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January 19, 2020 at 9:31 am in reply to: objective analysis of Rams draft record shows they’re one of the best #110547
znModeratorJust an opinion. But…I would say that overall the Rams drafted well from 2012-2016. If they hadn’t, there would have been no fast start in 2017. If you look around at league history rarely if ever is there an overnight turnaround UNLESS the team is already loaded with a lot of playoff-caliber talent. That was the case in 2017. (In fact I can’t think of any examples of an overnight turnaround where the team wasn’t already stocked with good young talent.)
The mistakes (basically, in hindsight, Austin and Robinson) are far overshadowed by a very solid record drafting.
Though it’s also true (IMO) that McVay/Snead have continued the solid record drafting. And it’s not just drafting, it’s UDFAs and “ronin” pick-ups too (young veteran cast-offs). And the trades, though I am a bit more critical of the trades. Anyway here’s a great example—last year the Rams traded away 2 starting corners, THEN their 2 new starting corners both got injured, and they STILL could field 2 solid starting corners plus a top slot corner. Who has ever heard of anything remotely like that? Losing 4 starting corners is supposed to be the kiss of death, and it wasn’t.
znModeratorTake a virtual tour of SoFi Stadium with views from every section https://t.co/yn7XqGeZE5
— Rams Wire (@TheRamsWire) January 19, 2020
January 19, 2020 at 7:49 am in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110545
znModerator#Titans great Eddie George, whose famous advice-filled phone call to Derrick Henry helped set him on this path, tells me, “He took it to heart.” More on the “changed man” in my story: https://t.co/wpEUSum0zk
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) January 19, 2020
znModeratorHow about this circus catch by @IsaacBruce80 against the Chargers in 2002! 1 of his 3 touchdowns on the day. So crafty with the tip! And great concentration for 6! @ProFootballHOF pic.twitter.com/IN9Enqz1no
— RAMS ON FILM (@RamsOnFilm) January 18, 2020
January 18, 2020 at 9:02 am in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110536
znModeratorDerrick Henry: 299 yards after contact this postseason
Most by a RB since 2006 pic.twitter.com/zFcys4cKqC
— PFF (@PFF) January 18, 2020
January 18, 2020 at 8:37 am in reply to: Rooney rule discussion, starting w/ a Chris Long podcast #110535
znModeratorEric Bieniemy has interviewed for 7 head coaching jobs in the past two years. Zero offers. His 2021 resume starts now, but will the NFL actually pay attention?https://t.co/lXIAm7Z3FP
— Lindsay Jones (@bylindsayhjones) January 17, 2020
znModeratorId be curious to see where Marcus Peters ranked ?
Well according to PFF, overall, 4th.
. https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-pff-rankings-top-25-cornerbacks-through-week-17
4. MARCUS PETERS, BALTIMORE RAVENS
A return to discipline has led to the return of success for Ravens cornerback Marcus Peters. As a true press man-to-man cover corner, Peters has always had a knack for baiting some of the league’s best quarterbacks. But with greater focus, Peters has improved from allowing quarterbacks to complete 68.5% of their passes in 2018 to limiting passers to a 57.7% completion rate in 2019.After allowing 14.9 yards per reception on throws into his coverage in 2018, Peters has allowed just 11.9 yards per reception this season while producing his trademark pick-six a whopping three times. The above play illustrates how Peters baits Russell Wilson by sinking into a Cover-2 zone look while staying true to his man-coverage responsibility. Peters gave Wilson the illusion of an open receiver then steals the pass for a pick-six.
Peters allowed a 14th-ranked passer rating of 73.3 through Week 17 this season just a year after he allowed a 72nd-ranked 109.9 rating in 2018; he has helped transform the Ravens’ secondary into one of the very best in the league.
January 18, 2020 at 4:59 am in reply to: the one-shot tweets thread (diff'rent stuff, funny angry interesting) #110530
znModeratorSkills, yo…💪😍⚽️💨🔥💥pic.twitter.com/xLWjy51NOB
— Rex Chapman🏇🏼 (@RexChapman) January 17, 2020
znModeratorTroy Hill stepped up this season when #LARams needed most and proved to be a stud, giving up only 1 TD all season!
Among all CBs in 2019 (min 300 snaps), Hill ranked:
– 2nd in Receiving Percentage
– 5th in NFL Passer Rating when Targeted
– T-11th in Defensive Grades pic.twitter.com/V2tYPiAawv— PFF LA Rams (@PFF_Rams) January 17, 2020
January 17, 2020 at 4:22 pm in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110524
znModeratorAlbert Breer@AlbertBreer
Four championship game coaches. And one (Reid) has three-and-a-half times the head coaching experience of the other three (Shanahan, LaFleur, Vrabel) combined.So after I tweeted this, I decided to look up where these guys were when Reid took the Philly job in ’99. …
Shanahan: Redshirt freshman WR at Duke.
LaFleur: Redshirt freshman WR at Western Michigan.
Vrabel: 3rd-year Steelers LB/Special teamer.January 17, 2020 at 4:08 pm in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110523
znModeratorThe Titans defense faces their toughest test of the playoffs@PFF_Linsey ($):https://t.co/ng1Q3PYBCB
— PFF (@PFF) January 17, 2020
znModeratorWhile always humble, Torry Holt always took that swagger to the field! Some big plays and a little trash talk (that he surely backed up) vs the Lions in 2006. @ProFootballHOF @BigGame81 #Holt4HOF pic.twitter.com/Ia0zgOGvPq
— RAMS ON FILM (@RamsOnFilm) January 17, 2020
znModeratorThe Rams defense during the greatest show on turf does not get their due credit. In this slugfest NFC championship game against Tampa Bay, @drebly_32 came up with a crucial interception that set up the game winning touchdown of @kurt13warner to @RickyProehl ! 11-6! @DMarcoFarr1 pic.twitter.com/torcyI46nB
— RAMS ON FILM (@RamsOnFilm) January 17, 2020
znModeratorWhat Packers can glean from Rams' offensive improvement against Niners https://t.co/AIKonDwSfu
— Rams Wire (@TheRamsWire) January 17, 2020
znModeratorJohnny Mundt got down & dirty this season, playing some key roles in blocking schemes & special teams for the #LARams
Among TEs/RBs (min. 150 snaps), Mundt ranked 8th in Run Blocking & T-10th in Pass Blocking. He was also the highest-graded Special Teams player for #LA in 2019 pic.twitter.com/60RdO9jmC9
— PFF LA Rams (@PFF_Rams) January 16, 2020
znModeratorIt didn’t post.
So this is an alert. After a bit I will take this thread down, just cause of good housekeeping. Okay?
January 16, 2020 at 10:03 pm in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110507
znModerator49ers vs. Packers preview: Green Bay will need a game for the ages from Aaron Rodgers to beat this defense
Link: https://t.co/NK2iHjVmqA pic.twitter.com/u7gg2obMZl
— Ted Nguyen (@FB_FilmAnalysis) January 16, 2020
znModeratorThough he averraged 15 yards per catch during his career, make no mistake @IsaacBruce80 was a threat in the red zone as well! Bruce had great success with this outside slant in the bunch formation. Often going for 6! Here he makes a spectacular catch to boot! @ProFootballHOF pic.twitter.com/b3IZGmOdIy
— RAMS ON FILM (@RamsOnFilm) January 17, 2020
znModeratorI think it’s a judgment call–yes the playoffs were good, but then the 40+ point games in 2019 were not. That’s on McV to decide whether to fix what he has with who he has, or, start over with a new approach.
I am conflicted too but if the new DC works out, there’s nothin to complain about I guess.
January 16, 2020 at 3:43 pm in reply to: Hammond: Insight into new Rams DC Staley … & more articles post-hire #110497
znModeratorScheme, blitzing and personnel: How the Rams’ defense might change next season
Rich Hammond
The Rams did not scapegoat Wade Phillips. Instead, they initiated an overhaul of their coaching staff, one that will bring in three new coordinators and perhaps two or three new position coaches.
Now the issue is, what will change, and how significantly?
The biggest shift will be on defense. Set to arrive is coordinator Brandon Staley, age 37, who is making a big jump. Staley has three years of experience as an NFL position coach (outside linebackers for the Broncos in 2019 and for the Bears in 2017-18), but other than one season at the FCS level with James Madison in 2014, he has never coordinated a defense above the Division III level.
That doesn’t mean Staley is a blank slate. He’s known to be a disciple of longtime NFL coordinator/coach Vic Fangio, even before he worked under Fangio in Chicago and Denver. Until Staley speaks — his hiring has not yet been announced by the Rams — it’s not certain what type of defense he will run, but it’s fair to assume that his tenets will align with Fangio’s base 3-4 front, accompanied by many different looks.
That’s certainly what one of Staley’s closest coaching associates, Tom Arth, pointed toward during an interview with The Athletic this week. Staley has studied and implemented Fangio’s ideas for years, back to when Staley was coaching at Division III John Carroll University and Fangio was with the San Francisco 49ers.
To predict the future, let’s examine the past and look at what Fangio typically likes to run, how it might differ from Phillips’ scheme and how Staley might have to adjust based on existing Rams personnel.
The scheme
Surface-level changes might seem minimal, because Phillips also ran a base 3-4, but in both cases that’s very deceiving. According to data from SportRadar, the Rams ran their base look (with four defensive backs) on only 35 percent of their defensive plays in 2019 (and 37.2 percent in 2018), which illustrates how often they used nickel cornerback Nickell Robey-Coleman or a third safety, or both.
That’s even more pronounced with Fangio. In 2018, Fangio’s last year as defensive coordinator in Chicago, the Bears used four defensive backs on only 17.3 percent of their plays. That rose to 27.1 percent in Denver last season, when Fangio was the head coach but remained the defensive architect.
To call Fangio’s scheme a 3-4 is technically correct but inaccurate in a practical sense. With Denver last season, it seemed to be more of a 2-4-5. In Chicago in 2018, it looked more like a 3-3-5. (These designations are not iron-clad because players can be identified/used in different ways than their natural positions, but they remain instructive in a general sense.) It’s not uncommon for Fangio to use six defensive backs (as was often the case with Phillips).
Fangio also is known to be very flexible. His stuff can change from week to week or from half to half (sometimes even from play to play). It’s not even possible to completely peg him as a “man” or “zone” guy because he is adaptable to the opponent and game situation, and that ability might be paramount in what attracted McVay to Staley.
A recent narrative suggested that Phillips’ defense was old-school and inflexible and that McVay wanted/needed to modernize. That’s not fair to Phillips. Yes, perhaps he leaned more toward player development than innovative scheming, but he also was not stodgy or stuck in his ways.
In the Super Bowl last year, Phillips completely flummoxed New England’s offense until the fourth quarter. The Rams “showed” a zone look before the snap, then played man coverage (or vice versa).
Phillips is more flexible than quick-twitch revisionist history is giving him credit for — he shifted the Rams’ primary coverage from man to zone in 2018, then back to man in 2019 when personnel dictated — but it’s fair to say that, in general, Phillips prioritized technique and innovative strategy.
Fangio is more of a wild card, with a complicated defense that might take some time to learn depending on how much of it Staley wants to implement with the Rams. It seems clear that the versatility will follow. In a 2014 interview with the student newspaper at James Madison University, Staley spoke about his philosophy.
“We want to be aggressive,” Staley said, “we want to be extremely physical and we want to be a defense that’s built to match up so that week to week, no matter who we’re playing against or what style offense we’re playing against, that we’re going to match up with that and we’re going to, by doing that, be able to be really aggressive.”
The blitzing
Here’s the folly in trying to make some of these projections: Aaron Donald.
None of these coaches — Staley, Fangio or Arth — has ever experienced coaching life with a defensive lineman as talented as Donald, the two-time Defensive Player of the Year who, at age 28, is in his prime.
The primary task for all of Donald’s NFL coordinators has been to best utilize him and find ways to support him amid the near-constant double- and triple-teaming he faces. The Rams, it seems, will be building their defense around Donald and cornerback Jalen Ramsey. No matter what Staley has run in the past and no matter his philosophy, his defense must (and will) center on maximizing Donald and Ramsey.
That said, there’s value in looking at how the Rams pressured opposing quarterbacks in 2019 and how that might change in a Fangio-like scheme.
Per SportRadar, the Rams blitzed on 29 percent of their plays in 2019, 16th-most in the NFL (a blitz being defined here as a play in which five or more players rush the quarterback). The Broncos blitzed 24.9 percent of the time in 2019, while the 2018 Bears blitzed on only 21.1 percent of their plays.
That’s not a dramatic change on a per-game basis, but it’s more instructive to look at the genesis of the blitzes. For the Rams last season, 83 percent of blitzes came from linebackers, compared to 16 percent from defensive backs and 1 percent from defensive linemen. For the Broncos last season, 87 percent came from linebackers, 11 percent from defensive backs and 2 percent from linemen.
The Broncos, under Fangio, not only blitzed less often than the Rams but also blitzed their defensive backs less often. It will be interesting to see what that means for aggressive players such as safeties John Johnson and Taylor Rapp as well as some of the Rams’ cornerbacks.
The personnel
Before Phillips departed, the Rams’ offseason dilemma on defense seemed rather easy to define. They have three potential unrestricted free agents — lineman Michael Brockers and linebackers Dante Fowler and Cory Littleton — and, at the moment, probably only enough salary-cap room to retain one of them.
It also seemed likely that the Rams would part with veteran safety Eric Weddle, who intimated at the end of the season that he didn’t want to return in a backup role.
How might Staley’s arrival change things?
Fangio is known to value smart safeties who can serve as coach-like figures on the field by calling plays, getting teammates lined up and making adjustments. That is, almost to a word, the job description the Rams hoped Weddle would fill when they signed him as a free agent last year.
Weddle had an inconsistent season — part of which might be attributed to kept-it-quiet injuries — but he brought great value to the Rams with his communication and leadership. Given that the Rams’ other safeties are still young, might Staley view Weddle in a different light and seek to retain him? That’s still probably not wise, considering Weddle’s departure would create $4.25 million in cap room, but it’s something to ponder.
Beyond that, let’s assume Brockers leaves via free agency, leaving the Rams to focus on retaining either Fowler or Littleton. Which way would Staley lean?
In his brief NFL career, Staley already has worked with some extraordinary edge rushers, with Von Miller, Khalil Mack and Bradley Chubb atop the list. Fowler, with 11.5 sacks, was by far the Rams’ best edge rusher in 2019. Given the importance of supporting Donald with outside pressure, would Staley lean toward keeping an effective rusher like Fowler?
Perhaps, but traditionally, edge rushers are easier to replace through the draft or on the free-agent and trade markets. The Rams also have a bit more depth there than they do at inside linebacker, where Littleton evolved from a 2016 undrafted free agent to an all-around talent.
Middle linebackers also are critical pieces in Fangio defenses, and if the Rams split with Weddle, it seems dicey for them to lose the two players most capable of serving as on-field defensive “quarterbacks” without any natural replacements lined up. A Littleton return probably would better suit the Rams, but he’s due for a major raise from his 2019 salary of $3.1 million. The Rams must decide how high they want to go.
znModeratorI believe the team carried enough cap room in 2019 to retain Saffold at $11 million per year.
I think it gets down to a choice between Saffold and Matthews/Weddle.
January 16, 2020 at 1:07 pm in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110491
znModeratorLouis Riddick@LRiddickESPN
The #Titans secondary has a hell of challenge ahead of them, but they play the kind of fundamental style that allows them to compete very well against explosive passing games like the #Chiefs have. So many things to contend with. Little margin for error. Great matchup. Must see!==
It's conference championship picks time https://t.co/Ct0vKkr3mQ
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) January 16, 2020
January 16, 2020 at 1:03 pm in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110490
znModeratorWho's going to the Super Bowl?@theMMQB staff makes its conference title game picks ⬇️ https://t.co/7607XSia5X
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) January 16, 2020
znModeratorfrom The Most Important Offseason To-Do For Each Team Out of the NFL Playoffs: https://www.si.com/nfl/2020/01/16/nfl-offseason-team-needs-priorities?utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=themmqb&utm_medium=social
LOS ANGELES RAMS
Find the pieces to reenergize your running game: Losing the likes of Rodger Saffold turned out to be massively consequential for the Rams, who need smart, athletic players up front to make their outside run plays click. I think Sean McVay learned a valuable lesson about replaceable parts in 2020, the question is whether the Rams will have the financial flexibility or draft ability to replace them easily.
znModeratorJohnny Mundt's blocking carries value for Rams at TE in 2020 https://t.co/1dbUymh1EQ
— Rams Wire (@TheRamsWire) January 16, 2020
znModeratorThe #LARams' offensive line situation isn't as bad as some think. The youth movement is on the way!https://t.co/iPFIoZechJ pic.twitter.com/i8e3araP2O
— Rams Talk (@TalkRams) January 16, 2020
znModeratorLMU93
FootballOutsiders does an annual ‘All-Keep Choppin’ Wood Team’ they describe tongue-in-cheek as a “crop of the worst of the worst. On-field struggles, free-agent busts, floundering rookies, and some of the most bizarre and unprecedented off-field shenanigans we’ve seen in recent years.” This year’s includes Austin Blythe as their center…
CENTER
We debated between Billy Price and Austin Blythe for this slot. Blythe had more blown blocks, but Price was worse in his relatively limited action. What tipped us away from Price is the fact that he lost his job in preseason, and thus was more forced into action as a guard out of necessity more than anything else. We wanted our center to have spent more time at center, and so we’re going with Blythe. The Rams website credits Blythe’s poise, moving from guard to center after Brian Allen’s season-ending injury. We credit him with 30 blown blocks, most among centers by a significant margin (though we should note that some of that comes at guard, where players generally rack up more blown blocks than centers just due to their assignments). He was particularly poor as a run-blocker, struggling to win at the point of attack. Some of it comes from playing out of position, some of it comes from the rest of the Rams’ line being injured and/or bad, but we can’t take all the blame off of Blythe’s injured shoulders.
znModeratorSo do we call letting Saffold go “a mistake” or do we call it, just an inevitable consequence of having a cap, etc. Is it something they should have forseen or is it a case of everything-is-easy-in-hindsight.
I dunno. He had plenty of injuries/surgeries over the years. I can see how the Rams might not want to bet on him and give him a long contract. On the other hand he was such a solid and powerful player when he was healthy. I dunno. Turned out bad though. At least for one year.
Football is tricky. They bet on Gurley. Bit them in the butt. They didnt bet on Saffold. Bit them in the butt.
w
vIn a bird’s eye view kind of way, I regard it as a mistake. Saffold would have done more good than signing Weddle and Matthews did. Matter of priorities.
Saffold’s injury days were a thing of the past. Once he had shoulder surgery in 2015, the injury thing stopped happening. Starting in 2016 he has only missed 2 games in 4 years and one of those was because they sat the starters at the end of 2017.
…
znModeratorReport: Rams didn't offer Rodger Saffold a contract last offseason https://t.co/30VNl4JHo3
— Rams Wire (@TheRamsWire) January 16, 2020
January 16, 2020 at 9:14 am in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110482
znModeratorJason Cole@JasonCole62
Factoid: The 49ers D allows only 5.2 yards per attempt for the season against combined offenses that average 6.7 yards per attempt. That -1.5 margin is the best since the 2008 Steelers. SF is nasty.==
Rob "The Mayor" Demovsky @RobDemovsky is a multi-platform stud who knows the Packers inside and out and makes sure you do too, whether you're reading him or watching on TV. Read Rob on how the Packers changed everything to get back to the NFC title game: https://t.co/I9bw7Y8PjQ
— Dan Graziano (@DanGrazianoESPN) January 16, 2020
Packers defense feels regular season loss to 49ers got them on "same page" https://t.co/Vwnmk4rfxz
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) January 16, 2020
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