Rams hit rate on 4th-7th rnd picks, how many UDFAs, & other depth issues

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  • April 16, 2016 at 11:27 am #42092
    Avatar photozn
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    Because the Rams have a lot of lower picks in the 2016 and 2017 drafts, it’s fun (but by no means binding) to see how they do with those kinds of picks.

    Because some picks are recent I have to have a basic standard for what counts as a “hit”–and that will amount to, at a minimum, at the roster on this point and competing for depth and special teams work.

    This could all change after seeing what the roster consists of in week 1 this year.

    But… —–>

    2015 4 119 Andrew Donnal T
    2015 6 201 Bud Sasser WR
    2015 6 215 Cody Wichmann G
    2015 7 224 Bryce Hager ILB
    2015 7 227 Martin Ifedi DE
    2014 4 110 Maurice Alexander DB
    2014 6 188 E.J. Gaines DB
    2014 6 214 Garrett Gilbert QB
    2014 7 226 Mitchell Van Dyk
    2014 7 241 C.B. Bryant DB
    2014 7 250 Demetrius Rhaney OL
    2013 4 113 Barrett Jones G
    2013 5 149 Brandon McGee DB
    2013 5 160 Zac Stacy RB
    2012 4 96 Chris Givens WR
    2012 5 150 Rokevious Watkins G
    2012 6 171 Greg Zuerlein K
    2012 7 209 Aaron Brown LB
    2012 7 252 Daryl Richardson RB

    Comments: So far no significant starters, but that too could change. I don’t count Donnal because they have so many linemen and right now he looks cuttable. Stacy had one year so is dicounted…he’s like Givens, a “try him but then oh well” pick. I count Zuerlein even though he may be on the verge of being replaced. The rest are developmental depth and special teamers…so far.

    Hit rate using this criteria: 19 picks, 7 hits. 36.8%.

    So this year and next, the Rams have 9 lower picks. 2 4s and 2 6s in 2016 so far, and 2 4s (assuming a comp pick) plus the 5, 6, & 7 in 2017.

    36.8% of 9 is 3 players.

    BTW this is a pretty good hit rate for the lower rounds, compared to league averages, though of course this is just the absolutely minimal standard.

    April 17, 2016 at 12:14 am #42148
    Avatar photozn
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    By subtracting so many picks, Rams have to worry about depth going forward.

    I already did their percentages on 4th-7th round picks. What about UDFAs?

    How many UDFAs on the current roster?

    * Tim Barnes, though he wasn’t originally a Fisher/Snead find
    * Malcolm Brown, who IMO showed promise last year
    * Benny Cunningham, who is obviously good depth at RB but also IMO a top KR
    * Justice Cunningham, practice squader who has been called up a couple of times
    * Cody Davis, a special teamer who may get a chance to play FS
    * Cory Harkey, they just re-signed him, he’s valuable
    * Jonny Hekker, pro bowl
    * Matt Lonacre, flashed a little depth at DE but too soon to say
    * Bradley Marquez, smart special teamer and flashed a little something at WR
    * Jake McQuaide, long snapper
    * Chase Reynolds, ace special teamer but not a Fisher/Snead find
    * Marcus Roberson, good depth at CB based on last year
    * Louis Trinca-Pasat possible depth at 3 tech, had some buzz last year
    * Ethan Westbrooks, if he’s for real this is the year to show it, has the attitude and the measurables
    * Darrel Williams, flashed a little as OT depth before getting injured
    * Doug Worthington, depth behind Brockers? see Trinca-Pasat…he played a bit last year

    There are others. My memory isn’t good enough to separate some of the “ronin” type young veteran cuts they picked up from the original (signed first by Rams) UDFAs.

    I think it’s obvious the Rams are actually very good at recruiting UDFAs.

    .

    April 30, 2016 at 12:25 am #42867
    Avatar photozn
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    Well this is relevant now I guess.

    If the Rams stay true to their historical percentages then…when you combine lower picks, UDFAs, and “ronin” players (cuts, young “between teams” developmental guys) then they should add 3-4 players.

    Notably, they tend to target positions for UDFAs. So it’s not “BPA,” it’s “we could use some depth at end.”

    Remember, of course, that while people are talking about WR, TE, DL, DB, and CB…they also need a kicker.

    I am thinking Zuerlein is done. Just a hunch, and I would be happy if I were wrong and he bounced back.

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