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August 29, 2014 at 1:09 pm in reply to: I think Sam Bradford will renegotiate his deal with Rams #5465rflParticipant
I’m thick about contract stuff. But.
It’s my understanding that one cannot renegotiate to give back salary. On paper at least a monetary gain needs to appear, even if it’s extended out into the future.
If I am correct in understanding this, then a renegotiated deal would have to project whatever that last year’s salary is out into the future. That’s a lot of money.
And the question is, what would they gain for agreeing to that sort of projected money? The only thing would be protection from another team signing Sam.
And I just simply do not see that as a threat. The league as a whole does not believe in Sam. They suspect his ability, but crucially they will absolutely not trust his knee until MORE THAN 1 year has elapsed. The fact that his reconstruction couldn’t hold up to slight contact almost year out from his first injury is going to mean that nobody will want to risk anything on his playing next year. Even if someone did take that risk, it would be for very low dollars, it wouldn’t be for a starting position, and they’d really like to see someone else take the risk of the 1st year back.
And if that’s true for others, then it’s true for the Rams as well. Why on earth should they negotiate a deal involving many millions when they can, if they wish, sign him for a couple million cuttable dollars? If they REALLY want him, they can just beat someone else’s low ball offer.
And even at that, it doesn’t solve the problem. The whole notion of a “prove-it” contract with Sam makes little sense to this franchise. The “prove-it” aspect is the injury, and the injury means they absolutely cannot TRUST the future of the QB position to him. They MUST seek another long term option. They could draft a good bet to develop behind Hill–assuming he does well and stays healthy–or they can sign a good, mid-career vet, with the money saved from Bradford helping finance that option. If they can do that, then MAYBE they’d consider re-signing Sam for depth. But they must have a more trustworthy option for next year.
So why should they re-negotiate with Sam rather than simply cutting him and maybe re-signing him? It makes no sense to me at all.
Sam has a strong incentive to want to renegotiate. Indeed. But I cannot see what the team has to gain by doing so.
I can’t imagine a scenario in which the team would offer to renegotiate. It’s hard for me to imagine him on the team next year. But if it happens, it will be for peanuts and only after a more viable option is acquired.
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rflParticipantHard to imagine the Rams having a winning season
if they cant win a home game against
a team like the Vikings.w
vYep. I think this game will tell us a great deal of what we need to know about this year’s team.
In ’12, we played over our heads in getting to 7.5 wins. We did that by playing tough at the LOS … most of the time. We battled SF with guts and little else.
Since then, our talent level has risen. But, last year we didn’t really play tough. We couldn’t sustain pressure against SF and SEA, apart from the 1st SEA game.
And those are the sort of team we should be able to compete with. Hard running teams that are tough up front but not lethal in the passing game. If we are what we think we are, if we are a tough Fisher-style team, we ought to be able to compete with and beat this sort of team.
And that’s the sort of test MINN poses. If we can stand up to the Viking OL and contain AP, and if we get our OL going and run the football effectively, then we can beat them.
Our pre-season tells us little about any of this. Our starters haven’t played, the defense has not established itself, for whatever reason, and our running game has not taken off at all. Who knows?
To me, it comes back to Fisher. When he was hired, we all thought, “Well, we know we’re going to become a tough team.” The 1st year, that was true. Since then … I dunno. I haven’t SEEN Fisher-style toughness in us since that 1st year.
Fisher needs to turn on the toughness and to do it now.
At this point I think of ZN’s theory about Fisher–that he tends to start seasons at less than full speed, encounter problems, and then solve the problems as the games go by.
If that theory is correct, I doubt we will beat the Vikings. And THIS YEAR, with our schedule, a slowish start will most likely be fatal.
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August 28, 2014 at 4:51 pm in reply to: Goodell Corrects Error: NFL enacts harsh punishments for domestic abusers #5400rflParticipantA good development.
You know, this could make something of a difference. For all the macho idiots out there, the NFL is Valhalla. The whole football culture that demeans women finds its ultimate expression in the league. The fact that football players can get away with all of this helps guys rationalize.
With this, as you say Mac, there may begin to be some degree of consequences for morons like Winston. It could make something of a difference … decrease the immunity level a bit, start to challenge the assumption that hitting women is OK.
I know, I know. Maybe just a little bit?
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rflParticipantWhat is ‘realistic’ at this point?
I dunno.
Maybe a team that fights-like-hell,
and brings a ferocious crazed-dog-defense
and efficient offense, and skilled
special teams. I think fans would
appreciate that. Maybe.w
vSure. The team might very well earn respect, and, yes, that would support the franchise in StL. Absolutely. There’s opportunity here. There always is in times of duress. And as I say, I can just imagine them having a good season anyway. It isn’t a hail Mary long shot. I dunno … a 35% chance of a wining season? Maybe a 65% chance of playing well enough with limitations that people will appreciate it as you say?
All I am saying is that IF they collapse this year, the consequences will be dire for the franchise. And by the way, a scrappy, tough 7-9 season will only console die hards. Casual fans won’t care. They’ll just see another losing season.
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rflParticipantWell, I have to hope Boudreau knows what
he’s doing.Its possible its just ‘rust’.
Thats all i got.
w
vLOL. Not much here to hope in.
You know, Boudreau is a good coach. But he can’t manufacture talent. A good coach can lift a player’s ceiling by, what, 10-12%? Right now, I doubt that’s enough. I am not willing to just say “In Boudreau we trust.”
Right now, with Long suspect and Saffold gimpy we got virtually nothing at LOT.
And you know I must say that Long himself seems to have a teflon reputation. People talk about him as if he’s a quality player. But I don’t know that I’ve ever seen anyone take a realistic look at his pass blocking. It ain’t pretty. It wasn’t great and it’s now pretty awful.
We can hope that it’s “rust,” a very slippery term. I think it’s generally a weak way to look at things. Hundreds of players come back from injury and are never the same. Long has been repeatedly injured–we got him coming off injuries. And I’ve never seen him look good in a Rams jersey–especially pass blocking.
Jake Long really is not playing well. To me, it is a serious concern, and I am not mollified by the magic word “rust.”
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rflParticipantI would probably like to see Jake Long
get plenty of reps. I want that guy ready to play.w
vWho says he has anything left in the tank?
I have yet to see him demonstrate pass blocking skills above replacement level.
Now he comes off of an injury and everyone says “rust.” What if it’s more than rust? What if he just doesn’t have the juice any more? To play LOT in the NFL you better have feet, agility, power, and the ability to put them together. Honestly, I suspect that he doesn’t have the package any more.
We need a Plan B at LOT.
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rflParticipantThey captured the feeling of Ram fans after the injury very well: Anthony called it being a battered girlfriend.
Anthony made some good points about how they’ve reduced Robby’s chances of success by moving him around the OL rather than plugging him into one position.
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August 26, 2014 at 3:15 pm in reply to: I think the Rams can still have a good season. I am not writing it off #5232rflParticipantIt’s up to the defense. If they are really, really good, we can go a long way.
I don’t trust them. I don’t see it. Even against a lousy CLE offense, they struggled.
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August 26, 2014 at 12:32 am in reply to: name a recent example of a 34 yr old back up who came through for several games #5174rflParticipantMy concern is with him staying healthy.
Not based on anything. Just a 34 year old behind a leaky OL.
I actually have some confidence he’ll play pretty well.
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rflParticipantIn six years Bradford has had five major injuries (2 in 2009).
These injuries were to three different places (shoulder, ankle, and knee)
For two of these, shoulder and knee, he had reinjuries.I don’t care if he is at special risk for a different injury. I am concerned that he is at much greater risk than normal for an injury. It doesn’t make any difference if it is a different injury or not. If he were to return in 2015 and start the season as starting qb I would not have a great deal of faith that he could complete the season.
TD, this reasoning is, in my view, irrefutable.
And the whole matter of the re-injury factor pushes him way out into the future. They apparently took a major risk playing him before at least 18 months. Now … how long before his knee can actually be trusted? Probably well beyond the limit of his contract.
One may want to give him another chance. OK.
But the track records you cite drastically reduces the price any sane FO would be willing to gamble. A salary cap is a precious and limited (hence the word “cap”) resource. One absolutely cannot risk more than a couple million on a guy with this injury history.
Bradford’s value fell off a cliff the other night.
Personally, I doubt his career will ever recover.
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rflParticipantNot to nitpick, but Shaun Hill is 34. He was born January 9, 1980.
Big difference between 34 and 39… ask any 39 year old…LOL.
Ah, that’s better. I must have misread.
Born in ’80 … and on the downside of the career.
Man does that make me feel old!
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rflParticipantBut how good is the news, really?
Brockers’ ankle seems to be a chronic problem. So does Saffold’s. Neither guy can seem to demonstrate sound health right now.
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rflParticipantHill should provide a steady hand for a run-first offense.
Pundits keep saying this. I don’t buy it.
I think I am actually inclined to go further than ZN does. I think we will be a pass first offense this year. That’s what I am seeing out there. And frankly it’s what we’ve seen much of the time since Fish got here.
I love our RBs. Our OL has run blocking potential, but I don’t see much evidence right now that they can just pound the ball play after play.
Against CLE, it was the passing game that got thing going and kept us producing. Runs happened, but several were QB scrambles and garbage time PS match-ups. I saw little evidence that the OL was so good that it could open holes against massed defense.
Understand, I am not saying our running game sux. It doesn’t.
What I am saying is that indications suggest that the passing game will set up the run rather than the other way ’round. That COULD change if our passing game decisively pushed secondaries off the LOS. But it isn’t the case now.
If our offense is to go, Hill has to throw the ball on those medium-length routes ZN and I always natter on about. I think he’ll do it better than people realize, though not perhaps well enough to lift the O into the top dozen. And I fear for his health.
But I do not SEE a “run-first” offense emerging on the field.
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August 25, 2014 at 11:26 am in reply to: for those who are arguing Rams shoulda drafted a qb high #5037rflParticipantWell, I think the key for THIS YEAR was that none of the available guys were all that good.
Had there been a real stud in the draft, then given Sam’s injury history it should have been seriously considered. <y sense is that they DID consider it, but never saw a guy worth taking.
In response to your long term argument about the relative values of QBs and team building, I think I’ll just say this.
Very few QBs drafted high are worth the hype.
But, occasionally a guy does make a difference and raises a team. Both Luck and RG III did.
And good teams ARE held back by lousy QBing. Hell, our fine 70s and 80s teams were.
So, in the end, I’d say it comes down to genuine quality. A truly special QB is damn rare. Don’t trade away the farm seeking one in bets … but do take one if you get the chance.
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rflParticipant“I was going to play as long as they kept me in there,” Long said. “I was feeling good, and I was moving around well and was really happy with it so I wanted to get out there, get the game speed and knock the rust off.”
Guy is a fraud.
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rflParticipantRams Nation can thank the prodigious amount of rust on Jake Long for ending Bradford’s season before it even began.
I cannot stand Jake Long. He is massively over-rated.
Yes, he can run block. But his pass blocking has been sub-standard since he got to the Rams. And he gets hurt. And we’ve paid him money and kept his spot for him …
And now he ends Sam’s career.
I would far rather have Saffold or a developing G-Rob at LOT. Long has cost the Rams far, far too much.
I cannot stand over-rated hype-masters who can’t play and walk around pretending to be studs.
He ended Sam’s career, guys.
How does he ever dare to put the horns on his head and pretend to be a player?
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rflParticipantSanchez has no interest in bolting from a reserve job in Philly for a chance to immediately start for the Rams.
This is horse hockey. You gonna tell me a one-time star QB wouldn’t rather start for an upcoming team than sit on the bench for one stuck in a rut?
If it’s true, then we REALLY don’t want him.
But I really doubt it’s true.
I s’pose it’s PR for Iggle fans.
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rflParticipantWV, the passing game looks good. It honestly does. And the RBs are excellent.
You know me–I don’t like to watch disasters. But there actually are some good things happening.
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August 24, 2014 at 8:42 pm in reply to: who should start? will they trade for someone? who? qb discussion #4922rflParticipantAnd, Fisher has said, it is not true that they’ve looked at anyone. So Wagoner has his facts wrong. They might do it–but, they haven’t at this point.
I am not sure Fisher’s public denial proves that Wagoner has wrong facts.
Personally, I feel that, if the FO ISN’T pursuing viable options like Sanchez, they aren’t showing due diligence. I would really hate to believe it.
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rflParticipantI’m still excited about the Rams and our prospects because Sam Bradford going down doesn’t do anything to diminish the capacity or capability of Shaun Hill who proved his ability to play with these players and in this offense this preseason.
If it takes a few wins for others to get excited, then so be it.
You know, Mac, there ARE things to be excited about.
I just think any comparison to ’99 is not realistic.
And I guess, for me, the scale of things to be excited about doesn’t really match up, in my opinion, with the scale of the challenge.
IF our defense were truly elite …
IF we played in an ordinary division …
IF we could count on a 39 year old to stay healthy …
IF our OL remains healthy …
Lot of ifs …
I just don’t see it adding up to all that much.
Hope you’re right and I’m wrong.
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rflParticipantHearing Fisher say, “We will rally around Shaun Hill”…
The parallelism of that, with Fisher replacing Vermeil…is just staggering.
I’m almost MORE excited now…
My friend, I can’t share your optimism. That was a once in a century situation. Ain’t gonna happen again.
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rflParticipantAn 85 rating this year, might still
get the Rams nine or ten wins.Its not out of the question.
Depends on the defense.
I’m not sanguine.
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rflParticipantbut the more i think about it. the rams might just have to cut him. i don’t know. i don’t know what makes more financial sense at this point.
Yeah. I’m starting to think that.
They cannot risk a big cap number for next year on him. They can’t.
‘Course, I never follow the financials. I dunno how much cap savings it would mean. But if it’s substantive, then he has to be cut.
Ya know, no one is going to fight us for him if he is cut.
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August 24, 2014 at 7:41 pm in reply to: who should start? will they trade for someone? who? qb discussion #4889rflParticipantI think the point is that there is an opportunity cost here. We passed on chances to draft QBs because of Sam. Now we have to pay the price.
Of course, this last draft really didn’t offer anyone very tempting. I don’t think the solution woulda been there anyway.
It just really sux. We have the right guy who can’t stay healthy.
We still seem to be snake bit.
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August 24, 2014 at 7:15 pm in reply to: who should start? will they trade for someone? who? qb discussion #4883rflParticipantHere’s what Nick Wagoner says at ESPN (link). It bears thinking about:
Taking it a step further, it was also fair to wonder whether the Rams should have more strongly considered a quarterback at the top of the draft because they might never draft in such lofty territory again. In Fisher’s 18 full seasons as a head coach, his teams have had seven or more wins 15 times. He’s had one season each with four, five and six wins.
In other words, Fisher’s teams almost always find a way to a baseline of mediocrity that doesn’t yield many opportunities to draft franchise quarterbacks. The average first-round draft position of Fisher’s teams, not including picks gained in trade, is 17.9.
On the two occasions his Tennessee teams picked in the top three, they drafted a quarterback both times, one being the home run that was Steve McNair, the other being the whiff that was Vince Young.
Such is life when betting your franchise’s future on a young quarterback. It’s a bet the Rams weren’t prepared to make again while waiting to see if the one they made on Bradford in 2010 would pay off.
As for me, I never wanted the Rams to draft a QB. I believed in Sam. I refused to believe he was injury prone.
But, now that Sam is basically ruined goods, we do have to face facts. The franchise gambled on Sam and we have now lost the bet.
And it’s hard to find good QBs. Really hard.
Furthermore, NW is right–Fish generally hangs up enough wins to keep his team out of the top slots in which quality QBs generally go.
Wouldn’t it be ironic if we ended up doing what WASH did … trading draft picks for a top QB pick?
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rflParticipantyeah. i can’t think of another starting qb with the injury history this guy has had who’s made it.
Yeah, you make complete sense. And given all of that …
Man, he may be really and truly done. One wonders if he’ll ever start again.
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rflParticipantGuys, I’ve always liked Sam a lot. I’ve defended him and figured he got lots of unfair, bad raps.
But.
2 ACLs on one knee?
In my view he is toast. He’s toast in this sense:
There is no way to trust him to remain healthy. No way.
Look, here’s my sense of how they went into this year. They were firm in seeing this as Sam’s offense. Very firm.
However, they were wondering about his health. He has not been robust going all the way back to college. They were wondering if they could really trust him with a whole season. That’s why they were flirting with thoughts of Manziel.
OK, what about next year? Well, there is no way they can simply put the offense in Sam’s hands. He has played, what, 6.5 games in 2 years? 2 ACLs in one knee? There is absolutely no way to count on him for a significant number of games next year, much less a whole season.
Now, I am not calling on the team to dump him. I’d be happy to see them give him another year to compete, as guys are saying. But they CANNOT go into next year without having another viable option as a starting QB. Vet or young guy? I dunno. But they absolutely cannot put the team in his hands for next year.
It’s very, very sad for me. But in my view, he is more or less finished as a starting QB.
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rflParticipantWell, I dunno. I don’t ever want to wager against the Rams doing well. If I am wrong I will be delighted.
I just see a lot of evidence of defensive problems. And I have yet to see even a series in which the defense makes a statement about who they are.
We’ll see.
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August 22, 2014 at 6:03 pm in reply to: Ethan Westbrooks isn't hiding the giant chip on his shoulder/Balzer #4608rflParticipantThing is, Westbrooks has the profile to be a younger version. Can play inside and out.
No way he gets cut or exposed to the waiver wire. Potential stud.
Sam isn’t as clear a case, but he sure seems to have potential to develop.
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August 22, 2014 at 5:44 pm in reply to: Ethan Westbrooks isn't hiding the giant chip on his shoulder/Balzer #4600rflParticipantI really want the Rams to keep both and don’t want either on the PS. At this rate, I may be wrong about Sam surviving the PS and he’s going to be something special, too.
Chris Long won’t be here forever, neither will William Hayes and you win over the long haul by continuing to stockpile talent at positions of strength, not just filling holes.
Keeping both Westbrooks AND Sam is the smart move.
Agreed. I want them both.
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