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znModeratorSweeeeeeet. Thank you!
What’s your early prediction on the Rams at this point, w?
znModeratorI see nothing ugly about a skull. To convey what meaning you describe why not eliminate the head altogether holding a mask up to nothing?
I don’t personally think that the word “ugly” applies either way, but that’s just me being all “strictly speaking” about it. On the other hand, a skull cannot help but be evocative of death and mortality. If the image was of nothing so not a skull, it would just have an entirely different meaning.
IMO…but also, since the entire image echoes Japanese styles, I think it’s also evokes the geisha figure. The traditional geisha wore thick white makeup with a line left around the hairline to create the effect of a mask. So it’s a kind of ironic geisha.
July 24, 2015 at 11:59 pm in reply to: piling up the "training camp preview" articles, starting with Prisco #27548
znModeratorOK, relax. I won’t go into it all. You guys know the drill
Lol. Your posts are always appreciated, RFL, and always enjoyable reads. I don’t always see eye to eye with every single point, but, I for one (and probably speaking for others) like your stuff.
znModeratorAnd the logic of the facts W himself cites undermines his big point–the demand for more passing stats. Kendricks’ versatility has value in itself, so much value that the Rams extended him. Apparently, they see his ability to receive AND BLOCK as a worthwhile “return on investment” in itself. Maybe, W should realize that and learn to value what Kendricks actually IS and always has been!
Hear, hear.
July 24, 2015 at 8:10 pm in reply to: piling up the "training camp preview" articles, starting with Prisco #27543
znModeratorRams Fantasy Preview
Silva
http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/55343/59/offseason-low-down
Rams Year in Review
2014 Pass Attempts Rank: 23rd (515)
2014 Rush Attempts Rank: 26th (395)
2014 Total Offensive Plays Rank: 30th (957)
2014 Yards Per Play Rank: 19th (5.3)Projected Starting Lineup
QB: Nick Foles
RB: Todd Gurley
WR: Kenny Britt
WR: Brian Quick
TE: Jared Cook
TE: Lance Kendricks
LT: Greg Robinson
LG: Rodger Saffold
C: Tim Barnes
RG: Jamon Brown
RT: Rob HavensteinPassing Game Outlook
“Aberration,” “anomaly,” and “fluke” are words most-often used to describe Nick Foles’ 2013, in which he posted a 27:2 TD-to-INT ratio across ten starts while leading the NFL in yards per attempt (9.1). Foles’ YPA regressed to 7.0 last year with 13 touchdowns and 10 picks before his season was cut short by a fractured collarbone. Foles ranked 26th in pass attempts two seasons ago — diminishing the sample size — while Philadelphia finished first in rushing yards and yards per carry. Foles’ 2013 will prove a statistical outlier, but I don’t believe he ever truly changed his stripes. His efficiency was elevated by a league-best running game, an offensive line that started every game together, DeSean Jackson and Riley Cooper’s career years, and the newness of Chip Kelly’s innovative offense. As the Eagles’ 2014 run game fell off dramatically, the line endured crippling injuries, Jackson left, Cooper devolved into a league-worst receiver, and the shine of Kelly’s offense wore off a bit, Foles’ production tumbled sharply. Foles has a strong arm and can be an effective pocket manager, but he is a quarterback who is only as good as the parts around him. He’s best utilized as a low-volume passer who can threaten on occasional shot plays. The parts around Foles are significantly worse in St. Louis, while Foles will no longer benefit from the play volume, creativity, and high-percentage nature of Kelly’s scheme. Foles’ new offensive coordinator is someone named “Frank Cignetti.” As a Ram, Foles’ fantasy outlook is bleak.
Kenny Britt will probably never fulfill the early-career promise he flashed in Tennessee, but he came a long way to show signs of being a useful NFL receiver last year. Britt posted a 48-748-3 receiving line on 84 targets, averaging 15.6 yards per catch and staying healthy for the first time since his 2009 rookie year. Still only 26 — he turns 27 in September — Britt re-signed with St. Louis on an incentive-laden two-year deal. With Brian Quick coming off a severe shoulder injury, Britt should have every opportunity to establish himself as Nick Foles’ No. 1 option in the passing game. Britt’s ceiling is lowered by St. Louis’ run-first offense and Britt’s own loss of explosiveness, but I like him as a late-round best-ball pick and sleeper to catch 60-plus balls.
To open last year, the light finally appeared to flip in former No. 33 overall pick Brian Quick’s third NFL season. Emerging as a true No. 1 receiver the Rams so desperately need, Quick was on pace for a 64-973-8 line through six games before a shoulder injury ended his season in Week 8. Quick is huge (6’4/220) with long arms (34 1/4″), and can be an animal when he plays physically. And after dealing with Shaun Hill and Austin Davis in 2014, Quick gets a quarterback upgrade in Nick Foles. Quick’s biggest obstacle is an extensive shoulder operation that repaired his rotator cuff and three torn ligaments, while also costing Quick all of OTAs and minicamp with a new quarterback and offensive coordinator. If Quick does get healthy by Week 1, he will be a sneaky breakout candidate. Quick’s physical skill set is superior to Kenny Britt’s at this stage.
Stedman Bailey and Tavon Austin will vie for sub-package snaps when the Rams use more than two receivers, or perhaps even for a starting job if Brian Quick isn’t ready for Week 1. Austin was a much-higher draft pick, but Bailey is a far-better wide receiver and shined in his 2014 opportunities, leading the St. Louis wideout corps in yards after catch, yards after catch per reception, and broken tackles while also receiving terrific PFF run-blocking grades. Although Austin’s failures have widely been blamed on outgoing OC Brian Schottenheimer by those who loved him coming out of college and are consumed by that false narrative, Austin is in fact small (5’9/174) and plays small, has below-average hands, and plays the game without any semblance of physicality. He is Dexter McCluster 2.0. In re-draft and Dynasty leagues, 24-year-old Bailey is the player to keep an eye on. Bailey is deserving of a big role in OC Frank Cignetti’s offense. The only question is whether he’ll get it.
Another contact-averse Rams skill player is Jared Cook, whose soft playing style has long limited his red-zone effectiveness and whose inability to move quickly in short areas has prevented Cook from becoming a high-volume pass catcher. Cook is big (6’5/246) and legitimately runs like a wide receiver (4.50), but he is a straight-linish seam stretcher only, and not a safety-valve tight end who can make things happen on checkdowns. Cook has still finished as a top-15 fantasy tight end in three of the last four seasons, though that’s due largely to the weakness of the tight end position in fantasy football, and not to Cook’s accomplishments. I do think Cook is an underrated TE3 pick in best-ball leagues, where he often lasts until the very last few rounds.
Running Game Outlook
No. 10 overall pick Todd Gurley was a dominant three-down back when healthy in the SEC, turning 510 career carries into 3,285 yards (6.44 YPC) and 36 TDs. He added 65 receptions and six more scores in the passing game. A legitimately special talent with elite tackle-breaking ability and home-run speed, Gurley was also one of the top pass-protecting backs in the 2015 class. Gurley’s skill set is undeniable, but his injury history is concerning. Even before tearing his ACL last November, Gurley battled a torn hip flexor and high ankle sprain in 2013, costing him three games and affecting him in others. Offseason reports on Gurley’s ACL recovery have been upbeat, which was expected. His Week 1 availability remains in doubt, with reserve/PUP — a designation that would cost Gurley the first six games — remaining a real possibility. When Gurley is ready to play, he’ll run behind one of the league’s worst offensive lines in what projects as one of the league’s lowest-scoring offenses. Gurley is talented enough to make my approach to him look stupid, but I’m having a hard time drafting him at his round-four ADP.
Tre Mason returns from a rookie season where he overtook Zac Stacy in Week 7 and piled up 13-plus carries in all but one of St. Louis’ final nine games, averaging a crisp 4.27 YPC despite running behind an offensive line that Football Outsiders graded in the bottom half of the league, and with people named Austin Davis and Shaun Hill at quarterback. Mason showed concerning boom-or-bust tendencies, but did face a schedule of Seattle, San Francisco, and Arizona twice, as well as Denver and Washington. When Mason played the Raiders and Giants, he lit them up. Mason, who doesn’t turn 22 until August 6, is an explosive runner with big-play ability and can handle heavy workloads, exhibiting the traits of a potentially-dynamic workhorse back. While the Rams’ selection of Todd Gurley takes a lot of wind out of Mason’s fantasy sails, the rookie’s injury woes figure to lead to playing time for Mason this year. Mason typically goes in the seventh to ninth rounds of drafts. I like him as an RB3/4 in rounds eight and nine.
Vegas Win Total
Although Jeff Fisher has the reputation of an “8-8 coach,” he’s actually failed to reach eight wins each of his three years in St. Louis. The Rams finally have theoretical quarterback stability after acquiring Nick Foles, but Foles is not the kind of player capable of turning a passing game from a weakness into a strength. On the offensive line, the Rams will start an all-rookie right side of RG Jamon Brown and RT Rob Havenstein, while practice-squad-type Tim Barnes is penciled in at center. The defense is ferocious up front, but vulnerable in the back. I see the Rams as an 8-8 team and so does Vegas, setting their Win Total at 8.0 games. A non-division slate of the AFC North, NFC North, Tampa, and Washington makes me lean toward guessing the Rams go 7-9
znModeratorfrom off the net
==
max
Anyone hear Jeanne Zelasko?
Yesterday on the Beast, she had Howard Balzer on talking about the NFL position on StL stadium progress. Of course, Balzer gave the pro StL viewpoint. But it was Zelasko that surprised me.
Zelasko went on to say that her sources told her things have changed regarding the Rams recently. They may not be coming to LA. She cited 2 major reasons. One is that the NFL is gonna have a very hard time turning down money from StL, especially when they don’t see much coming from SD and Oak. She said that the guys on the LA committee, like Kraft and Mara, will have a hard time snubbing StL if they come up with all the money to build a new stadium. And that committee will set the stage for what the NFL does regarding LA. Second is that she heard that Kroenke had made a promise to all the owners that he will not go rogue and move to LA regardless. She said this is a 180 degree change from she has been hearing regarding the Rams, and she said the Rams are very frustrated with these developments.
I am a bit confused about what Zelasko is all about. Is she a reputable sports reporter or is she just someone who likes to throw crap out there to fill air time? She has been all over the place on the NFL to LA story, so I just can’t get a read on her.
znModerator49ers have lost more playing time than any other team
Michael David Smith
In an offseason that started with the departure of Jim Harbaugh and most of his staff, the 49ers have also lost more contributions from players than any other team. According to ESPN, the players who left the 49ers this offseason played a whopping 37 percent of the team’s total snaps last year. That’s the most snaps lost of any team in the NFL.
Among the players who were significant contributors for the 49ers last year and won’t be on the team this year are:
Left guard Mike Iupati (1,003 snaps)
Cornerback Perrish Cox (1,003 snaps)
Cornerback Chris Culliver (821 snaps)
Defensive lineman Ray McDonald (724 snaps)
Wide receiver Michael Crabtree (722 snaps)
Defensive lineman Justin Smith (701 snaps)
Offensive lineman Jonathan Martin (685 snaps)
Running back Frank Gore (647 snaps)
Linebacker Chris Borland (608 snaps)
Linebacker Dan Skuta (572 snaps)
Right tackle Anthony Davis (456 snaps)
Linebacker Patrick Willis (366 snaps)
Wide receiver Brandon Lloyd (335 snaps)
Special teamer Kassim Osgood (254 snaps)
Punter Andy Lee (145 snaps)
Safety Bubba Ventrone (139 snaps)(Snap counts via Football Outsiders)
The 49ers added players in the draft and free agency, but it’s hard to believe those additions will be enough to make up for the losses. Which means the 49ers, who took a step backward from 12-4 in 2013 to 8-8 in 2014, are probably going to take another step backward in 2015.
znModeratorSorry but it still doesn’t make any sense. Especially since a mask is used. Everyone has a skull and it isn’t a choice. A mask to hide a skull?
It’s not literal. It’s metaphorical. If flesh is a mask to hide a skull, that means many things…including (among others) that beauty is only a mask hiding our vulnerability and mortality.
znModeratorIntelligently allocated resources win championships.
If I may kid around?
Intelligently allocated resources wins accounting contests.
Hiring Billichick and drafting Brady wins championships.
Teams that did not go as spendthrift as the Patz also won championships.
Including New Orleans (2nd on the list), Green Bay (5th), and Baltimore (18th).
July 24, 2015 at 10:05 am in reply to: Earl Thomas unsure he’ll be ready for Week One…and other issues in Seattle #27518
znModeratorRams could catch a break in Week 1
Nick Wagoner
http://espn.go.com/blog/st-louis-rams/post/_/id/19674/rams-could-catch-a-break-in-week-1
EARTH CITY, Mo. — When the NFL released the regular-season schedule in late April, it appeared that no favors were done for the St. Louis Rams. Indeed, the first five games feature contests against four teams that won at least 11 games in 2014.
That’s tied for the second-toughest slate of any team in the first five weeks. Of course, it all starts in Week 1 when the Rams host the two-time defending NFC champion Seattle Seahawks. Given the Seahawks’ success in recent years, there might never be an ideal time to play them, but ESPN’s Ed Werder offered a report Thursday that might provide some helpful news for the Rams.
According to Werder, Seattle safety Earl Thomas is unsure if he’ll be available for the Week 1 tilt in St. Louis as he recovers from February shoulder surgery. While cornerback Richard Sherman was able to avoid having elbow surgery in the offseason, he too told Werder that he has some anxiety about how his elbow will hold up when he has to start tackling again.
Clearly, nobody wants any of these guys to be hurt and the Rams have proved a handful for the Seahawks even with Thomas and Sherman in place, but any advantage St. Louis could get, especially to get off to a fast start, would likely be welcome.
znModeratorWill Niners crumble under the pressure in 2015?
NFL insider Peter King joins Chris Mannix to discuss the immense pressure 49ers head coach Jim Tomsula and QB Colin Kaepernick will face this season.
http://www.nbcsports.com/football/nfl/will-niners-crumble-under-pressure-2015?t=0
July 24, 2015 at 9:11 am in reply to: NFL teams each earn $226.4M from national revenue sharing #27516
znModeratorGordon: NFL teams don’t need new stadiums to prosper
Stan Kroenke wants to move the Rams to greater Los Angeles, where his franchise value could quickly double or even triple.
Intrepid Dave Peacock is trying to keep the Rams through his relentless promotion of a new riverfront football stadium north of downtown.
But the Rams could move out to the old Chrysler plant site in Fenton and be just fine. They wouldn’t have to build a stadium to stay afloat.
The team could just throw a field turf surface over the parking lot and play their games there.
Maybe the Rams could throw up some bleachers. Perhaps some of the cheerleaders could come out, too.
Public address announcer Andy Banker could show up with a megaphone. Never mind a marching band, the Rams could just summon a local quartet to play at halftime while the players rested under party tents.
The franchise would survive. While many NHL teams lose money (including the Blues), NFL teams have no such worry.
Their management challenge is to make a rich operation even richer.
Their business is idiot-proof. Franchise ownership is a license to print money. Even a team that loses year after year after year after year in a parity-minded league — as the Rams have — consistently comes out ahead.
Each team collects crazy money from the shared revenue pot. Thanks to publicly disclosures by the civic-owned Green Bay Packers, we know each team collected $226.4 million in national revenue sharing during the 2014 fiscal year.
The Rams franchise doesn’t need a new stadium to remain viable. The NFL’s shared revenue takes care of all of that.
The franchise doesn’t need a new stadium to remain competitive. The salary cap/free agency system takes care of that, preventing the rich teams from spending a multiple of the “poor” teams on talent.
Last year Forbes ranked the Rams dead last in NFL team valuation ($930 million) in part due to relative low gate revenue ($45 million) and total revenue ($250 million).
Kroenke still spent heavily on players (coming in just under the salary cap) and his coaches. And the team still generated operating income of $16.2 million according to Forbes.
Strong local revenues are nice, of course. That money allows franchises to run a big operation and add the bells and whistles that attract top free agents.
(The Packers rake in nearly $150 million in local revenue despite middle-of-the-pack ticket prices. Lambeau Field expansion added 7,000 seats and the team operates a 21,500-square-foot team store, largest in the league. That franchise is an iconic brand.)
But local revenues are not necessary for survival because the NFL’s shared revenue just keeps soaring.
ESPN reports the total number has climbed from $6 billion to $7.2 billion since last year, thanks to increased rights fees paid by the networks in new television deals. Adjusted for inflation, the shared revenue has climbed 120 percent during the past 11 years.
All of this is why public financing for new stadiums has become a much tougher sell, especially in markets (like St. Louis) confronting social and economic issues far greater than pro football retention.
Owners don’t need the extra stadium revenue to stay in business. They want it so their profitable business can become more profitable. They can demand it because they can.
The stadium sell gets tougher still in St. Louis when the owner is a multi-billionaire capable of bankrolling the project all by himself. The sell becomes borderline impossible when that same multi-billionaire is aggressively forsaking St. Louis for Southern California.
So here we are. Training camp will start soon. Kroenke will keep pushing his move to Inglewood.
Peacock will keep selling his stadium concept to the league. The San Diego Chargers and Oakland Raiders will keep pushing the Carson, Calif., project and their rather unlikely partnership.
Maybe you will come out and support their team in this potential farewell season. Maybe you will turn your back on the team just as Kroenke turned his back on you.
Either way, huge revenues will keep pouring into the Rams’ corporate coffers, covering the bills and leaving plenty left over.
July 24, 2015 at 9:10 am in reply to: NFL teams each earn $226.4M from national revenue sharing #27515
znModeratorRams’ revenue from the NFL revealed
http://www.bizjournals.com/stlouis/blog/2015/07/rams-revenue-from-the-nfl-revealed.html?ana=twt
The National Football League, as a private enterprise, does not release financial data. But thanks to one team — the publicly owned Green Bay Packers — we get to know the numbers anyway.
The Packers, the only pro sports team to be publicly held, released its financials Monday. According to the Milaukee Business Journal, the Packers received $226.4 million in national revenue sharing, up nearly 21 percent. Extrapolated to 32 teams, that equals roughly $7.2 billion, which is split evenly among all NFL teams.
That means the St. Louis Rams, no matter how the rest of the organization spent or made money, at least brought in $226.4 million in revenue last year just for being part of the league.
Rams officials declined to comment for this story. The Rams had estimated revenue of $250 million last year. Given the NFL’s revenue sharing figures, that figure should be bumped up.
NFL teams get a majority of their money from the league’s massive TV deals and sponsorships, which are split evenly by the teams. Stadium-related revenue — each team retains local ticket sales (60-40 home/away team split), stadium suite, club seating, food/concessions, and local broadcast and sponsorship revenue from naming rights and other properties — also equates to big bucks for owners[/quote]
znModeratorIt is just do they have enough experience?
Yeah that’s going to bear watching. How much will OL inexperience hold them back this year? I mean we know it will…but it’s going to be interesting to see how much it holds them back.
(BTW I left you a pm on FB.)
znModeratorPatriots only 26.5 million above last place Raiders yet Super bowl champs and 99 million less than the Rams.
This proves that every team should sign Bellichick and draft Brady. IMO.

BTW, Patz 2017 expended cap space = 87+ M.
znModeratorWhy is flesh only missing from the head and neck?
IMO? it;s a “mask” trope. Also it allows for greater contrast. The world of luxuriant beauty, v. skull, plus mask = more contrast. Not the same if it’s just an entire skeleton.
July 23, 2015 at 9:10 pm in reply to: Earl Thomas unsure he’ll be ready for Week One…and other issues in Seattle #27504
znModeratorSeahawks’ D is dealing with uncertainty
The best defense in football has some concerns as training camp approaches. In addition to negotiating a contract with Bobby Wagner, the Seahawks face questions about when Earl Thomas — the best safety in the league — will be able to return to the field following the shoulder surgery he endured after the Super Bowl.
Ed Werder, ESPN NFL Insider
The best defense in football has some concerns as training camp approaches. In addition to negotiating a contract with Bobby Wagner, the Seahawks face questions about when Earl Thomas — the best safety in the league — will be able to return to the field following the shoulder surgery he endured after the Super Bowl.Richard Sherman and Earl Thomas played through injuries in the Super Bowl and are still working their way back to health. Matthew Emmons/USA TODAY Sports
Thomas told ESPN he has come a long way in his recovery but knows he won’t be ready for training camp and admits even the first week of the regular season is a question mark.Thomas has been engaged in a rehab program he describes as mentally challenging and told ESPN that the Super Bowl was the first time he ever felt physically limited by an injury.
“I’m unsure about everything at this point,” he said. “I will find out more when I get back to Seattle on [July] 30th when I take my physical.”
Cornerback Richard Sherman played with a serious elbow injury in the Super Bowl but avoided surgery. He has been medically cleared but has some anxiety as well, telling ESPN, “Obviously haven’t had to stop anyone or be violent, so we will see how it handles in training camp.”
znModeratorPersonally, that graph does not tell me a lot. Maybe I can see a rough correlation with cap space. What does it mean to anyone?
Me? Well first I think it’s just a business guy who isn’t asking real football questions, so I don’t know if he knows what it means. But interpreting it myself, just as a Rams fan, I think it says the Rams have more open space down the line.
So for example Dallas 2017 v. Rams 2017.
Rams committed cap space 2017: 75+ M
Dallas committed cap space 2017: 132+ M
znModeratorI like Robinson and he will be good. But it is more likely to happen next year than this year. There is just too much to learn about the NFL and in general and pass blocking in particular. He is young and he just hasn’t had that much experience. Think Brian Quick. I think he will be adequate this year, but there will be growing pains. imo
Well the thing is, you can still play some offense with a struggling young line, IMO.
What you can’t do is make up for having lots of OL injuries at the same time.
But these guys have a lot of promise. So it’s going to be fun to see how they do when they hit stride. Which, you’re right, will more like be in 2016, not 15.
I didn’t say it wasn’t the right thing to do and what I said has nothing to do with injuries. I just think it is wrong to expect too much from Robinson this year.
Because he just hasn’t had a lot of experience playing and especially pass blocking.
Oh I know. I wasn’t disagreeing with you. More like I was just going off on my own thing. Going sideways from your point, in basic agreement.
I agree about not expecting too much from GR, and I didn’t think you brought up injuries. That was just me going “I agree, oh and another thing, plus I like smoked pork on Sundays.”
July 23, 2015 at 6:05 pm in reply to: Wagoner: starting lineup projection & training camp preview #27492
znModeratorDoes he think the Rams, who are built for the run will carry just 4 RBs when Gurley isn’t a lock to be ready for the start of the season?
I don’t know the answer to that. BUT one thing that occurs to me, is that the Rams are likely to be able to either practice squad a promising youngster or have a guy out there after cuts who no one else picks up and so is basically available to them.
So with that in mind it’s worth watching both Trey Watts and Malcolm Brown this summer.
.
znModeratorI like Robinson and he will be good. But it is more likely to happen next year than this year. There is just too much to learn about the NFL and in general and pass blocking in particular. He is young and he just hasn’t had that much experience. Think Brian Quick. I think he will be adequate this year, but there will be growing pains. imo
Well the thing is, you can still play some offense with a struggling young line, IMO.
What you can’t do is make up for having lots of OL injuries at the same time.
But these guys have a lot of promise. So it’s going to be fun to see how they do when they hit stride. Which, you’re right, will more like be in 2016, not 15.
znModeratorInside Slant: RG III deserves a shot outside D.C.
Kevin Seifert, NFL Nation
The votes are in. The results are indisputable. NFL decision-makers consider Robert Griffin III one of the least promising quarterbacks in football, partly because of his performance but mostly because they just don’t like him and believe only a miracle turnaround can save his tenure with the Washington Redskins.
I’m just the messenger. ESPN’s Quarterback Tiers project — compiled this year with contributions from 35 general managers, head coaches, assistants and personnel people — placed Griffin in its lowest category and ranked him No. 28 of 32 overall. Griffin absorbed a gentler rebuke in last year’s rankings, one I fought on the grounds of his unique circumstances. But the argument seems pointless now when the composite football man regards him as inferior to every NFL starter but Josh McCown, Brian Hoyer, Matt Cassel and Geno Smith.
It’s almost unfair to write off a player’s career on the eve of a training camp where he ostensibly could revive it. This season has been described widely as Griffin’s make-or-break year, given the decision pending on a $16.155 million contract option for 2016, but the projections of nearly three dozen league insiders put us ahead of the curve. So let’s agree on this: If Griffin is going to rebound, it more likely will come with another team and not until next year.
By now you might be envisioning the player, coach, team and franchise collectively gathering to overcome the outside “noise” and prove the critics wrong. Use whatever cliché you want. But the reality is that a portion of the insiders’ impression is informed by what they see and hear from the Redskins themselves. It has been obvious for some time that Griffin’s internal support is limited.
Most importantly, coach Jay Gruden never embraced Griffin as his franchise quarterback. Three months after he was hired, and before he had coached his first real practice, Gruden hoisted the red flag. After describing his offensive philosophy to reporters, he added: “But that all depends on what Robert can handle. If he can’t handle the terminology, or if he can’t handle a lot of the things, we might have to taper it back or cater to what he likes.”
That’s not the kind of comment you hear from a coach committed to maximizing a talented if flawed player. Instead, it created the early impression that Gruden didn’t consider Griffin a good fit for the offense he wanted to run, a notion cemented when Griffin was benched in Week 13.
Gruden’s ideal quarterback makes early decisions and, crucially, releases the ball quickly. The quarterback he groomed with the Cincinnati Bengals, Andy Dalton, has led the NFL with an average release time of 2.30 seconds during the past three seasons, according to ESPN Stats & Information. Over the same period, Griffin had the ninth-slowest time at 2.67 seconds. So despite his still-nimble feet, Griffin has suffered the second-highest ratio of sacks to dropbacks in the NFL (8.0).
ESPN’s Ron Jaworski recently illustrated an obvious example of this deficiency, a play during the Redskins’ Week 9 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. At the snap, according to Jaworski, the Vikings’ high-low defensive alignment indicated clearly that an intermediate route would be open. It was, but Griffin didn’t recognize it and instead looked to the other side of the field. Drifting out of the pocket, waiting for another route to open against all logic, he was sacked.
“He lacks a natural sense of timing and anticipation,” Jaworski said. “Can he get there? I just don’t know.”
Indeed, this is not the kind of shortcoming that can be reversed by extra offseason film study. And if our 35 insiders are to be believed, Griffin’s superstar ego will leave him unable to accept the fundamental improvements he needs. “To get better in this league,” a personnel director said, “you have to have a degree of humility.”
So let’s look at it from another perspective.
We’ve already seen how Griffin can contribute to a winning team. As the NFL’s Rookie of the Year in 2012, he rushed for 815 yards as part of a read-option offense retrofitted for his strengths. Griffin’s postseason right-knee injury (torn ACL, LCL) — on the heels of a late-season sprained LCL in the same knee — presumably limited his effectiveness in such a scheme. But there is something to be said for putting players in positions where they are comfortable and utilizing the instincts they have.
What if Griffin played, say, for the Buffalo Bills, coached by ultrasupportive head coach Rex Ryan and offensive coordinator Greg Roman, who helped design the San Francisco 49ers’ offense that facilitated Colin Kaepernick’s transition into a successful starter? Griffin wouldn’t have to run for 800 yards, but a scheme that gets him out of the pocket and allows him to improvise seems more advisable for short-term success, even if it’s not an avenue to a 15-year career.
Sadly, that path seems blocked in Washington. You can’t rule out the possibility that this dysfunctional franchise might fire Gruden and hire another coach to save Griffin, but the damage otherwise seems complete. Griffin would surprise the football world if he remains the Redskins’ starter into 2016, at least based on merit. Consider this season an epilogue to a dysfunctional period, one that leads to a sequel that carries at least a bit more promise.
znModeratorPro Football Focus @PFF
The Rams averaged a league-high 7.1 yards per run when pulling a backside lineman
I wonder if they pulled a backslide lineman on those jet sweeps they ran with Tavon. That right there would pump the numbers up.
They did it a fair amount actually. Not necessarily just jet sweeps, but Tavon running to the outside. They ran 22 plays with him running outside for 182 yards and 2 TDs. And they were consistent gainers, too…the longest were 18 and 19 yards. That means the other 20 averaged 7.25 per.
Mason rushed outside 35 times for 200 yards, or 5.7+ yards per.
znModeratorPro Football Focus @PFF
The Rams averaged a league-high 7.1 yards per run when pulling a backside lineman
I wonder if they pulled a backslide lineman on those jet sweeps they ran with Tavon. That right there would pump the numbers up.
znModerator
znModeratorI want us to absolutely CRUSH the 9ers.
And I mean, like… nearly Extinction Level Event Meteor slamming into the earth crushing the earth’s crust level of CRUSH.
And double that for the Seahawks…
Don’t you think rage like that is a little out of proportion for what is, after all, just a game?
I mean…
…uh
…wait

Ah well. Sorry.
I just couldn’t keep a straight face.
Carry on.

znModerator
Don’t Bludgeon the ManBy Emily Kaplan
http://mmqb.si.com/2015/07/22/nfl-jim-tomsula-san-francisco-49ers/
Jim Tomsula hardly made a good first impression as the 49ers head coach. But it’d be a mistake to write-off someone who once lived in his car (with a dog, cat and litterbox) just so he could be a volunteer college coach.
The most recognizable man in San Francisco is going unnoticed in his hometown. It’s an overcast Friday in late June, and new 49ers coach Jim Tomsula is nursing a 31-ounce coffee on the patio of a Starbucks in Homestead, Pa., just on the outskirts of Pittsburgh.
He’s packing a wad of tobacco in his left cheek (a regular habit), wearing a nylon tracksuit (his sartorial preference) and sporting the kind of thick, dark mustache that harkens back to the leading men of 1980s TV shows (“a mustache to be reckoned with,” according to his mustache’s parody Twitter account). A group of teens loudly gossips at an adjacent table, and a steady stream of shoppers walk through the strip mall. Nobody stops to look twice at Tomsula.
If he had his way, this would be the norm. No fame, no media attention, no conjecturing about who he is or what his team will be.
“I don’t care about perception, I care about reality,” Tomsula says in a husky voice that sounds like the natural bark of football coach. “I try not to read what’s out there, but sometimes I do and just laugh. I mean, some of the reports out there couldn’t be further from the truth. It’s the exact opposite of the reality that I’m dealing with. The exact opposite! Seriously, the exact opposite!”
He spits out the tobacco.
“But, I guess, that’s the NFL.”
In a league in which perception is everything, Jim Tomsula was a nobody before mid-January, when he made the gargantuan leap from defensive line coach to one of the NFL’s Chosen 32. After being introduced to the press, he sat down for an exclusive one-on-one with the TV network CSN Bay Area that had all the makings of an SNL skit. Like his press conference, this four-minute interview was full of uncomfortable pauses, mutterings, contradictions and non-answers.
To one question he replied, “I wouldn’t not say that. I wouldn’t say it either.” His predecessor—the gauche and irascible Jim Harbaugh, he of the khaki pants and beige answers—suddenly seemed as eloquent as a Shakespearean actor. Asked to define a successful first season, Tomsula said, “Uh…that’s yet to be determined. I mean, uh, we’re gonna, uh, we’re gonna, we’re gonna win today. That’s, our, uh, uh, you know, it’s, it’s one week calendars once you get into the season. So that’s the way I look at it.”
And so everyone looked at Tomsula for what he was: an unpolished assistant who had been promoted so far out of his depths that it was impossible not to wonder if the front office, having grown tired of clashing with Harbaugh, had installed a puppet whom the powers-that-be could control. As Tim Kawakami from the San Jose Mercury Newswrote, “Tomsula will say the things the 49ers want him to say, in the way they want him to say it.”
Then, as if perception couldn’t get any worse, Tomsula’s players started bailing on him.
* * *
General manager Trent Baalke shoots down the idea of a “mass exodus” or a “domino effect,” but it was hard not to wonder about the sudden departures.
In March, stalwart linebacker Patrick Willis said a teary goodbye to football. A week later his heir apparent, Chris Borland, stunned everyone by retiring at 24. In May, defensive lineman Justin Smith walked away from the game after 14 seasons. A month later, 25-year-old offensive tackle Anthony Davis cryptically quit.
The 49ers also bid farewell to wideout Michael Crabtree, guard Mike Iupati and the franchise’s alltime leading rusher, Frank Gore, in free agency. Rumors that quarterback Colin Kaepernick was being dangled for a trade only added to the offseason malaise. “Let’s put that to rest,” Baalke told The MMQB in June. “That’s absolutely untrue.”
What’s undeniable is that Tomsula, who has never been a coordinator in the NFL, is now juggling the most intense expectations of his career. San Francisco’s run of three straight trips to the NFC Championship Game went sideways during a tempestuous 2014 season, and fans aren’t likely to give the least qualified of eight coaching candidates an extended honeymoon period. But Tomsula isn’t fazed. With pop music blaring through nearby speakers and threatening skies looming overhead, he retraces his unlikely journey and ascension, never at a loss for words when describing the obstacles he’s already overcome.
“I feel bad when people talk about the grind of coaching,” Tomsula says. “My people? They work. That’s all they know. And they weren’t working for a job they loved, just for the responsibility for their family. Growing up, I was always told never to let pride get in the way of a job.”
His great-grandfather was a Hungarian immigrant who worked in the coal mills of Indiana, Pa, where he was hit by a coal pulverizer and died on the job. Despite not knowing how to drive, his widow packed her four kids in the car and crashed twice on her way to Homestead, where she was able to find work washing the floors of churches.
Years later Tomsula’s grandfather opened a restaurant, Hungarian Village, in the shadow of Forbes Field, the one-time home of the Steelers and Pirates. Tomsula’s father worked in the kitchen. When Forbes Field closed in 1970, so did the business. Everyone had to find new jobs.
Jim Tomsula himself has always been a worker. Uncle Dave taught him how to weld stainless steel in third grade—“that was a big deal,” Jim says—and his teenage summers were spent laying bricks, a back-breaking trade that helped mold him into a stout defensive end in high school. In 1985, he left home to play football at Middle Tennessee State, then transferred to Catawba College, a Division II school in North Carolina. That’s where he met his future wife, Julie, a student athletic trainer.
“When he graduated, everyone said he should become a coach,” Julie says. “He said, ‘No, I’m going to go make a lot of money.’ ”
So Tomsula got a six-figure job in Greensboro selling medical equipment. But it didn’t take long for Julie to realize he wasn’t happy, and at her urging he walked away from the money. In 1992, Tomsula became an assistant football coach at Charleston Southern for $9,100 a year.
“They also said we could get our masters,” Julie says. “So we thought it was a great deal.”
But they couldn’t afford books or much else. Tomsula supplemented his income with side gigs, working as a janitor, delivering newspapers, and chopping wood for $55 every third truckload. It still wasn’t enough. His father visited and was flabbergasted to find the cabinets bare. Not even a jar of peanut butter. “What are you doing?” he asked. “You can’t provide for a family like this!”
After three seasons, Tomsula returned to Pittsburgh and became a sales rep for a food distributor. But, he says, “I wasn’t good at the whole networking thing.” Division II and III college teams often called about coaching opportunities, but Tomsula always passed on them—until Julie intervened again. “Life is too short,” she said. “Do what you love.”
In 1997, Julie took their two daughters, Britney, 4, and Brooke, 2, to stay with relatives in Florida while everything they owned was put in storage. And so began the year that Tomsula lived in a car, a red Cadillac given to him by his Uncle Tic. Tomsula drove the 430 miles down to Catawba and became an unpaid volunteer assistant at his alma mater, charged with strength and conditioning. He slept in parking lots and cleaned himself up in the locker room. To combat loneliness, he kept a black lab and a cat as roommates. Tomsula hung his suits in the back seat, right above the litter box.
“Ah, the homeless period,” he says. “Everyone makes it out to be a bad thing, but it really wasn’t.”
Tomsula sold carpets for commission on the side. The next season, he became a salaried coach. His wife and daughters joined him, and Tomsula moved his family into a $650-a-month fishing cottage 25 miles away from campus. They didn’t have heat.
But they did have a phone line, and former NFL wide receiver Lionel Taylor cold-called Tomsula in 1998 and asked him if he’d be interested in joining his staff in NFL Europe. Tomsula had never met Taylor, but Tomsula had established a reputation as a teacher of fundamentals, making him a desirable assistant for the developmental league.
For the next nine years, the Tomsulas spent their autumns in Catawba, where the school provided on-campus housing, and their summers overseas. He was the defensive line coach for the English Monarchs for one season, the defensive line coach for the Scottish Claymores for five, the defensive coordinator for the Berlin Thunder for two, and then the head coach of the Rhein Fire in 2006.
Every August, Tomsula toured about a dozen NFL training camps, looking for fringe players who might play in Europe. Some teams allowed him to sit in on personnel meetings, and he’d walk away with dozens of notebooks filled with observations of how coaches talked, what they talked about, how they conducted themselves.
In January 2007, Tomsula received a most unexpected call: 49ers coach Mike Nolan was looking for a defensive line coach. Though they played on the other side of the ball, offensive linemen Harvey Dahl and Tony Wragge had returned from Europe raving about Tomsula’s mentorship. The 49ers flew Tomsula out for an interview; it was the first time he ever rode first class. Tomsula accepted the job, but first asked Nolan an important question: “I don’t know anything about money. Can I live with my family in California and provide for them with that salary?”
Nolan told him yes, and then boosted his salary $10,000 on the spot.
“I never had a dream to coach in the NFL in my life,” Tomsula says. “I’d be happy coaching at any level, anywhere. I just wanted to coach and pay the bills.”
* * *
It’s true that Jim Tomsula knows very little about money. One of the first people he thanked during his introductory press conference on Jan. 15 was Joan from payroll, who doubles as his personal finance adviser. Tomsula has come a long way from that $9,100 a year job. The 49ers signed him to a four-year deal worth $3.5 million a year, but the new riches haven’t changed him.
He also gave shout-outs to Vilma at the front desk and the kitchen crew—the “boys downstairs [for] making that great Mexican feast at Christmas.” Every day at 8 a.m. ET, the coach calls his parents at their home in Pennsylvania. He is usually in his office, and he has usually just pulled an all-nighter.
Over the course of Tomsula’s eight seasons coaching the defensive line in San Francisco, the 49ers ranked fourth in rushing yards allowed (98.4 per game) and third in points allowed (19.4). He molded Ahmad Brooks (supplemental draft), Isaac Sopoaga (fourth round) and Ian Williams (undrafted) into productive starters. Justin Smith never made a Pro Bowl until he worked with Tomsula.
“As an X’s and O’s coach, there’s nobody better,” Smith says. “But he’s not going to be doing as much of that anymore. As head coach, he has to do the stuff he hates: dealing with media, dealing with ownership.”
Tomsula knows he didn’t handle his introductory press conference or the ensuing CSN Bay Area interview with the greatest aplomb. He didn’t sleep the night before and was in crunch mode trying to assemble his staff. The communications department carved out an hour to go over any possible questions that reporters might ask, and Tomsula aced the run-through.
But he froze in the spotlight. Tomsula says he was singularly focused on returning to his office to continue calling potential assistants. Plus, he didn’t want to say anything that could be used against him. If, for example, he said he preferred a certain blocking scheme, would Tony Sparano be hesitant to become the tight ends coach?
The next day, 49ers CEO Jed York told his new coach, “Don’t act or try to be someone you think the media wants you to be. From now on, just be yourself.”
“If there’s ever a time I mess up or seem awkward in an interview, it’s because I don’t want to lie,” Tomsula says. “Really, that’s all it is.”
Tomsula handled himself with greater authority in assembling his staff. His first call was to Bill Nayes, the longtime director of football operations under Mike Holmgren in Seattle and Mike Singletary in San Francisco. The job is essentially a chief of staff: part-assistant, part-confidant. From booking travel to scheduling mini-camps, Nayes knows the minute-to-minute needs of a coach.
This was crucial for Tomsula, whose only previous head-coaching experience in Europe doesn’t quite translate to the NFL. When Tomsula first joined the NFL, he told friends, “It’s amazing, I no longer have to carry the equipment!”
Tomsula sought out assistants who would challenge him. Eleven of the 19 have been head coaches or coordinators either in the NFL or at the elite levels of college football. The next order of business was logistical. The head coach’s office was on the second floor. Tomsula felt it was too far removed from the action, especially during the summer months when the NFL limits the contact he can have with players.
The locker room, training room and meeting rooms are all on the first floor, so Tomsula chose a new space in the middle of a hallway where players would have to pass by him every day. While maintenance crews prepared the room this summer, Tomsula set up shop in a small enclave next to the showers.
“Culture is huge. That’s the difference between a championship-caliber team and a championship team,” York says. “You look at the Golden State Warriors. They were the dumbest team in the NBA for letting Mark Jackson go, who won the most games in the franchise’s history. How could you be so dumb? They bring in Steve Kerr, who has been around the game for a long period of time but has never coached before. Kerr changes the culture, comes in with a different perspective, and look what happens.”
But Tomsula actually has been an NFL head coach before. During the final game of the 2010 season, he served as the interim head coach after Singletary was fired and rallied the 49ers to a 38-7 win over the Cardinals. A year later, according to York, the team identified a few internal candidates who could be potential future head coaches. Tomsula was on the list.
“No player has seen a position coach get promoted to head coach just like that, without being a coordinator first,” Smith says. “That’s a huge jump. But I think it just shows the respect Jimmy T. has from management, which is a good thing. Imagine the star wide receiver is upset and wants to complain to management. If he goes upstairs, he knows which side they are going to fall on.”
Players love him, too. He’s fiery when he needs to be—just do a quick search for “Jim Tomsula Bludgeon”—but tries to be low-key in meetings rooms to avoid overloading players with information. He’ll often say, “Hey, here’s what I’m thinking. What do you think?” Last season, when Frank Gore was distraught after losing a fumble in a 13-10 loss to the Rams, it was Tomsula who sat hunched on a stool by the running back’s locker to console him.
Even still, there was a nervous energy in the auditorium just before Tomsula was set to address his players for the first time as the head coach during April’s minicamp. “Everyone kind of looked around like, How’s it going to be?” says defensive end Ian Williams.
Was it going to be the same Jimmy T. who struts around the facility yelling to no one in particular, “We’re going to do some ass-kicking this week!”? Or would this be a buttoned-up Jim Tomsula?
The coach opened his mouth to speak and was loud, passionate and even a bit goofy. The nervous energy dissipated. He was exactly the same.
“I’ve only been here a short time,” says veteran running back Reggie Bush, a free agency addition. “But I can already tell how much respect this team has for him.”
* * *
Jim Tomsula, 47, spent his first summer vacation as an NFL head coach crashing at his parents’ split-level colonial in suburban Pittsburgh. His wife, Julie, and 8-year-old son Bear, came along. Britney and Brooke, now college-age, stayed in the Bay Area. Tomsula woke up to mom’s bacon and eggs, threw the pigskin in the backyard with Bear, and washed loads of workout clothes emblazoned with 49ers logos in the basement.
On one humid afternoon in June, he loaded two sedans with three generations of Tomsulas and headed to Thomas Jefferson High School for the highlight of his homecoming: his sixth annual football clinic for teenagers with Down syndrome.
The coach knows he could ask the NFL to help sponsor the event, but says, “It’s a Tomsula thing.” Campers dine on burgers flipped by Jim Tomsula Sr. and cookies baked by the coach’s aunts. They even prepared a gluten-free batch, to which Tomsula Jr. scoffs: “Kids these days.”
Camp for the Stars began in San Francisco, in 2007, to give kids who have Down syndrome an authentic football experience. Tomsula loved it so much he brought the camp back home to Pennsylvania. Throughout the two-day camp, Tomsula co-leads drills with his old football coach from Steel Valley High.
Even though the campers wear nametags, Tomsula remembers most of their names without looking. He puts players through one drill that has them catching a ball in the air before falling onto a thick mat. For those wearing red bracelets, signifying a greater risk of injury, Tomsula holds them up in the air and then flops onto the foam with them to brace their fall.
“Hey coach,” one camper says after such a fall, extending his arm to Tomsula. “I have to help you get up a lot this year.”
While Julie is off scouring two Targets and a Michael’s to make sure every participant leaves with a framed certificate, Bear is working the field as a water boy. Two 49ers scouts are also here volunteering, as well as retired defensive tackle Dana Stubblefield, who never played for Tomsula but says, “He’s just a really good dude.” So Stubblefield booked a cross-country ticket and a room at the local Spring Hill Suites.
It’s all smiles until the scrimmage. Before one snap, a camper tells another that he is stupid. The recipient of the slight responds with an uppercut. He then rips off his own hat and storms off into the locker room.
Tomsula tells Stubblefield to continue coaching and follows the player into the locker room. He sits the boy down and talks about the importance of sportsmanship. “The game teaches us to become men,” Tomsula says. “And we need to act like that.” Fifteen minutes later, the camper and Tomsula emerge. The boy walks to his opponent, says he’s sorry, and shakes his hand.
Around 10:30 p.m. on Friday, once the last camper has hugged Tomsula goodbye and once the cafeteria has been wiped clean, an after-party commences at the house of Tomsula’s sister, Jill. Nearly 50 relatives, neighbors, friends and one 300-pound former All-Pro lineman grab Miller Lites from a porch cooler and munch on potato chips and leftover burgers in the kitchen. There’s a glow inside the house. No music, but laughter. Old stories are retold about karaoke nights gone awry and summers at the Jersey Shore. When midnight strikes, Jill notices something isn’t quite right.
“Where the heck is Jimmy?” she asks. “He’s the toast of this damn thing!”
Soon the door swings open. It’s Jimmy, and he’s wearing one of his signature nylon tracksuits that leaves him perpetually sweaty. “I’m sorry, I’m sorry,” he huffs. “I had to drive Uncle Tic home.”
“It took that long?” Jill asks.
“It’s late! It’s dark!” he says. “I had to make sure he got in OK.” Consider it part of Tomsula’s code: When someone gives you a car, the least you can do is make sure he always has a ride. And this too: he downs a beer and devours an Italian hoagie with the urgency of a two-minute drill. Then he goes about working the room with salami-and-suds-doused breath, doling kisses and pats on the back.
“We did great work today,” he says. “I love you people.” He grabs another beer. “Really, I love you people.”
Tomsula’s mother, Betty Jo, beams with pride.
“Folks in San Francisco or around the country might say this or that about Jim Tomsula the football coach,” she says, “but I know this is the real him.”
znModeratorIN GENERAL I think he;s a bs-er on stuff like that. On whether he deliberately set up his defenses to injure players? I really can’t say but I think the whole thing is shady.
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This reply was modified 10 years, 10 months ago by
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znModeratorOn numbers. According to a common complaint out there, JL may make tackles, but it’s 5-7 yards downfield.
There’s only one way to check that. Play by plays.
I checked 12 games–from game 5 (SF) through game 16 (Seattle). Here’s what I looked for—runs over either guard or up the middle, where the tackler is JL. I don’t look at runs off tackle or at runs around either end.
I am just making the traditional assumption that JL polices the run from guard to guard. If he tackles outside he comes to the play in support.
However, of course, none of this tells us what percentage of runs to G-C-G where JL makes the tackle at all or doesn’t. It just answers the question, are a lot of tackles where JL is clearly the responsible linebacker made 5-7 yards downfield?
The answer is no. On the plays I set out to look at, his average yards per tackle is 2.8. Of those plays, 20% are 5-7 yards, but 30% are anywhere from tackled for a loss to 2 yards. 50% are in the 3-4 yard range.
znModeratorTo me this highlights reel, while encouraging, doesn’t answer the big “Jekyll/Hyde” questions about Foles.
For example, in contrast, a PFF study found that in 2014, he did not perform well under pressure in general.
In 2014, his accuracy percentage under pressure was 51.9%, which ranked 37th out of 39 qbs.
In 2013 it was much better (68.1%, ranked 7th of 41).
So I liked that vid too, but according to another view, the mystery remains—how and in what was was 2014 indicative, and can he play better than that?
He had clearly had some virtues in 2014, but also some flaws. To me, just being realistic, it remains unclear which qb the Rams are getting. (2014 or better than 2014?) Personally, I won’t have any realistic answers till I see him.
In the meanwhile I am content to be cautiously optimistic and assume that he fits the Rams play action offense and will do well.
So if Foles is schizophrenic so am I. In one hand I have the cautionary data. In the other I hold the “wait n see but also cautiously optimistic” card.
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This reply was modified 10 years, 10 months ago by
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