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    summer goth@NicCageMatch
    Just heard a guy at the dog park tell his dog “NO!” and then more quietly, “We talked about this!”

    in reply to: Sanders: Not supporting Biden is irresponsible #113734
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    If I’m still being as clear as mud, apologies in advance.

    So, you’re saying, you’re being perfectly clear and Nittany should apologize. Got it.

    I think calling Nittany “mud” though is a little too strong.

    in reply to: Sanders: Not supporting Biden is irresponsible #113731
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    Ok-she did come out of the Sanders camp. That’s what I was afraid of.

    My 2 cents. The implication with this “Sanders camp” remark is that it’s a motivated political lie. Well we all know that actually the percentage of false accusations with sexual assault are small. And of course this is a guy who was instrumental in trying to discredit Anita Hill.

    The woman has nothing to gain by this and we also know that sexual assault accusations easily turn into blame the victim stuff, which means she has plenty to lose by it.

    in reply to: New Uniforms … update, they’re here #113725
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    Here they are.

    Not what I was expecting.

    .

    in reply to: tweets … 4/16 thru 4/19 #113721
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    in reply to: tweets … 4/16 thru 4/19 #113719
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    in reply to: tweets … 4/16 thru 4/19 #113718
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    in reply to: Brian Allen tested positive for COVID-19 #113710
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    Rich Hammond@Rich_Hammond
    The Rams closed their facility to rehabbing players after Allen’s positive test but it reopened this week. Allen has not be back at the facility, according to the spokesperson.

    Teams have announced that players have tested positive. They don’t have to name the player. They can also feel free to let people know they shuttered their facility.

    ==

    in reply to: Brian Allen tested positive for COVID-19 #113708
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    =

    in reply to: Warren on Biden #113702
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    W, we always have to supply links with articles.

    I fixed this one though.

    in reply to: tweets & such … 4/12 thru 4/15 #113701
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    Rich Hammond@Rich_Hammond
    The Rams hold an option to restructure Jared Goff’s contract to create short-term cap space. It’s written in. There’s no negotiation involved but there still would be a discussion. And, of course — again for the people in the back — a simple restructure is not a pay cut.

    there’s really no negative for the player. As Jared said today, it’s all the same to him. He likely just gets that money up front rather than in 17-week increments.

    Cameron DaSilva@camdasilva
    The Rams are currently in the red salary cap-wise, but Jared Goff would be open to restructuring his contract. Jared Goff on restructuring his contract: ‘I’m all for it’

    Stu Jackson@StuJRams
    Rams QB Jared Goff said it was tough to see RB Todd Gurley and WR Brandin Cooks depart, but understands it’s part of business.

    Moving forward, he says Josh Reynolds has shown the ability to fill Cooks’ role: “I feel so comfortable with Josh. I’m excited to see him grow.”

    LindseyThiry@LindseyThiry
    Rams QB Jared Goff’s advice for any fans who are concerned about the roster turnover: “Just relax – it’s going to be just fine.”

    He also says he’s talked with Todd Gurley several times since he was released

    Gary Klein@LATimesklein
    Goff on whether there is more pressure on him with Gurley gone: “It’s always been on me. It’s always been on the quarterback.”

    in reply to: The Draft is today … & Rams prep for draft day #113695
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    Rams’ draft prep mostly unaffected by working remotely

    Stu Jackson

    https://www.therams.com/news/rams-draft-prep-mostly-unaffected-by-working-remotely

    The COVID-19 pandemic has closed the facilities of NFL teams, forcing them to conduct draft meetings from inside their homes.

    Fortunately for the Rams, the impact of working remotely has been minimal.

    “The plan from here is really get with our IT department and make sure each home is is locked and loaded from an IT standpoint,” Snead said on a video conference last week. “Interestingly, in today’s time, we’re probably finding the number one obstacle is somebody who has an actual phone line, a hard line.”

    Small hurdle to clear aside, Los Angeles has actually been ahead of the curve when it comes to virtual preparations.

    With so many key members of their personnel department living in different parts of the country, they began implementing virtual meetings over the last year and a half, according to Snead, in an effort to make the time scouts spend on the road, away from families and meeting with the front office in-person more efficient.

    “We’ve been practicing this a little bit so it’s not as foreign to us,” Snead said.

    If there is one area where the Rams – and likely other NFL teams – have been impacted the most, it’s top-30 visits.

    Normally, teams are allowed to have up to 30 prospects visit their facilities prior to the draft. Besides a tour of those facilities, those visits also typically include in-person meetings with front office executives, scouts and position coaches, making it an important part of the pre-draft process. Two years ago, the Rams used two of them on future starters Cooper Kupp and Gerald Everett.

    Despite the cancellations of those visits, though, Rams head coach Sean McVay said the thorough background vetting done by the personnel department, especially on prospects’ character, gives the team confidence and peace of mind. McVay also said the tape is the best evaluation tool of a prospect.

    “We’ve had a chance to watch more tape than I know I would in normal a year,” McVay said.

    With that worry out of the way, it appears the phone line hiccup has also been resolved.

    NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport on Monday reported teams’ IT departments have completed their work, including installing cameras in the homes of coaches and general managers for this year’s virtual draft broadcasts and compliance. A systems test will be conducted next week in the form of a mock draft with all 32 teams participating through Microsoft teams, and a separate and secure line established by the NFL for draft trades will also get checked out.

    Between those additional safeguards and the Rams’ early adoption of virtual meetings, the circumstances are more than manageable.

    “I think big picture, right, less distraction at home, probably depending on the age of your kids,” Snead said, chuckling. “But less distraction at home, more specific preparation for meetings and intentional about your communication. You can make this work, for sure.”

    in reply to: Sanders: Not supporting Biden is irresponsible #113692
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    But most progressives apparently do feel that anyone outside their small club are “evil”. And I genuinely believe that is what turned off many a moderate Dem. voter who thought Biden was too old and would have preferred Sanders. But the “you play by my rules or I take my ball and go home ” crowd didn’t help Sanders in the end. And that’s too bad in my opinion.

    Do you envision that kind of statement as an effort to bring progressive voters into the fold and reason them into voting for Biden?

    Cause…that approach is not going to work.

    You’re bashing.

    As a rule, you don’t persuade people through bashing them. Right?

    Regardless how you excuse it.

    ….

    Thx for the lecture. I’m not here to convince anyone. This small board of progressives won’t matter. I’m simply venting and addressing precisely what Sanders was when he said it would be “irresponsible” for his supporters to not support Biden. If that’s bashing-so be it.

    I do believe that any intelligent and fair mined progressive would agree, is that the very worst thing for the disenfranchised, for the poor, the sick, for minorities, for the environment, for the rights of women, for the income inequality, for civil rights across the board, would be another 4 years of the dictator in the WH. Armed with that belief, to sit out an election of this magnitude would indeed be “irresponsible”.

    I also don’t agree that any adult with a fair mind, progressive or not, would sit out an election of this importance because they felt “bashed” on a message board.

    No I don’t agree with all those things and in fact I think you’re being way too optimistic about what Biden is. Biden is the status quo, but a few notches worse. He is no aid or help to the disenfranchised, the poor, the sick, minorities, or the rights of women, and especially not income inequality, or civil rights across the board. He is against things that would make substantial progress in all those areas and he is not for anything that would genuinely represent progress in any of those areas. IMO.

    Either way, the phrase “the lesser of 2 evils” is a time-honored, old idiomatic saying (in fact it goes back to the 14th century) which does not literally indict anyone as “evil,” any more than the phrase “between a rock and a hard place” literally refers to actual rocks or literally hard places. “The lesser” phrase just means the choice between 2 undesirable alternatives, which of course always means undesirable in the eyes of the one using the phrase.

    Added by edit: I guess that’s just me speaking for myself. My colleagues are perfectly fine with the literal use of “evil.

    Either way there’s no unity on this among progressives. WV and I disagreed before on whether to vote for Green or for Clinton. I don’t know about this time but either way, I am not sure it pays to generalize about progressives.

    • This reply was modified 6 years, 5 months ago by Avatar photozn.
    in reply to: Sanders: Not supporting Biden is irresponsible #113686
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    But most progressives apparently do feel that anyone outside their small club are “evil”. And I genuinely believe that is what turned off many a moderate Dem. voter who thought Biden was too old and would have preferred Sanders. But the “you play by my rules or I take my ball and go home ” crowd didn’t help Sanders in the end. And that’s too bad in my opinion.

    Do you envision that kind of statement as an effort to bring progressive voters into the fold and reason them into voting for Biden?

    Cause…that approach is not going to work.

    You’re bashing.

    As a rule, you don’t persuade people through bashing them. Right?

    Regardless how you excuse it.

    ….

    in reply to: when can the NFL start again #113681
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    in reply to: tweets & such … 4/12 thru 4/15 #113680
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    Steve Braband@stevebraband
    What VERY SPECIFIC thing do you miss about sports the most? Be as specific as possible.

    Will Brinson@WillBrinson
    Cornerbacks violently crossing their hands to signal incomplete after absolutely mugging a wide receiver only to act outraged when a flag comes a few seconds later.

    ==

    from Ranking Every NFL Team’s Quarterback Situation — https://www.si.com/nfl/2020/04/10/ranking-ever-team-quarterback-situation?utm_campaign=themmqb&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com

    15. Los Angeles Rams

    Depth chart: Jared Goff, John Wolford

    Despite the fact that I’m clearly favoring Wentz here, I don’t think Goff is a lost cause after a pedestrian showing in Super Bowl LIII and a hot-and-cold 2019. The Rams still have one of the best offensive minds in football calling the shots and, in a slightly different world, the Rams could have inched into the playoffs and done some damage this past winter.

    in reply to: draft talk (April) #113677
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    in reply to: Sanders: Not supporting Biden is irresponsible #113669
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    in reply to: when can the NFL start again #113668
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    Joe Curley@vcsjoecurley
    Vikings QB Kirk Cousins calls playing without fans a potential ‘breath of fresh air’

    in reply to: when can the NFL start again #113667
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    in reply to: tweets & such … 4/12 thru 4/15 #113664
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    Geoff Schwartz@geoffschwartz
    No matter how many teams win without spending heavy at the running back position, y’all are going to keep arguing about the importance of that position. It’s interesting. All the data, evidence and results are right in front of you.

    teams with above average quarterbacks have realized paying running backs isn’t important, and have focused on other positions to help the QB and/or the defense

    Adrian Peterson was drafted into a different NFL. I wouldn’t draft him in the first round in today’s NFL.

    I was on the 2012 team where AP ran for 2000 yards. It was remarkable. Incredible to watch… We played a playoff game with Joe Webb and scored 3 points. The entire time AP was in Minny, the one year they had a chance to win, Favre was the QB.

    ==

    Rams Wire@TheRamsWire
    Rams projected to receive two compensatory picks in 2021 draft

    According to Over the Cap — https://overthecap.com/compensatory-draft-picks-cancellation-chart/#nfc-west-2021 — the Rams are projected to be awarded two compensatory picks in 2021: a third-rounder for Fowler and a fourth for Littleton. The Rams also lost Greg Zuerlein, but their addition of A’Shawn Robinson canceled that seventh-rounder out.

    in reply to: draft talk (April) #113662
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    from Mel Kiper’s latest mock draft for ESPN: https://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2020/insider/story/_/id/29023192/2020-nfl-mock-draft-40-mel-kiper-two-round-predictions-herbert-tagovailoa-more

    With Todd Gurley gone, do the Rams really know what they have at running back? Veteran Malcolm Brown and 2019 third-round pick Darrell Henderson Jr. both averaged less than 4 yards per carry in limited opportunities last season. The 5-foot-7 Edwards-Helaire was tremendous for the national champs in 2019, becoming the first player in SEC history with 1,000 rushing yards and 50 receptions in a season. Give him some receiving reps in L.A. and he’d be a great option for Jared Goff. The Rams also have needs along the offensive line and the front seven.

    Even after trading away Brandin Cooks to get this pick, wide receiver isn’t among the Rams’ most pressing needs. But since I don’t have an edge rusher or guard with a second-round grade, I’m going to look to Duvernay, a dynamic wideout who ranked third in the FBS with 106 catches and fifth with 1,386 receiving yards while working mostly from the slot. Duvernay also ran a 4.39 40 at the combine.

    Avatar photozn
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    I have a theory, myself. I think a Virus wiped out the Dinosaurs. It was a meteor-virus. A big meteor landed and there was an alien corona-virus on it.
    And that was that.

    w
    v

    I’m in a debate with some “elsewhere” who argue that herd immunity will eventually protect us. Not just me debating, I am on a side. Our side argues that herd immunity needs a vaccine, it doesn’t just arise spontaneously. The other side thinks it arises spontaneously. Right now though we don’t even know if you can get this again, and there are signs you can, or some can anyway. They didn’t have a vaccine for the Spanish Flu, and it took 3 years to go away. (Probably because it mutated into something more benign, like, for example, dedicated football fandom).

    in reply to: tweets & such … 4/12 thru 4/15 #113653
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    One of the worst Rams plays

    ever

    …

    in reply to: First official pics from Dune #113640
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    I stopped liking it, I think, once Paul’s son turned into a . . . for lack of a better word . . . monster.

    `

    Don’t know that story. Why, in what way, is he a monster?

    in reply to: Rams to sign CFL all-star kicker Lirim Hajrullahu #113631
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    in reply to: tweets & such … 4/12 thru 4/15 #113626
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    Tom Pelissero@TomPelissero
    The NFL and NFLPA have reached agreement on a voluntary offseason program for 2020, starting next Monday, April 20, per sources. The “virtual period” can begin next Monday, April 20, but — this is key — no on-field work until all 32 club facilities can reopen.

    Key language there: Club facilities will only open in accordance with NFL protocols and federal, state and local rules and regulations. If one or more club facilities must remain closed for any period of time, *all* club facilities must remain closed during that period

    in reply to: tweets & such … 4/12 thru 4/15 #113625
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    At about the four minute mark, he alludes to somethin i never thot about: When the Europeans came to America the viruses they brought kilt 90 percent of the Native Americans — but why wasnt it the other way around? Why didnt Native diseases kill the Europeans?

    There actually is an answer to that.

    The greatest concentration of domesticable wildlife in the world was originally in the Fertile Crescent. Whoever first domesticated those animals also caught diseases from them. That means that that population, over time, essentially consisted of the descendents of the survivors of those diseases. Over even more time that means that wherever those descendents–the original Eurasians–went, they brought those diseases with them as immune carriers. So when Europeans came to the western hemisphere, they were the descendents of the original domesticators, and the new world populations they encountered were entirely vulnerable to them.

    There is only one domesticable animal native to the entire western hemisphere–the llama.

    It’s not just the natives in north america that were wiped out. That was equally true in central and south america.

    BTW taming and domestication are of course entirely different things. Just to get that in.

    Avatar photozn
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    What went wrong with the media’s coronavirus coverage?
    And can we do better?

    https://www.vox.com/recode/2020/4/13/21214114/media-coronavirus-pandemic-coverage-cdc-should-you-wear-masks

    The coronavirus pandemic has crippled America. So far, the virus has killed more than 20,000 people in the United States and has sickened more than 500,000 people.

    It’s clear now that the US government was woefully unprepared for the pandemic, and that’s been reflected in its messaging to the public since the start.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), for instance, didn’t tell the country to stop gathering in groups until March 15 — weeks after a top CDC official announced that the virus would begin spreading throughout the US. And after telling Americans for months that they should not wear masks unless they are sick, the government formally flipped that advice on April 3 and said that everyone should wear some kind of covering on their face in certain public settings.

    Much of the mainstream media amplified this slow and muddled reaction to the rapidly spreading virus. Since alarming reports about Covid-19 began to emerge from China in January, the media often provided information to Americans that later proved to be wrong, or at least inadequate.

    For instance: While President Trump has been correctly pilloried for describing the coronavirus as less dangerous than the flu, that message was commonplace in mainstream media outlets throughout February. And journalists — including my colleagues at Vox — were dutifully repeating exhortations from public health officials not to wear masks for much of 2020.

    As we head into the next phase of the pandemic, and as the stakes mount, it’s worth looking back to ask how the media could have done better as the virus broke out of China and headed to the US.

    Why didn’t we see this coming sooner? And once we did, why didn’t we sound the alarm with more vigor?

    If you read the stories from that period, not just the headlines, you’ll find that most of the information holding the pieces together comes from authoritative sources you’d want reporters to turn to: experts at institutions like the World Health Organization, the CDC, and academics with real domain knowledge.

    The problem, in many cases, was that that information was wrong, or at least incomplete. Which raises the hard question for journalists scrutinizing our performance in recent months: How do we cover a story where neither we nor the experts we turn to know what isn’t yet known? And how do we warn Americans about the full range of potential risks in the world without ringing alarm bells so constantly that they’ll tune us out?

    “Not just saying what we do know, but what we don’t know”

    Let’s be clear: Journalists have been doing crucial reporting about what the US government got wrong as the pandemic advanced, and what US leaders could have done to prepare America. They provided analysis that put the news in context. And they have also provided important on-the-ground dispatches from places around the world that have been devastated by the disease — often at great personal risk — starting at its epicenter in Wuhan, China.

    But when it came to grappling with a new disease they knew nothing about, journalists most often turned to experts and institutions for information, and relayed what those experts and institutions told them to their audience.

    And given that the Covid-19 coronavirus is brand new, even the best-meaning experts and institutions gave conflicting information, some of which now has proven to be inaccurate or up for debate. That includes National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases director Anthony Fauci, who is now the most trusted official in the federal government when it comes to the Covid-19 response, but as late as February was calling the risk from coronavirus “minuscule” and warning people to worry instead about “influenza outbreak, which is having its second wave.”

    “There’s a line between doing aggressive reporting and acting in the role of a public health agency”

    “There’s a line between doing aggressive reporting and kind of acting in the role of a public health agency,” Joe Kahn, the New York Times’s managing editor, told Recode. “And you never have a degree of complete certainty about the medical analysis, and the epidemiology.”

    That degree of uncertainty is much larger when it comes to a new virus that moves around the world as quickly as a plane. It’s a problem that comes built into the reporting. Perhaps the only solution journalists have is to simply say: The experts we talked to aren’t sure, but they’re trying to find out.

    Laura Helmuth, who was the health and science editor at the Washington Post and recently left to become editor-in-chief of Scientific American, says acknowledging gaps in knowledge is crucial but not easy.

    “One thing that science journalists have been getting better at is not just saying what we do know, but what we don’t know,” she says. “But most journalists aren’t accustomed to doing that.”

    And that assumes the journalists themselves have the expertise to ask the right experts. Mainstream journalists who know how to read and understand academic research reports are a select group and have been for decades. Many midsize newspapers once employed dedicated science journalists, but those jobs have been dwindling for years. (One reason that Stat, a publication that launched in 2015, which specializes in medical and science reporting, has been so valuable during this crisis is that it employs dozens of expert journalists who once did this work for other outlets.)

    But Zeynep Tufekci, a professor at the University of North Carolina’s School of Information and Library Science who specializes in the intersection between technology and society, argues that the mainstream media should have been able to understand the threat facing the country much earlier.

    Writing in the Atlantic on March 24, she says the threat should have been obvious as early as January 29, when a New England Journal of Medicine paper described the virus’s speed, cunning, and lethality. Tufekci shared the paper on Twitter and said that “with an urgent enormous effort, this could be contained.” But back then, widespread lockdowns and enforced social distancing for everyone regardless of their symptoms were hard to imagine, even for Tufekci. “For all of us, washing hands often and not touching one’s face and self-isolating if feverish are the sensible steps—as in any flu season,” she tweeted.

    Tufekci’s critique is that many journalists who covered the outbreak in the first couple of months of the year weren’t analytical enough: “Thus from the end of January through most of February, a soothing message got widespread traction, not just with Donald Trump and his audience, but among traditional media in the United States, which exhorted us to worry about the flu instead, and warned us against overreaction. It seemed sensible, grown-up, and responsible.”

    Some of that advice shows up in memes that highlight headlines from a range of respected media outlets that now seem terribly misleading after new information came to light. (You won’t find any Vox headlines in the collage below on flu comparisons, but as many people have pointed out, my colleagues at Vox published some stories and tweets with similar angles.)

    But, again: Those stories didn’t just materialize out of reporters’ heads. They were informed by experts trying to make sense of something they hadn’t seen before.

    For instance, Maimuna Majumder, an epidemiologist at Harvard Medical School, told BuzzFeed News in late January — in a story originally titled “Don’t Worry About The Coronavirus. Worry About The Flu” — that some worst-case projections about the disease’s velocity were “absolutely premature and hyperbolic.”

    A January 29 piece from Axios explained, “Why we panic about coronavirus, but not the flu.” It quoted an infectious diseases physician at the University of Nebraska, an epidemiologist at the University of Michigan, and a professor of preventive medicine at Vanderbilt University to make the argument that the flu should be Americans’ real concern.

    The same was true for a much-discussed Recode piece from February 13 that looked at the way Silicon Valley was responding to the virus. That story relied on information from the CDC as well as an infectious disease physician at Stanford Health Care, who said that “the chances are astonishingly low that you would come into contact with a coronavirus infection” at work or in a public setting. Building on those interviews, it repeated the argument that “the fact remains that, so far, the flu has impacted far more people.” Though true at the time, this clearly missed where the virus was headed.

    But even now, months after we first learned about the virus, scientists are still learning the nitty-gritty of how it spreads and the extent to which it lingers in airborne droplets and aerosols that can infect others. That makes it hard to answer a question like, “can you contract the virus just by breathing in the same space as someone who’s infected?” We don’t know the full answer and may not for some time, and that’s why the institutions that employ these experts have been giving journalists and the public contradictory advice along the way.

    That back-and-forth can be jarring, even if we’ve become accustomed to continual contradictions from our government leaders. The Trump administration has conditioned Americans to a reality where the president routinely announces something in the morning, backtracks it shortly afterward, and later pretends he never said it. So when he does say something, it’s pored over immediately to check for falsehoods and (usually) treated with appropriate skepticism.

    You can argue that American newsrooms should use the same kind of scrutiny when it comes to pronouncements from institutions — including ones like the CDC, which generally don’t make news. But it’s not a stance Americans are used to seeing, particularly in the middle of a catastrophe, when people want reassurance and guidance.

    An obvious but important point: All of the coverage we’re discussing here doesn’t include Fox News and the rest of the pro-Trump media infrastructure, because it would be unrealistic to expect useful coverage from that infrastructure. With the narrow exception of Tucker Carlson, that apparatus simply provided an echo chamber and feedback loop for Trump’s messaging, so that when Trump said he expected the virus to “miraculously” disappear, they said the same, and when he said it was time to take it seriously, they did the same. This did a deadly disservice to an enormous swath of the country, which takes its cues from those outlets. But it’s not surprising. “Misinformation from the Trump administration is the biggest challenge,” Helmuth says. “Really good reporters are wasting a ton of time refuting misinformation from the White House.”

    “In a fundamental way, news is bad at communicating risk”

    But even if you’re inclined to give the media a pass for its performance before the pandemic hit the US, what about the second phase? When we knew it was coming and that it would be bad?

    You can’t argue that Americans had mixed messaging by that point: On February 25, CDC official Nancy Messonnier told reporters that she expected to see the coronavirus appear in the US via “community spread” — meaning people would become infected without knowingly coming into contact with other infected people — and that “disruption to everyday life might be severe.”

    But even after that, worrisome news about the spread and effects of the virus, which was moving across Asia and showing up in Europe, competed with coverage of the Democratic primary and other stories of the moment, like Harvey Weinstein’s sentencing for sexual assault. And stories that did cover the virus often focused on the Trump administration’s moves — like his decision to put Mike Pence (theoretically) in charge of a virus response team — instead of plainly telling Americans that they could be facing huge death tolls and a devastated economy.

    “I think people were worried about being alarmist,” MSNBC host Chris Hayes told Recode. But Hayes also says that figuring out the right degree of alarm to sound is a basic problem for journalists.

    “In a fundamental, definitional way, news is bad at communicating risk,” he said. Telling you about a plane crash is news, but it doesn’t convey the risk of flying — it overstates it, by giving it prominence. The same with local crime stories. Meanwhile, telling you about a pandemic that’s about to overtake the country, kill tens of thousands of people, and crater the economy is very hard to do when it hasn’t happened yet, but there’s a chance it could.

    This core challenge for journalists won’t go away after the pandemic: There are always going to be threats that could eventually lead to disaster, but most of them don’t. If we holler every time we see one, we’ll be wrong and no one will listen to us. If we don’t holler when there’s a real one, we will have let down our audience.

    I first started poking a few weeks ago at the idea of whether the mainstream media should have been more alarmist about the coronavirus sooner. When I talked to Brian Stelter, CNN’s media reporter, on March 10, he told me he didn’t want to cause “undue fear” in his coverage, and that extended to the way he edited the on-air chyrons that ran during his Reliable Sources show.

    For instance, Stelter said at the time that he was stripping out the word “deadly” whenever he saw the phrase “deadly virus.”

    “Everyone knows it’s a deadly virus,” he said. “You don’t have to call it ‘deadly virus’ every time. It’s a virus. We don’t call the flu the ‘deadly flu.’”

    As Stelter noted, a lot of this comes down to packaging: How and when do you communicate the most important news to people, and how do you balance the need to not scare them prematurely with the need to scare them into action?

    “Anything you say in advance of a pandemic seems alarmist. Anything that you’ve done after it starts is inadequate.”

    “The media should be screaming about it,” says Laura Helmuth. “They should be saying that the states that don’t have stay-at-home orders are killing people, that politicizing this is killing people.”

    In some cases, the screaming was there, but you had to work to hear it. You wouldn’t find it in a headline or the top of a newscast, but if you absorbed the whole thing, you’d find news that would scare you into some kind of action.

    My sort-of come-to-Jesus moment started on February 27 when I listened to Times reporter Donald McNeil on the paper’s Daily podcast. He said the worst-case scenario was a repeat of the 1918 flu pandemic, which killed 50 million people worldwide and at least 675,000 in the United States.

    In that version, McNeil said calmly: Everybody in the US would “know somebody who dies.”

    It’s most gripping in audio form, but I want to pull out a section here:

    Donald G. McNeil Jr.
    Some big chunk of the country — 30, 40, 50 percent — are likely to get a new virus when it blows through. And if you don’t get it in the first wave, you might get it in the second wave.

    Michael Barbaro
    And 2 percent lethality rate of 50 percent of the country. I don’t want to do that math. It’s really, really awful.

    McNeil
    It’s a lot of people. It means, you know, you don’t die, 80 percent of people have mild cases. But you know somebody who dies.

    Barbaro
    That’s pretty horrible … Okay. Now, the best-case scenario.

    McNeil
    The best-case scenario is one of these drugs works, and basically everybody gets sick next year, but everybody who is hospitalized gets a drug that keeps them from dying and keeps them from going into deep, deep, deep respiratory distress. And we have the equivalent of a bad flu season. And then everybody says, ‘Oh, the media, they blew it out of proportion again.’ You know, it’s all ridiculous. And, you know, I get blamed.

    That was enough for me — sort of. I didn’t change my plans to travel to Los Angeles the following week, but I did start assuming that the rest of my spring plans were going to be up in the air. And I told my family that we should start buying food — not in panic, but slowly. And I wondered how The Daily’s millions of listeners would respond.

    But, again, if you just scanned the title of that day’s Daily episode, you might not realize that a New York Times reporter was projecting that the best-case scenario for America was that “everybody gets sick” over the next year but could be saved from serious illness via yet-to-be-developed drugs. And that the worst case was more American deaths than we suffered in World War II. That Title: “The Coronavirus Goes Global.”

    The truth is, there’s no good answer to this. You can be as diligent about your sourcing as possible and still get it wrong if the experts you talk to get it wrong. And you can err on the side of not scaring people, when scaring people into action may be the only thing that saves their lives. I don’t know that we’ll do better next time, and we may just have to live with it — no matter how early the warnings are.

    Let’s end by traveling back in time to January 27, to watch an exchange you probably didn’t see when it aired: CNBC’s Brian Sullivan interviewing former Utah Gov. Mike Leavitt, who was also the head of the Department of Health and Human Services from 2005 to 2009.

    Leavitt was arguing that if the coronavirus made it to the US, it would be nearly impossible to confine it. But you can see Sullivan struggling, in real time, with how much fear to strike in his audience.

    Mike Leavitt
    There will be a period of time, if this starts to spread, where people will need to change their behavior. These will be the same kind of provisions that every family, every business, every community, every employer, needs to be thinking about, not just for a pandemic virus but for many kinds of emergencies.

    Brian Sullivan
    But we also have to walk, I would imagine, that very fine and difficult line, Governor, which is: You don’t want to scare people unnecessarily. We do have five cases. Nobody is minimizing any of those five cases or what is happening. But you also don’t want to create a situation where people may begin to act irrational.

    Leavitt
    [Pause] So here’s the problem. Anything you say in advance of a pandemic seems alarmist. Anything that you’ve done after it starts is inadequate.

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