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September 8, 2019 at 9:36 am in reply to: tweets & things … 9/7 & 9/8 … including a lot of great off-schedule VB stuff #104801
znModeratorVincent Bonsignore@VinnyBonsignore
Gonna get to about 90. No rain. It’s been beautiful this weekend. Even the humidity is not bad.It’ll get hotter throughout the day but so far so good here in Charlotte, including a nice little breeze. The humidity hasn’t entirely kicked in (yet) #Rams
==
https://www.therams.com/news/mcvay-chasing-history-matchups-to-watch-and-more-for-rams-vs-panthers
McVay Chasing History
According to the Elias Sports Bureau, only George Seifert (28) and Steve Mariucci (25) have more regular-season wins than McVay (24) in their first two years as an NFL head coach.
12 more victories this season would match Jim Harbaugh for second all-time after three years. And if McVay were to go 13-3 again, he would have more wins through his first three campaigns than any head coach who didn’t inherit Joe Montana, Jerry Rice, and Ronnie Lott.
But why not go for Seifert’s mark? 14-2 to tie; 15-1 to break; 16-0 to smash it.
September 8, 2019 at 9:05 am in reply to: tweets & things … 9/7 & 9/8 … including a lot of great off-schedule VB stuff #104800
znModeratorGame day #Rams pic.twitter.com/HK69KrdiUZ
— Vincent Bonsignore (@VinnyBonsignore) September 8, 2019
September 8, 2019 at 7:49 am in reply to: tweets & things … 9/7 & 9/8 … including a lot of great off-schedule VB stuff #104798
znModeratorNFL Week 1 picks: Who the experts are taking in Rams at Panthers
According to NFL Pick Watch, https://nflpickwatch.com/ 76 percent of experts are taking the Rams to beat the Panthers on the road. That’s only the 10th-highest total of any game this week, with 100 percent of the experts picking the Eagles and Seahawks to win their season openers.
September 8, 2019 at 1:33 am in reply to: the press (& some gamblers) set up the Carolina game #104795
znModeratorPanthers: Why the interior offensive line is the Week 1 X-Factor vs. Rams
link: https://clutchpoints.com/panthers-why-the-interior-offensive-line-is-the-week-1-x-factor-vs-rams/
The Carolina Panthers face off with the Los Angeles Rams in Week 1 of the regular season. With their game coming up on Sunday, there are a lot of storylines to talk about.
However, one that can’t be overlooked is a very simple one – the Rams are the favorites. As the underdogs, what do the Panthers need to do to leave Week 1 with a surprising 1-0 record?
Well it all starts with an X-Factor. Who will step up and help lead the team to victory? For the Panthers that’s a loaded question.
The reason for that is because we shouldn’t be asking which one player will be the X-Factor, but which group of players will be the X-Factor. That group, is the interior of the offensive line. Here’s why they’re the X-Factor for the Carolina Panthers in Week 1 vs. the Los Angeles Rams.
The Los Angeles Rams have a very scary defense. Their entire pass rush is a scary thing. However, there’s a certain player that if you can contain him, you can gain some control. If I have to tell you that player’s name, have you even watched football the last few years?
Of course, I’m talking about defensive tackle Aaron Donald. He’s a wrecking ball. He can destroy an offense by himself, and makes everyone around him that much more dangerous.
Stopping him is nearly impossible, however if you can at least slow down Donald, you give your offense a chance.
See the issue is that Donald isn’t just good in one asset of the game. He’s a defensive tackle that will stop the run in the backfield, but also lead the NFL in sacks. He hits hard enough to cause a lot of fumbles, but is fast enough to chase down a lot of ball carriers. There’s really nothing he can’t do.
Due to that, Donald often finds himself getting blocked by multiple people. That’s why I couldn’t just put one name on this list.
Instead, it will be up to three people, the two guards and the center. At left guard, the Panthers have Greg Van Roten. Meanwhile, Trai Turner is their right guard. Finally, Matt Paradis finds himself in the middle at center.
That’s a pretty formidable trio. They should be up for the task of stopping Aaron Donald. The issue is that a lot of people appear up for the task – then game day happens.
If the Panthers can contain Donald though, good things can happen. Yes, the Rams have a lot of great defenders, but Donald is the centerpiece. Stop him and you can gain control again.
If the Panthers can keep Donald out of the backfield (for the most part) the game changes. Suddenly, your running game opens up slightly. Even more importantly, Cam Newton has time in the backfield. Giving your superstar quarterback a chance is all you usually need.
For the Panthers to win this game, they’ll need to be on top of their game. That means the defense showing up to stop an elite offense. However, the offense needs to pull its weight as well.
You can’t expect your running backs to do much or your quarterback to put up big numbers if they never get a chance. If Aaron Donald is running free, that’s exactly what will happen. The running backs will see holes plugged up and defenders in the backfield far too often. Meanwhile, Newton will be chased around and never get much time to set himself.
Contain Donald, and the rest of the work is up to everyone else. That’s why the X-Factor for the Carolina Panthers is so simple, but complicated, at the same time. If they want to beat the Los Angeles Rams in Week 1 of the regular season, they’ll need the offensive linemen (specifically the interior offensive linemen) to make life easier for Cam Newton.
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zn.
September 8, 2019 at 1:30 am in reply to: tweets & things … 9/7 & 9/8 … including a lot of great off-schedule VB stuff #104794
znModeratorSteve Reed@SteveReedAP
Ron Rivera calls the Rams a dynamic football team. He and his staff has gone back to 2017 to watch tape of the Rams offense.Panthers have ruled out OLB Bruce Irvin and OT Greg Little for Sunday. Brian Burns likely to start for Irvin depending on what look the Rams open up in on offense.
Panthers coach Ron Rivera said Cam Newton’s mobility has been good in practice following mid-foot sprain. Feels like Newton will be able to do the things he has normally done.
Panthers TE Greg Olsen on facing the NFC champion Rams right off the bat in Week 1 pic.twitter.com/Z2cWXxjAe4
— Steve Reed (@SteveReedAP) September 5, 2019
September 7, 2019 at 11:56 pm in reply to: the press (& some gamblers) set up the Carolina game #104792
znModeratorRams at Panthers: 7 biggest storylines for Week 1 https://t.co/cgiPJ4JGO6 via @theramswire
— RamsNewsNow (@RamsNewsNow) September 8, 2019
September 7, 2019 at 10:34 pm in reply to: tweets & things … 9/7 & 9/8 … including a lot of great off-schedule VB stuff #104790
znModeratorJust had dinner with VinnyB. Great guy.
Said he’s seen tons of practices/scrimmages over the years, and the one he saw in Napa, was the most amazing by any QB he’s ever seen. Insane throws.
That’s apex Goff. I expect to see apex Goff a few times this year.
September 7, 2019 at 10:18 pm in reply to: tweets & things … 9/7 & 9/8 … including a lot of great off-schedule VB stuff #104789
znModeratormax
In Carolina before the game
Just had dinner with VinnyB. Great guy.
Gurley’s been ornery all week.
Panthers OL may be a significant weakness.
He loves Noteboom. Can’t wait to see him tomorrow.
We’ll find out how McVay feels about Henderson tomorrow, thinks they wouldn’t have gone to only 3 RBs if they didn’t think he was ready. Watch his snap count.
Weddle has plenty left in the tank. Rams have real leaders on D this year.
Rams knew DAllen would get through waivers. Coaches love THoward, especially a certain coach that knows a lot. Littleton comparison.
Vinny said he’s no expert on this stuff, far from it, but the Rams coaches are great answering questions, and no question is too dumb, so he picked up a lot, knowing what to look for. Knows a lot more about what he sees on the practice field now. Said he’s seen tons of practices/scrimmages over the years, and the one he saw in Napa, was the most amazing by any QB he’s ever seen. Insane throws.
Talked a lot about relocation. Mark Davis. Spanos. Jeff Fisher. Eric Dickerson. Les Snead. A few surprises. Cool stories.
September 7, 2019 at 5:15 pm in reply to: tweets & things … 9/7 & 9/8 … including a lot of great off-schedule VB stuff #104779
znModeratorNSFW GRAPHIC CONTENT VIEWER DISCRETION ADVISED HIDE YOUR KIDS #Hawkeyes pic.twitter.com/DcpGStbfWI
— Cody Hills (@ByCodyHills) September 7, 2019
znModeratorAdam Schefter@AdamSchefter
Antonio Brown and the Patriots reached agreement on a 1-year deal worth up $15 million that includes a $9 million signing bonus, per source.
znModeratorwell now he’s been released. eligible to sign with anyone later today.
trey wingo@wingoz
Don’t think for a second that another team won’t sign @AB84. He’s that good and everyone always thinks “ yeah but I can fix him”Sam Monson@PFF_Sam
If you include fines, Antonio Brown actually paid Oakland almost $300k during his time there.Dude didn’t just flush away monster millions, but it actually cost him hundreds of thousands to do it.
Albert Breer@AlbertBreer
Agent Drew Rosenhaus on client Antonio Brown, via text: “Now that Antonio is a free agent, we are focused on the future and I will immediately work on signing him to a new team. Antonio is looking forward to a new beginning.”Andy Benoit@Andy_Benoit
As bad as it gets for the @Raiders. They can’t even say they finally drew the line with AB….they didn’t release him until he publicly demanded it.Chris Long@JOEL9ONE
Players used to sit on wooden stools and answer generic football questions for the local news. Antonio Brown wiretaps his coach and produces an artistic short film on his personal YouTube channel. This shit escalated quickly.Ian Rapoport@RapSheet
On the $30M that was voided, agent Drew Rosenhaus says he’s looking into all his options but isn’t being specific because “it might be a legal situation.” An indication WR Antonio Brown will contest Oakland’s finding.==
From @gmfb Weekend: Why was former #Raiders WR Antonio Brown so upset? pic.twitter.com/VCGv6VPlB2
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) September 7, 2019
znModeratorpparently, he got fined again, and a significant portion of his guarantees are now out the window. that would explain things.
Adam Schefter@AdamSchefter
By fining Antonio Brown $215,073.53 last night for conduct detrimental to the team on Sept. 4, the Raiders voided the $29.125 million worth of guaranteed money in his deal, per league sources. The Raiders sent Brown a letter that he no longer will be entitled to termination pay if they release him, per sources.This could help explain why Brown is now asking the Raiders for his release.
Jeff Darlington@JeffDarlington
I just got an email from Antonio Brown. He tells me the team “took away my guarantees.” He added there’s “no way I play after they took that and made my contract week to week.” So at this moment, once again, don’t expect AB to play on Monday Night Football.Joel Corry@corryjoel
The good faith effort & written notice requirement to try to invalidate a termination pay claim has been in the CBA for years. I don’t recall a team taking this action. Base salary is guaranteed through termination pay for vested veterans on 53-man roster for 1st game.Sam Monson@PFF_Sam
Gruden from that phone call is everybody: “please stop this shit and just play football? How hard is that?”Judy Battista@judybattista
Can I finish my coffee before we start this up today?Andrew Brandt@AndrewBrandt
Brown would not get anything remotely close to his Raiders contract if released. I’m sure @RosenhausSports has told him this, but does he care?Jason Cole@JasonCole62
Jon Gruden is backed into a corner. His justification for getting rid of Khalil Mack was that Mack supposedly didn’t want to be there (which was a lie). Now AB is openly saying he doesn’t want to be there. If Gruden keeps AB, Gruden becomes a joke to the players.Every single time we think this Antonio Brown drama is over… pic.twitter.com/DjahK57nHG
— Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) September 7, 2019
September 7, 2019 at 2:26 am in reply to: is Gurley be up to speed for Rams’ opener after sitting entire preseason? #104759
znModerator“@TG3II is their best player on offense, and they want to make sure they get him the ball.” 🏈@MJD explains to @lindsay_rhodes how his role will not change for the @RamsNFL this season 👇
📺: @NFLTotalAccess pic.twitter.com/hPbU1UtGEu
— NFL Network (@nflnetwork) September 7, 2019
znModeratorthink they may have thought about letting CL walk or trade him somehow,
I disagree. I think Littleton is a very good player who was out of position at the other ILB spot last year but is perfectly suited to replace Barron at the ILB spot he now occupies.
The only reason I would hesitate to sign Littleton is because it looks like Howard is just as good, so you save money on a big contract without losing the talent level.
znModeratorgruden just cut mayock’s balls off for the entire public to see.
Evan Silva@evansilva
Jon Gruden is a cartoon character at this point.And was exceptionally quick to throw under the bus Mike Mayock, a legit respected football man & Bill Parcells/Belichick offshoot in a soul-selling exchange for a team-sabotaging player.
You hate to see it.
Justin M@JustinM_NFL
AB could take a shit on Gruden’s desk and he’d smile and say, “man, that AB’s a character. Awesome.”
znModeratorJared Goff starring in this ESPN commercial is pure gold.
pic.twitter.com/xurChZ3QFP— Downtown Rams [DTR] (@DowntownRams) September 7, 2019
znModeratorChris Long@JOEL9ONE
What if AB is actually an Oliver Stone plant shooting an Any Given Sunday reboot and we’re all just unpaid extras?
znModeratorThey’re only going to get so many extensions before they run out of big contract slots.
In that light I would prefer they didn’t extend Peters or Littleton (and I like Littleton a lot).
We know Howard is in the background. Rams reportedly just love him. He would fit the Littleton spot. And not only are the Rams deep at DB, for years now they’ve been very good at acquiring DBs. This goes way back. In 2012 they drafted both Jenkins and Johnson and signed McCleod as a udfa the same year. That’s 3 starters in one draft year. They’ve been good since then too of course. So to me, the possibility of losing both Peters and Talib is not so daunting. I think they can develop players they have and add more.
So seen that way, why spend big contracts on those 2 players? Not that they’re not worth it (I believe Peters will have a good year this season). But you can’t sign everyone. If you believe they can get DBs and LBs (and/or may already have some) it’s more cost effective.
Just an opinion.
znModeratorThe video doesn’t make clear whether Gruden knows he is being recorded. In California, recording a phone call without each party’s consent is illegal. But according to ESPN’s Chris Mortensen, Gruden said the video was “awesome,” so Brown may be in the clear.
September 6, 2019 at 10:29 pm in reply to: the press (& some gamblers) set up the Carolina game #104742
znModeratorRams’ defense braces for playmaking Panthers backfield
https://www.therams.com/news/rams-defense-braces-for-playmaking-panthers-backfield
A quarterback who can make plays with his legs is nothing new in today’s NFL. Neither is a running back capable of catching passes out of the backfield or while lined up out wide.
What is rare, however, is an NFL team that has both.
The Carolina Panthers are one of those teams, which means starting QB Cam Newton and RB Christian McCaffrey will have complete attention of the Rams’ front seven on Sunday.
“Just playmakers,” Los Angeles DT Aaron Donald said of the duo.
Since being drafted No. 1 overall by the Panthers in 2011, Newton has tallied 58 rushing touchdowns – most by a quarterback since the 1970 NFL-AFL merger. His total touchdowns (240) and total yards (33,277) rank third by an NFL quarterback through his first eight seasons.
As a rookie, Newton’s 4,051 passing yards set a then-NFL record previously held by Peyton Manning. He also became the first rookie in NFL history to eclipse 400 passing yards in his first career start.
“Cam (Newton) has been the MVP of the league,” Rams defensive coordinator Wade Phillips said. “He says he feels like a rookie now, which is kind of scary because he had some great years – even his rookie year was a heck of a year.”
McCaffrey, meanwhile, set the set Panthers single-season records for most receptions (107) and scrimmage yards (1,965) by any player last season. He also set single-season records for most receiving yards (867), receiving touchdowns (6), and receiving first downs (41) by a running back.
This was all accomplished in just his second NFL season.
“(McCaffrey) did a lot of things outside of the backfield,” Donald said. “They’re always trying to find ways to get him the ball.”
Phillips has faced Newton once before, as the defensive coordinator for the Denver Broncos when they defeated the Panthers 24-10 to capture Super Bowl 50 in 2015.
The 2019 Panthers are a different team and this is a different time, so it’s tough to take anything away from that contest four years ago, according to Phillips. However, it’s fair to say their backfield looks different, and Phillips is well aware of the tests both Newton and McCaffrey will present.
“It will be a big challenge for us, but we’re looking forward to it,” Phillips said.
znModeratorCameron DaSilva@camdasilva
Wade Phillips hinted at Taylor Rapp playing a role in Sunday’s game, saying he “won’t just be a backup”==
Our quarterback, @JaredGoff16! pic.twitter.com/mOzVlluFhP
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) September 6, 2019
September 6, 2019 at 11:52 am in reply to: the press (& some gamblers) set up the Carolina game #104730
znModeratorWEEK 1: Panthers borrow from Patriots’ Super Bowl game plan vs. Rams
STEVE REED, AP Sports Writer
CHARLOTTE, N.C. – The Panthers have pored over game tape from last year’s Super Bowl looking for ways to shut down Rams quarterback Jared Goff and the Rams’ high-powered offense in Week 1.
Hard to blame them.
Los Angeles averaged more than 30 points per game during the regular season and rolled to the NFC championship before New England designed a game plan limiting the Rams to three points on football’s biggest stage.
“To see that game versus the Patriots, you see a humbled offense,” Panthers safety Tre Boston said of New England’s 13-3 win. “You see an offense that is used to scoring points and getting down the field, and (Bill) Belichick and that defense did a great job of containing them and understanding what they like to do and not allowing them to do it. We have to do the same thing.”
Boston said that means understanding how and why the Rams run motion — and immediately comprehending and countering it.
>> You won’t want to miss Panthers Gameday LIVE from Mint Street Sunday at 11 a.m. on Channel 9. Our pregame show will get you ready before the season kicks off.
“They want your eyes in different places and they want you to think a little bit longer than you need to,” Boston said.
Panthers wide receiver Chris Hogan was with the Patriots last season and said he watched the defense spend two weeks working on ways to pressure Goff into throws he doesn’t want to make. Goff was sacked four times in the Super Bowl and finished 19 of 38 for 229 yards with one interception.
Hogan said the goal was to “try to get in his face and get him off his spot.”
Panthers linebacker Luke Kuechly sees that as a key on Sunday, too.
“However you can make him uncomfortable is the way to do it,” Kuechly said of Goff, who signed a $110 contract extension earlier this week. “If you’re a quarterback and you sit back there and sling to the same spot every time, it’s easy. But with him if you can push him off his spot, that’s when it is harder for him.”
The Panthers were 27th in the league in sacks last season, but have switched to a 3-4 defense and will look to apply pressure with Mario Addison and rookie Brian Burns working at outside linebacker.
>> Pizza and packing up: Kara Olsen dishes on first night in Charlotte
Things to watch Sunday between the Rams and Panthers:
CAM’S DEEP BALLS
Panthers quarterback Cam Newton was hindered by a right shoulder injury that severely limited his ability to throw the ball deep in the second half of last season. Offensive coordinator Norv Turner said Newton is healthy now and that “it’s exciting to have him where he can make those deep throws.” He hopes an occasional deep ball will open up things underneath the coverage and keep the Rams from stacking the box as many teams did against Carolina last season due to Newton’s lack of arm strength. Newton was not listed on the team’s injury report this week after suffering a mid-foot sprain in the preseason.
NEW LINE OF PROTECTION
The Rams’ biggest area of uncertainty is the offensive line, where center Brian Allen and left guard Joseph Noteboom will make their first career starts in Charlotte. The 2018 draft picks spent last season backing up John Sullivan and Rodger Saffold, two stalwarts of the Rams’ remarkably consistent line over coach Sean McVay’s two seasons. Allen and Noteboom didn’t even get a chance to play in the preseason, sitting out along with almost all of the Rams’ starters. The Panthers’ defensive front is formidable, but Allen isn’t worried: “Starting right off the bat with a defensive line like we’re going to play is a good test right out of the gate to get us ready for the season.”
OLD HEADS
The game will mark the Rams debuts of linebacker Clay Matthews and safety Eric Weddle, who both returned to their native Southern California in the offseason after decorated NFL careers elsewhere. Both will be immediate starters for the Rams, with Matthews taking over at outside linebacker and Weddle replacing Super Bowl starter Lamarcus Joyner. Matthews and Weddle both took likely less than they could have made elsewhere to pursue a championship in LA. “I can’t wait to finally get out there with my brothers,” said Weddle, who sat out the entire preseason along with Matthews and almost every Rams starter.
SLYE ON THE FLY
If the game comes down to a winning kick, the Panthers will have to rely on untested rookie Joey Slye . Slye replaces veteran Graham Gano, who went on injured reserve last week. Slye’s accuracy (72.2 was an issue at Virginia Tech, but he kicked well in the preseason, making 7 of 8 field goals, including all three attempts from beyond 50 yards. But how will Slye perform under pressure?
STOPPING DONALD
Turner said it is vitally important the Panthers know exactly where Rams defensive tackle Aaron Donald is at all times. Donald has won back-to-back NFC Defensive Player of the Year awards. Turner called him a “unique player” who’s going to disrupt the offense at times and make plays, but added “the thing you have to do is not leave him in a position where he is going to make a play that turns out to be a disaster for you.”
GAME CAPSULE:
RAMS (15-4) at PANTHERS (7-9)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox
OPENING LINE – Rams by 2 1/2
RECORD VS. SPREAD – Rams 7-7-2; Panthers 7-9
SERIES RECORD – Panthers lead 13-8
LAST MEETING – Panthers beat Rams 13-10, Nov. 6, 2016
AP PRO32 RANKING – Rams No. 4, Panthers No. 18
RAMS OFFENSE – OVERALL (2), RUSH (3), PASS (5).
RAMS DEFENSE – OVERALL (19), RUSH (23), PASS (14).
PANTHERS OFFENSE – OVERALL (10), RUSH (4), PASS (17).
PANTHERS DEFENSE – OVERALL (15), RUSH (12), PASS (18).
STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES:
Rams reached Super Bowl last season before losing to Tom Brady and Patriots 13-3.
Sean McVay owns .750 winning percentage (24-8) in two seasons as Rams coach.
Rams averaged 30.8 points per game last season, second only to Kansas City (34.8).
QB Jared Goff was fourth in yards passing (4,688) and sixth in TD passes in 2018.
RB Todd Gurley led NFL with 21 TDs last season, was limited late last season due to knee soreness.
WR Brandin Cooks going for fifth straight 1,000-yard receiving season after career-high 1,204 yards in 2018.
DT Aaron Donald has won NFL Defensive Player of Year in back-to-back seasons.
LB Clay Matthews and S Eric Weddle make Rams debut.
CB Marcus Peters’ 22 interceptions are most in NFL since 2015.
Panthers are 4-4 in season openers under coach Ron Rivera.
Rivera needs three wins to become Carolina’s all-time winningest coach.
QB Cam Newton returns from offseason shoulder surgery and mid-foot sprain in preseason. Newton needs 121 yards rushing to pass Randall Cunningham for second most by an NFL quarterback.
Christian McCaffrey set NFL record for receptions by RB last season with 107. McCaffrey also set franchise record with 1,965 yards from scrimmage.
WR D.J. Moore was first in NFL in yards after catch (7.7) in 2018.
Carolina was 27th in NFL in sacks in 2018. Added veteran DL Gerald McCoy and rookie OLB Brian Burns to bolster pass rush.
Panthers debut 3-4 defense for first time under Rivera, who’ll make defensive play calls.
LB Luke Kuechly has 948 tackles, needs 19 to pass Brian Urlacher for most by an NFL player through first eight seasons.
Ray-Ray McCloud, acquired off waivers Sunday, expected to return punts, kickoffs for Carolina. … Undrafted rookie K Joey Slye replaces Graham Gano (injured reserve/leg).
Fantasy tip: Panthers WR Curtis Samuel appears on cusp of breakout season after assuming starting role.
znModeratorJared Goff is very very overrated by national media
don’t you folks find this statement to be quite opposite?…. Goff is not a media darling
Yeah that statement is shall we say, misinformed.
Like “I hear it’s too hot in Chicago in the winter.”
znModeratorJ.B. Long@JB_Long
Why do the @RamsNFLwant so much depth, intelligence, and versatility at safety? “All we’re trying to do: just buy @AaronDonald97 a split more second (to sack the QB).”September 6, 2019 at 10:34 am in reply to: the press (& some gamblers) set up the Carolina game #104723
znModeratorRams at Panthers: 5 key matchups to watch in Week 1 https://t.co/trFENOYZ1O
— Rams Wire (@TheRamsWire) September 6, 2019
znModeratorCan this defense dominate?
"100%. I feel like we’re in a position to be even better."
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) September 5, 2019
September 6, 2019 at 9:33 am in reply to: the press (& some gamblers) set up the Carolina game #104721
znModeratorfrom NFL Week 1 game picks
Gregg Rosenthal
…
TOUGHEST GAME TO PREDICT: Los Angeles Rams 28, Carolina Panthers 27
1 p.m. ET (FOX) | Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, N.C.)
Great coaches adjust. The Panthers’ Ron Rivera, author of one of this decade’s most consistent defenses, transitioned this offseason into incorporating more 3-4 looks to fit his personnel and make Carolina’s unit tougher to prepare for. Rams coach Sean McVay will undoubtedly tweak some of the offensive hallmarks that defined his first two Rams teams, possibly with fewer three-wide formations or more shotgun snaps. But the Rams’ foundation of throwing play-action passes while creating advantageous matchups through pre-snap disguises should remain, as will Rivera’s ability to maximize talent in the secondary. Great coaches don’t change what makes them great.
I expect to see both of these teams in the playoffs. Cam Newton’s foot sprain shouldn’t be a major factor, but its impact on Carolina’s red-zone rushing is just enough for me to give the slight edge to L.A., with McVay out to prove he’s long past adjusting from the Super Bowl loss.
==
PFF Greenline: NFL Week 1 spread & over/under picks
https://www.pff.com/news/pro-bet-pff-greenline-2019-nfl-week-1-spread-over-under-picks
LOS ANGELES RAMS (-2.5) AT CAROLINA PANTHERS
Pick: The Rams cover
Point (George Chahrouri): A lot is made of the post-Super Bowl loss hangover — but we’re talking about Los Angeles, where you don’t get hungover. Instead, you use your parents’ credit card to pay for someone to come to your apartment and give you a kombucha IV that will guarantee you suffer no ill effects. Unlike most LA Millenials, Sean McVay, Jared Goff and Aaron Donald have plenty of dollars with which to wipe away the sins of the Super Bowl defeat, and there is no better way to do that than by opening up the season with a convincing road win.
Aside from the obvious desire to prove the doubters wrong, McVay and Goff will have another important weapon at their disposal that they didn’t have last February, Cooper Kupp. Goff’s 145.9 passer rating when targeting Kupp last season was by far the best of any Rams receiver, as was the expected points added per target. In fact, both those figures ranked second in the entire NFL behind the Russell Wilson to Tyler Lockett connection. With Kupp on the field, the Rams averaged 9.2 yards per pass play which would have been first in the NFL (better than the Kansas City Chiefs), and sans Kupp they averaged 5.9 yards per pass play which would have ranked 25th (worse than the Oakland Raiders). The Panthers have struggled pretty mightily in coverage and allowed the 10th-worst passer rating to wide receivers last season.
The Rams’ defense that held the Patriots to 13 points in the Super Bowl will get a Cam Newton that probably isn’t going to leverage his running ability given the injuries he’s sustained, and when asked to be a pure passer, Newton is not nearly as lethal. Cam made accurate throws to receivers with at least a step of separation at a bottom-five rate last season and was relegated to throwing shorter passes than he ever has in his career (often confused as being a successful move because his completion rate improved).
The Rams were extremely strong last season but still have plenty of room to improve, and that includes the fourth-down decision making of McVay (see NFC Championship game) which would only press the advantage his offense has in almost all matchups. With the futility of the Super Bowl on the minds of many, the Rams storm through Carolina and erase that memory.
Counterpoint (Eric Eager): It’s always difficult to back a team traveling from the west coast to the east coast to play at 1 PM EST, especially one that has to lay points. This number opened at around three, so there is some appetite for the dog here. There are certainly some valid reasons why people would be high on the Panthers following a 1-7 fall down the stretch, as the acquisitions of Gerald McCoy, Brian Burns and Bruce Irvin should help a defense that allowed six yards per play in 2018 (fifth-worst in the NFL). That said, we know that pass-rush alone will not make the seventh-worst pass defense in terms of yards per play better if they don’t address the secondary (and they really haven’t). Reports are the Cam Newton is healthy after a preseason scare, and his ability to distribute the ball into the hands of the league’s most valuable running back in Christian McCaffrey and a stable of young receivers (as well as an old one in Greg Olsen) will likely determine if this bet hits or not.
znModeratorSean McVay: Todd Gurley "feeling good," not on pitch counthttps://t.co/jQsAfkCMSK pic.twitter.com/l9JtgZQX39
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znModeratorHigbee’s deal raises some interesting questions.
Just to cover the basics and get it down in black and white: 2nd contracts just go up every year. Teams don’t rank the player in relation to others, if he’s a starter he just gets what the 2nd contract market is that year for his position. So for example Wilson got 22 M in 2015 and Carr got 25 M in 2017. Was Carr considered better than Wilson? No…in 2017 qbs were getting more than they were in 2015. That’s it. It’s just next guy up.
So if Higbee were valued as a starting RECEIVING TE he would have gotten a 2nd contract that ranked in the top 2-3. He would just get what the next guy up gets. He didn’t. He got what 2nd contracts for starting TEs were going for before 2016. It would be as if Wentz got Foles money to sign a 2nd contract
Most likely that means he’s NOT valued as a top receiving TE and they don’t intend to make him into one. His deal is below market value for that. Compare that to other recent deals the Rams made. Cooks got more or less exactly what starting WRs were getting on second contracts for 2016. Hav got more or less exactly what ROTs were getting his year.
Since they like Higbee, that most likely means they see him more as supplementing the OL as kind of 6th lineman type TE, and that they value that. Like Celek was with the Eagles before he retired. But guys like that don’t get market value 2nd contracts for the year they’re up.
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