshly designed Rams jersey with his name on it, neither his coach nor his general manager was in attendance. By the time he arrived in Los Angeles the next day, he had only heard from one of his new teammates, captain and safety Quentin Lake.

Rams players have been expecting an all-in push for a Super Bowl, too. If they looked to the news conference for a reason for drafting Simpson in Round 1, the answers were difficult to find.

Snead described Simpson as “somebody who can execute a passing offense and has mobility.” McVay’s first comment on his new quarterback was to say he’ll compete with Stetson Bennett to be their No. 2.

Rams had alignment, despite the optics

McVay said he could feel the tension mid-news conference, and by the time he returned to his phone, he had scores of texts from friends asking about his mood.

“I couldn’t be more excited about being able to add him, but also understanding how much I love Matthew Stafford, how respectful you want to always be, and to the way things can be interpreted,” McVay said Friday night after Rounds 2 and 3.

Then he patted Snead on the back.

“The one thing that would never be doubted is we couldn’t be any more lockstep in every decision that we make,” McVay said. “This is my buddy right here.”

Snead was never going to draft a quarterback to develop who McVay wasn’t into. It would waste the infrastructure that justified a sit-and-wait approach, and McVay has long had broadcasting options for whenever Stafford is finished playing if he wasn’t on board.

But this was a new space for them all, having never drafted a passer to develop behind an incumbent.

It’s a maneuver with precedent: the Chiefs drafted Patrick Mahomes behind Alex Smith in 2017; the Green Bay Packers drafted Aaron Rodgers behind Brett Favre in 2005 and then Jordan Love behind Rodgers in 2020; and the San Francisco 49ers drafted Trey Lance behind Garoppolo in 2021. But in three of those situations, the team wound up trading the incumbent in order to make the transition.

The Rams are promising the opposite.

“Whenever that time comes for him to get an opportunity to be Matthew’s successor will be on Matthew’s terms,” McVay said.

Simpson does bring traits that fit the Rams’ vision. He was college football’s top passer on play action last season, according to Pro Football Focus, and will now join a team that led the NFL in play-action passes to produce the league’s No. 1 scoring offense. His mobility can add a flavor to their play-action rollouts.

Other parts of the fit are not as clean. For one, they have no idea when he’ll get his chance, since Stafford has long held a year-by-year control over how long he’ll play. For another, Simpson is 6-foot-1, 211 pounds without a trademark playmaking trait. Just five years ago, the Rams traded Jared Goff and two first-round picks in order to chase the rare physical and playmaking traits of Stafford.

How Simpson can unlock more aggressive moves

Simpson arrives on a four-year rookie contract that averages $6.1 million per season, or $42 million less than Stafford made under the cap last year. A franchise currently struggling to retain all of its successful draft picks is seeking greater financial flexibility, even if it comes with a trade-off.

The Rams can now be more aggressive in trade talks with their 2027 draft picks, a factor that helped drive the decision to take a quarterback now rather than wait a year, a team source told The Athletic. The Rams see established NFL players as having a greater impact than rookies, which illustrates their trade for McDuffie.

That aggressiveness is not expected to target Philadelphia Eagles star wide receiver A.J. Brown despite earlier trade talks, a team source told The Athletic.

But others could be on the radar come October. Just last season, the New York Jets traded All-Pro cornerback Sauce Gardner to the Indianapolis Colts at the deadline for two first-round picks.

The Rams needed secondary help, but they were protecting their prime 2026 and 2027 selections to find a future at quarterback.

Time will tell if Simpson can deliver on his draft stock. Some answers will likely come before he has to play, as the Rams know that anything short of a Super Bowl appearance this season will be seen as a disappointment.

They were willing to take that gamble.

“When you find somebody that you think fits that system and has the buy-in from everybody in the building that we found,” Rams director of scouting and analytics Nicole Blake said, “I don’t think it really matters when you take them.

“You just take them.”

Wyatt Miller@wymill07
Some personal news: My internship with the Rams is ending today. This wasn’t just a job to me, it marked the first step toward building the career I’ve always wanted. I have so many people to thank

To @StuJRams, @MarissaBDaly and @joryhirsh: Thank you for giving me this opportunity and supporting my unique reporting style. I’ve done work I’m incredibly proud of and improved my craft significantly during my time with the Rams. That wouldn’t have been possible without you 3.

To the Rams beat, especially @JourdanRodrigue, @LATimesklein, @AdamGrosbard, @sarahbarshop, @gregbeacham, &
@NateAtkins_: You welcomed a 22-year-old with open arms. I’ve learned so much from each of you and am grateful to have worked with such a supportive group.