Recent Forum Topics › Forums › The Rams Huddle › Washington wins, Rams clinch
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December 29, 2024 at 11:40 pm #154314
zn
ModeratorJ.B. Long@JB_Long
By way of a Washington Commanders victory, the Rams become the first NFL team since the 2020 Washington Football Team to start 1-4 and make the playoffs.December 29, 2024 at 11:42 pm #154316zn
ModeratorOne play puts 2 teams into the playoffs. Commanders clinch a wild card and the @RamsNFL clinch the NFC West pic.twitter.com/QL7aUiFRT7
— trey wingo (@wingoz) December 30, 2024
December 29, 2024 at 11:47 pm #154318zn
ModeratorWhen we look back on the 2024 NFL season, there will be a few huge storylines. Perhaps the most enduring one? The QB rookie class might be among the best ever. What a show from Jayden Daniels and Michael Penix Jr. on Sunday night. https://t.co/lyuEXO95e3
— Frank Schwab (@YahooSchwab) December 30, 2024
December 29, 2024 at 11:49 pm #154319zn
ModeratorSarah Barshop@sarahbarshop
The Rams are the first team in NFL history to make the playoffs in back-to-back seasons after being three games under .500, according to ESPN Research.December 29, 2024 at 11:51 pm #154320zn
ModeratorJourdan Rodrigue@JourdanRodrigue
The Rams had an 11% chance at making the playoffs as they headed into their Week 6 bye, according to
@TheAthletic model.December 29, 2024 at 11:53 pm #154321zn
ModeratorGreg Beacham@gregbeacham
The Rams win the NFC West for the 4th time in 8 seasons under Sean McVay. Only Chuck Knox (5) won more division titles as the Rams’ coach. McVay’s 7 winning seasons are a team record, and now his 6th playoff berth matches John Robinson’s record.December 30, 2024 at 12:38 am #154325zn
ModeratorAtlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders Game Highlights | 2024 Week 17
December 30, 2024 at 12:39 am #154326canadaram
ParticipantLet’s go, Jimmy G! Beat Seattle!
December 30, 2024 at 5:59 am #154332zn
ModeratorI don’t really look forward to this that much. I don’t like watching the 2s in a meaningless game, and then that could be quickly followed by a Rams playoff defeat, depending on who they get in the first round (not their year). So if it goes that way–a 2s game followed by a playoff loss–the next good Rams game we get to see will be next September. Unless they win their 1st playoff game, which depends on who they play. That could be a win and a good watch, depending.
I just want one good game before the season ends.
They could do a lot between now and September and field a real contender in 2025. Need to draft and/or sign an OT, a CB or 2, an ILB, and probably a fast receiver. Which is all do-able.
December 30, 2024 at 7:30 am #154333wv
ParticipantI don’t really look forward to this that much. I don’t like watching the 2s in a meaningless game, and then that could be quickly followed by a Rams playoff defeat, depending on who they get in the first round (not their year). So if it goes that way–a 2s game followed by a playoff loss–the next good Rams game we get to see will be next September. Unless they win their 1st playoff game, which depends on who they play. That could be a win and a good watch, depending.
I just want one good game before the season ends.
They could do a lot between now and September and field a real contender in 2025. Need to draft and/or sign an OT, a CB or 2, an ILB, and probably a fast receiver. Which is all do-able.
Yeah, i agree with all that.
I dont like this way of clinching a division. Should have come down to actually beating Seattle.
Such a weird season. The narrative is that the Rams won X number of games after the bye, etc, etc, but are they really playing good football now? The next two games could be ugly. Which would mean they have been playing ugly football since the Saints game, other than the crazy game against the Bills.
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vDecember 30, 2024 at 7:32 am #154334canadaram
ParticipantI agree with that. Although, I don’t want to see the 1’s play a full game on offense. I’d be ok with the starters playing a few series in the first half, just enough to put together a couple of encouraging drives and then pull them. I will be watching through my fingers if they play the whole game though.
On defense, I have no problem with the starters not seeing the field at all. Given McVay’s history with starters in preseason and in other games that don’t impact the standings, I’m assuming that the core starters on either side of the ball don’t see the field.
December 30, 2024 at 8:47 am #154338wv
ParticipantIf you watch this vid, you will see how the Seahawks never had a chance. Even if they had beaten the Rams. They would have needed, like, ten teams to win along WITH their win.
December 30, 2024 at 12:19 pm #154341joemad
ParticipantGeorge Allen is smiling somewhere… both the Rams and the over the hill gang won….
December 30, 2024 at 1:17 pm #154343Zooey
ModeratorWell. Yeah. It doesn’t look good. This team is not flying high in all phases of the game, and Kupp “looks washed” (Cowherd), and Stafford has thrown half a dozen dropped INTs in the last 3 games.
But just for the sake of shooting the bull on a message board, we should acknowledge that football is especially prone to Recency Bias.
Let’s quickly review the season. Starts off with a narrow overtime loss to one of the NFL’s best teams on the road, a game during which the Rams lost 2 MORE OL and Puka Nacua, and still nearly pulled it off, and only lost because, like, half the defense was playing their 1st NFL game.
That was followed by Hell on wheels for a 1-4 start prior to the bye.
Since the bye…well…everyone knows. They’ve won a lot, and the Defense has grown significantly. More than I would have expected in a season. And the offense was doing fine until the last 3 weeks, starting with a 0-TD performance in SFO. That was followed by a low-scoring, Arctic affair, and then…the Rams’ offense ran out of weather-related excuses against AZ.
What stands out from that? Well, Williams, the OL, and Puka Nacua were fine. Stafford and Kupp were disappointing. That’s what we’re looking at here. I look at Stafford particularly. Uncharacteristically, he has thrown a lot of errant balls over the 3 games. Not just the near-INTs. Some bad throws like Goff used to hoist up every so often. So…why?
He didn’t age 10 years after the Buffalo game. He didn’t forget how to play. He’s had pretty good protection. So, he’s hurt. Maybe he got a bad bruise in his shoulder, or fractured his ring finger, or something. In which case… you know… he could be fine in two weeks.
I wouldn’t go so far as to say that something like this is LIKELY. But it’s plausible. And it certainly sounds more reasonable to me than “Stafford and Kupp have hit a wall, and the Rams offense isn’t any good anymore, and defenses have figured out McVay and taken away the passing game.” This is not a 7-9 bullshit offense, even though it has looked like it recently. It’s not.
And at this point, I interrupted my post to go get some evidence to look at, and I have returned with the following screen capture from Statmuse:
Stafford has 6 games this year with a rating over 100, including 4 in a row: NE, PHI, NO, BUF.
He are Stafford’s spray charts (fingers crossed I don’t screw up the formatting on this post) since Buffalo with my emphasis on passes over 10 yards:
Against Buffalo, Stafford was 11/15 over 10 yards.
San Francisco: 1/7 over 10 yds.
NYJ: 2/4 over 10 yds with 1 INT.
AZ: 4/8 over 10 yds.
He hasn’t been throwing as deep for 3 games in a row. Weather was certainly a factor in SF and NY, but maybe not the only factor. All I’m saying.
I propose that we vote against zn’s proposal for a good game against Seattle, and instead put Stafford on ice until next Monday, then fire him up. That’s my plan. I think the simplest explanation for their woes is that Stafford isn’t healthy. As long as it isn’t a torn rotator cuff or something crazy, he could be back to his 100+ ratings the second weekend of January, and then who knows what happens after that?
December 30, 2024 at 1:34 pm #154346zn
ModeratorHe didn’t age 10 years after the Buffalo game. He didn’t forget how to play. He’s had pretty good protection. So, he’s hurt. Maybe he got a bad bruise in his shoulder, or fractured his ring finger, or something. In which case… you know… he could be fine in two weeks.
I’m with you. The Buffalo and Minnie games stand out as exceptions to this “Stafford doddering on the edge of geriatric collapse” argument.
I propose that we vote against zn’s proposal for a good game against Seattle, and instead put Stafford on ice until next Monday, then fire him up.
I didn’t propose that. I assume Stafford will be out against Seattle. That just means the final game is less fun for me. I didn’t argue that Stafford should play in that game. I just accepted that he isn’t but then lamented that that comes close to meaning the end of fun to watch games.
Of course he should rest. It would be stupid not to do that. But…the game is, then, less watchable, for me anyway.
My hope for one more good game would be if they win in the first playoff round. That depends on who they play, I think.
…
December 30, 2024 at 3:32 pm #154347Zooey
ModeratorI didn’t propose that. I assume Stafford will be out against Seattle. That just means the final game is less fun for me. I didn’t argue that Stafford should play in that game. I just accepted that he isn’t but then lamented that that comes close to meaning the end of fun to watch games.
I expected you were going to say that. I should have edited it out. Saying you want to see a quality, meaningful game is different from wishing to see it in Week 18. I suppose what I was trying to say is that I think the chances of us getting that in the WC round is actually pretty good. I don’t think the apprehension we are all expressing is based in any definite reason. The offense has not played well recently Why?
Lost their mojo isn’t a thing.
There are reasons. There are factors. And there is no reason to think those factors will be in place 2 weeks from now. The game will be in LA. They have a “bye,” basically. They can focus their film study and game-planning on potential playoff opponents, and give some recovery time to anybody who has a health issue. Why wouldn’t they play their best game of the season on that day? They are healthier than they’ve been all year.
December 30, 2024 at 5:58 pm #154348zn
ModeratorThere are reasons. There are factors. And there is no reason to think those factors will be in place 2 weeks from now. The game will be in LA. They have a “bye,” basically. They can focus their film study and game-planning on potential playoff opponents, and give some recovery time to anybody who has a health issue. Why wouldn’t they play their best game of the season on that day? They are healthier than they’ve been all year.
You’re talking about the playoff game (round 1). Well as I said, it depends on who they get. There are matchups where the Rams aren;t quite ready to win yet, no matter how well they play. That’s just how I see it.
December 30, 2024 at 6:17 pm #154349InvaderRam
ModeratorThey could do a lot between now and September and field a real contender in 2025. Need to draft and/or sign an OT, a CB or 2, an ILB, and probably a fast receiver. Which is all do-able.
they need to re-sign stafford too.
i’ll be continually worried until they actually re-sign him.
December 30, 2024 at 6:17 pm #154350Zooey
ModeratorThere are matchups where the Rams aren;t quite ready to win yet, no matter how well they play. That’s just how I see it.
Yeah, I think that’s true. But you asked for one good game, and I think we will get it. We might get two. Depending on what you mean by “good.”
I think the window we are looking it ranges from “Crappy game against Seattle, followed by a thumping like the one they got from Philadelphia” on the low end, to “Some things to really like about the Seattle game, followed by a valiant effort in the Divisional Round, but ultimately just not enough.” That’s what I think the bell curve looks like to me. I’m sure there are other multiverses out there in which things end far worse or far better, but I expect that to be the low side/high side of the next couple of weeks.
December 30, 2024 at 7:23 pm #154351zn
ModeratorThere are matchups where the Rams aren;t quite ready to win yet, no matter how well they play. That’s just how I see it.
Yeah, I think that’s true. But you asked for one good game, and I think we will get it. We might get two. Depending on what you mean by “good.”
I think the window we are looking it ranges from “Crappy game against Seattle, followed by a thumping like the one they got from Philadelphia” on the low end, to “Some things to really like about the Seattle game, followed by a valiant effort in the Divisional Round, but ultimately just not enough.” That’s what I think the bell curve looks like to me. I’m sure there are other multiverses out there in which things end far worse or far better, but I expect that to be the low side/high side of the next couple of weeks.
We’re just tabulating this somewhat differently. I am counting as a good, watchable game as one they win with the starters. They could play well in a playoff loss, but my own private “what I want to watch” meter isn’t counting that.
On this, I am being a spoiled fan, exercising the god-given right of every spoiled fan to bitch and whine a bit. 😎 It’s actually kind of liberating.
December 30, 2024 at 7:45 pm #154352nittany ram
ModeratorThey could do a lot between now and September and field a real contender in 2025. Need to draft and/or sign an OT, a CB or 2, an ILB, and probably a fast receiver. Which is all do-able.
they need to re-sign stafford too.
i’ll be continually worried until they actually re-sign him.
Resign Stafford, or go all-in for Sam Darnold?
December 30, 2024 at 10:13 pm #154356InvaderRam
ModeratorResign Stafford, or go all-in for Sam Darnold?
i know you’re joking but no. he’s had a good season but hell no.
i’m also hoping they sign staley for new rams left tackle.
then draft a receiver and a defensive back in the draft. sprinkle in some lb, dl, and ol depth in the draft.
December 30, 2024 at 10:52 pm #154357zn
Moderatori’m also hoping they sign staley for new rams left tackle.
I agree, sign Stafford.
At OT, I would sign Jackson. Improved over last year, solid, knows the system. I would draft tackles though. 1 to replace Hav sooner if not later. They need OT depth. I would also argue that you don’t bring in a new FA to replace a young one who has been with you…keep your guy, and use FA money to bring in an outsider who fits a position where you have issues to fix.
Here’s PFF on Jackson. One of these comments is embedded in their take on the Steelers LOT, Dan Moore.
https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-2025-nfl-free-agent-rankings
46. T Alaric Jackson, Los Angeles Rams
The former undrafted free agent out of Iowa has settled in quite nicely over the past few years protecting the blindside of Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford, with a career year across the board in 2024 coming at just the right time.Top free agent comparison: Jared Veldheer, 2014
47. T Dan Moore, Pittsburgh Steelers
… Moore and Los Angeles Rams tackle Alaric Jackson stand to benefit as the young, potential multi-year solutions at left tackle who are hitting free agency.December 31, 2024 at 11:06 am #154367InvaderRam
ModeratorI would also argue that you don’t bring in a new FA to replace a young one who has been with you…keep your guy, and use FA money to bring in an outsider who fits a position where you have issues to fix.
if they bring back jackson, i’ll be happy too. and i agree with you about adding a tackle in the draft.
one question. what do the rams do with jonah jackson at the end of the season? is it feasible to cut him? or do you even want to cut him? keep him for depth?
December 31, 2024 at 11:31 am #154368zn
Moderatorone question. what do the rams do with jonah jackson at the end of the season? is it feasible to cut him? or do you even want to cut him? keep him for depth
IMO? He costs too much to keep just as depth.
If they cut him they have 11+ M dead money, but save 3+ M. After June 1 it turns to 5+ dead, 9 saved.
But then there’s Noteboom too. If they cut him, they eat 10 M with no savings. After June 1, that turns to 5 dead 5 saved.
Teams are allowed up to 2 post-June 1 cuts.
December 31, 2024 at 11:49 am #154369Zooey
ModeratorIf only Limmer had been no good, they wouldn’t have this problem.
January 1, 2025 at 12:10 pm #154381Zooey
ModeratorThe Rams possible first round playoff opponents are DET, MN, WA, & GB.
The 4th seed will get the loser of the DET/MN game. The Rams would be the 4th seed if they lose to SEA, and TB beats the Saints.
If they beat Seattle, or TB falters against the Saints, the Rams get the 3rd seed where they would likely get Washington. They could get GB if GB beats the Bears (very likely) and Washington loses to Dallas (unlikely).
So Green Bay is very likely to be headed to Philadelphia in the first round which is great. That will be the best game of the weekend, imo. And those are the two best teams in the conference right now, and getting rid of one of those teams in the first weekend is good for the Rams.
And that leaves the Rams the Lions, Vikings, or Commanders. I’m okay with that. I would rather see the Rams play any one of those three rather than face either GB or Philadelphia first.
I think the Lions are my preference. That team has smoke coming out its exhaust right now. And if they lose to Minnesota, that will be a team that will be second-guessing itself after being the #1 team all season long until the tires fell off at the end. They just have too many guys injured at this point, I think, and I don’t see them advancing past the Division round, even if they beat the Rams. There is also a debt to be repaid in this matchup, so I’d be eager for this game.
The Rams kinda thumped the Vikings already once this season – in Minnesota – although that seems like a long time ago at this point. And that was the last game the Vikings lost this year. They’ve won 9 games in a row. They also beat GB both times this year. They benefitted from a weak schedule, though. The wins against GB are their only wins against a “real” team all year. Their next two most-impressive wins were over Houston and Seattle, so…. I don’t take them lightly at all, but I don’t think they can be considered a juggernaut. And because of the 70s rivalry between these two teams, I will never get tired of playing the Vikings, especially in the playoffs (even though the games lack mud and ice now).
The Commanders also benefitted from a weak schedule. The only real team they beat all season long was Philadelphia, and that game has an asterisk by it. Jalen Hurts went out early in that game, and it still took uncharacteristic mistakes for Philly to lose. And the Commanders have a rookie QB. He looks like a really good one, but the Commanders don’t frighten me. I’ve always hated this team, too, so I’d be happy to wipe the smirk off their faces.
I look forward to any of those 3 matchups. If the Rams’ offense shows up, they can win any of those. If the Rams offense doesn’t show up, it really doesn’t matter anyway.
January 1, 2025 at 1:36 pm #154382InvaderRam
ModeratorIf the Rams offense doesn’t show up, it really doesn’t matter anyway.
yeah. and i’m not holding out hope for the offense. unless kupp can magically regain his prime self. that’s probably been the saddest thing to watch on the rams this season.
January 1, 2025 at 1:40 pm #154383zn
ModeratorSo Green Bay is very likely to be headed to Philadelphia in the first round which is great. That will be the best game of the weekend
Good write up, z.
Except one thing. Sure, well-grounded football analysis is good, and all, but the truth is, a GB/Phil game pits 2 teams with green in their colors, and that makes it unwatchable.
Just offering a little perspective.
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