reporters set up the Eagles game

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  • #95110
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    McVay, Rams Moving On to Challenges Eagles Present

    https://www.therams.com/news/mcvay-rams-moving-on-to-challenges-eagles-present

    #95116
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    #95117
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    #95118
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    #95183
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    Eagles-Rams scouting report, prediction

    Paul Domowitch

    http://www2.philly.com/eagles/nick-foles-rams-eagles-rpos-zach-ertz-todd-gurley-carson-wentz-20181213.html

    The 6-7 Eagles will play at the 11-2 Los Angeles Rams on Sunday. Here are a preview, prediction, individual matchups to watch, and keys to the game.

    When Eagles run the ball

    Doug Pederson: No plans to bring John DeFilippo to the Eagles
    With Nick Foles expected to start against Rams, Eagles need to be committed to the run
    Carson Wentz isn’t the problem with the Eagles | Marcus Hayes
    The Eagles’ running-back corps took another hit Sunday when Corey Clement went down with a knee injury, though that probably will impact the pass game more than the run game. The Eagles ran just 48 plays Sunday, tying their season low. Only 14 of them were run plays, despite the fact that they gained 32 yards on their first four carries.
    Rookie Josh Adams, who had 22 carries against the Giants and 20 against the Redskins, had just seven against the Cowboys, four of which came on the Eagles’ first possession (for 30 yards). He’s averaging an impressive 5.0 yards per carry and 5.1 on first down.
    In last year’s 43-35 win over the Rams, the Eagles rushed 32 times and controlled the ball for more than 39 minutes. Despite having Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh in the middle of their line, the Rams are allowing a league-worst 5.1 yards per carry. The Bears rushed for 194 yards on 35 carries against them Sunday in their 15-6 win, and controlled the ball for nearly 37 minutes.

    EDGE: Even

    When Eagles throw the ball

    Carson Wentz is dealing with back issues and likely will sit out Sunday’s game. He’d be replaced by Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles, who hasn’t played since Week 2. Foles struggled in his two early-season starts. He had a 78.9 passer rating, threw just one touchdown, and averaged only 5.5 yards per attempt in a win over Atlanta and a loss to Tampa Bay. Tight end Zach Ertz is third in the league in receiving with 98 receptions. With Foles at QB, the Eagles might run a few more RPOs than they did with Wentz.

    The Rams have given up 27 TD passes, fifth most in the league. But they’ve given up only two and have four interceptions since cornerback Aquib Talib’s return from an ankle injury two games ago. The Rams have given up 50 completions of 20 yards or more, just one fewer than the Eagles. DT Aaron Donald will be a difficult challenge inside for left guard Isaac Seumalo. Donald has a league-leading 16 ½ of the Rams’ 34 sacks.

    EDGE: Rams

    When Rams run the ball

    At 6-foot-1 and 224 pounds, Todd Gurley is a rare blend of speed and power. He rushed for 1,305 yards and 13 TDs last year when he was the league’s offensive player of the year, and is second in rushing this season with 1,203 yards and 15 touchdowns. He was held to 28 yards on 11 carries by the Bears on Sunday. That was his lowest rushing total since his rookie season.
    For whatever reason, the Rams aren’t running the ball nearly as much as they did earlier in the season. They have a 32.5 run percentage in their last five games, compared to 48.4 in their first eight.
    The Eagles are 28th in opponent rush average (4.9). Last weekend, they gave up 5.9 yards per carry to Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys in the first half, but held them to 2.7 in the second half. Thirteen of the Cowboys’ 22 second-half carries gained 3 or fewer yards. First down has been a problem for the Eagles. In their last eight games, they’ve allowed a league-worst 6.42 yards per carry on first down.

    EDGE: Rams

    When Rams throw the ball

    Jared Goff’s passer rating (101.2) is just a point below Wentz’s. He’s fourth in yards per attempt (8.59) and eighth in touchdowns (27). Goff had four interceptions and no TDs and completed just 45.5 percent of his passes in Sunday’s 15-6 loss to the Bears. The week before vs. Detroit, he completed just 51.5 percent of his attempts. He has completed just 7 of 17 third-down passes in the last two games.
    The loss of productive slot receiver Cooper Kupp (knee) was a big blow to the Rams, who use “11’’ personnel almost exclusively. Robert Woods, who leads the team in receptions with 71, has been taking most of the slot snaps, with Brandin Cooks (66 catches, 15.9 yards per catch) and Josh Reynolds on the outside.
    Gurley is one of the league’s top pass-catching RBs. He is averaging 10.3 yards per catch, with 49 receptions. The Eagles’ injury woes in the secondary are well-documented. Their front four must get pressure on Goff, but their stamina will be tested by the Rams’ frequent use of tempo, which restricts substitutions.

    EDGE: Rams

    Special teams

    Jake Elliott has made 20 of 24 FG attempts, including 11 of his last 12, but had a costly PAT miss in Sunday’s OT loss to Dallas. P Cam Johnston is second in the league in both gross (48.4) and net (42.9) average. He has put 10 of his last 18 attempts inside the 20. Darren Sproles has averaged 8.1 yards on seven punt returns since returning from injury. With Corey Clement, Shelton Gibson likely will handle kick returns.
    The Eagles are sixth in punt coverage (6.5) and 24th in kickoff coverage (23.7). But just 14 of Elliott’s kickoffs have been returned, fourth fewest in the league.
    Rams PK Greg Zuerlein has missed just three of 24 FG attempts. He’s made 9 of 11 from 50-plus yards the last two seasons. Johnny Hekker is one of the league’s top punters. He’s had just 10 of 35 punts returned. PR JoJo Natson, who averaged just 2.4 yards per return with the Jets last season, is averaging 12.3 this year with the Rams. Their coverage teams have struggled. They’re tied for 24th in punt coverage (9.0) and 22nd in kickoff coverage (23.5).

    EDGE: Even

    Intangibles

    Foles hasn’t played since Week 2. A rusty quarterback in a must-win game never is a good thing. The Eagles are last in the league in first-quarter scoring with just 28 points. The Rams are fourth with 77. Jared Goff has a 115.9 first-quarter passer rating with six TDs, one interception, and a 73.4 completion percentage. So the Eagles had better be ready to rumble. Oh, and the Rams are 6-0 at home and averaging 37.7 points.

    EDGE: Rams

    Prediction

    Rams 37, Eagles 20

    Key matchups

    Eagles LG Isaac Seumalo vs. Aaron Donald: Donald is the best interior lineman in the league. Seumalo has his work cut out. ADVANTAGE: Rams

    Eagles CBs Rasul Douglas, De’Vante Bausby and Cre’Von LeBlanc vs. Rams WRs Brandin Cooks, Robert Woods and Josh Reynolds: Douglas is coming off a solid game against the Cowboys. The Eagles need to keep the Rams’ receivers in front of them and limit the YAC. ADVANTAGE: Rams

    Eagles TEs Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert vs. LB Cory Littleton and S John Johnson: The Eagles used “12” personnel on more than half their snaps vs. the Cowboys. Ertz is third in the league in receptions. ADVANTAGE: Eagles

    Three keys

    Be better on third down: The Eagles converted just 1 of 9 third-down opportunities vs. Dallas and allowed the Cowboys to convert 10 of their 19 third downs. That can’t happen against the Rams.

    Dust off the RPOs: Nick Foles was very successful with RPOs during the playoffs last year. They haven’t used them as much with Carson Wentz at quarterback. But they could help the Eagles and Foles neutralize Donald and Suh.

    Early to Gurley: Last week, Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys averaged 5.9 yards per carry in the first half, but only 2.7 in the second half. The Eagles can’t afford to spot Todd Gurley two quarters before they slow him.

    #95190
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    #95193
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    Jared Goff Looking to Rebound vs. Eagles This Week

    https://www.therams.com/news/jared-goff-looking-to-rebound-vs-eagles-this-week

    Injury Report 12/13: Wentz Unlikely to Play on Sunday, According to National Media Reports

    https://www.therams.com/news/injury-report-12-13-wentz-unlikely-to-play-on-sunday-according-to-national-media

    Quotes & Notes 12/12/18: McVay, Rams on O-line Woes & Previous Meeting with Eagles

    https://www.therams.com/news/quotes-notes-12-12-18-mcvay-rams-on-o-line-woes-previous-meeting-with-eagles

    #95228
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    Adapting to the Rams’ motion concepts
    Jim Schwartz will have to prove he can make the necessary adjustments…

    https://www.bleedinggreennation.com/2018/12/14/18140777/adapting-rams-motion-concepts-eagles-vs-rams-preview-offense-defense-sean-mcvay-nfl-week-15-game

    Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you’re aware of the Los Angeles Rams’ offensive schemes. Get Todd Gurley going on the ground, hit vertical shots with play-action, gash you with the screen game, go fast with quick snaps as a constraint to their occasionally long pre-snap process, and use motion to influence defenses.

    The last point, the use of motion, has been particularly tricky for defenses to handle. Other teams are beginning to catch on and use more motion as man/zone indicators, but there’s another type of motion that nobody uses nearly as much as the Rams. Jet motion.

    Where did jet motion originate and how did it make it’s way to the NFL? The Ringer’s Robert Mays detailed this journey, starting with the jet sweep, in his comprehensive article on the concept.

    “The play’s path to this point was 15 years in the making. It began as a stroke of genius from Division II football coach Bob Stitt in 2003, devised during a Colorado School of Mines practice as a way to shoehorn a chic trend into his shotgun offense. As Stitt’s team piled up yards and wins, it seeped into the major college ranks. The preeminent mad scientists at that level, from Mike Leach to Hal Mumme to Dana Holgorsen, wanted to pick Stitt’s brain.

    Eventually the play became of staple of Holgorsen’s high-flying Air Raid offenses. The success of Holgorsen’s teams at West Virginia brought both the concept and Stitt’s name into the national consciousness, but it would still be years before this iteration of the jet sweep made its way to the NFL. Now, a decade and a half after Stitt’s epiphany, his play design is a featured element for Super Bowl contenders.”

    One of those Super Bowl contenders, of course, are the Rams. The data shows that they utilize jet motion far more than any other offense in the league. Not only that, they use jet sweeps at a much higher rate, forcing teams to respect the motion man as a legitimate running threat.

    The concept is simple: get the ball-carrier outside of the core of the formation quickly and allow him to pick up yards in space. However, it’s not just the sweep that has been giving defenses’ fits. The Rams use the threat of the sweep to accentuate their traditional run game by pulling defenders out of position to achieve run blocking angles that would otherwise be impossible.

    This play is called “Weak Wide Zone Sift” and is a staple of the Rams’ offense. Pre-snap these blocking angles look foolish.

    The jet motion is going to do three things to three different levels of the Denver Broncos’ defense on this play. First, it’s going to freeze the defensive end. Second, it’s going to get their linebackers to adjust their alignments to the right of the formation just before the snap. Third, they spin their safeties.

    On the right side, the safety follows the motion man and is taken out of the play entirely. On the left side, the safety rotates to a deep alignment. All of this is creating space and favorable angles for the final product.

    These aren’t the only concepts the Rams use, but I highlight these because my charting shows that the Rams are a heavy run team when using motion. They want to pull you out of position to create running lanes that otherwise would have never existed.

    The problem for the Rams is that in the last two weeks defenses have begun to alter their initial alignments. They’re countering with evenly distributed formations that already take into account jet motion.

    From what I can gather, teams may have begun to do this in Week 10, starting with the Seattle Seahawks. Not only does their alignment account for an extra threat entering the opposite side of the formation, but it allows them to auto-blitz from the side where the motion started.

    Matty Brown of Field Gulls detailed this adjustment in his excellent piece.

    “Getting [Justin Coleman] into a footrace with Gurley across the formation is foolish, and Seattle is in a cover-2 zone, after all. Instead, Coleman becomes the spare man—as Barkevious Mingo waits for Gurley on the other side…

    The blitz is packaged into the coverage. The key for Coleman is the motion. As soon as Gurley begins moving on the jet, Coleman can move inside—as though he is following the movement across the formation. Instead, as the ball is snapped, Coleman is free to hunt.” – Matty Brown

    This may have more to do with the Seahawks built in auto-blitz from their bear front, but it is notable that it was used to counter a play involving jet motion and could lead to further expansion on the idea.

    It’s also of note, as Brown pointed out to me, that teams have been running more bear fronts against the Rams, but having five men down also springs play-action. Perhaps running more “Tite” front on defense may be a suitable counter to that downside, but now we’re exposing cut-back lanes and getting off-topic with this spit-balling.

    Beyond blitzing, teams have made other adjustments to expand on the thought that accounting for the motion via initial alignment is a viable solution. The evenly distributed formations allow them to remain static before the snap with every player understanding how the shift effects their responsibilities.

    The Detroit Lions began ignoring the jet motion back in Week 13. The Chicago Bears were similarly dismissive in their Week 14 win over the Rams. The Bears had a vested interest in trying out this idea.

    Jet motion can succeed in part by freezing the end man on the line of scrimmage [EMLOS]. If the Rams were able to “freeze” game-wrecking defensive end Khalil Mack, that would be a win for the offense. Knowing what Mack is capable of when free to attack, the Bears put him in a position to win, which put their defense at an advantage.

    It wasn’t just Mack who benefited though. Remember the “Weak Wide Zone Sift” play earlier that gashed the Broncos by manufacturing easier blocking angles? The Bears adjustments shut the door on that idea.

    Unlike against the Broncos, the backside tackle can’t get to the MIKE linebacker and the center can’t get to the “Point”. There’s very little movement by the Bears and none of which that helps the Rams achieve their goal.

    The other factor in this is that the safeties don’t spin. The Lions and Bears utilized a lot of middle of the field open [MOFO] deployments. This two-high safety alignment aids the defense in defending against jet motion concepts.

    Yes, spinning a single high safety down to the box helps defends against sweeps, but it also leaves a vulnerability on the weak side, which is where the Rams love to attack in their run game. It also allows offenses to gash you with run-pass options.

    By having two high safeties, it has a trickle down effect on the other levels of the defense.

    “Staying even and not rotating to the motion allows the defense to be flexible and adapt to what the defense is giving them. Playing a two-high look and keeping box integrity allows the defense to maintain their box fits and not get out-leveraged by the offense.

    By staying even and using quarters rules, the defense can adapt to any jet motion thrown at it. The key to breaking down a team that uses jet motion in its offense is to understand they are trying to move the defense.

    Whether they are going to use the QB to run counter away from the motion or to get the LBs/safeties sucked in for an RPO, the defense can counteract this by staying still and using the leverage and flexibility given to it by staying in a two-high look.” – Cody Alexander, Match Quarters – Defending Jet Motion

    If the defense is no longer shifting linebackers, freezing their EMLOS, or spinning their safeties, the impact of the jet motion dissolves. Simply put, if the defense doesn’t react to motion, there’s no reason for the offense to motion. As such, the Rams have used jet motion with decreasing frequency over recent weeks.

    Now, the bad news. The Eagles are primarily and overwhelmingly a middle of the field closed [MOFC] team. They play single-high safety with cover 1 and cover 3 coverage deployments the majority of the time.

    Is Jim Schwartz capable of morphing his defense into a two-high safety team to stop the Rams? Not only that, does he believe he has the personnel capable of making the switch? We’ll have the answer to that question very soon.

    #95245
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