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  • #163972
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    Nuts is strictly negative.

    I like that. Strictly negative.

    Bash on, regardless.

    #163974
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    Eight Teams That Got Screwed by the 2026 NFL Schedule

    Conor Orr’s annual look at teams that have tough rest differentials, unwieldy stretches or other disadvantages.

    Los Angeles Rams

    This schedule is absurd. Seven prime-time games. A season opener in Melbourne, Australia. One of the worst net rest differentials in the NFL. Four 2025 playoff teams in the first five weeks. Thanksgiving Eve. Christmas in prime time against the Seahawks. Two Seahawks games in three weeks to end the season. This, for a team with a 38-year-old starting quarterback who couldn’t get through training camp last year without a space-age health trailer. This is how the NFL unwittingly vanquished the Chiefs last year and is seemingly attempting to do it again with the Rams. There’s a reason Sean McVay cautioned ESPN to hold their horses when talking about the Seattle games at the end of the season because it’s unlikely the Rams will get there totally unscathed. While it’s a reality of the business, it’s disappointing to see the league’s premier offense get absolutely picked apart by factors that are totally within the league’s control.

    https://www.si.com/nfl/eight-teams-screwed-2026-nfl-schedule?utm_source=firefox-newtab-en-us

    #163975
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    Eight Teams That Got Screwed by the 2026 NFL Schedule

    Conor Orr’s annual look at teams that have tough rest differentials, unwieldy stretches or other disadvantages.

    Los Angeles Rams

    This schedule is absurd. Seven prime-time games. A season opener in Melbourne, Australia. One of the worst net rest differentials in the NFL. Four 2025 playoff teams in the first five weeks. Thanksgiving Eve. Christmas in prime time against the Seahawks. Two Seahawks games in three weeks to end the season. This, for a team with a 38-year-old starting quarterback who couldn’t get through training camp last year without a space-age health trailer. This is how the NFL unwittingly vanquished the Chiefs last year and is seemingly attempting to do it again with the Rams. There’s a reason Sean McVay cautioned ESPN to hold their horses when talking about the Seattle games at the end of the season because it’s unlikely the Rams will get there totally unscathed. While it’s a reality of the business, it’s disappointing to see the league’s premier offense get absolutely picked apart by factors that are totally within the league’s control.

    https://www.si.com/nfl/eight-teams-screwed-2026-nfl-schedule?utm_source=firefox-newtab-en-us

    Are prime time games worse somehow? The only argument there is that they are later in the day, but is that really a disadvantage? And if so, isn’t the disadvantage washed out by the fact that the other team is also playing at an unusual time? Arguably the Rams will be more accustomed to weird times than their opponents.

    They have 10 days or something to get ready for Thanksgiving Eve, and the Packers do also. Christmas seems like the same deal to me.

    I don’t think the calendar dates are the problem, as erratic as they are. I think it’s that almost all of their games are against viable playoff teams.

    #163979
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    #163981
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    #163984
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    #163989
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    I only see six games where I feel pretty confident about the Rams winning. And even a couple of those are iffy. That leaves 11 games that are basically even-ish, in my view.
    So if they win half of those even-ish games, AND if they dont get upset in the six games they ‘should’ win — that would be 11 and 6, or 12 and 5. There-abouts.

    That would be great.

    At least they dont have to play the Texans defense this year. But they do get Denver, Philly, Chargers, Seattle-twice.

    Good Offenses – they get 49ers-twice, Packers, Cowboys, Bills, Chiefs.

    Its annoying to play Philly in Philadelphia again, because a head-to-head loss with the Eagles could easily play into the home-field situation.

    I dunno guys.

    There is No F’ing way ANY team with this schedule is getting the no.1 seed. Aint happening. A team with an easier schedule will pile up more wins against weak teams.

    I’d say that first game is slightly important. Ya know.

    ==================
    2026
    Week 1: San Francisco 49ers, 8:35 p.m. Thur (Australia)
    Week 2: New York Giants, Mon 8:15 p.m.
    Week 3: at Denver Broncos, 8:20 p.m.
    Week 4: at Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m.

    Week 5: Buffalo Bills, Mon 8:15 p.m.
    Week 6: Arizona Cardinals, 4:05 p.m.
    Week 7: at Las Vegas Raiders, 4:25 p.m.
    Week 8: Los Angeles Chargers,

    Week 9: at Washington Commanders, 1 p.m.
    Week 10: at Arizona Cardinals, 4:25 p.m.
    Week 11: Bye
    Week 12: Green Bay Packers, Wed. 8 p.m.
    Week 13: Kansas City Chiefs, Thur 8:15

    Week 14: at San Francisco 49ers, 4:25 p.m.
    Week 15: Dallas Cowboys, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS
    Week 16: at Seattle Seahawks (Christmas), 8:15 p.m.
    Week 17: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Week 18: Seattle Seahawks

    #163991
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    Listened to Cowherd and Middlekauff. Middlekauff said the Rams went to the league and asked for the 49ers to be the Australia opponent. Cause the 49ers essentially get a home game when they play the Rams in LA.

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    v

    #163996
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    Cameron DaSilva@camdasilva
    ESPN’s Mike Clay gives the Rams a win probability of at least 57% for every game this season, projecting them for an NFL-high 13.2 wins

    All despite a grueling schedule

    from https://theramswire.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/rams/2026/05/18/la-rams-schedule-win-probability-every-game-2026/90142643007/

    …the Rams have the highest projected win total in the NFL, according to ESPN. Analyst Mike Clay projects the Rams to win 13.2 games in his 2026 forecast, while also assigning win probabilities to each contest on the upcoming schedule.

    Despite their remarkably tough schedule, the Rams still have a win probability of better than 50% in each of their 17 games. Their lowest win probability is in Week 16 on the road against the Seahawks, where they still have a 57% chance to win, according to Clay.

    Below is the Rams’ win probability for each game, as well as the projected score in parentheses.

    Week 1 vs. 49ers: 76% (29.2-21.7)
    Week 2 vs. Giants: 90% (31.0-17.7)
    Week 3 at Broncos: 61% (24.5-21.3)
    Week 4 at Eagles: 62% (25.2-21.8)
    Week 5 vs. Bills: 79% (32.5-23.8)
    Week 6 vs. Cardinals: 96% (33.2-14.3)
    Week 7 at Raiders: 90% (29.6-16.5)
    Week 8 vs. Chargers: 81% (29.5-20.3)
    Week 9 at Commanders: 84% (31.1-20.5)
    Week 10 at Cardinals: 93% (31.1-16.4)
    Week 11: Bye
    Week 12 vs. Packers: 83% (29.5-19.6)
    Week 13 vs. Chiefs: 80% (28.8-19.8)
    Week 14 at 49ers: 69% (28.2-22.8)
    Week 15 vs. Cowboys: 78% (31.0-22.7)
    Week 16 at Seahawks: 57% (24.5-22.5)
    Week 17 at Buccaneers: 74% (27.4-20.4)
    Week 18 vs. Seahawks: 71% (26.5-20.4)

    #163997
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    “…..
    …..Below is the Rams’ win probability for each game, as well as the projected score in parentheses.

    Week 1 vs. 49ers: 76% (29.2-21.7)
    Week 2 vs. Giants: 90% (31.0-17.7)
    Week 3 at Broncos: 61% (24.5-21.3)
    Week 4 at Eagles: 62% (25.2-21.8)
    Week 5 vs. Bills: 79% (32.5-23.8)
    Week 6 vs. Cardinals: 96% (33.2-14.3)
    Week 7 at Raiders: 90% (29.6-16.5)
    Week 8 vs. Chargers: 81% (29.5-20.3)
    Week 9 at Commanders: 84% (31.1-20.5)
    Week 10 at Cardinals: 93% (31.1-16.4)
    Week 11: Bye
    Week 12 vs. Packers: 83% (29.5-19.6)
    Week 13 vs. Chiefs: 80% (28.8-19.8)
    Week 14 at 49ers: 69% (28.2-22.8)
    Week 15 vs. Cowboys: 78% (31.0-22.7)
    Week 16 at Seahawks: 57% (24.5-22.5)
    Week 17 at Buccaneers: 74% (27.4-20.4)8
    Week 18 vs. Seahawks: 71% (26.5-20.4)

    83 percent against the Packers? 79 percent against the Bills? 63 percent against the Eagles?
    81 percent against the Chargers? 61 percent against the Broncos? 76 percent against Shanahan?

    The guy iz nutz.

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    #163998
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    83 percent against the Packers? 79 percent against the Bills? 63 percent against the Eagles?
    81 percent against the Chargers? 61 percent against the Broncos? 76 percent against Shanahan?

    The guy iz nutz.

    w
    v

    Yeah those numbers are pretty low.

    Yet, beware–any given Sunday, those teams could squeak out wins.

    #163999
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    Below is the Rams’ win probability for each game, as well as the projected score in parentheses.

    Week 1 vs. 49ers: 76% (29.2-21.7)
    Week 2 vs. Giants: 90% (31.0-17.7)
    Week 3 at Broncos: 61% (24.5-21.3)
    Week 4 at Eagles: 62% (25.2-21.8)
    Week 5 vs. Bills: 79% (32.5-23.8)
    Week 6 vs. Cardinals: 96% (33.2-14.3)
    Week 7 at Raiders: 90% (29.6-16.5)
    Week 8 vs. Chargers: 81% (29.5-20.3)
    Week 9 at Commanders: 84% (31.1-20.5)
    Week 10 at Cardinals: 93% (31.1-16.4)
    Week 11: Bye
    Week 12 vs. Packers: 83% (29.5-19.6)
    Week 13 vs. Chiefs: 80% (28.8-19.8)
    Week 14 at 49ers: 69% (28.2-22.8)
    Week 15 vs. Cowboys: 78% (31.0-22.7)
    Week 16 at Seahawks: 57% (24.5-22.5)
    Week 17 at Buccaneers: 74% (27.4-20.4)
    Week 18 vs. Seahawks: 71% (26.5-20.4)

    So… 17 & Oh.

    #164000
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    Listened to Cowherd and Middlekauff. Middlekauff said the Rams went to the league and asked for the 49ers to be the Australia opponent. Cause the 49ers essentially get a home game when they play the Rams in LA.

    w
    v

    I’m skeptical of that.

    Rams: “Hey, we’d love to play the 49ers in Australia.”
    NFL: “Oh, okay.”

    #164006
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    I’m skeptical of that.

    Rams: “Hey, we’d love to play the 49ers in Australia.”
    NFL: “Oh, okay.”

    Well, fwiw, here it is. Middlekauf seems rather emphatic about it. About the 4 or 5 minute mark.

    #164007
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    Well, fwiw, here it is. Middlekauf seems rather emphatic about it. About the 4 or 5 minute mark.

    I dunno. That sounds to me like a guy who is just echoing what Shanahan said. And Shanahan did complain about it, and he cited the 49er fan attendance as a reason, but I can’t tell if that’s just smack talk or not. What would you expect them to say?

    And how would Middlekauf know what Demoff is saying to the league office? You think Demoff just calls the switchboard and starts talking to the receptionist about why he’s calling?

    I just… am skeptical. I work in public education, and I can tell you that NOTHING happens here administratively without the admins considering what could go wrong. Legally.

    And the NFL, I am 100% certain, is simply not going to act in a way where their impartiality can be legitimately called into question.

    As a teacher, I face this all the time. If a kid comes to me to ask for something, an extension on an assignment say, my first thought after considering whether it’s a reasonable request or not is to consider whether I can defend it. What will I do when another kid, or the whole class, says, “Hey, you gave her extra time. Give all of us extra time.”

    I cannot imagine the league office saying, “Okay, sure, we can give you the 49ers” without knowing that every team in the league can then say, “We want to play the Lions on our frozen tundra in December” or whatever. Why are you conceding something to the Rams that you won’t concede to every other team in the league?

    You just cannot do that kind of shit. Absolutely cannot. Especially when you serve at the pleasure of the people likely to be pissed off by your decision.

    So I don’t buy it. I think Middlekauf is recycling what Shanahan said without thinking very deeply about it, and reinforcing it with his personal experience at SoFi several years ago. It seemed plausible to him.

    FWIW, btw, I don’t think the 9er fan presence has been as strong recently, not since the Rams sent them out of the house early in the NFC Championship. But, you know, I don’t have data on that. Just an impression.

    #164008
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    Seriously, if the NFL granted the Rams their choice of opponent in the Australia game, that would be a significant scandal.

    That shit cannot happen. And I just don’t believe it.

    It requires believing that the NFL is open to suggestions from teams, and doesn’t consider the implications of the requests.

    That’s bullshit. It’s bullshit.

    #164009
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    That’s bullshit. It’s bullshit.

    Well, I’m not convinced its bullshit, but I don’t believe it, either.

    Like most things in wv-brain, it goes in the ‘i dunno’ pile.

    Its a good game to start the year, I think. San Francisco. Good place to start.
    McVay vs Shanahan: round 19.

    6-11 reg season
    1-0 playoffs

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    #164010
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    It requires believing that the NFL is open to suggestions from teams, and doesn’t consider the implications of the requests.

    That’s bullshit. It’s bullshit.

    !!!

    😮

    Board war!

    #164023
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    from https://theramswire.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/rams/2026/05/21/rams-2026-season-record-prediction-analyst/90193703007/?taid=6a0f1a8689c6090001bd4f8b&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=trueanthem&utm_source=twitter

    We rounded up several record predictions for the Rams this season and compiled them below, giving you a look at how highly viewed Los Angeles is entering the 2026 campaign. All but one have the Rams winning at least 12 games, with the only exception being a 9-8 prediction from FOX Sports.

    Needless to say, a 9-8 record would be disappointing for the Rams, who have legitimate Super Bowl aspirations after coming up just short the last two seasons. After winning at least 10 games in each of the last three years, it would be a surprise to see the Rams fall short of double-digit wins this year.

    Ali Bhanpuri, NFL.com: 12-5

    Bhanpuri picked the Rams to finish with the best record in the NFC, securing the top seed in the conference and a first-round bye.

    If the Rams end the season holding the Lombardi Trophy, they’ll have earned every ounce of that sterling silver. Their schedule is brutal. They play overseas (in Australia!), on Thanksgiving Eve (a Wednesday!) and on Christmas Day (a Friday!). Their first three tilts are all in prime time, including at Denver in Week 3, which is immediately followed by a trip to Philadelphia before another iso game against Buffalo in Week 5. Their post-bye stretch, from Week 12 on, doesn’t let up even once. But if there’s any team equipped to overcome such a challenging slate, it’s Sean McVay’s club. Time will tell whether a little more immediate help would have made the difference in them securing that priceless hardware.

    Tom Blair, NFL.com: 12-5

    Blair has the Rams making the playoffs as a wild-card team, earning the fifth seed with a 12-5 record.

    Nate Atkins, The Athletic: 12-5

    This Rams team looks more complete than it did last season, when it finished 12-5 with the league’s toughest schedule. The Rams added McDuffie and Watson to fix the Achilles’ heel of the secondary, and they should rebound from special teams woes that cost them in nearly every defeat. Los Angeles has the look of a team that could be favored in a wide majority of its games.

    Eric D. Williams, FOX Sports: 9-8

    The Los Angeles Rams pushed all their chips into the middle of the table for the 2026 season, making a blockbuster trade with the Kansas City Chiefs for versatile slot corner Trent McDuffie and signing his teammate, outside cornerback Jaylen Watson, in free agency, significantly upgrading a defense that let them down in the NFC Championship Game at Seattle. However, Matthew Stafford is 38 years old and played all 17 games last season for the first time since 2021. And slated to back Stafford up is surprising first-round pick Ty Simpson, who has never taken an NFL snap and is a play away from leading a team that is the current betting favorite to win the Super Bowl. The Rams also must make sure Puka Nacua’s off-the-field issues are in the rearview mirror.

    Moe Moton, Bleacher Report: 13-4

    The Los Angeles Rams have won at least 10 games in three consecutive seasons. Despite his age, Matthew Stafford has been mostly available, except in 2022, when he missed eight games.

    As long as Stafford avoids injury, the Rams are Super Bowl contenders. They have a stacked roster with no glaring needs.

    Mike Clay, ESPN: 13.2-3.8

    Clay uses a more analytical approach to record predictions, but he has the Rams winning about 13 games and losing four of them. With a 13-4 record, the Rams are the No. 1 seed in Clay’s projections.

    #164079
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    #164080
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    “The punter is okay with the schedule.”

    Has never before been a team’s season battlecry.

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