Foles 2014 v. 2015A & 2015B

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    Avatar photozn
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    Before the season began, the consensus on Foles was that he would be pretty good because he had been pretty good in 2014. Not great, but pretty good. Good enough.

    Some tried to factor in 2013, but I think most people assumed that 2013 was less of an indicator than 2014.

    In 2014 he has one very bad game with a qb rating in the 40s, and a couple of mediocre games with qb ratings in the 70s, but the bad/mediocre games were not this big clump of consecutive poor performances….which is what happened when he melted down in 2015.

    So here are the numbers on the three sets of games: the 8 he started in 2014, his first 4 games in 2015, and then his last 4 starts in 2015 (the meltdown games).

    2014: 59.8% completions, TD% 4.2%, Int% 3.2%, YPA 7.0, avg. qb rating 81.4

    2015A: 63% completions, TD% 4.5%, Int% 0.9%, YPA 7.3, avg. qb rating 98

    2015B: 53.3% completions, TD% 0%, Int% 3.3%, YPA 4.9, avg qb rating of 53.75

    There is nothing like those last 4 games in 2014. In 2014, he had one bad game with a qb rating in the 40s…in the 2015 meltdown, he had 2 games in the 40s, one in the 50s, and one in the 60s.

    A meltdown, according to how the term is used, means a sustained collapse…a dramatic falling below a previously decent level of play (like Schaub in Houston). It’s kind of a metaphor taken from people in emotional crisis, who meltdown, unraveling. Remember the meltdown was so bad he was benched after the 1st 2 games of it (Minn, Chi) and then had to start anyway when Keenum went out after one game (for Foles that was 2 more starts–Cinn and Arz).

    For comparison sake, here is the Austin Davis meltdown from his last 3 games of 2014:

    Davis: 56.9% completions, TD% 3.8%, Int% 6.3%, YPA 6.08, avg qb rating of 60.86

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