Chicago defense nearing historic levels

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  • December 12, 2018 at 12:50 pm #95132
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    FootballOutsiders Week 14 DVOA: Bears defense nearing historic levels

    FootballOutsiders

    Chicago’s defense has been good all year, but they are peaking right now. The Bears had -16.7% defensive DVOA in their first seven games, but -36.0% defensive DVOA in their last six games. Thanks to opponent adjustments for playing the Rams defense, the Bears had -84.1% defensive DVOA for Sunday night’s game, the best defensive performance of the season so far.

    ]”What’s really remarkable isn’t how good the Bears defense is historically but how much better it now rates compared to all the other teams in 2018. Baltimore has the No. 2 defensive DVOA at -13.3%. The difference between the Chicago and Baltimore defenses is roughly equivalent to the difference between Baltimore’s defense and a league-average defense this season.”

    “Perhaps the most impressive part of the Bears victory was the way they completely bottled up Todd Gurley and the Rams running game. Gurley had 11 carries for 28 yards, with only three carries that gained more than two yards. This is particularly impressive because the Rams are on their way to setting an all-time record for adjusted line yards on offense. For those unfamiliar, adjusted line yards is our metric that cuts off runs at specific distances to better gauge how much of the running game is coming from blocking rather than from running backs in the open field. Even after this week’s poor performance, the Rams are easily leading the league with 5.53 ALY per carry.

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