bnw wrote:

Intelligently allocated resources win championships.

If I may kid around?

Intelligently allocated resources wins accounting contests.

Hiring Billichick and drafting Brady wins championships.

Teams that did not go as spendthrift as the Patz also won championships.

Including New Orleans (2nd on the list), Green Bay (5th), and Baltimore (18th).

Will Niners crumble under the pressure in 2015?

NFL insider Peter King joins Chris Mannix to discuss the immense pressure 49ers head coach Jim Tomsula and QB Colin Kaepernick will face this season.

http://www.nbcsports.com/football/nfl/will-niners-crumble-under-pressure-2015?t=0

Rams’ revenue from the NFL revealed

http://www.bizjournals.com/stlouis/blog/2015/07/rams-revenue-from-the-nfl-revealed.html?ana=twt

The National Football League, as a private enterprise, does not release financial data. But thanks to one team — the publicly owned Green Bay Packers — we get to know the numbers anyway.

The Packers, the only pro sports team to be publicly held, released its financials Monday. According to the Milaukee Business Journal, the Packers received $226.4 million in national revenue sharing, up nearly 21 percent. Extrapolated to 32 teams, that equals roughly $7.2 billion, which is split evenly among all NFL teams.

That means the St. Louis Rams, no matter how the rest of the organization spent or made money, at least brought in $226.4 million in revenue last year just for being part of the league.

Rams officials declined to comment for this story. The Rams had estimated revenue of $250 million last year. Given the NFL’s revenue sharing figures, that figure should be bumped up.

NFL teams get a majority of their money from the league’s massive TV deals and sponsorships, which are split evenly by the teams. Stadium-related revenue — each team retains local ticket sales (60-40 home/away team split), stadium suite, club seating, food/concessions, and local broadcast and sponsorship revenue from naming rights and other properties — also equates to big bucks for owners[/quote]

bnw wrote:

Patriots only 26.5 million above last place Raiders yet Super bowl champs and 99 million less than the Rams.

This proves that every team should sign Bellichick and draft Brady. IMO.

BTW, Patz 2017 expended cap space = 87+ M.

Seahawks’ D is dealing with uncertainty

http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/13306847/seattle-seahawks-defense-dealing-injuries-earl-thomas-richard-sherman

The best defense in football has some concerns as training camp approaches. In addition to negotiating a contract with Bobby Wagner, the Seahawks face questions about when Earl Thomas — the best safety in the league — will be able to return to the field following the shoulder surgery he endured after the Super Bowl.

Ed Werder, ESPN NFL Insider
The best defense in football has some concerns as training camp approaches. In addition to negotiating a contract with Bobby Wagner, the Seahawks face questions about when Earl Thomas — the best safety in the league — will be able to return to the field following the shoulder surgery he endured after the Super Bowl.

Richard Sherman and Earl Thomas played through injuries in the Super Bowl and are still working their way back to health. Matthew Emmons/USA TODAY Sports
Thomas told ESPN he has come a long way in his recovery but knows he won’t be ready for training camp and admits even the first week of the regular season is a question mark.

Thomas has been engaged in a rehab program he describes as mentally challenging and told ESPN that the Super Bowl was the first time he ever felt physically limited by an injury.

“I’m unsure about everything at this point,” he said. “I will find out more when I get back to Seattle on [July] 30th when I take my physical.”

Cornerback Richard Sherman played with a serious elbow injury in the Super Bowl but avoided surgery. He has been medically cleared but has some anxiety as well, telling ESPN, “Obviously haven’t had to stop anyone or be violent, so we will see how it handles in training camp.”

Agamemnon wrote:

I like Robinson and he will be good. But it is more likely to happen next year than this year. There is just too much to learn about the NFL and in general and pass blocking in particular. He is young and he just hasn’t had that much experience. Think Brian Quick. I think he will be adequate this year, but there will be growing pains. imo

Agamemnon wrote:

Well the thing is, you can still play some offense with a struggling young line, IMO.

What you can’t do is make up for having lots of OL injuries at the same time.

But these guys have a lot of promise. So it’s going to be fun to see how they do when they hit stride. Which, you’re right, will more like be in 2016, not 15.

Agamemnon wrote:

I didn’t say it wasn’t the right thing to do and what I said has nothing to do with injuries. I just think it is wrong to expect too much from Robinson this year.

Because he just hasn’t had a lot of experience playing and especially pass blocking.

Oh I know. I wasn’t disagreeing with you. More like I was just going off on my own thing. Going sideways from your point, in basic agreement.

I agree about not expecting too much from GR, and I didn’t think you brought up injuries. That was just me going “I agree, oh and another thing, plus I like smoked pork on Sundays.”

Agamemnon wrote:

I like Robinson and he will be good. But it is more likely to happen next year than this year. There is just too much to learn about the NFL and in general and pass blocking in particular. He is young and he just hasn’t had that much experience. Think Brian Quick. I think he will be adequate this year, but there will be growing pains. imo

Well the thing is, you can still play some offense with a struggling young line, IMO.

What you can’t do is make up for having lots of OL injuries at the same time.

But these guys have a lot of promise. So it’s going to be fun to see how they do when they hit stride. Which, you’re right, will more like be in 2016, not 15.

zn wrote:

zn wrote:

Pro Football Focus ‏@PFF

The Rams averaged a league-high 7.1 yards per run when pulling a backside lineman

I wonder if they pulled a backslide lineman on those jet sweeps they ran with Tavon. That right there would pump the numbers up.

They did it a fair amount actually. Not necessarily just jet sweeps, but Tavon running to the outside. They ran 22 plays with him running outside for 182 yards and 2 TDs. And they were consistent gainers, too…the longest were 18 and 19 yards. That means the other 20 averaged 7.25 per.

Mason rushed outside 35 times for 200 yards, or 5.7+ yards per.

Don’t Bludgeon the Man

By Emily Kaplan

http://mmqb.si.com/2015/07/22/nfl-jim-tomsula-san-francisco-49ers/

Jim Tomsula hardly made a good first impression as the 49ers head coach. But it’d be a mistake to write-off someone who once lived in his car (with a dog, cat and litterbox) just so he could be a volunteer college coach.

The most recognizable man in San Francisco is going unnoticed in his hometown. It’s an overcast Friday in late June, and new 49ers coach Jim Tomsula is nursing a 31-ounce coffee on the patio of a Starbucks in Homestead, Pa., just on the outskirts of Pittsburgh.

He’s packing a wad of tobacco in his left cheek (a regular habit), wearing a nylon tracksuit (his sartorial preference) and sporting the kind of thick, dark mustache that harkens back to the leading men of 1980s TV shows (“a mustache to be reckoned with,” according to his mustache’s parody Twitter account). A group of teens loudly gossips at an adjacent table, and a steady stream of shoppers walk through the strip mall. Nobody stops to look twice at Tomsula.

If he had his way, this would be the norm. No fame, no media attention, no conjecturing about who he is or what his team will be.

“I don’t care about perception, I care about reality,” Tomsula says in a husky voice that sounds like the natural bark of football coach. “I try not to read what’s out there, but sometimes I do and just laugh. I mean, some of the reports out there couldn’t be further from the truth. It’s the exact opposite of the reality that I’m dealing with. The exact opposite! Seriously, the exact opposite!”

He spits out the tobacco.

“But, I guess, that’s the NFL.”

In a league in which perception is everything, Jim Tomsula was a nobody before mid-January, when he made the gargantuan leap from defensive line coach to one of the NFL’s Chosen 32. After being introduced to the press, he sat down for an exclusive one-on-one with the TV network CSN Bay Area that had all the makings of an SNL skit. Like his press conference, this four-minute interview was full of uncomfortable pauses, mutterings, contradictions and non-answers.

To one question he replied, “I wouldn’t not say that. I wouldn’t say it either.” His predecessor—the gauche and irascible Jim Harbaugh, he of the khaki pants and beige answers—suddenly seemed as eloquent as a Shakespearean actor. Asked to define a successful first season, Tomsula said, “Uh…that’s yet to be determined. I mean, uh, we’re gonna, uh, we’re gonna, we’re gonna win today. That’s, our, uh, uh, you know, it’s, it’s one week calendars once you get into the season. So that’s the way I look at it.”

And so everyone looked at Tomsula for what he was: an unpolished assistant who had been promoted so far out of his depths that it was impossible not to wonder if the front office, having grown tired of clashing with Harbaugh, had installed a puppet whom the powers-that-be could control. As Tim Kawakami from the San Jose Mercury Newswrote, “Tomsula will say the things the 49ers want him to say, in the way they want him to say it.”

Then, as if perception couldn’t get any worse, Tomsula’s players started bailing on him.

* * *

General manager Trent Baalke shoots down the idea of a “mass exodus” or a “domino effect,” but it was hard not to wonder about the sudden departures.

In March, stalwart linebacker Patrick Willis said a teary goodbye to football. A week later his heir apparent, Chris Borland, stunned everyone by retiring at 24. In May, defensive lineman Justin Smith walked away from the game after 14 seasons. A month later, 25-year-old offensive tackle Anthony Davis cryptically quit.

The 49ers also bid farewell to wideout Michael Crabtree, guard Mike Iupati and the franchise’s alltime leading rusher, Frank Gore, in free agency. Rumors that quarterback Colin Kaepernick was being dangled for a trade only added to the offseason malaise. “Let’s put that to rest,” Baalke told The MMQB in June. “That’s absolutely untrue.”

What’s undeniable is that Tomsula, who has never been a coordinator in the NFL, is now juggling the most intense expectations of his career. San Francisco’s run of three straight trips to the NFC Championship Game went sideways during a tempestuous 2014 season, and fans aren’t likely to give the least qualified of eight coaching candidates an extended honeymoon period. But Tomsula isn’t fazed. With pop music blaring through nearby speakers and threatening skies looming overhead, he retraces his unlikely journey and ascension, never at a loss for words when describing the obstacles he’s already overcome.

“I feel bad when people talk about the grind of coaching,” Tomsula says. “My people? They work. That’s all they know. And they weren’t working for a job they loved, just for the responsibility for their family. Growing up, I was always told never to let pride get in the way of a job.”

His great-grandfather was a Hungarian immigrant who worked in the coal mills of Indiana, Pa, where he was hit by a coal pulverizer and died on the job. Despite not knowing how to drive, his widow packed her four kids in the car and crashed twice on her way to Homestead, where she was able to find work washing the floors of churches.

Years later Tomsula’s grandfather opened a restaurant, Hungarian Village, in the shadow of Forbes Field, the one-time home of the Steelers and Pirates. Tomsula’s father worked in the kitchen. When Forbes Field closed in 1970, so did the business. Everyone had to find new jobs.

Jim Tomsula himself has always been a worker. Uncle Dave taught him how to weld stainless steel in third grade—“that was a big deal,” Jim says—and his teenage summers were spent laying bricks, a back-breaking trade that helped mold him into a stout defensive end in high school. In 1985, he left home to play football at Middle Tennessee State, then transferred to Catawba College, a Division II school in North Carolina. That’s where he met his future wife, Julie, a student athletic trainer.

“When he graduated, everyone said he should become a coach,” Julie says. “He said, ‘No, I’m going to go make a lot of money.’ ”

So Tomsula got a six-figure job in Greensboro selling medical equipment. But it didn’t take long for Julie to realize he wasn’t happy, and at her urging he walked away from the money. In 1992, Tomsula became an assistant football coach at Charleston Southern for $9,100 a year.

“They also said we could get our masters,” Julie says. “So we thought it was a great deal.”

But they couldn’t afford books or much else. Tomsula supplemented his income with side gigs, working as a janitor, delivering newspapers, and chopping wood for $55 every third truckload. It still wasn’t enough. His father visited and was flabbergasted to find the cabinets bare. Not even a jar of peanut butter. “What are you doing?” he asked. “You can’t provide for a family like this!”

After three seasons, Tomsula returned to Pittsburgh and became a sales rep for a food distributor. But, he says, “I wasn’t good at the whole networking thing.” Division II and III college teams often called about coaching opportunities, but Tomsula always passed on them—until Julie intervened again. “Life is too short,” she said. “Do what you love.”

In 1997, Julie took their two daughters, Britney, 4, and Brooke, 2, to stay with relatives in Florida while everything they owned was put in storage. And so began the year that Tomsula lived in a car, a red Cadillac given to him by his Uncle Tic. Tomsula drove the 430 miles down to Catawba and became an unpaid volunteer assistant at his alma mater, charged with strength and conditioning. He slept in parking lots and cleaned himself up in the locker room. To combat loneliness, he kept a black lab and a cat as roommates. Tomsula hung his suits in the back seat, right above the litter box.

“Ah, the homeless period,” he says. “Everyone makes it out to be a bad thing, but it really wasn’t.”

Tomsula sold carpets for commission on the side. The next season, he became a salaried coach. His wife and daughters joined him, and Tomsula moved his family into a $650-a-month fishing cottage 25 miles away from campus. They didn’t have heat.

But they did have a phone line, and former NFL wide receiver Lionel Taylor cold-called Tomsula in 1998 and asked him if he’d be interested in joining his staff in NFL Europe. Tomsula had never met Taylor, but Tomsula had established a reputation as a teacher of fundamentals, making him a desirable assistant for the developmental league.

For the next nine years, the Tomsulas spent their autumns in Catawba, where the school provided on-campus housing, and their summers overseas. He was the defensive line coach for the English Monarchs for one season, the defensive line coach for the Scottish Claymores for five, the defensive coordinator for the Berlin Thunder for two, and then the head coach of the Rhein Fire in 2006.

Every August, Tomsula toured about a dozen NFL training camps, looking for fringe players who might play in Europe. Some teams allowed him to sit in on personnel meetings, and he’d walk away with dozens of notebooks filled with observations of how coaches talked, what they talked about, how they conducted themselves.

In January 2007, Tomsula received a most unexpected call: 49ers coach Mike Nolan was looking for a defensive line coach. Though they played on the other side of the ball, offensive linemen Harvey Dahl and Tony Wragge had returned from Europe raving about Tomsula’s mentorship. The 49ers flew Tomsula out for an interview; it was the first time he ever rode first class. Tomsula accepted the job, but first asked Nolan an important question: “I don’t know anything about money. Can I live with my family in California and provide for them with that salary?”

Nolan told him yes, and then boosted his salary $10,000 on the spot.

“I never had a dream to coach in the NFL in my life,” Tomsula says. “I’d be happy coaching at any level, anywhere. I just wanted to coach and pay the bills.”

* * *

It’s true that Jim Tomsula knows very little about money. One of the first people he thanked during his introductory press conference on Jan. 15 was Joan from payroll, who doubles as his personal finance adviser. Tomsula has come a long way from that $9,100 a year job. The 49ers signed him to a four-year deal worth $3.5 million a year, but the new riches haven’t changed him.

He also gave shout-outs to Vilma at the front desk and the kitchen crew—the “boys downstairs [for] making that great Mexican feast at Christmas.” Every day at 8 a.m. ET, the coach calls his parents at their home in Pennsylvania. He is usually in his office, and he has usually just pulled an all-nighter.

Over the course of Tomsula’s eight seasons coaching the defensive line in San Francisco, the 49ers ranked fourth in rushing yards allowed (98.4 per game) and third in points allowed (19.4). He molded Ahmad Brooks (supplemental draft), Isaac Sopoaga (fourth round) and Ian Williams (undrafted) into productive starters. Justin Smith never made a Pro Bowl until he worked with Tomsula.

“As an X’s and O’s coach, there’s nobody better,” Smith says. “But he’s not going to be doing as much of that anymore. As head coach, he has to do the stuff he hates: dealing with media, dealing with ownership.”

Tomsula knows he didn’t handle his introductory press conference or the ensuing CSN Bay Area interview with the greatest aplomb. He didn’t sleep the night before and was in crunch mode trying to assemble his staff. The communications department carved out an hour to go over any possible questions that reporters might ask, and Tomsula aced the run-through.

But he froze in the spotlight. Tomsula says he was singularly focused on returning to his office to continue calling potential assistants. Plus, he didn’t want to say anything that could be used against him. If, for example, he said he preferred a certain blocking scheme, would Tony Sparano be hesitant to become the tight ends coach?

The next day, 49ers CEO Jed York told his new coach, “Don’t act or try to be someone you think the media wants you to be. From now on, just be yourself.”

“If there’s ever a time I mess up or seem awkward in an interview, it’s because I don’t want to lie,” Tomsula says. “Really, that’s all it is.”

Tomsula handled himself with greater authority in assembling his staff. His first call was to Bill Nayes, the longtime director of football operations under Mike Holmgren in Seattle and Mike Singletary in San Francisco. The job is essentially a chief of staff: part-assistant, part-confidant. From booking travel to scheduling mini-camps, Nayes knows the minute-to-minute needs of a coach.

This was crucial for Tomsula, whose only previous head-coaching experience in Europe doesn’t quite translate to the NFL. When Tomsula first joined the NFL, he told friends, “It’s amazing, I no longer have to carry the equipment!”

Tomsula sought out assistants who would challenge him. Eleven of the 19 have been head coaches or coordinators either in the NFL or at the elite levels of college football. The next order of business was logistical. The head coach’s office was on the second floor. Tomsula felt it was too far removed from the action, especially during the summer months when the NFL limits the contact he can have with players.

The locker room, training room and meeting rooms are all on the first floor, so Tomsula chose a new space in the middle of a hallway where players would have to pass by him every day. While maintenance crews prepared the room this summer, Tomsula set up shop in a small enclave next to the showers.

“Culture is huge. That’s the difference between a championship-caliber team and a championship team,” York says. “You look at the Golden State Warriors. They were the dumbest team in the NBA for letting Mark Jackson go, who won the most games in the franchise’s history. How could you be so dumb? They bring in Steve Kerr, who has been around the game for a long period of time but has never coached before. Kerr changes the culture, comes in with a different perspective, and look what happens.”

But Tomsula actually has been an NFL head coach before. During the final game of the 2010 season, he served as the interim head coach after Singletary was fired and rallied the 49ers to a 38-7 win over the Cardinals. A year later, according to York, the team identified a few internal candidates who could be potential future head coaches. Tomsula was on the list.

“No player has seen a position coach get promoted to head coach just like that, without being a coordinator first,” Smith says. “That’s a huge jump. But I think it just shows the respect Jimmy T. has from management, which is a good thing. Imagine the star wide receiver is upset and wants to complain to management. If he goes upstairs, he knows which side they are going to fall on.”

Players love him, too. He’s fiery when he needs to be—just do a quick search for “Jim Tomsula Bludgeon”—but tries to be low-key in meetings rooms to avoid overloading players with information. He’ll often say, “Hey, here’s what I’m thinking. What do you think?” Last season, when Frank Gore was distraught after losing a fumble in a 13-10 loss to the Rams, it was Tomsula who sat hunched on a stool by the running back’s locker to console him.

Even still, there was a nervous energy in the auditorium just before Tomsula was set to address his players for the first time as the head coach during April’s minicamp. “Everyone kind of looked around like, How’s it going to be?” says defensive end Ian Williams.

Was it going to be the same Jimmy T. who struts around the facility yelling to no one in particular, “We’re going to do some ass-kicking this week!”? Or would this be a buttoned-up Jim Tomsula?

The coach opened his mouth to speak and was loud, passionate and even a bit goofy. The nervous energy dissipated. He was exactly the same.

“I’ve only been here a short time,” says veteran running back Reggie Bush, a free agency addition. “But I can already tell how much respect this team has for him.”

* * *

Jim Tomsula, 47, spent his first summer vacation as an NFL head coach crashing at his parents’ split-level colonial in suburban Pittsburgh. His wife, Julie, and 8-year-old son Bear, came along. Britney and Brooke, now college-age, stayed in the Bay Area. Tomsula woke up to mom’s bacon and eggs, threw the pigskin in the backyard with Bear, and washed loads of workout clothes emblazoned with 49ers logos in the basement.

On one humid afternoon in June, he loaded two sedans with three generations of Tomsulas and headed to Thomas Jefferson High School for the highlight of his homecoming: his sixth annual football clinic for teenagers with Down syndrome.

The coach knows he could ask the NFL to help sponsor the event, but says, “It’s a Tomsula thing.” Campers dine on burgers flipped by Jim Tomsula Sr. and cookies baked by the coach’s aunts. They even prepared a gluten-free batch, to which Tomsula Jr. scoffs: “Kids these days.”

Camp for the Stars began in San Francisco, in 2007, to give kids who have Down syndrome an authentic football experience. Tomsula loved it so much he brought the camp back home to Pennsylvania. Throughout the two-day camp, Tomsula co-leads drills with his old football coach from Steel Valley High.

Even though the campers wear nametags, Tomsula remembers most of their names without looking. He puts players through one drill that has them catching a ball in the air before falling onto a thick mat. For those wearing red bracelets, signifying a greater risk of injury, Tomsula holds them up in the air and then flops onto the foam with them to brace their fall.

“Hey coach,” one camper says after such a fall, extending his arm to Tomsula. “I have to help you get up a lot this year.”

While Julie is off scouring two Targets and a Michael’s to make sure every participant leaves with a framed certificate, Bear is working the field as a water boy. Two 49ers scouts are also here volunteering, as well as retired defensive tackle Dana Stubblefield, who never played for Tomsula but says, “He’s just a really good dude.” So Stubblefield booked a cross-country ticket and a room at the local Spring Hill Suites.

It’s all smiles until the scrimmage. Before one snap, a camper tells another that he is stupid. The recipient of the slight responds with an uppercut. He then rips off his own hat and storms off into the locker room.

Tomsula tells Stubblefield to continue coaching and follows the player into the locker room. He sits the boy down and talks about the importance of sportsmanship. “The game teaches us to become men,” Tomsula says. “And we need to act like that.” Fifteen minutes later, the camper and Tomsula emerge. The boy walks to his opponent, says he’s sorry, and shakes his hand.

Around 10:30 p.m. on Friday, once the last camper has hugged Tomsula goodbye and once the cafeteria has been wiped clean, an after-party commences at the house of Tomsula’s sister, Jill. Nearly 50 relatives, neighbors, friends and one 300-pound former All-Pro lineman grab Miller Lites from a porch cooler and munch on potato chips and leftover burgers in the kitchen. There’s a glow inside the house. No music, but laughter. Old stories are retold about karaoke nights gone awry and summers at the Jersey Shore. When midnight strikes, Jill notices something isn’t quite right.

“Where the heck is Jimmy?” she asks. “He’s the toast of this damn thing!”

Soon the door swings open. It’s Jimmy, and he’s wearing one of his signature nylon tracksuits that leaves him perpetually sweaty. “I’m sorry, I’m sorry,” he huffs. “I had to drive Uncle Tic home.”

“It took that long?” Jill asks.

“It’s late! It’s dark!” he says. “I had to make sure he got in OK.” Consider it part of Tomsula’s code: When someone gives you a car, the least you can do is make sure he always has a ride. And this too: he downs a beer and devours an Italian hoagie with the urgency of a two-minute drill. Then he goes about working the room with salami-and-suds-doused breath, doling kisses and pats on the back.

“We did great work today,” he says. “I love you people.” He grabs another beer. “Really, I love you people.”

Tomsula’s mother, Betty Jo, beams with pride.

“Folks in San Francisco or around the country might say this or that about Jim Tomsula the football coach,” she says, “but I know this is the real him.”

On numbers. According to a common complaint out there, JL may make tackles, but it’s 5-7 yards downfield.

There’s only one way to check that. Play by plays.

I checked 12 games–from game 5 (SF) through game 16 (Seattle). Here’s what I looked for—runs over either guard or up the middle, where the tackler is JL. I don’t look at runs off tackle or at runs around either end.

I am just making the traditional assumption that JL polices the run from guard to guard. If he tackles outside he comes to the play in support.

However, of course, none of this tells us what percentage of runs to G-C-G where JL makes the tackle at all or doesn’t. It just answers the question, are a lot of tackles where JL is clearly the responsible linebacker made 5-7 yards downfield?

The answer is no. On the plays I set out to look at, his average yards per tackle is 2.8. Of those plays, 20% are 5-7 yards, but 30% are anywhere from tackled for a loss to 2 yards. 50% are in the 3-4 yard range.

Eagles’ Sam Bradford will play out final year of deal

By Gregg Rosenthal

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000502809/article/sam-bradford-will-play-out-final-year-of-contract

The Philadelphia Eagles took a chance on Sam Bradford by trading for him and choosing to pay him $12.985 million this season. But there’s no telling where he’ll play in 2016.

NFL Media Insider Ian Rapoport reported on NFL Network’s NFL Total Access on Monday that Bradford plans to play out the final year of his contract, according to a source informed of his thinking. Bradford is essentially betting on himself by not signing an extension now. If he stays healthy and plays well, he could maximize dollars later.

This is an approach that makes sense for both sides. With Bradford coming off back-to-back torn ACLs, the Eagles surely would like to see him look healthy and effective in Chip Kelly’s system before handing over huge guaranteed money. There’s no way they could offer him a true “franchise quarterback” contract at this stage without a ton of protections. As discussed during Monday’s podcast, Bradford has to win the Week 1 starting job over Mark Sanchez before taking the next step. That’s far from guaranteed.

Bradford has already played out a six-year, $78 million contract signed under the old collective bargaining agreement. With that in mind, long-term “security” might be less important to him. He already has it. After looking less than 100 percent in offseason practices, Bradford needs to prove to the Eagles — and himself — that he can still be a viable NFL starter. Do that in Kelly’s passer-friendly system, and the money is going to come.

It’s on now and again at 11.

.

Hall of Famer Steve Young: 49ers have major perception problem

http://www.contracostatimes.com/49ers/ci_28500484/hall-famer-steve-young-49ers-have-major-perception

By Cam Inman

cinman@bayareanewsgroup.com

STATELINE, Nev. — Steve Young took a few hacks on the driving range of Edgewood Tahoe Golf Course, then sought some swing tips from fellow celebrity duffers. ¶ Golf mechanics might be an easier fix than the credibility of Young’s former team, which concerns the Hall of Fame quarterback and 49ers legend. ¶ “One of the biggest things is holding onto the perception that you’re a great team,” Young said at the American Century Championship. “That has to have been lost. There’s this whole offseason where people are picking them to finish last.” ¶ True enough, in the casino across the street, the 49ers’ odds of winning the Super Bowl set to be played in their home stadium Feb. 7 have climbed to 40-1.

They’re a favorite in one category: to find a home in the NFC West cellar.

They’ve become longer long shots as this harrowing offseason has unfolded, those odds starting at 25-1 before growing with every retirement or free-agent defection.

“They’re the longest odds they’ve been in a long time,” said Dave Cudney, manager of Harrah’s and Harveys Race & Sports Book. “They lost their coach, they lost key players, and so it’s a lot of unknowns.”

Add that up and the 49ers are losing what Young called “the perception game,” which he described as striking fear into opponents before a game starts.

“That needs to be re-established, and that is not easy,” Young said. “That’s why the first month of the season will help turn that tide or just solidify the perception.”

The biggest variable: quarterback Colin Kaepernick. Will his much-publicized offseason work pay dividends? Can he rise to the challenge in a transition year? Gamblers, and the 49ers’ brass, sure think Kaepernick can.

“They like him and think he can do it. I’m not convinced,” Cudney said. “But so many fans are (convinced), and we get so much action from them. They have faith. There’s a lot of faithful.”

Fall from grace

The 49ers Faithful, after enduring an eight-year absence from the playoffs, got instant rewards once Jim Harbaugh arrived as coach in 2011. What followed were three consecutive NFC Championship game appearances and a dramatic Super Bowl that wasn’t decided until the game’s final play.

Last year’s 8-8 wrecking ball was another story. A playoff berth was officially gone by mid-December. Harbaugh’s tenure succumbed to a yearlong rift with his superiors, who promoted Jim Tomsula to replace him.

Then the evacuations began, both from free agency and surprising retirements that raised some red flags.

Linebackers Patrick Willis (age 30) and Chris Borland (24) announced their retirements, followed by the anticipated farewell of defensive lineman Justin Smith (35). Then came one more stunning resignation, this one by right tackle Anthony Davis (25).

“Everyone has their own individual reasons (to leave), but I worry about that, too. It’s another perception,” Young said. “Does it matter why they left individually? The perception: That’s not the place to be, as a free agent.

“We’re not on the cusp of winning a championship.”

If those retirees wished to brush off their health concerns and continue their careers, they could have demanded a trade, and none are believed to have done so, while forfeiting millions of dollars in the process.

The free-agent exits were more predictable. Frank Gore already had an heir apparent in place with the drafting of running back Carlos Hyde last year. In letting wide receiver Michael Crabtree walk away, the team believes it found an upgraded counterpart to Anquan Boldin in Torrey Smith — the most expensive free-agent signee in 49ers history. Elsewhere, first- and second-year players are expected to fill voids, which is how the NFL typically works in this salary-cap era.

Kaepernick has stayed optimistic heading into training camp, which opens July 31. “Very excited for the season,” Kaepernick told reporters earlier this month in Reno. “A lot of new faces in the locker room and a lot of new coaches. I think the changes are for the good.”

Few familiar faces

Since Super Bowl XLVII in New Orleans on Feb. 3, 2013, only seven starters and eight backups remain — 15 of 53 enlisted men. The exodus began with quarterback Alex Smith, traded in March 2013 to the Kansas City Chiefs.

But it’s Harbaugh’s removal that lingers atop many minds.

Marshall Faulk, who began his Hall of Fame career as a teammate of Harbaugh’s on the Indianapolis Colts, didn’t mince words about Harbaugh’s “mutual parting” after his strained unions with CEO Jed York and general manager Trent Baalke.

“I don’t know how you’re going to sell me on that,” Faulk said. “I don’t care how rude, how much turmoil, he earned the right to say what he had to say, to the Yorks or Baalke, because he won.”

Joe Theismann, Faulk’s fellow NFL Network analyst and a former Washington quarterback, added: “It was unfortunate the way Jimmy exited, but he’s a tough nut and it’s a tough call. The Yorks made a decision and said this is the direction we want to go in.”

Harbaugh, for all his accomplishments, didn’t end the 49ers’ Super Bowl drought, now spanning 20 years. The offense floundered, off-field distractions piled up, and players’ accountability waned.

“Everybody says they’re going to be terrible. Wait, what were they last year?” asked Trent Dilfer, an ESPN analyst and Baalke confidant. “They were 8-8 and an OK team. To get better, sometimes you need dramatic changes.”

Dilfer sees an encouraging difference under Tomsula, who succeeded Harbaugh after eight seasons as a defensive line coach. A younger roster requires better teaching and learning, and Dilfer insisted that Tomsula and his staff are suited for that task.

Added Dilfer: “Is that the secret sauce to a Super Bowl? Probably not, but I think sure as hell they’re a playoff team.”

Different outlooks

Left tackle Joe Staley offered a vote of confidence last month, calling the offseason program one of the best the 49ers have had in his eight seasons. He pointed to the new vibe from the new coaches, new players and new ideas.

Staley also said it’s too early to say how this season will go.

“The year we had Harbaugh his first year, everybody thought we were going to be really crappy,” Staley said. “Then last year everybody thought we were going to be amazing. … There’s a million factors that go into a team being successful or unsuccessful.”

In less than a year, the 49ers have gone from perennial playoff contender to a team Harveys in Lake Tahoe favors to finish last in the NFC West.

Faulk can’t argue, stating, “This could easily be a team that goes from competing to win the NFC to last in the NFC West.”

League observers like to note how the 49ers’ concerns are exacerbated by their being in the formidable NFC West.

“If you look at it, the Rams should be a lot better, and the Seahawks aren’t going anywhere,” said Sterling Sharpe, a former Pro Bowl wide receiver and current NFL Network analyst.

The 49ers won the NFC West in 2011 and 2012, and the Seahawks have won it the past two years en route to Super Bowl berths.

It’s not a new challenge, however, and enough veterans remain to remind newcomers of it.

“They’ve still got a nucleus,” former 49ers running back Ricky Watters said. “But they’ve got to see last year as a mirage. If they can get back to that (playoff) attitude and understanding … ”

An obvious key will Kaepernick, a quarterback who has shown the ability to not just get his team to the playoffs but also to win once there. After a trying 2014, Kaepernick is entering a make-or-break season based on the structure of his contract extension.

“Kaepernick will be better, because of some of the negative forces that are gone,” said Steve Bono, a former 49ers quarterback and now one of their alumni coordinators.

“They’ll still be good,” Bono added. “You’ve got to be 8-8 or 10-6 to get in the playoffs, and they’ll be at least 8-8, for sure. I hope so.”

Added former NFL coach Herm Edwards, “If they’re 8-8, that’s a great year, and they’ll have come a long way for what’s gone on this offseason.”

Added their former quarterback, Smith: “There’s still a ton of good players there.”

‘Nobody feels sorry’

The last time the 49ers changed coaches after missing the playoffs, Steve Mariucci gave way in 2003 to Dennis Erickson. Then came Mike Nolan, and then Mike Singletary, who was ousted before the 2010 season finale.

“Jim has his work cut out for him,” Mariucci said of Tomsula last month on the NFL Network. ” … The general consensus here in the Bay Area is that expectations are lower because of all the missing parts — coaches and players. It’s going to be difficult for Jim Tomsula.

“They don’t want to hear that; the Niners are optimistic, very prideful,” Mariucci continued. “But let’s face it, they’re not the same team as they were.”

Theismann perhaps best summed up the NFL’s view of the 49ers’ perceived free fall: “Nobody feels sorry for the 49ers. Nobody is going to say, ‘Oh, the poor San Francisco 49ers.’ ”

Or, to twist Harbaugh’s old motto: Who’s got sympathy for the 49ers and their turbulent offseason? Nooo-body

My take on JL.

I compare him to a player who he resembles in some ways. Antonio Pierce.

In 2004, with GW as the coordinator, Washington had the #3 defense, 2nd against the run. Pierce was their MLB. He then went on to the Giants. I remember a write-up after the 2008 superbowl where a writer asked the Giants defensive coaching staff how they gameplanned to beat the Patz in that game. The FIRST thing they said was that a lot of what they did depended on Pierce recognizing run v. pass and making the calls.

Interestingly, one of the first things Spags did when he came to the Rams was try to replicate Pierce. Of course, that was picking JL.

Back to 2004. Washington had a top defense, and Wms depended a lot on Pierce making the defensive adjustments.

Here are Pierce’s numbers from 2004 compared to JL’s numbers from 2014.

Pierce 2004: 2 INTs, 5 PDs, 1 FF, 2 FRs, 1 sack, 85 tackles.

Laurinaitis 2014: 0 INTs, 3 PDs, 2 FRs, 3.5 sacks, 81 tackles.

Pierce has 4 TOs v. JL’s 2, but JL has 3.5 sacks v. AP’s 1.

Pierce, too, was described as a heady “qb of the defense” type and wasn’t known for his imposing physical skills.

So I was just thinking, if JL holds up, Pierce could be an example of the kind of MLB he is supposed to be.

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