analyzing drafts & Rams advantage in lower rounds

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  • April 30, 2022 at 11:09 pm #138652
    Avatar photozn
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    from: http://www.thehogsty.com/2020/04/23/the-odds-of-success-for-a-draft-pick-part-4/

    total percentages of starters unearthed in each round:

    3rd round: 29.19%

    4th round: 20.30%

    5th round: 14.42%

    6th round: 8.84%

    7th round: 6.40%

    April 30, 2022 at 11:21 pm #138653
    Avatar photozn
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    zn wrote:

    from: http://www.thehogsty.com/2020/04/23/the-odds-of-success-for-a-draft-pick-part-4/ total percentages of starters unearthed in each round: 3rd round: 29.19% 4th round: 20.30% 5th round: 14.42% 6th round: 8.84% 7th round: 6.40%

    Rams hit rate, 2017-2020 (ie. far enough back to know).

    3rd round…Rams, 50% …league avg. 29.19%

    4th round…Rams, 50% …league avg. 20.03%

    5th round…Rams, 33% …league avg. 8.8%

    6th round…Rams, 28.57% …league avg. 8.8%

    7th round…Rams, 25% …league avg. 6.4%

     

    April 30, 2022 at 11:50 pm #138655
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
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    zn wrote:

    Rams hit rate, 2017-2020 (ie. far enough back to know). 3rd round…Rams, 50% …league avg. 29.19% 4th round…Rams, 50% …league avg. 20.03% 5th round…Rams, 33% …league avg. 8.8% 6th round…Rams, 28.57% …league avg. 8.8% 7th round…Rams, 25% …league avg. 6.4%

     

    the only thing i would wonder about is is that sustainable long term? is a four year period long enough to see that as sustainable?

     

    it is impressive for sure. but there could be a period where their success rate goes down.

    May 1, 2022 at 1:20 am #138659
    Avatar photozn
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    InvaderRam wrote:

    the only thing i would wonder about is is that sustainable long term? is a four year period long enough to see that as sustainable?

    Actually to be honest I don’t think there’s another 4 year period like it anywhere else in Rams drafting history. Referring just to how well they do in the lower rounds.

    Is it sustainable? I guess we’ll find out.

    They’ve been averaging 4 “hits” per draft with no 1st round pick. Can we expect 4 “hits” this time?

    I already think that Bruss, Williams, and Lake will make it. So they just need 1 more out of the 5 others to hit the “4 ‘hits'” mark.

    May 1, 2022 at 2:24 am #138662
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
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    zn wrote:

    I already think that Bruss, Williams, and Lake will make it. So they just need 1 more out of the 5 others to hit the “4 ‘hits’” mark.

     

    i think hardy makes it. the guy has freakish length. he’s explosive, and his agility numbers are off the wall.

     

    34″ arms and 10″ hands. that’s exceptional for someone who is 6’6″. he’s a little under 6’2″. that’s just insane. that kind of low center of gravity and that kind of reach is intriguing.

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