from https://www.si.com/betting/road-to-272-bets-nfl-week-11-picks-for-every-game
Rams vs. Patriots Prediction
The Patriots may have looked impressive in recent weeks, but let’s remember the teams they faced; the Jets, Titans, and Bears. Now, they get to take on a much stronger team in the Rams, who have taken huge strides this season since their poor first few weeks.
Los Angeles is finally healthy and, despite the loss on Monday, looks like a much better team than its record indicates. It has some strong defensive play, especially from its pass rush, and I’m willing to bet on the Patriots struggling to move the ball against this unit.
I’ll lay the 4.5 points on Los Angeles.
Pick: Rams -4.5 (-108)