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December 7, 2025 at 8:35 pm in reply to: ARZ game … tweets, plays, media accounts, highlights #159993
znModeratorNice little Sunday actually…@Avalanche #goavsgo — W ✅@RamsNFL #RamsHouse — W ✅@nuggets #MileHighBasketball W ✅ pic.twitter.com/CmpTyKFyVs
— Kevin Demoff (@kdemoff) December 8, 2025
December 7, 2025 at 8:30 pm in reply to: ARZ game … tweets, plays, media accounts, highlights #159991
znModeratorStu Jackson, from https://www.therams.com/news/game-recap-rams-blow-out-cardinals-45-17-in-arizona
The Rams’ backfield duo of running backs Kyren Williams and Blake Corum continued their efficient ways, as Corum rushed for a career-high 128 yards and two touchdowns on 12 carries, while Williams chipped in 13 carries for 84 yards and one touchdown. That adds up to a combined 25 carries for 212 yards and three touchdowns, good for an average of 8.5 yards per carry.
December 7, 2025 at 8:23 pm in reply to: ARZ game … tweets, plays, media accounts, highlights #159990
znModeratorPuka Nacua & Blake Corum
Game Balls 🏈🏈 pic.twitter.com/FKtggmd2au
— NFL GameDay (@NFLGameDay) December 8, 2025
December 7, 2025 at 8:20 pm in reply to: ARZ game … tweets, plays, media accounts, highlights #159989
znModeratorfrom Matthew Stafford, Rams’ offense roll against Cardinals: Takeaways
Nate Atkins
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6871116/2025/12/07/rams-cardinals-score-result-takeaways-nfl/
Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford watched most of the fourth quarter of his team’s 45-17 victory against the Arizona Cardinals from the sideline, and it’s safe to say the veteran enjoyed the view.
That’s because his Rams had built a 35-point lead by the time Stafford played his last snap.
Stafford threw three touchdown passes, two to star receiver Puka Nacua, as Los Angeles rushed for nearly 250 yards in a dominant effort and picked up their 10th win.
Running back Blake Corum rushed for a career-high 128 yards and two touchdowns while Kyren Williams added 84 yards and a score of his own.
Stafford looks like the MVP version again
All men are mortal, and that held true for Stafford last Sunday in Carolina, when he turned the ball over three times, including a pick six and a game-sealing strip-sack. The mix of a shootout and rainy conditions brought out some of the overaggressive play of Stafford’s past that day, and as a result, he slipped to second-best odds in a Most Valuable Player race that seems down to him and New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye.
Sunday in Arizona was Stafford’s chance to take it back, and he delivered with the help of a run game that enjoyed its first 200-yard performance of the season with 249.
After a first drive in which he couldn’t quite connect with Davante Adams on a would-be touchdown in the back of the end zone and then overthrew him when he was wide open on a fade, Stafford locked in. He got back to peppering intermediate routes to Nacua, who made acrobatic adjustments to reel in seven catches for 167 yards, including a 28-yard touchdown strike on a post from Stafford and a 31-yard jump-ball touchdown along the left sideline. (This was, somehow, Nacua’s first two-touchdown performance in his young NFL career.)
Stafford also tossed a red-zone touchdown on third down, when he sliced a tight window for a 6-yard score to Colby Parkinson.
Stafford finished 22-of-31 for 281 yards, three touchdowns, zero interceptions, 9.1 yards per attempt and a 131.2 rating before handing the reins to Jimmy Garoppolo for almost the entirety of the fourth quarter. The blowout win keeps the Rams in the driver’s seat in a highly contested NFC West race, and if Stafford can keep up this productive and mistake-free play and win this vaunted division, his case for his first MVP trophy is going to be hard to top. — Nate Atkins, Rams beat writer
Secondary has some struggles again
The Rams have been shuffling their secondary grouping ever since safety Quentin Lake went to injured reserve and top outside cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon came back last week. It looked discombobulated to start the game, even with the Cardinals starting Jacoby Brissett in place of an injured Kyler Murray and playing without top wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr.
Los Angeles started Cobie Durant and Emmanuel Forbes Jr. again on the outside, and Forbes couldn’t team up with safety Kam Kinchens to prevent an easy first touchdown to Michael Wilson. They then subbed Witherspoon in for Forbes, and he struggled to stay with Wilson on a couple of chunk plays.
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But the coverage mostly tightened after a bad first quarter, and that allowed the engine of the Rams’ defense to get revving in the pass rush. Kobie Turner and Byron Young both turned in sacks, and the Rams were able to hit Brissett on seven dropbacks. They finally got their first turnover in seven quarters when Nate Landman intercepted Brissett to set up another touchdown.The secondary represented the only negative in the blowout win, as Wilson was able to rack up 11 catches for 142 yards and two touchdowns by trading off big gains against Witherspoon and Forbes. Some regression was to be expected after losing a player like Lake, who could disguise and coordinate the defense so well from a mix of three different positions. Without him, this no longer looks quite like one of the best defenses in the league, but stopping the run and rushing the passer can still go a long way with an offense this potent. – Atkins
December 7, 2025 at 8:05 pm in reply to: ARZ game … tweets, plays, media accounts, highlights #159988
znModeratorThe pass by Matthew Stafford. 🤌
The catch and finish by Puka Nacua. 🤌📺:@NFLonFOX | #ProBowlVote pic.twitter.com/M6g2UEMOGS
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) December 7, 2025
136 yards in 1 half of work.
Puka Nacua and Matthew Stafford are clicking on all cylinders! 💪 pic.twitter.com/W3wSTg7Zlk
— RAMS ON FILM (@RamsOnFilm) December 7, 2025
December 7, 2025 at 7:44 pm in reply to: ARZ game … tweets, plays, media accounts, highlights #159986
znModeratorAri Meirov@MySportsUpdate
#Rams QB Matthew Stafford today in a win over Arizona:– 22/31
– 281 passing yards
– 3 TDs
– 0 INTs
– 131.2 passer ratingPFF@PFF
Matthew Stafford on throws past the sticks vs Arizona:🚀 10/13
🚀 190 yards
🚀 3 TDs, 0 INTs
🚀 157.9 passer ratingStafford9@LAR9MS
Matthew Stafford needs 6 more TD passes to be the only player in NFL history with 3 41 pass TD seasons.2011: 41
2021: 41
2025: 35 (4 games left)Nate Atkins@NateAtkins_
Quite a response to the loss last week. Matthew Stafford looked like an MVP candidate again, Puka Nacua went nuclear and the run game went wild as L.A. piled up more than 500 yards.They are 10-3, tied with Seattle atop the NFC West.
Stu Jackson@StuJRams
Rams now 10-3 on the season. This marks the seventh time with at least 10 wins in a season in nine years under HC Sean McVayNext Gen Stats@NextGenStats
The Rams used 13 personnel (1 RB, 3 TE) on 40 of 67 snaps in Week 14 against the Cardinals, the most such plays in a game by any offense since at least 2016.The Rams’ 19 TDs in 13 personnel this season (3 today) are 7 more than any other team since 2016.
PFF reposted@PFF_Fantasy
Puka Nacua against the Cardinals🐏 7 receptions
🐏 167 yards
🐏 2 touchdowns
🐏 6 explosive plays
🐏 7.6 yards per route runHoward Balzer@HBalzer721
Even Ronnie Rivers averaging 5.1 yards per rushPFF@PFF
The Rams defense vs the Cardinals:🐏 3 sacks
🐏 1 interception
🐏 72.3% pass rush win rate
🐏 42.5% pressure rateLos Angeles Rams PR@TheLARamsPR
OLB Byron Young now has 11.0 sacks this season. The last Ram to record at least 11.0 sacks in a season was Aaron Donald in 2021.
znModeratorCameron DaSilva@camdasilva
The Packers just sealed their win over the Bears, giving the Rams back the No. 1 seed in the NFCGame. Caleb Williams is picked off by Keisean Nixon and the #Packers have overtaken first place in the NFC North. pic.twitter.com/jJXIiBlTW4 https://t.co/SSbJm7V5DI
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) December 8, 2025
December 7, 2025 at 7:18 pm in reply to: ARZ game … tweets, plays, media accounts, highlights #159980
znModeratorBlake Corum takes it 48 yards for 6⃣
He hit a top speed of 21.29 MPH, per @NextGenStats 😳
📲 Stream with NFL+pic.twitter.com/vdSr6lyoxM
— NFL+ (@NFLPlus) December 7, 2025
znModeratorWhen the Seahawks beat the Falcons but it’s helps the Rams’ draft position pic.twitter.com/v0vsPJCQoa
— Cameron DaSilva (@camdasilva) December 7, 2025
znModeratorNate Atkins@NateAtkins_
Rams DT Poona Ford is ACTIVE against the Cardinals today. Curious to see how much he plays after dealing with the calf injury.Rams inactives:
RB Jarquez Hunter
CB Darious Williams
OL Beaux Limmer
DL Ty HamiltonWith Stetson Bennett as the emergency QB.
znModeratorAlbert Breer@AlbertBreer
Colts rule QB Daniel Jones out with an Achilles injury. Not great.Sam Monson@SamMonsonNFL
The Colts went from the No. 1 seed to a team that probably won’t make the playoffs anymore and don’t have any QB in like a month.Freaking wild turnaround.
December 7, 2025 at 12:50 pm in reply to: rams striving for perfection–Rams benchmarks this season #159973
znModerator
znModeratorfrom Nate Atkins: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6860028/2025/12/05/rams-mailbag-no-1-seed-nfc-super-bowl/?source=emp_shared_article
Forbes was on a heater entering last Sunday, but his approach as a recovery-speed player who makes plays on the ball with length can have a tricky dial to it, and he was on the wrong end of two long fourth-down scores that helped decide the loss to the Panthers.
His upside is too high not to play at a premium position right now. He’s a 2023 first-round pick who ran a 4.36-second 40-yard dash and has shown playmaking ability with three interceptions and 13 pass deflections in 12 games this season. It’s a riskier style without a safety like Lake to provide cover, but that loss will affect whoever lines up on the outside.
Durant moved inside for a good amount of last week’s game, and I think that will be the way the Rams get these three on the field for significant snaps. The performance will dictate how the reps shake out, as Los Angeles also has Josh Wallace to play in the nickel. The Rams will have to see what form Witherspoon is in as a 30-year-old cornerback recovering from surgery.
znModeratorfrom Nate Atkins: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6860028/2025/12/05/rams-mailbag-no-1-seed-nfc-super-bowl/?source=emp_shared_article
McClendon’s growth has been a bright spot this season. The Rams saw trouble early in the season when offensive-line injuries disrupted their short-yardage plans and passing-game rhythm. Losing a cornerstone tackle like Rob Havenstein to injured reserve was a cause for some concern. But, to McClendon’s credit, he has answered the call.
The 2023 fifth-round pick has now made five starts at right tackle, and the best thing you can say about him is he’s been hard to notice. He has yet to be charged with a single sack on 177 pass-blocking snaps, according to Sports Info Solution, and his blown block rate across 276 total plays is 1.4 percent. For context, Lions first-team All-Pro right tackle Penei Sewell has a blown block rate of 1.5 percent on a little more than double the volume.
McClendon has settled in nicely at right tackle after spending his first two years trying to learn both sides of the line as a swing tackle. It’s worked in tandem with a steady Alaric Jackson to protect the edges for Stafford, and his ability to string consecutive starts together has also paid off on the Rams’ zone blocking runs. They just had their best rushing performance of the season in Carolina with 152 yards on 7.2 yards per carry.
It could get tricky when Havenstein comes back, because this isn’t just any starter on this team. He’s one of the leaders of the offensive line and the most tenured member of the franchise. He has 13 career playoff starts, which shouldn’t be overlooked when talking about a move to a young and inexperienced player. And though his performance has not been at the level of McClendon’s this season, it’s worth noting that he dealt with the ankle injury that sent him to injured reserve in almost every game. Projecting how the two will measure up when that ankle is healed is more of a challenge.
Given the Rams’ need to answer this spot for the future with Havenstein turning 34 next spring, plus the high cost of tackles in the draft, it would be ideal in some ways to let McClendon take the reins. It just won’t be that simple if Havenstein can get healthy, given the interpersonal dynamics.
Consider the next couple of games an ongoing audition for the permanent role.
December 7, 2025 at 12:23 pm in reply to: setting up the ARZ game including injuries & sad broadcast map #159970
znModeratorArizona
Offense
yds 23rd
points 28th
yds per pass attempt 26th
yds per rush attempt 13th
qb sacked percentage 24th
RZ efficiency (TD only) 17th
turnovers 18thDefense
yds 19th
points 24th
yds per pass attempt 18th
yds per rush attempt 16th
RZ efficiency (TD only) 19th
pressure percentage 26th
turnovers 8thAh but. Last 3 games. They improved in some areas. I red-bolded those. Essentially, their passing game picked up.
Offense
yds 3rd
points 18th
yds per pass attempt 12th
yds per rush attempt 26th
qb sacked percentage 13th
RZ efficiency (TD only) 11th
turnovers 26thDefense
yds 14th
points 28th
yds per pass attempt 24th
yds per rush attempt 14th
RZ efficiency (TD only) 26th
pressure percentage 15th
turnovers 14th
znModeratorweek 14 games of interest
1 pm
Seattle at Falcons
4:25
Bears at Packers
MNF:
Eagles at Chargers
***
SF has a bye
znModeratorfrom Jason La Canfora: https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2025/12/06/nfl-playoff-betting-odds/
Bears finish second in the NFC North +170: This is a fade of the sagging and injured Lions as much as anything else, but Vegas was already pricing the markets as if Detroit was going to miss the postseason entirely ahead of its win Thursday against the Cowboys. If you are inclined to believe that the Green Bay Packers, with a playoff pedigree, are going to beat Chicago this weekend and win this division but Chicago is still a playoff team, this is the way to go for best value on those outcomes. The Lions seem to be missing their previous offensive coordinator, Chicago Coach Ben Johnson, who has the Bears running the ball and controlling the clock in a way that might trouble Detroit when the teams meet again in Week 18. Chicago’s fourth-quarter luck probably will regress some. Will the Bears, now thrust into the role of the hunted, wilt a tad down the stretch?
December 6, 2025 at 11:07 pm in reply to: setting up the ARZ game including injuries & sad broadcast map #159966
znModeratorSean McVay shares initial impressions of Cardinals and Jacoby Brissett
McVay sees a ‘really tough football team’ and a quarterback who’s doing ‘an excellent job’Cameron DaSilva
Don’t let the Arizona Cardinals’ 3-9 record fool you. They’re better than their three wins indicate.
Of their nine losses, seven have been by four or fewer points. And since Jacoby Brissett took over for the injured Kyler Murray, the offense has improved and become more consistent despite lacking any semblance of a reliable running game.
Sean McVay certainly isn’t going to take the Los Angeles Rams’ Week 14 opponent lightly, praising their effort and personnel ahead of Sunday’s game.
“I see a really tough football team, a team that we’re very familiar with,” he said Wednesday. “They’re really well coached. They have good personnel all over the place. I think they’re really sound schematically. They pose a lot of issues on both sides of the football. They’ve obviously always been really good in the kicking game, had continuity at the coordinator spot. I have a lot of respect for this group. I think if you look at the record you’re kidding yourself because this is a team that really outside of the Seattle and the San Francisco game, every one of those games they’ve been in and it’s been right down to the wire and one-possession games. We have a tremendous amount of respect for this group. We have to be ready to go for sure.”
Brissett is a journeyman quarterback who hasn’t gotten much attention on a struggling Cardinals team, but he’s playing well. He’s completing 67.5% of his passes, averaging 312 yards per start and has 13 touchdown passes with four interceptions.
He obviously doesn’t have the mobility or playmaking ability of Murray, but from a pure passing standpoint, he’s been an upgrade – particularly for Trey McBride.
Here’s what McVay said about the veteran quarterback and the way he’s played.
“It’s amazing. He’ll stand tall in the pocket. He’ll move around. He can still buy time with his legs and activate all parts of the field. He’s a hard tackle. He’s obviously very experienced,” McVay said. “You can see there’s a comfort in terms of reading with his feet, getting through progressions and recognizing coverage. He has great overall command, really impressed with his body of work. You’ve seen, there’s a lot of production from the numbers, but then once you start to dive into the tape, he’s playing at a really high clip. He’s doing an excellent job of getting a lot of different people involved. They’re pushing the ball and he poses a lot of problems. I’ve been very impressed with his body of work.”
The Cardinals come in riding a four-game losing streak, but their last two losses were in overtime to the Jacksonville Jaguars and by only three points to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Rams just lost in shocking fashion to the Carolina Panthers so they know what a motivated, hungry team looks like when playing the role of underdog.
znModeratorMarkMaske@MarkMaske
Fernando Mendoza was impressive tonight against a talent-laden Ohio State defense. He seems like a very strong candidate to be the first quarterback chosen in the NFL draft.Jordan Reid@Jordan_Reid
After that TD throw, Fernando Mendoza now has 22 TD passes and 0 INTs in the red zone this year...
Fernando Mendoza blowing the top off. What a ball. pic.twitter.com/4RPdWRXDlu https://t.co/z60usfZTpw
— Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) December 7, 2025
znModerator
znModeratorImagine Jackie Slater blocking Aaron Donald 👀#RamsHouse | @1800Tequila » https://t.co/CO9Y26yqlF pic.twitter.com/avBm6Nl9fz
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) December 6, 2025
December 6, 2025 at 6:16 pm in reply to: setting up the ARZ game including injuries & sad broadcast map #159962
znModeratorNate Atkins@NateAtkins_
Rams coach Sean McVay came down with the flu and is flying separately to Arizona from the rest of the team, per the team.That sickness is going around this time of year.
znModeratorAnd remember, the Rams win that game – if not for the blocked kicks.
True. But at the same time, they had a problem with their kicking game and entered the season not even realizing it till it bit them. There’s just ways the McVay Rams enter the season not fully ready to go, and then they fix it at the bye. This year, that was one of the issues.
znModeratorDon’t count on Kyren Williams eclipsing 1,000 yards this week https://t.co/gbGahyKm3n
— TurfShowTimes (@TurfShowTimes) December 6, 2025
znModeratorfrom PFF, NFL wide receiver rankings ahead of Week 14: https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-wide-receiver-rankings-week-14-2025
2. Puka Nacua, Los Angeles Rams (93.4)
Nacua caught six of nine targets for 72 yards in the Rams’ surprise loss to the Panthers. That included three receptions of 10-plus yards, one of which was a highlight of the week. Nacua wasn’t able to shake cornerback Mike Jackson on the play with a double move, but that didn’t stop him from bringing down an amazing one-handed grab 31 yards downfield. Nacua also secured two contested catches, forced a missed tackle and moved the chains three times in the game. Although he dropped a critical pass late in the fourth quarter, he still finished the contest with a 74.1 PFF receiving grade.
The 2023 fifth-round pick has engineered his third consecutive 1,000-yard season, as he is up to 86 catches for 1,019 yards. Not only is Nacua tied for first in catches, but he also ranks fifth in targets (103) and leads the league in target rate on routes run (34.0%).
znModeratorroberto clemente@rclemente2121
headed into week 14 no wide receiver duo has more combined targets, catches, or td catches than adams and nacua.
znModeratorI remember watching The Drive with mesmerized fascination as it was happening. Hey look at that, it’s like their a real offense with a real qb…the kind of team the Rams usually lose to.
Back then I had to watch games in sports bars, and the only sports bars that carried every game were out of town. So I drove to the place, went in, found the tv with the Rams game, put my jacket on the chair where I was gonna sit, and then just stood there before sitting to watch the drive unfold. I really did have the feeling I just described–a real offense with a real qb, where did THAT come from? It was as if it wasn’t real.
December 6, 2025 at 2:22 pm in reply to: rams striving for perfection–Rams benchmarks this season #159952
znModeratorPercentage of 3rd and 4th down dropbacks to actually throw the football at or beyond the sticks:
Aggressive:
Rams (71%)
Packers (64%)
Cowboys (64%)
49ers (62%)
Falcons (59%)
Patriots (57%)Soft:
Browns (40%)
Raiders (40%)
Jets (43%)
Ravens (43%)
Bills (44%)
Bucs (44%)— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) December 4, 2025
…
…According to Ian Hartitz of Fantasy Life, the Rams rank first in the league in throws at or past the first-down marker when facing third and fourth down. L.A. does so on 71% of their attempts in late downs….
This is partially because the Rams rarely have plays on third or fourth down. L.A. ranks last in third down attempts with 126 — nine fewer than the Indianapolis Colts — and 14th in fourth down attempts with 14. The Rams rank 13th in third-down conversion rate and sixth in fourth-down conversion rate.
The cause of all this: Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay. It would be safe to call both quarterback and head coach aggressive offensive minds who always look to keep drives alive rather than play the field position game. Stafford ranks second in the league with 160 first downs thrown, and his net yards per passing attempt (which takes sacks and interceptions into account) is first at 8.18 yards.
znModeratorfrom https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/47211204/playoffs-bears-packers-colts-jaguars-ravens-steelers
The three Week 14 first-place showdowns are the Chicago Bears (9-3-1) at Green Bay Packers (8-3) in the NFC North, Indianapolis Colts (8-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4) in the AFC South and Pittsburgh Steelers (6-6) at Baltimore Ravens (6-6) in the AFC North.
How critical are these divisional games? Since 2002, of the 159 teams that were leading their division through Week 14, when the NFL went to eight divisions, 139 of them won their division. That’s 87.4%.
…
NFC North: Bears at Packers (4:25 p.m. ET, Fox)
Chicago Bears
Overall record: 9-3
Division record: 1-2
NFC North position: First
Odds: Win division (+175), make playoffs (-270)FPI with win: Win division (59%), make playoffs (92%)
FPI with loss: Win division (20%), make playoffs (67%)
How did the Bears get here? The Bears have won five straight, including a defining 24-15 win over the Philadelphia Eagles on Black Friday that legitimized their résumé. Chicago is built on the NFL’s No. 2 rushing offense (153.8 yards/game), an opportunistic defense that leads the league in takeaways (26) and turnover margin (plus-17, no other team is better than plus-9). Caleb Williams’ growth under coach Ben Johnson was clear as Williams led five game-winning drives in the fourth quarter/overtime. It’s a critical part of why the Bears have pulled off several late-game rallies to boast a 6-1 record in one-score games.
QB situation: Johnson clarified his comments about the Bears “winning in spite of our passing game, not because of it,” so it wouldn’t be construed that he’s unhappy with Williams’ play. Johnson was pleased with how Williams managed the game against Philadelphia, but the quarterback’s accuracy issues are concerning. Williams is last in completion percentage (58%) and completion percentage over expectation (-9%), and his five interceptions have come against zone coverage. The Packers’ defense has run zone on 69% of opponents’ dropbacks this season (third highest in NFL).
Injury update: The Bears’ defense will get a much-needed boost at linebacker. T.J. Edwards was back at practice this week for the first time since breaking his hand against the Bengals on Nov. 2 and does not carry an injury designation for the Packers game. The Bears will also have linebacker Noah Sewell back in the fold, which will go a long way toward how the Bears can scheme against Josh Jacobs and the Packers’ run game. Wide receiver Rome Odunze will miss the first game of his NFL career because of a foot injury that he’s been dealing with throughout the season.
Key to winning Sunday: Chicago’s run game has been at its best on the road, with season highs in rushing at Cincinnati and Philadelphia. After dual 100-yard rushing performances from Monangai and D’Andre Swift, the Bears should lean heavily on their ground attack to set the tone and control the clock the way they did against the Eagles. With injuries along Green Bay’s defensive line, notably to tackle Devonte Wyatt, the Bears’ offensive line comes to Lambeau Field with the edge up front. — Courtney Cronin
What they’re saying: “The significance of it at the moment isn’t much,” tight end Cole Kmet said of the Bears currently being the NFC’s No. 1 seed. “Look, I know how this all is. We’re on the so-called mountain top right now, but those things change quickly week to week. … It’s on us to stick to our process on stuff. But to see where we’ve gone as a team, specifically offensively from Weeks 1 and 2 to now, it’s really cool to see and see our identity take shape, especially in the run game.”
Green Bay Packers
Overall record: 8-3-1
Division record: 3-0
NFC North position: Second
Odds: Win division (-140), make playoffs (-900)FPI with win: Win division (70%), make playoffs (95%)
FPI with loss: Win division (25%), make playoffs (76%)
How did the Packers get here? Unlike last season, when they went 1-5 in NFC North games — with the only win coming on a last-second blocked field goal attempt in Chicago — the Packers have taken care of business in the division. The Thanksgiving win at Detroit gave them the season sweep of the Lions for the first time since 2020. This is the end of a three-game stretch of all division games, which started with the Week 12 win over the Vikings. After consecutive home losses to the Panthers and Eagles in which they combined to score only 20 points, Packers coach Matt LaFleur found something on offense. In the three games since those two losses, they have the fourth-most offensive points per game in the league.
QB situation: This is Jordan Love’s time of the year, and his four-touchdown game against the Lions last week might be the start of another strong stretch to close the season. In his three seasons as the Packers’ starter, Love has played some of his best football when the calendar turns to November. In 24 career regular-season games in November or later, Love has combined for 37 touchdowns and six interceptions while completing 65.8% of his passes. Love has the NFL’s highest Total QBR (73.3) in games played in November or later over the past three seasons.
Injury update: The Packers have lost three starters to season-ending injuries: tight end Tucker Kraft (knee), center Elgton Jenkins (leg) and, most recently, defensive tackle Devonte Wyatt (ankle). They could get a boost from the return of receiver Jayden Reed, their leader in the past two seasons in catches and receiving yards. Reed hasn’t played since Week 2 because of collarbone and foot injuries.
Key to winning Sunday: The Packers have a top-10 run defense, but it will be tested mightily by the Bears’ running back duo of Monangai and Swift, who each rushed for more than 100 yards in last week’s win over the Eagles. Wyatt’s injury against the Lions won’t help, but the Packers will have to keep the Bears from running all over them. “It’s going to be a great challenge,” LaFleur said, “because they’re the best in the league right now in doing it.” — Rob Demovsky
What they’re saying: Packers WR Christian Watson on the magnitude of the Packers-Bears game: “It’s huge, it’s huge. I said it earlier in the week, it’s a chance for us to take the top spot in the NFC North, and that’s step one for us in terms of our goal for this season. So it’s big-time for us.”
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