Recent Forum Topics › Forums › The Rams Huddle › Rams next game? Chicago! So…setting up the Bears game thread
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Zooey.
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January 14, 2026 at 3:27 pm #161208
ZooeyModeratorIn terms of playoff games, they’ve only lost to 2 NFC teams–Falcons and Eagles.
The Lions and Packers may remember that differently.
So the NFC North hasn’t stayed in their seat.
January 14, 2026 at 3:36 pm #161209
znModeratorIn terms of playoff games, they’ve only lost to 2 NFC teams–Falcons and Eagles.
The Lions and Packers may remember that differently.
So the NFC North hasn’t stayed in their seat.
Yes. Forgetful me. It’s the time zone. It crushes memories under its dark gray tossing Melvillean ocean waters, full of vengeful whales.
January 14, 2026 at 4:25 pm #161210
ZooeyModeratorSingapore is GMT +8 (Greenwich Mean Time) which means if we set the game then, we will know the result of the game 16 hours before anybody in the PST (Proper Standard Time) zone.
January 14, 2026 at 8:15 pm #161217
wvParticipantJanuary 14, 2026 at 8:26 pm #161218
wvParticipantOk, that First Thing First vid i just posted is not worth watching. I thot it would have plenty of rams stuff, but its just yakking about Caleb.
w
vJanuary 14, 2026 at 8:47 pm #161219
wvParticipantOrlovsky
January 15, 2026 at 8:43 am #161223
ZooeyModeratorThe Athletic staff unanimously picks the Rams to win….
We know that isn’t how it works for Ben Johnson and the Bears. We know that. This is the NFL, and Chicago obviously has a game plan coming into every contest. But knowing and feeling are two different things, and boy, it feels like the Bears are performing free jazz up until the fourth quarter. With their impossible comeback win over Green Bay, Chicago has now won seven games in which they were trailing in the final two minutes, two more than any team has pulled off in a single season (playoffs included) in the Super Bowl era.
But the Packers, while talented, are not the Rams. Los Angeles is a far more efficient offensive machine and isn’t dealing with the gut punch of losing their core defensive player. It’s tempting to point to the wild-card game against Carolina as proof of L.A.’s fallibility, but consider this: Abraham Nunez batted .242 for his career, but hit .429 off Greg Maddux the 30 times he faced him. Weird stuff happens, and sometimes mediocre talent finds the magic against a particular opponent.
The Bears are at home, and their two losses at Soldier Field were by three points, so in that sense, the Rams being favored by 3.5 points has a certain logic to it. But in every other sense, this spread seems awfully conservative. A quick rundown of the Rams’ advantages:
The deep ball
The Bears allowed the second-most touchdowns and second-most yards per game on deep passes (20-plus air yards) this season, and only the Cowboys gave up more touchdowns on passes that went 10 or more yards in the air.
Matt Stafford completed more deep passes than any quarterback in the league, throwing an NFL-best 10 touchdowns and one interception. On passes over 10 yards, he had the most touchdowns (19), most yards (2,568) and threw just three picks. His EPA on throws over 10 yards is an astounding (and league-leading) +138.6.
Play action
Chicago has allowed more touchdowns off play action than anyone but the Jets, and surrendered the fifth-most yards per game to it this year.
Play action is the lifeblood of the Rams’ offense, and they are devastatingly good at it. L.A. runs play action more than any other team, averaging more than 100 yards and a touchdown per game. No one comes close to Stafford, who has thrown 20 touchdowns and one pick, six more scores than the next-closest quarterback.
The ground game
There’s no doubt the Bears can run the ball, but the problem for them is the Rams can, too. The bigger problem is that Chicago’s defense is worse at stopping the run than L.A.’s is. The biggest problem is that the Bears are really bad at stopping the types of runs the Rams are great at. Los Angeles is seventh in EPA per rush outside the tackles; Chicago’s defense is 29th. The Rams’ Blake Corum and Kyren Williams are first and third in rushing success rate on runs from under center; the Bears are 24th against under-center runs. It’s not that Chicago can’t run on the Rams; it’s that the Rams can run right back.
Fourth-quarter magic
The Bears have been heroic in the last 15 minutes of games. Through last week, they have 20 fourth-quarter touchdowns (second), average +.11 EPA per play (second) and are first in yards per play (5.9). Impossibly, the Rams have the exact same numbers. The two teams are tied in each one of those fourth-quarter stats.
Defensively, the Rams outshine Chicago considerably in the final frame. L.A. has the most fourth-quarter QB pressures, the third-most sacks, and allows the seventh-stingiest EPA per play.
Caleb Williams and his pixie dust represent Chicago’s only true edge in the game, as the Rams are bad against quarterback scrambles and among the worst at surrendering passing yards when they blitz. The second-year QB is tremendous at both of those things, and his ability to execute near-impossible throws can make up a lot of lost ground in a hurry. Still, there’s only so much you can do in 120 seconds, and the first 58 minutes against the Rams could make the final two irrelevant.
January 15, 2026 at 8:56 am #161224
wvParticipantMina and Barnwell
January 15, 2026 at 9:25 am #161226
wvParticipantGreg Cosell
January 15, 2026 at 2:27 pm #161230
znModeratorHC Ben Johnson has been making the Bears practice without heaters this season, according to S Kevin Byard. 🥶
Byard also said players weren’t fans of that decision but they can see it making a difference now. 👀
via @AdamHoge pic.twitter.com/aoBLD3PmVb
— Bearsszn (@bearszn) January 14, 2026
January 15, 2026 at 2:56 pm #161232
wvParticipant“HC Ben Johnson has been making the Bears practice without heaters this season, according to S Kevin Byard.”
Shades of Bud Grant.
w
vJanuary 15, 2026 at 3:18 pm #161233
ZooeyModeratorThe Rams don’t use heaters, either.
January 15, 2026 at 5:50 pm #161237
InvaderRamModerator“HC Ben Johnson has been making the Bears practice without heaters this season, according to S Kevin Byard.”
Shades of Bud Grant.
is that a good or a bad thing?
a lot of rams influencers/pundits are getting really defensive about the weather factor. i don’t understand why. it’s a factor. the rams play in la which has really mild weather. bears players play in these conditions. it’s an advantage. hopefully, the rams can overcome it.
January 15, 2026 at 6:04 pm #161238
ZooeyModeratora lot of rams influencers/pundits are getting really defensive about the weather factor. i don’t understand why. it’s a factor. the rams play in la which has really mild weather. bears players play in these conditions. it’s an advantage. hopefully, the rams can overcome it.
It hasn’t been as cold as it’s going to be on Sunday, so it’s going to be colder than the Bears are used to. And when it comes to that, Stafford has played in more cold weather games than Caleb Williams has. Williams is from SoCal as well, remember. And most of the football season, the Bears are playing in temperatures above freezing. It was 60 degrees in Chicago last Thursday, and 52 degrees the day before yesterday. I think they have a slight advantage in this respect, but Stafford, the RBs (Notre Dame and Michigan), and Davante Adams have all played in cold weather before. I think it will affect skill players more than the other guys, but I don’t think anybody ever “gets used to” 16 degrees. That’s effing cold.
It’s supposed to be 36 degrees in Chicago tomorrow, and drops to 18 degrees on Saturday. I’m guessing the Rams will be there by then. So this is a fairly sudden and dramatic drop in temperature, and the Bears won’t be any more used to it that the Rams are. Not significantly, anyway.
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This reply was modified 1 month, 2 weeks ago by
Zooey.
January 15, 2026 at 6:43 pm #161240
znModeratorStafford has played in more cold weather games than Caleb Williams has.
In the past, Stafford did.
But you acclimate fairly quickly. And when you do, your old acclimation goes away. You are basically re-set.
I am originally from Manitoba. I moved from the cold midwest to California, and then to Chicago, and then back to California, and then to Louisiana, and then to Maine.
Your old, years in the past experience with cold has nothing to do with how your body responds to it now. More than once, I moved from cold to warm to cold. When I moved from a warm zone to a cold zone, having been in a cold zone years before had no effect at all–when I was acclimated to a warm zone, having to move to a cold zone meant I had to acclimate all over again to the cold. There was no advantage to having lived in it before.
In Chicago, it’s the wind. The off-the-lake Chicago cold wind means it’s always colder than what the temperature is supposed to be according to the thermometer. You know, wind chill, except wind chill on steroids. There were days in Chicago where walking in a cold winter wind from the subway (or the EL, actually) to the building where I worked meant having to pause in the lobby and wipe the ice out of my beard (moisture from breathing).
Being in that cold wind for a while and having gotten relatively used to it is an advantage. So that’s a Bears advantage.
How much of one? I don;t know, really. But it will be a factor, I just can’t guess how much of a factor.

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January 15, 2026 at 7:07 pm #161241
wvParticipanta lot of rams influencers/pundits are getting really defensive about the weather factor. i don’t understand why. it’s a factor. the rams play in la which has really mild weather. bears players play in these conditions. it’s an advantage. hopefully, the rams can overcome it.
All the ex-players ive seen talk about it, have said its a big factor. Tom Brady for one, talked about getting ‘softer’ when he was in Tampa Bay.
Its an advantage for Chicago. Just like it was for Philly last year. Doesnt mean the Rams cant win, but I’m still surprised at the point spread. Though it has come down from 4.5 to 3.5 I’ve heard.
I hope Matt Lefleur is helping McVay with some insight on the Bears.
w
vJanuary 15, 2026 at 7:08 pm #161242
InvaderRamModeratorBut you acclimate fairly quickly. And when you do, your old acclimation goes away. You are basically re-set.
this. i think it’s a legitimate factor. will it decide the game? it’s one of many factors. i think the rams can neutralize it to some extent by running the ball. it’s a rams strength vs a bears weakness and weather conditions favor a game like this so mcvay would be wise to run the crap out of the ball.
January 15, 2026 at 7:13 pm #161243
InvaderRamModeratorAll the ex-players ive seen talk about it, have said its a big factor. Tom Brady for one, talked about getting ‘softer’ when he was in Tampa Bay.
yeah. none of these guys who were saying it was a non-factor were players.
like zn i’ve moved from warm weather to cold weather and back again, and it’s amazing how quickly your body adapts to the different climates.
it’s not just playing in it. it’s just going about your day – day after day. will it be colder than usual? yes. but it’s just different when you come from a place like la to a place like chicago. those lake michigan winds will be unkind.
January 15, 2026 at 8:30 pm #161244
wvParticipantit’s not just playing in it. it’s just going about your day – day after day. will it be colder than usual? yes. but it’s just different when you come from a place like la to a place like chicago. those lake michigan winds will be unkind.
In a year where there’s 4 teams in each conference only separated by a point or two, the no.1 seed thing makes such a difference. Its not just ‘playing at home,’ its more like NOT playing in Moose-country.
I wonder which special teams unit will fuk up this week? I think its the kickoff coverage unit’s turn.
w
vJanuary 15, 2026 at 9:25 pm #161245
ZooeyModeratorOkay, but what ya’ll are skipping over is that it hasn’t been very cold in Chicago yet. Nobody in Chicago has had to knock ice crystals out of their beards since sometime in early 2025. So they’re maybe acclimatized to some highs in the 40s – which is cooler than the 60s or 70s, whatever it is in LA right now – but the first “frozen beard” day is this coming Saturday.
They aren’t acclimated either.
January 15, 2026 at 9:46 pm #161246
wvParticipantOkay, but what ya’ll are skipping over is that it hasn’t been very cold in Chicago yet. Nobody in Chicago has had to knock ice crystals out of their beards since sometime in early 2025. So they’re maybe acclimatized to some highs in the 40s – which is cooler than the 60s or 70s, whatever it is in LA right now – but the first “frozen beard” day is this coming Saturday.
They aren’t acclimated either.
Well, all I know is, they wouldnt have this problem if the Rams had stayed
in Cleveland.w
vJanuary 15, 2026 at 9:56 pm #161247
ZooeyModeratorWell, all I know is, they wouldnt have this problem if the Rams had stayed
in Cleveland.w
vOr preserved a 16-point 4th quarter lead over Seattle.
January 15, 2026 at 10:00 pm #161248
InvaderRamModeratorOkay, but what ya’ll are skipping over is that it hasn’t been very cold in Chicago yet. Nobody in Chicago has had to knock ice crystals out of their beards since sometime in early 2025. So they’re maybe acclimatized to some highs in the 40s – which is cooler than the 60s or 70s, whatever it is in LA right now – but the first “frozen beard” day is this coming Saturday.
They aren’t acclimated either.
it’s gonna be fuuuuuuuuun…
but only if the rams win…
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This reply was modified 1 month, 2 weeks ago by
InvaderRam.
January 16, 2026 at 6:22 am #161250
znModeratorThey get to the Rams at about 7:03
January 16, 2026 at 7:25 am #161251
wvParticipant“Rams have not played a playoff game with a temperature under 20 degrees since the December 26, 1976 NFC championship game”
Against the Vikings in Metropolitan Stadium. Tarkenton vs Pat Haden.
Special teams: Vikings blocked a field goal, returned it 90 yards to go up 7-0.
Final game of Merlin’s career.
Vikings 24
Rams 13.w
vJanuary 16, 2026 at 8:03 am #161252
znModerator“Rams have not played a playoff game with a temperature under 20 degrees since the December 26, 1976 NFC championship game”
What were the temperatures in last year’s Eagles playoff game?
January 16, 2026 at 8:05 am #161253
znModerator“Rams have not played a playoff game with a temperature under 20 degrees since the December 26, 1976 NFC championship game”
What were the temperatures in last year’s Eagles playoff game?
Nevermind, I looked it up. It was in the 30s and dropped to the 20s.
Not the same as a sub-10 degrees Lake Michigan wind.
I think all things being even the Rams beat the Bears, they’re the better team, but…the cold will be a factor.
January 16, 2026 at 8:18 am #161254
wvParticipantI think all things being even the Rams beat the Bears, they’re the better team, but…the cold will be a factor.
The weather does get ‘exacerbated’
January 16, 2026 at 8:49 am #161255
znModeratorThe weather does get ‘exacerbated’
I was disoriented by that for a sec. Who’s that guy? Who is Harrison?
But it’s Rams special teams coordinator Ben Kotwica talking about Harrison Mevis.
Gee ignore board updates for 10 minutes and suddenly they have an entirely new team.
January 16, 2026 at 9:30 am #161256
wvParticipant -
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