Prediction thread – Minnesota Vikings – out of doors

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  • #33426
    lyser
    Participant

    Yeah you guys are fucking eager. Give a guy a chance to get a thread up. I got a life outside of this spec of interweb (not really).

    Anywho – this is the “official thread”.

    I see it 20-6 Rams. Been working for me lately

    • This topic was modified 8 years, 6 months ago by lyser.
    #33350
    wv
    Participant

    Bridgewater’s game stats so far:
    http://www.nfl.com/player/teddybridgewater/2543465/gamelogs

    Six TD’s, Five INT’s. Overall rating of around 85.

    Enh.

    AP has 633 yards. 4.5 yard average. He’s only
    had one bad game – SF held him to 31 yards.

    Vikes haven’t beaten a team with a winning record.
    They played Denver tough though.

    w
    v

    #33352
    zn
    Moderator

    vikes haven’t beaten a team with a winning record.
    They played Denver tough though.

    IMO that’s an evenly matched game on the road. Or if anything the Vikes should be favored. It’s not the “Rams lose to inferior opponents” thing that people get concerned about. Minn. is 5-2 with a 7th ranked defense. I am not going to go around putting the “burden of proof” thing on that game. It could honestly go either way. I don’t think that game will “tell us” anything. If they win, they could still lose against top teams like the Bengals. If they lose, they could still upset a top team like the Bengals.

    #33355
    nittany ram
    Moderator

    The Vikes are like mirror images of the Rams. Both teams have good defenses, good running games and inconsistent QB play. Hopefully the Rams’ more difficult schedule has them more battle-hardened though.

    Should be interesting. I see the Vikings have been installed as 2.5 pt favorites. Keep in mind you get 3 pts for HFA so the Rams would actually be favored on a neutral site which of course means NO EXCUSES THE RAMS SHOULD WIN THIS GAME <kidding, kidding ;)>

    • This reply was modified 8 years, 6 months ago by nittany ram.
    • This reply was modified 8 years, 6 months ago by zn.
    #33356
    InvaderRam
    Moderator

    their defense is ranked ahead of the rams in terms of total yardage, but i find it curious that football outsiders has their defense ranked 24th while the rams is ranked 5th.

    i haven’t seen much of the vikings defense, but i’ve seen enough of the rams to believe they are better than the 13 ranked defense according to traditional stats.

    but also. the vikings offense could give this defense some problems. the rams strengths on defense are in the secondary and the pass rush. so i could see them struggling against adrian peterson. the niners were absolutely depleted at running back, and that made a huge difference in holding them to 6 points.

    • This reply was modified 8 years, 6 months ago by InvaderRam.
    • This reply was modified 8 years, 6 months ago by zn.
    #33358
    Zooey
    Participant

    I don’t think that game will “tell us” anything. If they win, they could still lose against top teams like the Bengals. If they lose, they could still upset a top team like the Bengals.

    I agree with that.

    What a win probably WOULD tell us, though, is that the Rams are playing with more consistency.

    But…I tell ya…Foles got about 125 yards passing against one of the crappier teams (plus 66 yards on a 0 yard pass to Austin).

    The Rams have a couple of playmakers (Austin, Gurley), an emerging OL, and nothing else. Britt, Bailey, and Quick combined for 1 reception for 5 yards. And Cook made monthly guest appearance. I don’t understand it, but this offense is going to the end of the Rams season sooner or later.

    #33360
    nittany ram
    Moderator

    their defense is ranked ahead of the rams in terms of total yardage, but i find it curious that football outsiders has their defense ranked 24th while the rams is ranked 5th.

    i haven’t seen much of the vikings defense, but i’ve seen enough of the rams to believe they are better than the 13 ranked defense according to traditional stats.

    but also. the vikings offense could give this defense some problems. the rams strengths on defense are in the secondary and the pass rush. so i could see them struggling against adrian peterson. the niners were absolutely depleted at running back, and that made a huge difference in holding them to 6 points.

    Actually NFL.com has the Rams defense ranked 6th giving up 328.1 yds per game and Vikings ranked 7th at 334 yds per game.

    #33362
    InvaderRam
    Moderator

    oh. they must have their stats updated. i was looking at espn stats which don’t include this week.

    another thing. i don’t think the offense can just count on explosive plays from gurley and austin. and they sure as hell can’t rely on jared cook. they still haven’t produced the sustained drives i’ve been waiting to see. what were they? 1-8 on third downs? that’s not gonna cut it. that’s another thing that worries me.

    #33363
    zn
    Moderator

    I don’t understand it, but this offense is going to the end of the Rams season sooner or later.

    they still haven’t produced the sustained drives i’ve been waiting to see.

    This is a real interesting issue, so much so I started a thread on it. It has one “guest post” so far that puts most of it on Foles, but, that’s just one view.

    http://theramshuddle.com/topic/whats-ailing-the-passing-game/

    #33373
    rfl
    Participant

    I haven’t seen enough of either team to evaluate. I dunno.

    I sense that we have a truly elite unit on D and a good running game. I dunno how well the Queens defend the run …

    Meanwhile, the Q.s are I think more evenly capable. They probably can make more plays in more areas and are likely less reliant on a couple big plays from predictable places. So who knows?

    I will say this. In terms of the playoff race, they need this game. I don’t think they can afford to lose a game like this. And if they mean to compete, this is the sort of game they have to show they can win.

    By virtue of the absurd ...

    #33383
    Agamemnon
    Moderator

    We are better than Minn. I am not sure by how much. We need a better passing game anyway. Against Minn would be a good time demonstrate that.

    Agamemnon

    #33386
    nittany ram
    Moderator

    We are better than Minn. I am not sure by how much. We need a better passing game anyway. Against Minn would be a good time demonstrate that.

    I agree with you that the Rams are probably better but I also think RFL is correct when he says the Vikings can do more things on offense. I don’t think the Rams are going to be able to hold them to just FG’s so more help from the offense would be appreciated this week.

    #33387
    Agamemnon
    Moderator

    I agree with you that the Rams are probably better but I also think RFL is correct when he says the Vikings can do more things on offense. I don’t think the Rams are going to be able to hold them to just FG’s so more help from the offense would be appreciated this week.

    Yeah, Turner is a good OC. It could be who plays better QB, Foles or Bridgewater.

    Agamemnon

    #33408
    Dak
    Participant

    This game could have huge playoff implications. If the Rams lose, they’re 4-4 and the Vikes 6-2, and due to the head-to-head loss, the Rams would basically be 3 games behind in the wild card race — further behind than they would be in their own division. I put this game as every bit as important as the Seattle and Arizona games. It could be a pivotal game in the team’s season. Win, and take charge of your destiny. Lose, and, well, you stumble back down the cliff.

    How have the Rams fared on the road this season? They’re 1-2, albeit one game at Lambeau and the one win against a really good Arizona team. To beat Arizona by 2, the Rams had a 3-0 advantage in turnovers. In the loss to Washington, they allowed a huge game from RB Matt Jones. If the Rams don’t have a turnover advantage, and they allow Peterson to run all over the field like Jones did, the Vikes are going to win this game unless something crazy happens.

    My sense is this: The Rams have yet to play a clean game. Still, they jump offsides on defense from time to time. (Why? You’re playing so well, just don’t give the other team yards.) They drop balls too often on offense. They’re fumbling too often lately. If the Rams can come out and play with more discipline, they can win this game even with the crappy passing attack. I think Barron helps in the run game more than Ogletree would because Barron fills gaps much more effectively.

    I guess I said all of that to reach this conclusion: Flip a coin. Could go either way. But, if it doesn’t go the Rams’ way, it shouldn’t be because they had a letdown. It’s a big game.

    #33428
    Agamemnon
    Moderator

    Agamemnon

    #33431
    wv
    Participant

    I just dont know much about the Vikes. but
    i do know they have only beaten soft teams.

    But then the Rams have beaten two
    soft teams lately. Hmmmm.

    I’m gonna go ahead and BeLieve

    Rams 23
    Vikings 20

    w
    v

    #33432
    Dak
    Participant

    If the Rams can limit mistakes, I think they win.

    OK, I’m going to make a leap of faith and say they have a cleaner game this week. Rams 20, Vikings 16

    #33447
    zn
    Moderator

    Minnesota has not lost yet at home.

    They are

    DEFENSE

    9th on defense

    2nd in points allowed

    8th in passing defense

    10th in sack percentage

    15th in rushing defense

    OFFENSE

    29th on offense

    21st in scoring offense

    5th in rushing yards

    30th in passing

    28th in sack percentage (ie. sacks allowed)

    #33448
    PA Ram
    Participant

    This game is like two Mike Tyson clones boxing each other.

    Rams are 6th in overall defense–Vikes are 7th.

    Vikes are 9th against the pass–Rams are 10th.

    Rams are 9th against the rush–Vikes are 15th.

    Vikes are 29th in total offense—Rams are 30th.

    Vikes are 30th passing the ball—Rams are 32nd.

    Rams are 3rd in rushing—Vikes are 5th.

    Vikes played the Broncos tough–Rams played the Packers tough–both lost.

    So….this SHOULD end in a tie.

    However, the Vikings always bring a sinking feeling to my gut. The last three contests have been blowouts for the Vikings. Maybe their horns have more power than Rams horns–I don’t know. But I never like playing them–and this goes back to the 70s.

    Vikes own a 20-14 all-time series lead with 2 ties.

    Flip a coin on this one on a neutral field. Since the Vikes are at home I have to give them the edge.

    20-17 Vikes win.

    I hope I’m wrong.

    • This reply was modified 8 years, 6 months ago by PA Ram.

    "Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away. " Philip K. Dick

    #33450
    PA Ram
    Participant

    Minnesota has not lost yet at home.

    They are

    DEFENSE

    9th on defense

    2nd in points allowed

    8th in passing defense

    10th in sack percentage

    15th in rushing defense

    OFFENSE

    29th on offense

    21st in scoring offense

    5th in rushing yards

    30th in passing

    28th in sack percentage (ie. sacks allowed)

    Our stats seem to have some slight disagreements. 9th in total defense? I have 7th for the Vikes.

    I got my stats from NFL.Com–the OFFICIAL stat site for the NFL. Where did you get yours from–a box of Cracker Jacks?

    r

    I haven’t used that line since I was ten years old. Some things just don’t get old.

    Anyway–if you’re going to post all those stats you need to step out with a prediction. Don’t be scared.

    I went with the Rams: 20-17.

    "Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away. " Philip K. Dick

    #33454
    zn
    Moderator

    I got my stats from NFL.Com–the OFFICIAL stat site for the NFL. Where did you get yours from–a box of Cracker Jacks?

    Mine are from pro football reference

    http://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2015/

    I get a different set of rankings from

    Stats Inc: http://stats.washingtonpost.com/fb/

    Team Rankings Stats: http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/qb-sacked-pct‘

    #33455
    nittany ram
    Moderator

    Vikings vs Rams

    The combined record of the Vikings’ opponents thus far is 18-36.
    They have victories over the Lions (twice), Chargers, Chiefs and Bears.
    They have losses to the 49’ers and Broncos. Their avg opponents’ offensive ranking is 17th, defensive ranking 23rd.

    The combined record of the Rams’ opponents thus far is 27-27.
    They have victories over the Seahawks, Cardinals, Browns and 49’ers.
    They have losses to the R-skins, Steelers and Packers. Their avg oppnents’ offensive ranking is 16.8, defensive ranking 18th.

    • This reply was modified 8 years, 6 months ago by nittany ram.
    #33457
    PA Ram
    Participant

    I got my stats from NFL.Com–the OFFICIAL stat site for the NFL. Where did you get yours from–a box of Cracker Jacks?

    Mine are from pro football reference

    http://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2015/

    I get a different set of rankings from

    Stats Inc: http://stats.washingtonpost.com/fb/

    Team Rankings Stats: http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/qb-sacked-pct‘

    That’s all well and good but who is going to win?

    I went with a tie–17-17. I have no fear making this type of prediction. It has happened with these two teams twice before.

    "Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away. " Philip K. Dick

    #33458
    lyser
    Participant

    This should be fun. If it’s a blow out I hope it’s our way or i will be disheartened (that’s right, I said dis heart endededed).

    Yes, they need to play clean, limit mistakes and drops and penalties.

    I think we need to win the turnover battle and have some explosive play(s) on teams or D to win.

    I fear our O is going to get crushed and a “valiant” effort by the D ain’t enough – the D is going to have to dominate. And score. Or teams have to score. Or I should drink more Scotch. I dunno. It’s an exciting damn match-up though, blowing out the Vikes would make me think p-p-p-playoffs. and diddly poo

    • This reply was modified 8 years, 6 months ago by lyser.
    #33461
    zn
    Moderator

    That’s all well and good but who is going to win?

    I’m not afraid to make predictions. I predict…wait, phone! Be right back.

    #33464
    joemad
    Participant

    Vikings favored by 2.5 over Rams.

    http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml

    Viking defense vs the pass is very good…. Foles is gonna need more screen and shuffle pass magic to Tavon and Gurley to move the chains.

    Rams 3rd down conversions…. Rams have only converted 2ea 3rd down conversions in the past 2 games…..

    49ers had their best game of the season vs The Vikes in Week 1……..

    #33473
    rfl
    Participant

    Been thinking about this a bit. I think, first of all, that the game will “tell us” a lot.

    First, in terms of the playoff race, the game will matter a great deal in that we are directly competing with the Q’s for the last wildcard spot. As has been pointed out elsewhere, lose this game and we fall behind the Q’s 2 games AND the tie breaker. That’s a pretty big factor right there.

    Second, as I said last week, from where we stand, we can’t afford to lose winnable games. Lose this game, and it becomes much harder to see us getting to 10-6. The pressure would be pretty intense to win a number of games against tough teams. Our playoff hopes would likely depend on catching AZ and remaining ahead of SEA.

    But now think of the team as a competitive enterprise. I’m largely thinking here of the team’s self-perception and competitive focus. I’ve played on teams in a similar position, especially playing small college ball. The team I played on had been awful and we were gradually building something. Doing this involved not just raising our talent level, but also getting through levels of confidence. A team has to believe on the basis of nothing more than faith, then succeed, then start to believe on the basis of proved achievement. The difference between a team trying to believe it can win and a team that HAS WON is a big difference. It’s a difference that frequently affects performance.

    The last few years, we have been growing in skills and talent, and we have shown we could steal a few games against elite teams. Especially elite teams we matched up well against. This is nice, but it is not the same thing as establishing a consistent level of competitiveness. As we’ve discussed ad nauseum. This team was caught in a rut of shoddy performance.

    That’s a hard rut to get out of. Damn hard. But, this year we’ve begun to do it. We did not tank to start the season. We’ve beaten a couple of quality teams. AND we’ve shown that we can keep up the competitive level enough to win some routine games. That is a major accomplishment, folks.

    Because of that, I think we are currently taking a step forward this season. It may well be no more than one step, and there’s a good chance it will fall short of the playoffs. I mean, we could win 10 but lose to MINNY this week and miss the playoffs.

    So, this week, we face a hurdle we have not faced in years. Consider what I was discussing up above. We are facing a chance to grasp control of our own destiny for a playoff berth. How many freaking years has it been since we did that? We’ve had a couple of chances to climb out of an early season hole and get back into the playoff race. But we’ve not had a genuine chance to climb into the playoff picture since the latter days of the GSOT.

    But this week, we have that chance. Reverse the speculations above. Suppose we WIN the game on Sunday.

    In that event we’d be tied with Minny with an unbeatable tie breaker. That would be a pretty firm grip on the last playoff slot. Win the rest of the games we’d pretty much expect to win and we’d be likely to get in. MINNY would be sweating it out.

    So, we have 2 teams with almost eerie similarities facing each other for a likely playoff spot. I don’t think it’s a huge stretch to predict that this game could conceivably decide which one of these teams gets to the dance.

    I think it’s pretty damn hard to predict how our lads will react to such a test. We haven’t faced such an opportunity since well before anyone on our roster joined the squad. I have no idea how they’ll perform. I don’t think the Rams know, either.

    And that’s why I can’t agree with the proposition that we won’t learn anything from the game. I think we’ll learn a lot. I think we’ll learn whether this team is ready to take the step from comfortable non-contention to controlling their competitive destiny.

    That’s a big step. A really big step. Either they take it or we’ll know they aren’t ready, most likely for this year. Either way, the season won’t be over, but I think the odds would be pretty heavily influenced.

    So, what shall we think? Which of these 2 similar teams is ready to take the step?

    I think I’d boil it down to this. I think MN is a year or so ahead of us in building up its competitive capabilities. Last year, they may have been pretty much where we are this year. They may well be a bit more mature in their evolution than we are.

    So, I think I’d give them the edge. How big an edge I can’t say. As I said in my first post in the thread, I haven’t seen enough of either team.

    Of course, I do know the Rams better than I do the Q’s. And, I think I’d say about what most of you would say.

    To win this game, I think the passing game has to take a step or 2 up. They have got to begin the balance the field. They must complete enough downfield passes to relieve some of the pressure on the running game. TG will not get it done on his own. Especially if M Franke is correct in assessing the Q DTs as positively as he does.

    If the team steps up to the challenge of fighting for a playoff spot and if Foles can complete, say 7-8 passes to WRs upfield (not by any means necessarily deep balls) then we can win the game. But, I think, the Q’s can probably win by playing their game tough, but without necessarily raising their performance anywhere.

    But what do I know? I wouldn’t bet a nickel on the game. I don’t see much either way.

    All I know is that we will learn a lot in this game. We’ll learn how the lads fare in a situation we haven’t seen in more than a decade.

    • This reply was modified 8 years, 6 months ago by rfl.

    By virtue of the absurd ...

    #33475
    nittany ram
    Moderator

    Yeah I dunno. I’m not sure what a victory or loss tells us when you face an evenly matched team.

    I think the Rams still have a decent shot at the playoffs even if they lose this game. The Vikings got to 5-2 by feasting on patsies. The meat of their schedule remains including games against the Falcons, Seahawks, Cardinals, Giants and two games against the Packers.

    #33476
    snowman
    Participant

    Nittany has the numbers on the Vikings. They have not beaten a “good” team this year, Bridgewater has almost been a non-factor and their offense goes through Peterson. Get pressure on B’water and he will throw the ball away or run and slide. Put a spy on Peterson in the first half, contain him, frustrate him, and force them into as many third downs as possible. Be mindful of their TE Rudolph in the red zone. their kicker has settled down but he was erratic in the first four games. Their DE Everson Griffen got dinged against the Bears so he is likely less than 100%.

    Rams need to be unpredictable, but still get Gurley the ball often. Play with tempo, move Foles around and have him throw from outside the hash marks, make the Vikings DBs run around. Don’t throw anything stupid over the middle, their safety Harrison Smith is damn good on the ball and as a hitter. Bubble screens to Austin and see if he can make their corners miss.

    Rams 27
    Vikings 17

    #33477
    InvaderRam
    Moderator

    this might sound simplistic. i don’t know. but i think gurley gives this team a new found attitude on offense. one they haven’t had since steven jackson. and despite how horrible the passing offense might be, i think the leadership gurley has demonstrated so early can be a difference maker. the only difference being steven jackson was in the twilight of his career under fisher. gurley is just getting started.

    on defense, i don’t worry about a letdown so much. they seem much more business like than in year’s past. the problem is is that minnesota’s strength on offense play right into the rams’ weakness on defense. washington gave them a lot of problems in the second week. and i could see minnesota doing the same. not only that but this is at minnesota.

    we’ll see. it’ll be tough. i’d feel so much better if foles, britt, and cook haven’t looked so bad.

    • This reply was modified 8 years, 6 months ago by InvaderRam.
    • This reply was modified 8 years, 6 months ago by InvaderRam.
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