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  • in reply to: 1/19 championship games: game thread #110571
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    Sam Monson@PFF_Sam
    You can make good cases for the Ravens and Saints, but KC/SF feels like the right Super Bowl after everything, right?

    Two legit powerhouses, not a lot of faults.

    Frank Schwab@YahooSchwab
    I usually have an initial opinion on the Super Bowl. Not always right but usually feel strong one way or another. This one I have no idea right now. Great matchup.

    Eric Branch@Eric_Branch
    Kyle Shanahan on why #49ers had 42 runs and eight passes: “Because it was working.”

    Adam Harstad@AdamHarstad
    Coaches with more career wins than Andy Reid:
    Don Shula
    George Halas
    Bill Belichick
    Tom Landry
    Curly Lambeau
    Paul Brown
    That’s the list

    in reply to: tweets n stuff … 1/18 thru 1/22 #110570
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    Clash Of The Horns@RamfamPodcaster
    Give me your top 3 rams draft needs if you were about to draft 3 decent players in 3 different positions??!!

    𝒥𝒾𝓂 𝐸𝓋𝑒𝓇𝑒𝓉𝓉@Jim_Everett
    Trenches
    Trenches
    Trenches

    Andy Aydlett@uscandy
    Are you surprised the Rams haven’t officially announced their new coordinators @Rich_Hammond?

    Rich Hammond@Rich_Hammond
    Yes.

    in reply to: tweets n stuff … 1/18 thru 1/22 #110569
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    in reply to: 1/19 championship games: game thread #110566
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    Lindsey Thiry@LindseyThiry
    Kind of expected a better NFC championship game.

    Hub Arkush@Hub_Arkush
    Say what you want but don’t accuse the Packers of not showing up. They’re just not good enough to hang with the 9ers and we’ve known it all season long.

    trey wingo@wingoz
    He threw it 8 times. Fewest in the history of a conference champsionship game. Sorry if the facts upset you. He went an hour and half without attempting a pass..

    Nick Wagoner@nwagoner
    #49ers open as 1-point underdogs in Super Bowl LIV, per @CaesarsEnt

    Clarence Hill Jr@clarencehilljr
    Robert Saleh and Eric Bienemy couldn’t get head coaching jobs but they will settle for trips to the Super Bowl

    LA Rams Fan Zone@LARamsFanZone
    For those not keeping track, another Steve Spagnolo defense has made it to the Super Bowl. Ahhhh Spags, we knew you well.
    .

    ==

    in reply to: Camels dont store water in their humps #110565
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    Yeah camels don;t store water in their humps. That’s sharks that do that.

    in reply to: 1/19 championship games: game thread #110563
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    Amy Trask@AmyTrask
    one of the toughest road environments in which we played during my years in the league was @chiefs – the fans are tremendous – they can be like sharks who smell blood in the water and create a feeding frenzy – and I mean that in the most complimentary sense.

    Next Gen Stats@NextGenStats
    The @Titans have struggled to generate pressure according to our Hurry Probability Model (i.e. survival analysis), forcing a hurry within 3 seconds of the snap on just 7% of dropbacks.

    Geoff Schwartz@geoffschwartz
    Titans fans… Y’all are rushing 3 defenders most plays against an offensive line that’s in the AFCCG. Bad OLs don’t play in this round. You aren’t getting a holding call. Y’all are getting stoned by the Chiefs OL.

    Steve Palazzolo@PFF_Steve
    Every failed third down is a dropped pass. Mahomes has been awesome

    James Light@JamesALight
    My favorite NFL scheme is Pat Mahomes…

    ==

    in reply to: Marcus Peters? #110560
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    Why is it, that Marcus Peters played great for the Chiefs, before he came to the Rams. And then played great for the Ravens after he left the Rams ?

    Am i right about that, btw?

    I have been wondering about this, in connection with the decision to let Wade go.

    w
    v

    You’re partly right but I think a lot of it is an illusion. There was a period in 2018 where Talib was out and both Peters and Wade thought Peters could play man. It was disastrous. They then got Talib back and played more zone to favor Peters. The secondary was fine through the post-season, for example.

    I think the idea that Peters played badly with the Rams is an illusion that comes in when they do an average of his grades for his total Rams starts, and the short period where he was a disaster tilts the numbers.

    Baltimore wanted him because he fit their defense perfectly and they could count on him just being himself. So he had no severe down period with the Ravens.

    If any Rams official or coach doubted Wade because of Peters, I would question their judgment. The Rams are currently the deepest we have ever seen them at CB. First they traded away 2 starters, and the two new starters played well. That was expected of Ramsey but not Hill. Then those 2 missed some games near the end and THEIR replacements played well—Williams and Long. In fact, Wms played exceptionally well. Add to that the fact that Robey-Coleman is regularly described as one of the top slot corners in the league.

    So they traded away 2 starters, and then the 2 new starters were good, and then they got injured, and then their 2 replacements were good. THAT is not supposed to happen. Losing 2 corners is supposed to kill you, let alone 4.

    And the Rams unusual and extraordinary depth at CB has got to have something to do with coaching. Either that or some form of supernatural intervention.

    Wade gets credit for that. He built the deepest Rams secondary we’ve ever seen or heard of.

    So no to me, Peters does not indicate anything. Except that he should never have been playing man coverage in that period when Talib was out. But then when Talib came back they fixed it.

    in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110549
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    PFF: The Tennessee Titans’ offensive line has transformed their offense

    SAM MONSON

    https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-tennessee-titans-offensive-line-has-transformed-their-offense

    Few teams are as unrecognizable in playoff guise from their early-season selves as the Tennessee Titans, a team that was once 2-4 before making a quarterback change and marching into the playoffs to knock off the New England Patriots and the Baltimore Ravens on their way to the AFC Championship game.

    Obviously, multiple things have changed for the Titans, most of them for the better. Derrick Henry has been on a historic run of record-setting yardage totals over the past few games. Ryan Tannehill was one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the game from the moment he assumed the starting job and actually ended the regular season as the highest-graded passer at PFF, and the defense has actually taken steps forward when the games mattered most. But one of the most significant changes — the improvement in offensive line play — is flying under the radar.

    After six weeks, when the team was two games under .500, the highest-graded member of the line was center Ben Jones at 75.5, and three of the five starters had a run-blocking grade under 50.0. Over that same span, Derrick Henry ranked just 11th in rushing yardage and was averaging only 3.7 yards per attempt (34th).

    From Week 7 onwards, though, the only member of their line who has earned an overall PFF grade under 70.0 is rookie guard Nate Davis, and he is the only one of the group who has surrendered more than two sacks. Their tackles, Taylor Lewan and Jack Conklin, have each earned grades above 80.0 and have been grading well as both run blockers and pass protectors. Left guard Rodger Saffold looked like a disaster early in the year, but since he recovered from injury and got comfortable within the system, he has looked like the player who earned his free-agent deal in the first place.

    In the playoffs, Lewan has the highest run-blocking grade of any player to have appeared in both weeks of action (90.5), and Conklin is second. It’s not a coincidence that the line suddenly dominating has corresponded with Henry’s historic yardage total.

    Take a look at this play for a good example of how blocking can influence rushing production even though stats might make it look like it’s all Derrick Henry. This is a 10-yard run on first down, and it’s certainly a strong carry, but look at what Lewan does to his man to open the rushing lane that Henry is able to run into.

    Lewan takes his man eight yards off the line of scrimmage, and the path of the back is exactly where those two were supposed to be at the line. If that block isn’t as crushing as it is, Henry has to do work to even find a crease at the line instead of continuing to build a head of steam in a straight line along his original path. Lewan dominated so thoroughly that his man is actually the guy who makes the tackle 10 yards downfield, which, by the way, is a reason why tackle totals are a terrible statistic. This isn’t a hustle play; this is a guy getting killed in the run game and stopping the ball carrier he could have dealt with at the line of scrimmage 10 yards downfield. But I digress.

    If we’re looking at this game through the prism of stats, even advanced ones, it will look like this was the product of Henry rather than blocking. Henry gets contacted by the arm of diving linebacker Elandon Roberts as he crosses the line of scrimmage, and then he gets more concrete contact from Kyle Van Noy two yards into the run, so depending on your definition of “after contact,” Henry is gaining at least eight of his ten yards on this play after contact. But Roberts is trying to fill a huge hole from a distance because of the block of Lewan, and Van Noy can’t ever get clear of the block of Jonnu Smith, and he can’t make a tackle because of it. Henry is able to brush aside that contact because the block of Lewan, in particular, gave him a huge pathway to get going. Had that block been even close to a stalemate, Henry would have had to adjust his path at the line of scrimmage and had no kind of momentum when contact came. Blocking directly influences numbers like yards after contact and even broken tackles.

    The Baltimore game is a similar story. Henry gets some hard yards up the middle on this play, but the blocking is excellent, and Lewan, again, is the person who buys him the crease to gain seven yards from a play that typically earns a lot less. Lewan perfectly executes his cutoff block and is able to wall off his man and hold his ground enough to open a crease for Henry to hit at pace and keep trucking.

    This isn’t meant to diminish Henry’s achievements. After all, the whole idea of football is that an entire unit executing their individual assignments will have maximum success. However, it is meant to put his historic statistics into some kind of context. Equally, there were runs across both games where Henry was the primary reason for positive yardage, but we must factor all of these things in together, rather than award all of the credit to any one individual.

    Henry has been the beneficiary of some truly excellent blocking to gain the yardage he has, and that’s true even when some statistics would suggest he is doing all the work himself. Just because a back is gaining a lot of the yards after contact does not necessarily mean the blocking was anything other than excellent, which is why PFF grades are such a vital part of the equation.

    Ultimately, the focus will be on Henry, and to a lesser extent, Ryan Tannehill, when the Titans try and upset their third consecutive opponent. Both of those players have had huge effects on this offense, and as a team, they have shown they can win with either taking the starring role, but we need to remember that they have both been able to succeed because of the platform given to them because of the transformation of the offensive line.

    in reply to: tweets n stuff … 1/18 thru 1/22 #110548
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    Just an opinion. But…I would say that overall the Rams drafted well from 2012-2016. If they hadn’t, there would have been no fast start in 2017. If you look around at league history rarely if ever is there an overnight turnaround UNLESS the team is already loaded with a lot of playoff-caliber talent. That was the case in 2017. (In fact I can’t think of any examples of an overnight turnaround where the team wasn’t already stocked with good young talent.)

    The mistakes (basically, in hindsight, Austin and Robinson) are far overshadowed by a very solid record drafting.

    Though it’s also true (IMO) that McVay/Snead have continued the solid record drafting. And it’s not just drafting, it’s UDFAs and “ronin” pick-ups too (young veteran cast-offs). And the trades, though I am a bit more critical of the trades. Anyway here’s a great example—last year the Rams traded away 2 starting corners, THEN their 2 new starting corners both got injured, and they STILL could field 2 solid starting corners plus a top slot corner. Who has ever heard of anything remotely like that? Losing 4 starting corners is supposed to be the kiss of death, and it wasn’t.

    in reply to: tweets n stuff … 1/18 thru 1/22 #110546
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    in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110545
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    in reply to: tweets n stuff … 1/18 thru 1/22 #110544
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    in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110536
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    in reply to: Rooney rule discussion, starting w/ a Chris Long podcast #110535
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    in reply to: tweets … 1/15 thru 1/17 #110532
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    Id be curious to see where Marcus Peters ranked ?

    Well according to PFF, overall, 4th.

    . https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-pff-rankings-top-25-cornerbacks-through-week-17

    4. MARCUS PETERS, BALTIMORE RAVENS
    A return to discipline has led to the return of success for Ravens cornerback Marcus Peters. As a true press man-to-man cover corner, Peters has always had a knack for baiting some of the league’s best quarterbacks. But with greater focus, Peters has improved from allowing quarterbacks to complete 68.5% of their passes in 2018 to limiting passers to a 57.7% completion rate in 2019.

    After allowing 14.9 yards per reception on throws into his coverage in 2018, Peters has allowed just 11.9 yards per reception this season while producing his trademark pick-six a whopping three times. The above play illustrates how Peters baits Russell Wilson by sinking into a Cover-2 zone look while staying true to his man-coverage responsibility. Peters gave Wilson the illusion of an open receiver then steals the pass for a pick-six.

    Peters allowed a 14th-ranked passer rating of 73.3 through Week 17 this season just a year after he allowed a 72nd-ranked 109.9 rating in 2018; he has helped transform the Ravens’ secondary into one of the very best in the league.

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    in reply to: tweets … 1/15 thru 1/17 #110527
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    in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110524
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    Albert Breer@AlbertBreer
    Four championship game coaches. And one (Reid) has three-and-a-half times the head coaching experience of the other three (Shanahan, LaFleur, Vrabel) combined.

    So after I tweeted this, I decided to look up where these guys were when Reid took the Philly job in ’99. …

    Shanahan: Redshirt freshman WR at Duke.
    LaFleur: Redshirt freshman WR at Western Michigan.
    Vrabel: 3rd-year Steelers LB/Special teamer.

    in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110523
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    in reply to: tweets … 1/15 thru 1/17 #110521
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    in reply to: tweets … 1/15 thru 1/17 #110516
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    in reply to: tweets … 1/15 thru 1/17 #110513
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    in reply to: tweets … 1/15 thru 1/17 #110512
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    in reply to: Full Video: Lev Parnas speaks with Rachel Maddow #110510
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    It didn’t post.

    So this is an alert. After a bit I will take this thread down, just cause of good housekeeping. Okay?

    in reply to: The AFC & NFC Conference Championships: set-up, predictions #110507
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    in reply to: tweets … 1/15 thru 1/17 #110505
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    in reply to: Wade ? #110503
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    I think it’s a judgment call–yes the playoffs were good, but then the 40+ point games in 2019 were not. That’s on McV to decide whether to fix what he has with who he has, or, start over with a new approach.

    I am conflicted too but if the new DC works out, there’s nothin to complain about I guess.

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    Scheme, blitzing and personnel: How the Rams’ defense might change next season

    Rich Hammond

    https://theathletic.com/1539723/2020/01/16/scheme-blitzing-and-personnel-how-the-rams-defense-might-change-next-season/?=twittered

    The Rams did not scapegoat Wade Phillips. Instead, they initiated an overhaul of their coaching staff, one that will bring in three new coordinators and perhaps two or three new position coaches.

    Now the issue is, what will change, and how significantly?

    The biggest shift will be on defense. Set to arrive is coordinator Brandon Staley, age 37, who is making a big jump. Staley has three years of experience as an NFL position coach (outside linebackers for the Broncos in 2019 and for the Bears in 2017-18), but other than one season at the FCS level with James Madison in 2014, he has never coordinated a defense above the Division III level.

    That doesn’t mean Staley is a blank slate. He’s known to be a disciple of longtime NFL coordinator/coach Vic Fangio, even before he worked under Fangio in Chicago and Denver. Until Staley speaks — his hiring has not yet been announced by the Rams — it’s not certain what type of defense he will run, but it’s fair to assume that his tenets will align with Fangio’s base 3-4 front, accompanied by many different looks.

    That’s certainly what one of Staley’s closest coaching associates, Tom Arth, pointed toward during an interview with The Athletic this week. Staley has studied and implemented Fangio’s ideas for years, back to when Staley was coaching at Division III John Carroll University and Fangio was with the San Francisco 49ers.

    To predict the future, let’s examine the past and look at what Fangio typically likes to run, how it might differ from Phillips’ scheme and how Staley might have to adjust based on existing Rams personnel.

    The scheme

    Surface-level changes might seem minimal, because Phillips also ran a base 3-4, but in both cases that’s very deceiving. According to data from SportRadar, the Rams ran their base look (with four defensive backs) on only 35 percent of their defensive plays in 2019 (and 37.2 percent in 2018), which illustrates how often they used nickel cornerback Nickell Robey-Coleman or a third safety, or both.

    That’s even more pronounced with Fangio. In 2018, Fangio’s last year as defensive coordinator in Chicago, the Bears used four defensive backs on only 17.3 percent of their plays. That rose to 27.1 percent in Denver last season, when Fangio was the head coach but remained the defensive architect.

    To call Fangio’s scheme a 3-4 is technically correct but inaccurate in a practical sense. With Denver last season, it seemed to be more of a 2-4-5. In Chicago in 2018, it looked more like a 3-3-5. (These designations are not iron-clad because players can be identified/used in different ways than their natural positions, but they remain instructive in a general sense.) It’s not uncommon for Fangio to use six defensive backs (as was often the case with Phillips).

    Fangio also is known to be very flexible. His stuff can change from week to week or from half to half (sometimes even from play to play). It’s not even possible to completely peg him as a “man” or “zone” guy because he is adaptable to the opponent and game situation, and that ability might be paramount in what attracted McVay to Staley.

    A recent narrative suggested that Phillips’ defense was old-school and inflexible and that McVay wanted/needed to modernize. That’s not fair to Phillips. Yes, perhaps he leaned more toward player development than innovative scheming, but he also was not stodgy or stuck in his ways.

    In the Super Bowl last year, Phillips completely flummoxed New England’s offense until the fourth quarter. The Rams “showed” a zone look before the snap, then played man coverage (or vice versa).

    Phillips is more flexible than quick-twitch revisionist history is giving him credit for — he shifted the Rams’ primary coverage from man to zone in 2018, then back to man in 2019 when personnel dictated — but it’s fair to say that, in general, Phillips prioritized technique and innovative strategy.

    Fangio is more of a wild card, with a complicated defense that might take some time to learn depending on how much of it Staley wants to implement with the Rams. It seems clear that the versatility will follow. In a 2014 interview with the student newspaper at James Madison University, Staley spoke about his philosophy.

    “We want to be aggressive,” Staley said, “we want to be extremely physical and we want to be a defense that’s built to match up so that week to week, no matter who we’re playing against or what style offense we’re playing against, that we’re going to match up with that and we’re going to, by doing that, be able to be really aggressive.”

    The blitzing

    Here’s the folly in trying to make some of these projections: Aaron Donald.

    None of these coaches — Staley, Fangio or Arth — has ever experienced coaching life with a defensive lineman as talented as Donald, the two-time Defensive Player of the Year who, at age 28, is in his prime.

    The primary task for all of Donald’s NFL coordinators has been to best utilize him and find ways to support him amid the near-constant double- and triple-teaming he faces. The Rams, it seems, will be building their defense around Donald and cornerback Jalen Ramsey. No matter what Staley has run in the past and no matter his philosophy, his defense must (and will) center on maximizing Donald and Ramsey.

    That said, there’s value in looking at how the Rams pressured opposing quarterbacks in 2019 and how that might change in a Fangio-like scheme.

    Per SportRadar, the Rams blitzed on 29 percent of their plays in 2019, 16th-most in the NFL (a blitz being defined here as a play in which five or more players rush the quarterback). The Broncos blitzed 24.9 percent of the time in 2019, while the 2018 Bears blitzed on only 21.1 percent of their plays.

    That’s not a dramatic change on a per-game basis, but it’s more instructive to look at the genesis of the blitzes. For the Rams last season, 83 percent of blitzes came from linebackers, compared to 16 percent from defensive backs and 1 percent from defensive linemen. For the Broncos last season, 87 percent came from linebackers, 11 percent from defensive backs and 2 percent from linemen.

    The Broncos, under Fangio, not only blitzed less often than the Rams but also blitzed their defensive backs less often. It will be interesting to see what that means for aggressive players such as safeties John Johnson and Taylor Rapp as well as some of the Rams’ cornerbacks.

    The personnel

    Before Phillips departed, the Rams’ offseason dilemma on defense seemed rather easy to define. They have three potential unrestricted free agents — lineman Michael Brockers and linebackers Dante Fowler and Cory Littleton — and, at the moment, probably only enough salary-cap room to retain one of them.

    It also seemed likely that the Rams would part with veteran safety Eric Weddle, who intimated at the end of the season that he didn’t want to return in a backup role.

    How might Staley’s arrival change things?

    Fangio is known to value smart safeties who can serve as coach-like figures on the field by calling plays, getting teammates lined up and making adjustments. That is, almost to a word, the job description the Rams hoped Weddle would fill when they signed him as a free agent last year.

    Weddle had an inconsistent season — part of which might be attributed to kept-it-quiet injuries — but he brought great value to the Rams with his communication and leadership. Given that the Rams’ other safeties are still young, might Staley view Weddle in a different light and seek to retain him? That’s still probably not wise, considering Weddle’s departure would create $4.25 million in cap room, but it’s something to ponder.

    Beyond that, let’s assume Brockers leaves via free agency, leaving the Rams to focus on retaining either Fowler or Littleton. Which way would Staley lean?

    In his brief NFL career, Staley already has worked with some extraordinary edge rushers, with Von Miller, Khalil Mack and Bradley Chubb atop the list. Fowler, with 11.5 sacks, was by far the Rams’ best edge rusher in 2019. Given the importance of supporting Donald with outside pressure, would Staley lean toward keeping an effective rusher like Fowler?

    Perhaps, but traditionally, edge rushers are easier to replace through the draft or on the free-agent and trade markets. The Rams also have a bit more depth there than they do at inside linebacker, where Littleton evolved from a 2016 undrafted free agent to an all-around talent.

    Middle linebackers also are critical pieces in Fangio defenses, and if the Rams split with Weddle, it seems dicey for them to lose the two players most capable of serving as on-field defensive “quarterbacks” without any natural replacements lined up. A Littleton return probably would better suit the Rams, but he’s due for a major raise from his 2019 salary of $3.1 million. The Rams must decide how high they want to go.

    in reply to: tweets … 1/15 thru 1/17 #110494
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    I believe the team carried enough cap room in 2019 to retain Saffold at $11 million per year.

    I think it gets down to a choice between Saffold and Matthews/Weddle.

Viewing 30 posts - 22,471 through 22,500 (of 47,668 total)