Turning point: Rams fail to finish

By Nick Wagoner

http://espn.go.com/blog/st-louis-rams/post/_/id/14628/turning-point-rams-fail-to-finish

EARTH CITY, Mo. — A look back at the turning point of the St. Louis Rams’ 12-6 loss to the Arizona Cardinals on Thursday night:

The situation: After five consecutive three-and-outs in the third quarter, the Rams offense was desperately seeking traction in its bid to forge a comeback from a 12-3 deficit. Quarterback Shaun Hill connected with tight end Jared Cook and receiver Stedman Bailey for gains of 15 and 38 yards, respectively and the Rams were finally moving the ball. In fact, they got all the way to Arizona’s 7 where they had a chance to score the game’s first touchdown and put themselves in position to steal the game in the closing moments. This isn’t a total focus on one play so much as a sequence that ultimately might have cost the Rams the game.

As it then stood, the Rams faced first-and-goal at Arizona’s 7 with 7:29 to go and a nine-point deficit.

The play: On first down, the Rams opted to hand it off to running back Tre Mason. In a familiar sight on the day, Mason had nowhere to go as he attempted to power up the middle. He was stopped for no gain. On second down, Hill found Bailey over the middle for a completion. Bailey gave it everything he had to try to get into the end zone but he was stopped a yard short to set up third-and-goal at Arizona’s 1. Now, the Rams have struggled mightily to run the ball on third- and fourth-and-1 this year. The Rams are last in yards per carry in those situations at 1.09 and had been stopped on a run in a similar situation on their first possession. With that in mind, it was pretty clear what they were going to do on third down. Problem was, Arizona knew it, too.

The Rams lined up in a typical goal line power formation with tight ends Lance Kendricks and Jared Cook attached to the line to the right and left, respectively, Cory Harkey offset at fullback and Benny Cunningham in the backfield. At the snap, Hill faked a handoff to Cunningham but Arizona doesn’t bite and all of its defenders stayed home to prevent any of the possible pass-catchers from leaking out into free space. Kendricks never even made it past the line of scrimmage and, as Hill rolled to his right, Cook tried to find space in the back of the end zone but was double-covered. Hill threw the ball out of the end zone.

“The one in particular, third down there late in the game (on the 1-yard line), they did a good job of taking it all away,” Hill said. “They really did. You’ve got to give them credit, too.”

The fallout: There was some discussion about whether Jeff Fisher should have gone for it on fourth-and-1 but considering the Rams’ struggles to convert in those situations and the need to make it a one-possession game, it’s understandable why he took the points. On the other hand, the concern with kicking there was that you were leaving your best chance at a touchdown on the field. Indeed, the Rams didn’t get that close again and ended up losing by six. A touchdown there might have changed things but, as Fisher pointed out, it wasn’t about the fourth-down decision so much as his team’s inability to finish before it that killed their chances.

“We’re down there first down, and down their second down, and down their third down,” Fisher said. “We had opportunities. But if we don’t get points then we’re in trouble. So we needed 10, we got three thinking that we had plenty of time and would have a shot.”

And they did but never one as good as the three that passed them by.

wv wrote:

Everybody wanted to talk all that stuff about how great their defense is. I think they saw a good defense tonight, it was in red and white,” Arians said before talking about his 143 rushing yards. “We blocked them. I think they had been reading their press clippings way too much.”

Why is Arians so hostile? Makes me root against them going forward.

Big test for both Rams, Arizona

By Bernie Miklasz

http://www.stltoday.com/sports/columns/bernie-miklasz/bernie-big-test-for-both-rams-arizona/article_c5d366ea-2676-589e-90cf-23a78dd2a9c5.html

Minutes after his Rams had completed a thorough 24-0 thwacking of the tackling dummies dressed in Washington Redskins’ costumes, coach Jeff Fisher stepped to a podium and actually said this:

“We can play better.”

This wasn’t a meaningless example of predictable coach-speak; Fisher truly believed it.

Think about that for a few seconds. In the last two weeks the Rams jacked the Oakland Raiders 52-0, then added to the misery in Washington by imposing a second consecutive shutout.

Two games, two wins, and a preposterous 76-0 point differential. But Fisher wants more from his team. And he thinks they can give it. The players agree.

“I feel like we were playing well as a team,” quarterback Shaun Hill said. “You can’t just say, ‘Well, we’ve turned the corner, now it’s time to relax.’ You’ve got to keep doing the same things that you’ve been doing that have got you to this point. That’s the way it is in the NFL. You’ve got to just keep going, keep churning and keep working — and this group does that.”

This leads us into tonight’s game against the Arizona Cardinals at the Edward Jones Dome. The Rams are only 6-7 but trending favorably. They’ve gone 5-3 in their last eight games, are 3-1 since Hill was plugged back in at quarterback, and are cracking opponents with a bruising level of defense.

This Rams’ run has featured wins over Seattle, San Francisco and Denver plus the curb-stomping wipeouts of Oakland and Washington. But tonight presents an opportunity to knock down the 10-3 Cardinals, the leaders of the cantankerous NFC West Division.

The Cardinals are no fluke; over the past 22 games they’re tied with Denver and New England for the best record (17-5) in the NFL.

The football nation will be tuning in to the NFL Network to check out the Rams to see if this team is truly on the rise — or just randomly hot. After a 1-4 start to the season, the Rams have a chance to complete their difficult climb to a .500 record.

In short, it’s an appealing showcase for a franchise that has staggered, wandered and limped to a 57-115-1 record since posting its last winning season in 2003.

“Right now we’ve got a little momentum and we just have to keep it,” Fisher said Wednesday. “Really outstanding opponent we’re playing and they’re one of the top seeds right now. This will be a good chance for us to really see how we match up with some of the elite teams in the league.”

Symbolic of their improved performance, the Rams are a four-point favorite over the Cardinals. They’re the betting favorite for the third consecutive game, which hasn’t been the case since Fisher took command of a massive franchise cleanup in 2012. At least they’ve captured the gamblers’ attention and respect.

The national cable audience will inspect a hell-raising Rams defense that has 29 sacks and 15 takeaways while surrendering only six touchdowns from scrimmage over the past six games. Among NFL defenses, only Seattle (219) has allowed fewer points from scrimmage than the Rams (221) this season.

“This is a good, young group,” Rams defensive coordinator Gregg Williams said. “We’ve eliminated some of those miscommunication things from a young standpoint, from an experience standpoint. They’re playing very well. We’ve got to take the next step. We’ve still got to put whatever it is behind us. It’s, ‘What have you done for me lately and how have you played for me today?’ We’ve got to get ready to play the next one.”

Curious helmet heads will look in to scrutinize the breakaway potential of Rams rookie running back Tre Mason, the emergence of all-purpose playmaker Tavon Austin, the deep-ball threat of wide receiver Kenny Britt and the seam-busting routes of tight end Jared Cook.

The ornery Fisher may even throw in a trick play or two … though I don’t think the mischievous coach can top what he pulled on Sunday in Washington, when he trolled the Redskins by sending out the six players procured by the Rams through the Robert Griffin III trade to represent the Rams in the pregame coin toss.

This is a winnable game for the home team. The Cardinals, only 3-3 on the road this season, are averaging only 19.7 points (ranking 24th) away from their home base.

Quarterback Drew Stanton — the replacement for the injured Carson Palmer — has the NFL’s worst passer rating (65.3) on the road this season. And be it home or away, the Arizona offense has scored only two touchdowns from scrimmage in its last 15 quarters.

Under Williams, the Rams have called more blitzes than any team in the league this season. And they’ll be going after Stanton tonight.

The Cardinals, however, remain dangerous. Their defense is among the league’s toughest, and the Big Red franchise already has won 10 games for the second consecutive season. You have to go back to the peak seasons of Don Coryell in St. Louis to find the last streak of consecutive 10-win seasons for the Cardinals.

Local football historians will recall that the entertaining Cardinals of Coryell, Dan Dierdorf, Jackie Smith, Roger Wehrli, Jim Hart, Mel Gray and Terry Metcalf won 31 games between 1974 and ‘76.

A contingent of “Greatest Show” era St. Louis Rams — including Marshall Faulk, Kurt Warner, Orlando Pace and Dick Vermeil — will be in the house tonight.

It all makes for good theater.

But this is serious business.

The game is an undeniable credibility check for the Rams. With skepticism increasing, this is another test for the Cardinals, who are desperately trying to hold off the surging Seahawks (9-4) in the NFC West.

The combination of factors makes for an enticing matchup. Given the ferocity of both defenses, this game likely will have the subtlety of a UFC brawl.

“We’ve got to just keep getting these wins,” Cook said. “We’re a team that’s still growing. And we’ve got big things ahead of us. But we have to keep winning.”

Cook is right. The Rams have teased their fans before — inflating hopes, then letting everyone down.

Well, that can change tonight. Fisher believes his squad can play even better, and you want to believe that it’s true. The pressure is on the Rams to come through with an emphatic victory at home. Will the Rams respond, or relapse? It’s time to buckle up.

Hey guys. I am going to merge this with the other “thotz on the ARZ game” thread.

Mackeyser wrote:

Hill has really been a blessing and I think he’s just a LOT better than folks think, including opposing defenses.

I think opposing defenses think of him as “the 2nd string QB” and he shouldn’t be viewed that way. He should be viewed as a middling starter because I’d totally take him over “starters” like Geno Smith…

If the Rams can enter next year with Bradford, Hill and a high rook like maybe Hundley or Connor Cook… and sit Hundley and let him really learn (and sell him on being the next Aaron Rodgers with this D) then I think the Rams are set even if Bradford can’t really come back until mid-season.

And, I really, REALLY don’t want Sam Bradford coming back too early and risking his knee. Hill can carry the banner until Bradford is really, really ready. Unless the rook is lights out and just flat out earns the starting spot like Wilson did when he was drafted…. I think we’re good with Hill and Sammy B.

I agree with practically every word of that.

Dammit, message boards are not supposed to be about AGREEMENT.

They’re supposed to be about pointless drama queen style bickering.

Oh well, I guess this “agreement” thing has its good points too.

We’ll just have to agree to agree I guess.

.

from off the net

===

XXXIVwin

Shaun Hill Part Two–Skillset (note: part 1 is in this thread]/color])

Every year I get Lindy’s draft magazine, and they rate QB’s on the following categories: Setup/Release, Accuracy, Arm Strength, Reading Defenses, On The Move, and Intangibles.

The following are some of my own personal thoughts as an ardent Ram fan. I’m not a scout (nor did I stay at a Holiday Inn last night), but I just wanted to articulate why I am impressed by Shaun Hill’s game. Everyone sees things differently– beauty is in the eye of the beholder– but for those of you who have your doubts about Hill, I hope you can (at least try) to understand the point of view of those (like myself) who think Shaun Hill is significantly under-rated.

Setup/Release: Excellent.

“Decisive and quick release” is the gold standard in this category… and Hill has got it in spades. I think one could say this is his greatest strength. When Fisher made the move to go from Davis back to Hill, he cited this as the primary reason– Davis, as a young player, tended to hold on to the ball too long, and then when the play broke down, he’d try to make something happen with his feet. Hill is the opposite– he’s decisive, quick, and gets the ball OUT of there early… exactly what a veteran NFL QB is supposed to do.

Example: Rainbow to Britt for (30 or so) yards to Kenny Britt on the final drive of the Chargers game. (Yes, yes… this ended (of course) with Hill’s worst mistake as a Ram– but as even Fisher pointed out in his defense, he at least Hill GOT the team in position to win the game at the end). Anyway– on this pass to Britt, Hill throws with great anticipation, a rainbow which hangs in the air for what Tike Barber commented “seemed like 15 seconds!” Some may not be impressed, but I agree with Tiki– this was a GREAT throw.

RECAP: There are many, many examples of Hill’s decisive setup and release. Fisher chose him mainly for this reason, and Mike Martz said of Hill that he was impressed by his “speed of delivery and decision making” in games. Maybe the rainbow to Britt isn’t the “best” example of this trait, but my point is he plays with great ANTICIAPTION– he gets the ball out EARLY based on where his receiver WILL BE after his break.

Accuracy: Excellent

To me, Hill’s accuracy is on a par with Bradford’s… it’s just a different “kind” of accuracy. If you want to hit a soda can sitting on a fence from 30 yards away with a bullet, Sam Bradford’s your man. But Shaun Hill’s game is different… he “throws his receivers open.” IMHO, Hill does a fantastic job of placing the ball in a spot where his receiver has a chance to get the ball, even if he is being defended closely by quality NFL coverage.

EXAMPLES: There are many plays to choose from. For me, I still remember being impressed by Shaun Hill’s accuracy way back in preseason… his very last throw in the Cleveland game was an absolute STRIKE to Brian Quick… Quick was in the end zone, moving left, and Hill had to wait for him to get open and then threw the ball in a tight, tight window through a bunch of bodies where only Quick could get it…. Quick actually dropped it, but I remember thinking, that was the PERFECT throw in that situation.

But more typical of the “Shaun Hill type of accuracy” was his very first TD pass in preseason– an EARLY throw to Stedman Bailey, to his OUTSIDE shoulder, placed in the spot where only Bailey could get it, and the announcers (Holt and Faulk among them) raving about how well-placed the ball was.

RECAP: I did not take the time to “research” specifically plays from the regular season… but there are many of them. The key thing for me is how Hill throws early and to a spot where only his receiver can catch it. It may not be as pretty as other QB’s with a different style, who more routinely “zip it in there” in a tight window. But Hill’s early, well-timed, accurately placed throws can be deadly effective.

Arm Strength: Good.

Shaun Hill has more than adequate arm strength, he just does. I remember Fisher talking about how they would not need to adjust the playbook for Shaun after Bradford went down, specifically because Hill had enough arm strength to “make all the throws.”

Examples: Two plays stick out to me from the last WAS game. Hill’s first pass of the game: Rams are backed up on their own 16 yd line, 3rd down and 11 with 9:07 to go in the 1st Quarter. Hill goes back and just launches one to Jared Cook down the middle for a gain of 16. Hill put his whole body behind it and just cranked it, the ball came out (clichéd but this is what came to mind) like shot out of a cannon. Hill doesn’t always crank it like this– his throws are more about anticipation and timing– but when he NEEDS to, he CAN crank it. Also: On 1st and 15 with 3:20 left in the first half, Kenny Britt does his stop-and-go down the right sideline. Hill is rolling right, and a little off balance he “chucks” it deep to Britt for the successful completion. This is a standard Rams play that we’ve seen before… quite memorably, Austin Davis tried this play (also intended for Britt deep down the right sideline) against KC. I seem to remember Davis torqued his whole body and really made the effort to launch it, but the ball just died on him and it fell short for the interception.

RECAP: Shaun Hill has plenty of arm strength to be a winning NFL QB. Hill tailors his game so it’s more about good decision making and timing… but when he needs to crank it, he has the ability required.

Reading Defenses: Excellent

Again, IMHO this is one of Hill’s greatest strengths. Hill is a veteran who has LEARNED from his vast experience.

Examples: Below is a transcript of one of Jeff Fisher’s comments about Hill after the Raiders game:

(On how QB Shaun Hill maneuvered out of some plays to get the ball out quick and how much freedom and structure he has with getting the ball out quicker)
Fisher: “Well I think in most situations, with the exceptions of third down stuff. First and second down stuff quarterbacks have options, whether they’re run-run options or whether they’re run-pass options. That’s all built in. He took advantage of the built in options, but he also completely changed some things that actually worked out pretty well for us. As I said, our plan was to run the football and it wasn’t there so we had that little quick pass game option. Which in essence, in that case, is still a part of the running game, but it worked for us. It tended to soften some things up for us.”

Keeping in mind Fisher’s comments, I re-watched the opening drive against the Raiders. (Hill was 4 for 4 for 50-some yards capped by a TD).

–After a Raider penalty to make it 1st and 5, Hill throws a completion to Harkey on his left for 8 yards and a first down.

–Next play was (I believe) initially a run-call. But when Hill saw that Tavon was on his left, lined up “stacked” behind Kenny Britt– and the Raiders D was playing too “soft”. To me, this was a prime example of Hill taking advantage of “the little quick pass game option” that was “in essence a part of the running game.” Hill made a quick “sight read” to just immediately pass to Austin with a Rams WR as a blocker in front of him– essentially like a handoff to Austin out wide in space. Austin picks up 6 yards.

–2nd and 4, with Austin lined up the same way, just on the opposite side, on the right, again “stacked” behind Kenny Britt. Raiders again did not respect it enough, so again Hill made them play– a sight-read quick-pass to Austin, who beats his man and picks up the first down. Move the chains, keep Austin involved, give him the ball quick and right away in space. Just seemed like a great veteran move on Hill’s part– if you keep giving us this play, we’ll keep taking it until you have to adjust.

–On the final play of the drive, Tavon Austin goes in motion and at the snap for a THIRD STRAIGHT TIME is lined up “stacked” behind an outside WR. The Rams had the PERFECT play call, Hill faked the third-straight quick-out to Tavon on his left, but then turned around and threw the screen to Mason on his right. The Raider MLB completely bit on the fake and took himself out of the play, and Mason rambled down the right sideline for the TD. Just great game management from Shaun Hill– take what the defense gives you, force them to adjust, and then execute the killer “counter” play. Schottenheimer and Hill obviously saw something on film about this, and they worked together to exploit it.

RECAP: To me, “reading defenses” is one thing I love about Shaun Hill– all the stuff we as fans DON’T see when it comes to game planning and in-game adjustments. I just trust that he is like an extra coach out there, and making smart decisions… the difference between winning and losing in the NFL is so small, and just a few plays based on savvy and experience can be crucial.

On the Move: Good Enough

Obviously Shaun Hill is no runner, but to me I think he has enough of that “sixth sense” of detecting where the rush is coming from and shifting/sliding in the pocket to extend plays. (BTW, this is my biggest concern about Bradford even when healthy– I just am concerned that Bradford is decidedly below-average in this department, he often looks slow as molasses when “evading” the rush… but that is a different conversation.)

EXAMPLE: The naked bootleg for the TD! The speed, the grace, the power… no, just kiddingthumbs up smiley… (though he CAN pick up yards if he needs to with his feet)

My real example: 3rd and 3 at their own 22yd. line, early in the 3rd quarter against the Denver Broncos. Rams were only up 13-7 at this point, and I think we as fans did NOT want the Rams to go 3-and-out and give Peyton Manning a short-field with the chance to take the lead. Anyway… Hill feels the pressure from the rush, and has to shift to his left, and kinda-while moving backwards and to his left throws a pass to Benny Cunningham’s outside shoulder (or hip) despite blanket coverage, and Rams gain 7 and keep the chains moving. The play-by-play announcer comments on the continued impressive play throughout the game thus far(“Hill continues to make good decisions”winking smiley, while Dan Fouts (a good evaluator of QB play, ya think?) raves that Hill’s throw is “tremendous.” I believe that Fisher also made particular note of this play after the game, as an example of how Shaun Hill has the ability to “extend plays.”

RECAP: Yes, as a runner Shaun Hill is no Colin Kaepernick. (embarrassed smileyHa– no comment). But as is required for pocket passers, Shaun Hill does have the knack for shifting and sliding in the pocket to extend plays when he needs to.

Intangibles– Excellent.

Obviously, this is subjective. But from what I’ve seen, I’d agree with some of Mike Martz’s recent comments about Hill– that Hill is “a winner”, a “tremendous leader,” and “the fiercest competitor on your football team.”

EXAMPLE: After the first half of the recent WAS game, Shaun Hill reportedly had a meeting to rally the offense, and in particular with Joe Barksdale, who had allowed Ryan Kerrigan to get into his head. (Apparently Corey Harkey lit into the team too). The point is, from all I’ve heard, Shaun Hill is a respected veteran who is not afraid to be vocal and call people out (if necessary) and do whatever it takes to be a leader.[Frankly, I remember hearing about this, but did not want to spend forever tracking down a link to “prove” my point… if some other poster can find a link –Rams43 mentioned this as well– feel free to help me out here!]

RECAP: For me, the “intangibles” is all about an emotional reaction to watching Shaun Hill at QB. There is just something in his play which inspires a quiet calm confidence. For me, I noticed it at halftime of the WAS game– despite the Rams clearly outplaying Washington, they were only up 6-0 as Jeff Wilkins right before halftime missed his THIRD straight kick. It would have been so easy, and predictable, for me to think “oh, here it is again, that same ugly pattern– Rams win, then lose, win, then lose. And they play well at the beginning, but then they blow it in the second half.” But Shaun Hill had driven the team to the ‘Skins 20 yard line at the end of the half, and–even though Wilkins looked scary unreliable– I just had a confidence that Shaun Hill would do his part to make smart decisions and he wouldn’t let adversity derail the offense, he’d keep the offense chugging along. Frankly, with both Davis (this year) and Bradford, during games I often have this uneasy feeling that the wheels “could” come off… but there is something about Hill that makes me think you are going to keep getting solid, smart, steady play throughout the game.

BOTTOM LINE

In my opinion, Shaun Hill has good enough mobility to extend plays, has good arm strength, has excellent accuracy and the ability to “throw receivers open”, and is superior in the three categories of Setup/Release, Reading Defenses, and Intangibles. IMHO, despite his casual “aw shucks” Kansas demeanor, he is a fierce, under-rated competitor who has been a WINNER whenever he’s been given the chance.

Hill does not have a “pretty” game– but that is what I find beautiful about it. Some of his passes may wobble, but they get to the right spot. And he does all those little veteran-things that help put his team in the right position. Maybe because Hill’s game is more cerebral and not as pretty, many posters look at his impressive over-90 passer rating and 3-1 record as a full-game starter and react with “yawn” and “ho-hum” and are inclined to look under rocks for any old FA QB who could just “replace” Hill. I just think Hill is a hugely under-rated asset for the Rams. I’m afraid we all might feel like Martz did after the 2008 season, when the 49ers started 2-6 with JT O’Sulllivan but finished 5-3 with Hill as QB…like Martz, we might look back and think “Hill should’ve been the starter all season” and wonder what might have been.

My only knock on Hill is his age– if he were 32, that would be awesome. But maybe after reading my two (longish) posts, at least some on here would at least understand my reasoning why I think the Rams should keep him– and consider giving Hill the keys to the car in 2015 and see how far he can drive this team. Given that Hill is a pocket passer who counts on quick decision-making, I think he should have at least 2 more good years left in him. (Heck, given his many years stuck as a backup he probably has less “wear” on him.)

And don’t just take my word for it– our old friends from the GSOT days seem to love him. Martz sings his praises; Kurt Warner recently gave Hill credit for being the “difference maker” for the Rams resurgent offense; I can still remember how Holt was gushing about Hill’s “tremendous” play during pre-season; D’Marco Farr is sky-high on him, too.

In closing, check out this cool (short 50-sec.) link to Marshall Faulk asking all NFL fans, “Who is the crafty veteran on your team?”

Faulk, with his enthusiastic style, talks about the experienced vet who does all those little things that help his team win– but doesn’t show up on the score sheet. IMHO, Shaun Hill can be that “crafty veteran,” a great leader for the young talent Snisher have stockpiled the last few years.

W2W4: St. Louis Rams

By Nick Wagoner

http://espn.go.com/blog/st-louis-rams/post/_/id/14500/w2w4-st-louis-rams-18

EARTH CITY, Mo. — The St. Louis Rams and the Arizona Cardinals kick off Week 15 on Thursday at the Edward Jones Dome. Kickoff is set for 8:25 p.m. ET on NFL Network.

Here are three things to watch from the Rams’ perspective:

1. Sacking Stanton: Arizona quarterback Drew Stanton has had his ups and downs since taking over for Carson Palmer, but all told he’s 4-3 as the starter. Still, Stanton’s home/road splits are pretty glaring and he’s entering an extremely difficult situation against a Rams’ pass rush that is every bit as ferocious right now as it was expected to be at the beginning of the season. The Rams have 34 sacks since Week 7, most in the league in that time and have seen their rank in total sacks go from last in the league to tied for seventh in that time. Making matters more complicated for Arizona is the fact Jonathan Cooper is still settling in as the starter at left guard with right guard Paul Fanaika and left tackle Jared Veldheer battling ankle injuries. Stanton is 3-0 with an 80.7 QBR at home but those numbers fall to 1-3 with a 34.2 QBR when the Cardinals travel.

2. Big-play chances: Quarterback isn’t the only position with a new look for the Cardinals since the Rams last played them. Arizona is dealing with even more injury issues in the secondary, having since lost Tyrann Mathieu to a thumb injury and cornerback Antonio Cromartie now dealing with an ankle issue. Mathieu is out for Thursday night and Cromartie’s situation is more unclear, but either way, it could open some opportunities for the Rams to make some big plays in the passing game. That’s been something quarterback Shaun Hill has done pretty well since he’s been starting. For the season, Hill is 13-of-27 on passes traveling at least 15 yards in the air for 369 yards, two touchdowns and one interceptions for a QBR of 98.3. Those big plays have often gone to receiver Kenny Britt in recent weeks, but tight end Jared Cook and receiver Stedman Bailey have also been in on the action. Arizona’s secondary had a big day against the Rams in the first meeting but with Hill under center, St. Louis should be better equipped to take care of the ball and make some plays in the passing game.

3. Stick to the formula: Speaking of taking care of the ball, I see no reason to change what’s working for the Rams in recent weeks. The formula isn’t hard to figure out. Don’t turn the ball over, take the ball away and you are in great position to win. The Rams didn’t have any turnovers in Washington last week and improved to 4-0 on the season when they don’t give it away. That’s not a coincidence. The defense, meanwhile, continues to come up with takeaways. Turnovers made the difference in the first meeting between these teams and ultimately landed Austin Davis a spot on the bench. If Hill can eliminate those mistakes, the Rams will be well positioned to get the win.

One interesting PFF stat.

Hill is ranked 3rd in accuracy percentage under pressure.

This ranking includes only qbs who have thrown 100 or more passes.

I expect another brutal hard-fought NFC West type division game.

They had them last time but melted down. I expect more “had them” and less “melt down” this time.

I expect the Rams to score on them, and this really is the big statement game for the born-again defense.