Rams OL and sack percentage

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  • May 10, 2016 at 10:25 am #43762
    Avatar photozn
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    In terms of pass attempts, last year the Rams were 30th. In terms of sack percentage, Rams were 3rd best.

    So IMO the pass pro was real, regardless of the number of passes.

    I have seen it said that the Rams threw short a lot and that accounts for the pass pro numbers. But percentage of passes thrown short can be measured too. So comparing the Rams (both Foles and CK), Vikes, and Hawks (since those are the teams already mentioned) —

    Foles threw 70.6 % of his attempts 10 yards or under. He had a sack percentage of 4.0%
    CK threw 52.8 % of his attempts 10 yards or under. He had a sack percentage.of 3.1%. That’s one of the best in the league.
    Bridgewater threw 69.3 % of his attempts 10 yards or under. He had a sack percentage of 9% (horrifically bad).
    Wilson threw 64.5 % of his attempts 10 yards or under. He had a sack percentage of 8.5% (really really bad)

    The one who threw short the least of the 4 was CK, and he also had the lowest sack percentage.

    All that strongly suggests that the Rams pass pro numbers were authentic.

    …

    May 11, 2016 at 3:30 am #43833
    Avatar photozn
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    zn wrote:

    CK threw 52.8 % of his attempts 10 yards or under. He had a sack percentage.of 3.1%. That’s one of the best in the league.

    The numbers here on Keenum are wrong. I later thought about how ridiculously low 50% would be on short passes, so I went back and looked at ESPN splits.

    Sure enough.

    Here’s the problem (and it shows up sometimes with ESPN splits).

    They have his total attempts at 125 and his passes in the 10 yard and under range at 66. So the sheer calculations I did based on those numbers are correct.

    HOWEVER, the stats where they break down attempts by range apparently do not include all his games. I found that out by getting suspicious and adding up the attempts they include under different ranges. And, it doesn’t add up to 125. They’re way short, in fact. (They left out the SF game.) So it;s impossible to do a valid percentage of total attempts from any given range—they apparently just stopped counting.

    That’s the section of ESPN splits that looks like this:

    http://espn.go.com/nfl/player/splits/_/id/15168/case-keenum

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