All I know is, with Case, they need to just attack the intermediate zones.
No more short passes, and no more ridiculously deep passes.
.
Just some thoughts to add to yours.
According to those numbers, CK is 5 of 13 on passes of 31 yards or more, which is 38.5%—which is good. The way I do this, on passes of 31 yards or more 30% is decent, 40% is good, 50% is extremely good. I got that template just from doing this for a few years, where now and then across the years I would compare different qbs on downfield completion percentage.
As you know, there’s a fallacy out there about Keenum–that he can’t throw long. Actually of course what he can’t do is throw medium with velocity. If he can loft a touch pass in the 11-20 or 21-30 range, medium and deep medium, he’s fine. But as we all know he can’t throw lasers–the lower the trajectory past 10 yards, the less effective he gets. But he can throw long, he just has to add air to them.
I think the long ball is just part of their game. Another stat. Stats LLC does big passing plays, or passes of 25 or more yards (though this one, unlike espn splits, includes RAC and is not purely in the air). According to that stat Keenum is 6th in the league (here: http://stats.washingtonpost.com/fb/leaders.asp?range=NFL&rank=118&type=Passing ).
I agree that they need a medium ball but then that will be Goff and probably not Keenum.
.
