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znModeratorJ.B. Long@JB_Long
I’ve been in full Jim Cramer BUY mode on Cooper Kupp stock since at least OTAs. But what I didn’t necessarily expect is that he’d be at career-high levels for average depth of target and deep target percentage.He’s a vertical threat in this offense, more than ever.
October 25, 2021 at 5:07 pm in reply to: Nurses fired for not getting COVID-19 vaccine explain their rationale #133340
znModerator“If you don’t like it – you can leave.”
This is perfection…pic.twitter.com/nC2tznAWYg
— Rex Chapman🏇🏼 (@RexChapman) October 25, 2021
znModerator
znModeratorCooper Kupp
809 receiving yards (1st)
9 receiving TDs (1st)
56 receptions (1st)
37 first downs (1st)
20+ yard plays (1st)
40+ yard plays (T-2nd) pic.twitter.com/fThaX2iDXB— 𝚂𝚌𝚘𝚘𝚝 (𝟼-𝟷) 🐏🏠 (@_SC00T) October 25, 2021
znModeratorJalen Ramsey seals weird, off-putting Rams win as Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff see familiar faces: The Pile
Jourdan Rodrigue
INGLEWOOD, Calif. — A game that had skidded off the rails from its opening minutes was definitively planted back on track by cornerback Jalen Ramsey on Sunday.
In fact, he ended the dang thing.
Ramsey intercepted a pass by Lions quarterback Jared Goff, his teammate before last winter’s blockbuster trade with Detroit, in the end zone with 5:03 left to play in the 28-19 Rams win. It was Ramsey’s 27th birthday, so naturally defensive tackle Aaron Donald gifted him with a big hit on Goff as the ball came out of his hand around the 12-yard line. Ramsey jumped the route of the tight end to whom the throw was intended and pulled in the pick, then sprinted 23 yards in the other direction.
The play seemed to be a catharsis, of sorts, not only because Goff beat a furious Ramsey blitz off the edge by getting the ball out to the screen receiver for a long catch-and-run play in the first quarter and an early Lions touchdown (a lead the Rams would spend the next quarter and a half picking away at) but also because Ramsey watched at least one of his other major third-down stops, a massive hit on third-and-7, wiped away by atrocious and frankly unaware special-teams play as the Lions ran their first of two successful fake punts.
“Yeah, kinda (was more cathartic),” Ramsey said afterward. “There were a lot of ebbs and flows of the game. It was a lot of adversity that we faced. And it did overshadow some of the good moments that the defense had, right, but that’s a part of the game. Who cares? We just move on, and you go to the next opportunity.”
The play also halted a flood of third-down conversions by the Lions on the drive — four of their six total to that point in the game — and quieted the droves of Detroit fans in the stands at SoFi Stadium (kudos to them for traveling well, in part as an homage to longtime former quarterback Matthew Stafford, appearing for the first time against the team for which he played 12 years before the Rams traded for him this spring).
But wow, was it a helter-skelter game before that play — in every phase at times, sure, and we’ll get to that, but in none more than on special teams.
The Lions successfully recovered an onside kick after their game-opening touchdown, then went on to run two successful punt fakes on fourth down that had the Rams spinning in all sorts of directions, none of them good. The onside kick, and the first of the two fakes, also kept the ball out of Stafford’s hands until 7:23 remained in the first quarter, and at that point, the Rams not only had to play under a deficit but also had to change around their play script because of the time constraint. When the Rams did get the ball back, as Stafford noted afterward, they scored 17 points on their next three possessions and Stafford finished the first half 17-for-23 with 166 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions, with three receivers averaging better than 10 yards per catch.
“It was a strange game, for sure,” Stafford said. “All the fakes, the surprise onside (kick) and all of that, some possessions stolen there. Great plays by them, but just kinda had a weird feel to it and didn’t touch the ball too much in the first half, but when we got our opportunities, we scored with it, which was good.”
Those mishandled special-teams plays forced sudden-change situations for the Rams defense on multiple occasions, and though Ramsey pointed out that the defense held Detroit to a field goal after the first onside-kick/fake-punt drive, then ultimately forced a turnover on downs on the second fake-punt drive, I’ll point out that it’s still not a situation any team wants to, or should, find itself in, and especially not multiple times.
“Obviously, it’s a good wake-up call for us, and something that we’ve got to do a better job of moving forward,” head coach Sean McVay said. “They made the plays and we didn’t, in that phase. And it almost changed the outcome of the game.”
The Rams are 6-1, and buckle up, folks, because we’re starting with a special-teams unit that has been teetering on the brink week to week and finally fell over a cliff Sunday.
Leonard Floyd pressures Jared Goff. (Robert Hanashiro / USA Today)
Welcome to The Pile. Let’s start poking around. Maybe we’ll find a kick returner down there somewhere.‘Special’ is not the right word
The Rams have to figure out their issues on special teams, and they have to do it yesterday. They gave up three trick plays in this phase, the fake punt conversions and the onside kick recovery, had at least one hold penalty and couldn’t average a kickoff return past the 20-yard line.Each week has been a “what catastrophe will occur next” bingo card of error. While I certainly give some leeway — because it’s an incredibly young group that features turnover in a few crucial spots, and injuries have added to the mess in some phases — this unit has a complete lack of identity. I watch these guys in practice every day. They play hard, and they’re coached hard by first-year coordinator Joe DeCamillis, a veteran, well-liked coach in the NFL. So why aren’t they putting it together? They don’t need to necessarily run the fakes or even stack up brain-breaking returns. No, they need only to be consistent week over week. That’s the floor. But this unit is in the basement.
The special-teams unit is pinballing up and down each week in DVOA, ranking as high as No. 12 two weeks ago after being No. 30 the previous week, then plummeting back to No. 28. They’ve had every issue presumably possible, from missed kicks to returnable kickoffs to missed tackles to continual penalties to a lack of cohesive, decisive returners. Hell, rookie receiver Ben Skowronek was returning kickoffs for the Rams on Sunday, his first crack at doing so (McVay said earlier in the week that rookie second-round pick Tutu Atwell would handle those duties after the Rams lost Jake Funk to injury, but he was nowhere to be found, there or on offense). Veteran receiver DeSean Jackson even got a look on a punt return over Atwell, and he’s playing on an injury-preventive contract!
Sunday, the special-teams unit was not oblivious to the possible scenarios a desperate, winless team would try. McVay even acknowledged afterward that they saw it coming. But they still couldn’t execute, which prompts the question: Is being ready, and then failing, actually worse than being surprised and failing?
I don’t believe McVay was bluffing, either, when he said the Rams were ready to counter those tricks. The Rams usually work on those types of situations throughout the week and were clearly prepared for a fake punt situation the first time around, considering they sent Ramsey out in coverage contain on the “receiver” near the Lions’ sideline. The pass on the first fake punt, though, went to Nick Scott’s man on the opposite side and totally spun him around for an 18-yard gain.
“That’s what is a little bit disappointing, is that it was not stuff that we were surprised by,” McVay said. “But we didn’t execute, and they did. They ended up creating a bunch of momentum … (those) things were things that we did anticipate and expect, but we didn’t execute, and they did. That wasn’t good, and it was a lot of things that we can learn from.”
McVay, visibly angry when discussing those plays, firmly reiterated that even the second fake was something the Rams were set up to defend by being in a “punt-safe” alignment. Yet the play, a carry around the left end, picked up 28 yards — the first down, and then some.
“We lost the edge,” McVay said.
The bright spot was kicker Matt Gay, who hit touchbacks on his kickoffs and made a 47-yard field goal in the fourth quarter to ice the game.
Stafford and Kupp, rinse and repeat
Stop me if you’ve heard this before: Holy crap, Cooper Kupp.
Kupp had 10 catches on 13 targets for 156 yards and two touchdowns as Stafford’s top receiver Sunday. He’s the fourth player in the Super Bowl era with 50-plus catches, 700-plus receiving yards and eight-plus receiving touchdowns in his team’s first seven games, according to NFL Research, which puts him in the company of Steve Smith Sr. (2005), Torry Holt (2003) and Marvin Harrison (1999). It’s Week 7, and Kupp has 809 yards and nine touchdowns. And there’s an extra game this year!
Sunday, Kupp also averaged 15.6 yards per catch with longs of 59, 29 and 27 yards — but it was the slick work he did in smaller spaces that stood out, first on a juke on second-and-10 that picked up 11 yards and may as well have left his defender’s socks on the field, and next on his first of the two touchdowns. The Rams ran what several savvy viewers noted was a “shield slant,” in which Van Jefferson (who also had an impressive touchdown in the second quarter and has eclipsed his rookie numbers just seven games in) served as a “peloton” blocker, similar to the way competitive cyclists shield teammates in a cluster against the wind and provide a drafting situation, allowing their team leaders to get small in the tunnel created and shoot forward with less in their way. Kupp snuck behind Jefferson on the 2-yard play, and Stafford fired in the ball for the score.
“We got the look we wanted and Van did a great job. It’s really all on Van to be able to occupy the inside defender,” Kupp said. “I just have to catch the ball. … It was pretty cool.”
Kupp said the Rams have had the play in their arsenal for several years.
“Back (in) my first year, second and third year, I was in Van’s position and Sammy Watkins and Brandin Cooks were the ones making those plays. … Just something, a play we have run before and we did a good job executing it,” he said.
But you’ll also note, as ESPN’s Brady Henderson pointed out on Twitter, that the “shield slant” is extremely similar to the now-infamous passing play the Seahawks ran at the goal line in their Super Bowl loss to New England.
Look familiar? This is basically what the Seahawks ran at the goal line in Super Bowl XLIX. Watch what No. 12, Van Jefferson, does to create a clean passing lane. If only … https://t.co/bgqnsrD9kV
— Brady Henderson (@BradyHenderson) October 24, 2021
Robert Woods was the No. 2 receiver Sunday, catching all six of his targets for 70 yards and converting the Rams’ two-point play after Kupp’s second touchdown.
Markedly better on third down
Last week, Kupp remarked that the Rams had been “atrocious” on third down in games against Seattle and New York, and he was right: The offense converted just 4 of 21 third-down attempts in those games. But against the Lions, the Rams were much better, converting on nine of 12 tries.
“I think, throughout the week, we had a lot of stuff to kind of work through and did a great job trimming (the play menu) and giving us a more streamlined approach to what we wanted to do,” Kupp said. “Guys just executed, being able to make plays and progress through things. And then Sean just got us into some great plays, as well, being able to get some stuff (in) ‘hurry-up’ and get up onto the ball and make some plays that way, and then just our third-down play in general. … I thought we did a better job executing.”
“I thought Sean gave us an opportunity to be great on third down today. He does every week, and it comes down to execution,” Stafford said.
Sunday, two notable conversions included Kupp’s 59-yard pickup on third-and-12 and tight end Tyler Higbee’s 14-yard catch on third-and-10 that set up Kupp’s second touchdown and the corresponding two-point conversion, courtesy of Woods.
“Those are huge plays in the game,” Stafford said. “I can’t say enough about those guys. They worked their tails off, and I’m happy that work is paying off for them on Sundays and they’re going to go out there and shine.”
Cornerback injury situations
In his third start (and first at SoFi), Rams rookie cornerback Robert Rochell made a big stop in the first half, but shortly afterward he left the game. The Rams reported a knee injury and that Rochell’s status would be “questionable” in the second half. Rochell did not return.
The cornerback corps is already thin because veteran starter Darious Williams is recovering from an ankle injury. Without Rochell, the team sent back in David Long Jr., who started on the outside this season but lost his snaps after the Rams’ loss to Arizona and didn’t see much time in extra-defensive-backs packages until the very end of last week’s blowout win at the Giants. The Rams can’t afford to lose more personnel here, although they expect Williams back within the short-term injured-reserve window, probably early November. They’re not expected to make much noise at the trade deadline, but if they do get in a bind in the defensive backfield, we probably can’t rule it out.
McVay said he thinks Rochell “will be OK,” although he had not yet met with the medical staff when he had his news conference. He had, however, spoken with Rochell directly.
“He said that the initial tests checked out well, but I’ll be able to give you further clarity (Monday),” McVay said.
Bottom of The Pile
• McVay and Goff opted to greet each other at the end of the game instead of before it, and the two shared a hug and a few words. The Rams played tribute videos for Goff and another well-loved former Rams player, defensive lineman Michael Brockers, before the game.
• Many in the crowd showed up in Stafford’s old Honolulu Blue No. 9 Detroit jersey, which Stafford certainly noticed. He even got a bit choked up.
“It was humbling. It was really nice to see,” Stafford said. “Driving into the stadium today, I saw a few walking around and thought to myself, ‘That’s pretty cool.’ And I really appreciate it. I’ve said it a bunch of times and I truly mean it, I loved my time there. I love all of the people there who treated me, my family, my wife with a ton of respect and a ton of grace for a long time. It was cool to see that. Once the ball was snapped, it was football time and I was ready to go play. But it was cool to see some of the stuff going on around (this morning).”
• Stafford’s touchdown to Kupp marked his 300th career touchdown pass. He sits at No. 12 on the all-time list, now with 301. Directly above him: Fran Tarkenton, with 342.
• Yes, the Rams defense allowed only one touchdown and took the ball away when it needed to seal the game, courtesy of Ramsey. But the Rams couldn’t seem to piece many drives together without missed tackles, bad angles and explosive plays that came courtesy of misses on catch-and-run plays, including the third-and-9 dump-off pass that Goff threw to beat the blitz (this was Ramsey coming hard off the edge, the play on which he said he should have stopped and covered the screen player) and resulted in a touchdown for the first Lions’ lead of the year. I also agreed with Ramsey’s assessment of the pressure the defensive line was able to bring against Goff throughout the game, which came from a variety of fronts and looks, even if the sacks didn’t come until later. (Sebastian Joseph-Day had a sack, and a great quote: “Those guys were rushing their asses off,” while inside linebacker Kenny Young also sacked Goff and contributed to major third- and fourth-down stops.) According to TruMedia, the Rams pressured Goff 17 times, hit him four times and hurried him 15 times on passing downs (outside linebacker Leonard Floyd led the effort with four pressures).
A reporter asked whether Ramsey felt that Goff, who finished 22-for-36 for 268 yards, a touchdown and two interceptions, successfully handled the standard pressure the Rams brought as well as the designed pressure.
“Really, I guess we think differently on that,” Ramsey said. “They only had one touchdown today. The rest was field goals. Their run game did pretty well. They had a couple good passes here and there, but I don’t think we struggled. … He’s an NFL quarterback, he’s able to do those things. I don’t really feel like that was anything for us to worry about.”
But better teams than Detroit can, and have, capitalized on those types of catch-and-run plays, which can be so difficult to contain. And the Rams, as mentioned, are thinner than ever at the cornerback spots that are supposed to act as “overhangs” and contribute to some of that containment and tackle support. On the second level, linebacker Troy Reeder missed on at least two tackles that led to larger plays, and Young also had a miss that safety Jordan Fuller had overcommitted to near the box, which led to a big gain (Fuller led the Rams defense with nine tackles, including two big run stops). And late in the fourth quarter, Detroit converted four of its six third downs on a single drive, including on a set of downs that started as a first-and-20. The Rams allowed an all-too-easy third-down draw that got more than the 11 yards needed. The margins are thin, and they will get thinner in November and December. Those types of drives can’t happen. The Rams also allowed just 105 rushing yards between the two Lions backs, Jamaal Williams (12 carries, 57 yards) and D’Andre Swift (13 carries, 48 yards), but the major issues here were the runs of 10-plus yards and when they happened (both players had at least one run of 14 yards, and one 11-yard run by Swift converted a third-and-11). Another 28 rushing yards by the Lions came courtesy of that second fake punt.
• The Rams’ decision to go for it on fourth-and-1 at the Detroit 46-yard line was absolutely the correct one, and McVay, if you’re reading this, don’t stop doing that. According to Ben Baldwin’s fourth-down algorithmic bot, the Rams would have added 5.1 percent in win probability by going for it there, had they have converted the play.
Stafford, however, missed the throw intended for Higbee — he could have converted the play himself by tucking and running for the “gimme” yards in front of him — and was pretty blunt with himself about it afterward, going out of his way and off-topic to point it out.
“Somebody tell me to run the dang thing,” he said. “It’s so open. I just don’t know what the hell to do in space. I gotta run that thing, get the first for us.”
October 25, 2021 at 8:33 am in reply to: Stafford thread (starting 10/21, going into week 7) #133326
znModeratorRams Brothers@RamsBrothers
Matthew Stafford officially surpassed John Elway today with his 3 TD passes, and now has the 12th most of all-time with 301.May as well go and catch Eli, Big Ben and Matt Ryan next!
znModeratorSosa Kremenjas@QBsMVP
Someone called Cooper Kupp “Vanillatron”J.B. Long@JB_Long
Things you love to see: DeSean Jackson on the field as the punt returner for the first time with Rams.Chris Burke@ChrisBurkeNFL
Dan Campbell said it himself. The Rams are “a different-caliber team” than the Lions. A team that’s been built over years.”To get there, the Lions have to go through this. And that’s OK, if they keep making progress.
Marcus Mosher@Marcus_Mosher
The 5-best teams in the NFL are all in the NFC… right?Cardinals
Rams
Bucs
Cowboys
PackersJ.B. Long@JB_Long
Things you love to see: DeSean Jackson on the field as the punt returner for the first time with Rams.
znModeratorMatthew Stafford joins the 300 TD club.
7th fastest in NFL history (172 games).
Of the 6 ahead of him, 3 are Hall of Famers (Manning, Marino, Favre). The other 3 are named Rodgers, Brady, and Brees. pic.twitter.com/iogDn22vG7— J.B. Long (@JB_Long) October 24, 2021
znModerator6 key takeaways from the Rams’ 28-19 win over the Lions. https://t.co/o2qplNifvn
— Rams Wire (@TheRamsWire) October 25, 2021
znModeratorJared Goff: Lions are a lot better than our record shows. https://t.co/z4dMkTLErR
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) October 25, 2021
znModeratorJosh Kollack@real_kylo
Cooper Kupp has 809 yards and 9 TDs through 7 games. He’s on pace for 1965 yards and 22 TDsFlipper’s Anderson@dcfilmninja
Another game that makes a case McVay should give over playcalling. 4th and 1 pass. Calling the game tight. Team not prepared.Chucky Santiago@madmanxxl
That INT does not happen if Ramsey isn’t the DB. The man is a DB god. And AD gets the assistJ.B. Long@JB_Long
Teams with 20+ points scored in every game this season: Rams (7) Cowboys (6)Jourdan Rodrigue@JourdanRodrigue
Jalen Ramsey agreed that his game-sealing interception felt a bit more cathartic in the end, because it provided a definitive stop to things. Earlier, and especially in the first half, some big moments on third down had been wiped away by fakes on special teams (my words).Stu Jackson@StuJRams
Sean McVay hasn’t met with Rams medical staff yet but did talk directly to CB Robert Rochell, who told him initial tests on his knee checked out well.McVay said he’ll have more clarity tomorrow.
znModeratorKevin Clark@bykevinclark
Detroit getting the first overall pick, Dan Campbell looking like a great guy to play for, going for it on a bunch of fourth downs, and the team playing hard every week seems like a pretty good deal for the 2021 Lions.J.B. Long@JB_Long
Rams offense on 3rd Down, last two weeks: 4/21Something they really wanted to improve, this week: 9/13
𝕋𝕠𝕞 – 𝕃𝔸 ℝ𝕒𝕞𝕤@TL_LARams
Nick Scott now has two game sealing interceptions this seasonLindsey Thiry@LindseyThiry
Raheem Morris talks about “Make a Difference” plays. The defense seems to come up with many of those late, as Nick Scott intercepts another pass from Jared Goff.Sam Farmer@LATimesfarmer
Lions didn’t win, but this certainly counts in Jared Goff’s personal win column. He definitely showed up.
znModeratorI agree. It is worth it…if you get a guy like that. There aren’t many of them, though.
But imagine this offense with prime Gurley or Jackson. Or Faulk, Bettis, or Dickerson.
Losing Akers was big. I don’t know if he would have been on that level, but he was showing some real promise.
Yeah, Akers looked good.
I don’t think Akers is Dickerson, Faulk, Jackson, Gurley level.
But I do think he was very good and if he can come back from this injury will be very good still. I said before that I can easily see him on a top 10 best Rams backs of all time list. He actually is that good IMO. He has the toughness and contact balance of the other Rams backs in 2021 but he has superb movement and lateral quickness in traffic. Henderson and Michel will gain yards and they’re good but Akers always had the chance to make plays out of nothing and to have a break out play when there’s nothing there. I really do believe this offense, as good as it is already, would be at another level with a healthy Akers.
znModeratorWhat’s the cap like next year? We have a lot of UFA’s on our OLine, excluding Havenstein. Let’s not forget about Whit may retire.
It’s all been brought up, Jack. Whit may retire and 3 others are FAs: Noteboom, Allen, and Corbett.
IF Noteboom is the guy they sign him. IMO same with Allen. They need to extend Stafford too Corbett could walk. They always manufacture cap space for things like that.
Right now they have 6+ M in cap space but the ability to manufacture more. If nothing else, Whitworth retiring would clear up 13 M more. Add Robinson to that and it’s 18+ M more. That right there would be 24 M more, before counting any roll overs. I don’t know if these numbers account for Hav’s restructure.
znModeratorThe Rams restructured Rob Havenstein’s contract to create about $3.1 million in cap space today https://t.co/YPQGNBHyas
— Cameron DaSilva (@camdasilva) October 23, 2021
znModeratorrams / 1950-2021
most pass tds through the first 6 games2000 – 18
1999 – 18
2021 – 16
1990 – 14
1951 – 14
2013 – 13
1950 – 13
1988 -13
1973 – 132021: pic.twitter.com/DTs8xZi4si
— roberto clemente (@rclemente2121) October 23, 2021
znModeratorKevin O’Connell explains the similarities between Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff before the Rams and Lions square off in Week 7. https://t.co/pp1qiggdwR
— Rams Wire (@TheRamsWire) October 22, 2021
znModeratorA’Shawn Robinson has played just 27 total snaps in the last two games, but why is his role being limited? https://t.co/TcelMpy01K
— Rams Wire (@TheRamsWire) October 22, 2021
znModeratorA cool story that took place after @RamsNFL practice Wednesday that shows how serious players are about improving every…little…detail. From NFL Now @nflnetwork pic.twitter.com/5shDHezAYA
— Steve Wyche (@wyche89) October 21, 2021
October 21, 2021 at 7:49 pm in reply to: Stafford thread (starting 10/21, going into week 7) #133279
znModerator‘It always starts with the quarterback’: How Matthew Stafford changed Sean McVay’s Rams offense
Jourdan Rodrigue and Mike Sando
Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford builds each huddle from a deep, deep lunge, kicking back one leg so far that it looks like a panhandle jutting out from a tight circle of large bodies. He looks up at his teammates from that stance, talking up to them so his voice fills the space between his mouth and their helmets, and a natural shell built of hulking linemen extends up and over the sound as he stays low so he can lock his eyes into theirs.
How a quarterback commands a huddle is his unique identifier. It’s also a tell for his level of ownership of the system he runs. After only six games in the Rams offense, Stafford, his teammates say, is fluent. But Stafford has been running his huddle like that for over 10 years. And it’s only when he pulls in his funky kicked-back leg to break it and then aligns behind his center that it becomes clear just how much has changed in Los Angeles in the nine months since the Rams traded 2016 No. 1 overall pick Jared Goff (plus a couple of first-round picks) to Detroit for Stafford.
Where the Rams’ offense was once attached to head coach Sean McVay alone as its creator, commander and play caller, now Stafford’s fingerprints are everywhere, too.
Their offense has rejoined the NFL’s elite through the first six weeks of the season, reaching 34 points three times in a 5-1 start (in 2020, they crossed that mark just once, way back in Week 2). The Rams rank second to Kansas City in expected points added (EPA) per play, with Stafford leading the league in EPA per pass play. The offense is succeeding with a wider variety of pre-snap looks and running more plays out of shotgun and empty sets than McVay ever has while using play-action as a tool instead of as a crutch — not just from under center, but from the shotgun as well. Stafford’s superior processing ability and arm talent have increased post-snap flexibility as well.
“He has been better than I thought,” McVay said, “and I thought he was going to be really good.”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers coach Bruce Arians recently revealed he can’t resist watching Stafford warm up before games. On more than one occasion, Arians has wandered over to where Stafford was throwing and quietly stood near enough to admire the quarterback’s arm.
“I love watching him throw,” Arians said. “He can make every throw, from every angle.”
The Rams are asking him to do just that; with play design that invites aggression and opportunity and the autonomy to change his targets, arm angles and leverage points based on what he sees and feels within the play.
In compounded spaces, or when defensive linemen’s arms wave into his throwing lanes, Stafford side-arms and slots passes to his receivers. Sunday, he threaded a 30-yard pass to receiver Cooper Kupp out to the right sideline between multiple defenders. Two quarters later, he flicked a no-look pass to Kupp for a touchdown that had teammates cackling over their replay tablets on the sideline.
It’s not just Stafford manipulating his arm to make difficult throws; he’s also using his eyes and shoulders to manipulate defenders.
“Matthew wants to dictate things. He wants to be able to move guys with his eyes. He wants to be able to use his shoulders, he wants to be able to send people where he wants them to go,” Kupp said. “I think that’s a huge advantage for us because if you don’t move he’s throwing it. He’s ahead of the game instead of being reactive and waiting for someone to move.”
Offensive coordinator Kevin O’Connell said that the Rams still haven’t gotten used to Stafford’s no-look passes, even after months of spring and summer workouts and six live games. On one play in L.A.’s Week 5 win over Seattle, Kupp appeared to believe a ball was coming his way on an “under” concept. Stafford was looking at him, but instead hit Robert Woods on a longer pass downfield — and Kupp jokingly pointed to his chest after the play.
“As a receiver, as a pass-catcher, you’ve got to be ready for that ball at any angle,” said Woods, laughing. “Because he can get it out.”
Stafford averages 2.07 seconds to throw against the blitz this season, second-fastest in the league. Goff ranked 34th during his Rams tenure at 2.53 seconds on average.
Rams’ receivers are on alert.
“Some routes, some concepts, you’re like, ‘He’s not looking at me!’ ” Woods said. “And next thing you know, the ball is coming out like, ‘Oh, shit!’ You just gotta always be ready, because he’s so good that you just want to stay in your route. He can manipulate the defense and sometimes manipulate you. You’re just staying the course, trusting the assignment and trusting your route. … As soon as we come out (of our break), the ball is where it’s supposed to be.”
It’s routine for the Rams to play certain highlights from games during full-team meetings before players break into position groups, and frequently the coaching staff will put up Stafford’s no-look passes as the defensive players (and offensive linemen whose backs are turned in live-action) get to see it up close for the first time. They howl with delight.
“We’re like, ‘Holy cow, I didn’t even realize he did all of this,’” guard Austin Corbett said, chuckling.
“The way he works, the balls he’s throwing and getting it to these receivers, I ain’t never seen it done like that,” defensive tackle Aaron Donald said. “To be able to see it firsthand, it’s pretty cool.”
But the no-looks aren’t simply flair for the sake of it. Stafford’s utilization of them has unlocked new levels in the screen game — a section of the playbook McVay pulls from frequently.
“It’s kind of like how a behind-the-back pass in basketball is sometimes flashy, but sometimes it’s (used) to actually be a good play because it can manipulate the way a defense is playing you,” said Nate Tice, a former collegiate quarterback-turned-analyst for The Athletic and Substack’s “The Silent Count”.
“Same thing, on those screens — especially if it’s a zone, or if it’s man, and you’re trying to slow down the man-coverage defender — it just makes those guys hold (because) they’re trying to read the quarterback. Not a lot of guys can do that, and it unlocks a lot more.”
Stafford creates advantages by holding defenders with his eyes not only in coverages downfield but by inviting and manipulating pressure when the Rams go to their screen game.
“The best screens are thrown into a blitz, into a pressure,” Kupp said. “But if the person you’re screening off of feels the screen and they fall out of their pressure, then you get some really bad plays, too, (so) I think something that Matthew does a really good job of … is being able to use his eyes.
“It’s (making the blitzer) feel like they are winning. If the quarterback is looking away from you and you’re (executing) a backside pressure, you’re going to keep coming because you think you’ve got a clear shot at him. And (Stafford) just being able to hold his eyes until the last second, even sometimes he just flicks it out there without looking. That’s one of those things where the more you can invite that pressure and pull that guy toward you, the more you’re going to have open on the back side.”
Stafford using his eyes, shoulders and arm in these ways creates workable space for a pass-catcher and better coverage numbers downfield. He can leverage the ball toward that space by understanding where his “landmarks” are without looking at them, or by peeking briefly at the last moment and processing quickly enough to know whether the throw is sound, or not.
“I’m trying to always draw the defense in,” Stafford said. “The more guys coming to me, the better it’s going to be on the back end.”
Air Yards Per Attempt
6.7
9.2
% Attempts Past Sticks
33%
45%
% Attempts Past Sticks, 3rd Down
50%
70%
Avg Air Yards Past Sticks
-1.8
+0.6
EPA/Att on Throws Past Sticks
+0.34
+0.77
EPA on 20+ Air Yard Attempts
-6.1
24.5
% Attempts 30+ Yds Past LOS
2%
7%
Stafford is also making aggressive decisions where he sees them.“In a lot of (the Rams’) deeper concepts, they have an alert, and then something underneath it and usually that’s a post and then over or a post and a dig. That’s the usual, old-school, everybody does it, and that’s just ‘Football 101,’” Tice said.
“Typically, it’s taught that you go ‘alert to No. 1’, so in a post-and-over combination, the ‘alert’ is the post, and then the ‘No. 1’ is the dig, or the over. That’s how you’re just taught. You (generally) kind of short-cut it … because you only throw the ‘alert’ like one out of 10 times. Some guys throw it one out of seven, one out of 20, some guys never throw it.
“Stafford, it’s more like one out of four.”
The Rams lead the NFL in percentage of pass attempts traveling beyond the sticks, both overall (50 percent) and on third down (70 percent). The chart above shows how different the 2021 Rams are from their McVay-era predecessors in both percentage of third-down passes beyond the sticks and in yards per pass play during those situations.
“We are an aggressive offense that has confidence in our ability to be able to connect on those types of plays,” McVay said. “We’ll never apologize for that.”
Matthew Stafford and the Rams’ huddle (Ben Liebenberg / AP Photo)
Because Stafford can make the requisite throws and get through his reads efficiently, the Rams have been able to widen the field space they use on passing plays and frequently increase the number of eligible downfield receivers. The most visible illustration of this is their increased usage of empty sets.Stafford has attempted 73 passes from empty sets this season, 15 more than any other quarterback. Fifty-eight of those attempts have come on early downs, a big shift from past form. Goff’s total was 83 on early downs all last season. Stafford has eight touchdown passes from empty sets, tied with Patrick Mahomes for most in the league.
The Rams are also making explosive pass gains (16-plus yards) at a league-leading rate without the exaggerated use of play-action, which was a staple before Stafford’s arrival. They rank 30th in play-action rate on early downs (24.5 percent) after ranking third (43.2 percent) with Goff over the previous two seasons. Some of the concepts the Rams have long run from play-action have carried over, but Stafford is more frequently executing them from dropback actions, which typically place more of the burden on the quarterback.
Some of the numbers defy logic.
The league at large enjoys a huge bump in explosive pass rate while using play-action on early downs, from 13.2 percent of attempts without it to 22.8 percent when the tactic is used.
The Rams’ rate of explosive pass gains is an NFL-high 22.8 percent without play-action, and a third-ranked 31.4 percent with it (that’s right, the Rams’ rate of explosive pass gains is the same without play-action as the league at large enjoys with it).
Overall
20th
1st
No Play-Action
14th
1st
With Play-Action
23rd
6th
Leaning toward dropback actions instead of relying on the play-action game frees another eligible receiver to attack downfield instead of remaining in the backfield to “sell” the run fake. The quarterback gains the full width of the space in front of him to work with, visually and physically, instead of taking a longer wind-up at the snap, then turning his back during an action from under center and looping toward one segment of the field.“(McVay) has this whole new section on his call sheet named, ‘Dropback,” joked Tice. “What (the Rams) kind of started doing is, ‘Now we don’t have to do play-action or boot, we can just drop back and now we can actually hit the entire width of the field as opposed to half of it. Teams can’t just overload and hope the pass-rush gets home because Stafford is (dropping back) and hitting backside digs and daggers and overs and actually pushing the ball, going for the posts.”
The Rams aren’t completely abandoning play-action (their usage rate dipped to 8.8 percent against Arizona — a five-year low for a single game — and 11.1 percent against Tampa Bay, then jumped to 28.1 percent against Seattle). They now apply it selectively instead of co-dependently. They’re even adjusting how they run the action itself when they do use it — where Goff ran just three of his 487 play-action snaps from shotgun during his time in Los Angeles, 15 of Stafford’s 45 play-action passes have come specifically from the gun.
“You can do so many different things,” McVay said. “You’re not limited in the ways that you can utilize him. … We have a lot more things that we’re doing both in the gun and underneath the center that you’re presenting to the defense. … It always starts with the quarterback, and Matthew’s ability to do all of that makes you more multiple in what you can present, as opposed to exclusively being one thing or the other.”
Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay (Joe Nicholson / USA Today)
In a game where things will almost certainly go wrong and the margin for error is razor-thin, a team’s greatest advantage is the amount of workable solutions the player who touches the ball on every offensive play can provide.“If you’re putting it in one guy’s hands over and over and over, and he’s making you right over and over and over, it’s just math,” Tice said. “Say he gives you just a one percent advantage … but we have him throw the ball 15 more times, you just create that little bit more because he’s going to find the right answer for you.”
In previous years, between the installation of heavy play-action to the way the field literally reduced into smaller and smaller segments as time passed, to the communication between McVay and Goff, to the Rams’ declining offensive production, it became clear that those solutions were growing harder to find. The play calling became so catered to Goff, so careful, so controlled by the play caller and not the quarterback, that McVay’s own frustration (and in turn, his role in their deteriorating professional relationship) escalated.
McVay became known during Goff’s tenure as a puppeteer, communicating adjustments from the sideline into his quarterback’s ear right up until the mandatory cutoff with 15 seconds left on the play clock. Even if that storyline was sometimes exaggerated, there was an element of truth. Perhaps the most notable change in the Rams’ offense to this point is the control McVay is comfortable ceding to Stafford in uncontrollable situations and unpredictable moments, and the problems he believes Stafford can solve in real time.
“If I’m wrong, he still has a chance of making it right,” McVay said. “And those are the things you’re looking for … I think the guys that really separate themselves are the ones (who), when it does go a little bit off-schedule, have the ability to make it right.
“It’s easy to let go when he does those things.”
Stafford’s 13-yard no-look pass for a touchdown to Kupp in Sunday’s fourth quarter against the Giants displayed well how things have changed for this Rams’ offense, from the moment he pulled his leg back in and broke the huddle to the unfolding design of the play to the ball spinning out of his hand in one direction as he stared the other way.
The concept was familiar — tight end Tyler Higbee flipping from the edge into the quick-outlet space to allow the extra pressure defender to overcommit toward Stafford, who could’ve simply dumped the ball off for a catch-and-run there, Kupp running a slide route and coming out behind the block of bodies in the box with space — but it was different, too. Stafford’s play-action fake came from out of shotgun, where he didn’t flip his back toward that free defender. And then, Stafford stared down Higbee — apparently the natural outlet for the pass right over the middle of the field — which kept the defending safety from carrying over to Kupp (the ultimate recipient of the sideline pass) at the end of his route.
The play design was vintage McVay. But the throw was an autonomously-made decision, and it also was vintage Stafford, who understood how the concept would unfold and how each defender could be manipulated.
McVay’s fingerprints, and Stafford’s too.
“He is truly an extension of the coaching staff on the field,” McVay said. “A lot of the stuff that we’re doing is a reflection of things that he owns.
“It always starts with the quarterback, it always will, and that’s what he’s done.”
znModerator"You felt great energy from the guys and you knew you would get it because of how this unit is and how these people are."
🎥 DC Raheem Morris at the podium pic.twitter.com/2CkuuHfOsQ
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) October 21, 2021
October 21, 2021 at 6:15 pm in reply to: Stafford thread (starting 10/21, going into week 7) #133273
znModerator"Matthew Stafford's loyalty probably cost him the Hall of Fame."
— @ColinCowherd revisits the Rams/Lions trade with the two teams set to meet Sunday: pic.twitter.com/FFkx652SKk
— Herd w/Colin Cowherd (@TheHerd) October 21, 2021
znModerator.@RamsNFL the record and stats say everything is great in “La La Land” But is it? Deeper dive says they are missing a lot and the question is WHY? I am not hating; but I feel like McVay and others are wondering about the same things. #BaldysBreakdowns pic.twitter.com/PgKLTPMO8e
— Brian Baldinger (@BaldyNFL) October 20, 2021
znModeratorSony Michel has a shoulder injury but Sean McVay doesn’t expect it to affect his availability for Sunday https://t.co/Wna05TZTJV
— Cameron DaSilva (@camdasilva) October 20, 2021
znModeratorWhat an amazing Sack by the great @LFletcher59 against the Lions in 2001. Notice his path to QB where Fletcher shoves off the RBs attempt to pass protect. Whew! pic.twitter.com/iuPpFiQwaY
— RAMS ON FILM (@RamsOnFilm) October 20, 2021
znModeratorRams sign two more new players to practice squad, filling spaces left by the promotions for Donte’ Deayon and Buddy Howell this week
Will either have a role on the Rams in the future? https://t.co/LqcDGjAtOd
— TurfShowTimes (@TurfShowTimes) October 20, 2021
znModeratorLions QB Jared Goff has been told to "step up" by head coach Dan Campbell. Will that happen against the Rams this Sunday?https://t.co/ZaanrLzcb2
— TurfShowTimes (@TurfShowTimes) October 20, 2021
znModeratorOne of the best throws Stafford’s had this season pic.twitter.com/CN5UrXQTRd
— Sosa Kremenjas (@QBsMVP) October 20, 2021
znModeratorQB play always shocks me. By the time Matthew Stafford let this pass go, Cooper Kupp was entirely covered. Crazy to see the anticipation and ball placement some guys have. pic.twitter.com/zeF1VMHNBO
— Sosa Kremenjas (@QBsMVP) October 20, 2021
znModeratorMy favorite play from Week 6. Henderson and Rams OL get protection right. Then look at where CK10 is when MS9 decides to throw this. X marks spot of the perfectly layered throw & reception. Led to first touchdown after being stuck in 1st & 21. pic.twitter.com/Yk6VJs5isO
— J.B. Long (@JB_Long) October 20, 2021
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