wv wrote:

http://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/blog/2015/the-new-england-patriots-prevention-of-fumbles-is-nearly-impossible

“….The 2014 Patriots were just the 3rd team in the last 25 years to never have lost a fumble at home! The biggest difference between the Patriots and the other 2 teams who did it was that New England ran between 150 and 200 MORE plays this year than those teams did in the years they had zero home fumbles, making the Patriots stand alone in this unique statistic.

Based on the desire to incorporate full season data (not just home games, as a team theoretically bring “doctored footballs” with them on the road) I performed the following analysis:

I looked at the last 5 years.of data (since 2010) and examined TOTAL FUMBLES in all games (as well as fumbles/game) but more importantly, TOTAL OFFENSIVE PLAYS RUN. Thus, we can to determine average PLAYS per FUMBLE, a much more valuable statistic. The results are displayed in the chart below. Keep in mind, this is for all games since 2010, regardless of indoors, outdoors, weather, site, etc. EVERYTHING…

One can CLEARLY SEE the Patriots, visually, are off the chart. There is no other team even close to being near to their rate of 187 offensive plays (passes+rushes+sacks) per fumble. The league average is 105 plays/fumble. Most teams are within 21 plays of that number.

I spoke with a data scientist who I know from work on the NFLproject.com website, and sent him the data. He said:

Based on the assumption that fumbles per play follow a normal distribution, you’d expect to see, according to random fluctuation, the results that the Patriots have gotten over this period, once in 16,233.77 instances”.

Which in layman’s terms means that this result only being a coincidence, is like winning a raffle where you have a 0.0000616 probability to win. Which in other words, it’s very unlikely that it’s a coincidence….
…see link…”

The comments after the article are interesting, btw

w
v

Deflated footballs are easier to hold on to, so that could account for the highly improbable statistical disparity between the Patriot’s plays/fumble and everyone else’s. Just sayin.

The next time Belichek negotiates a deal with Satan he should have his lawyers make sure it stipulates that the public won’t find out about the cheating. Yeah, he’ll get the wins and any repercussions from the cheating will be relatively mild but to non-Pats fans the victories will always be tainted. His legacy is forever tarnished.

http://www.salon.com/2015/01/23/7_enormous_lies_american_sniper_is_telling_america_partner/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=socialflow

lyser wrote:

The good news is lots of “balls” jokes now. A few off the cuff:

“I always thought Tom Brady had deflated balls”

“I am always careful to check Tom’s balls now”

“Luck’s balls were perfect”

“Bellycheat has funky balls”

“Don’t Deflate my balls bro”

Those were terrible, better check my balls ’cause my game is off.

Some balls are held for charity,
And some for fancy dress…
But the balls that are deflated are the balls that I like best…

Got to hand it to Wilson. He made some huge throws on his last two drives. Beautiful throws.

He could just be having a bad game but it looks like Russell Wilson isn’t much of a passer when he’s forced to throw. Bad decision after bad decision.

So the NFL’s investigation into misconduct committed by the NFL clears the NFL of any wrong-doing?

Well, at least we know it was impartial…

zn wrote:

wv wrote:
Does Kyle use the same system
that BS does?

Itz always the same names that
get reshuffled. It annoys me
for some reason. I’d just as soon
Fisher hire from within.

w
v

Shanahan runs a WCO, Schott ran a variation on Coryell.

In a response to the Sando tweet someone wondered whether Fisher would allow Shanahan to use his zone running scheme.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zone_run

zn wrote:

zn wrote:
d the team’s inability to make adjustments at halftime

This is a crock. I would sit there during games listening to the broadcast analysts (usually an ex-player) talk about the adjustments.

Yeah, I agree. I think Schotty was under-appreciated. He was a good coach. Note how the Rams offense often got off to a quick start. For example they ranked among the best in the league at scoring on their first possession. I think that speaks to Schotty’s understanding of how to dissect and attack a defense. However, despite adjustments, in the second half they would begin to fade. The third string QB, the reshuffled o-line, the lack of experience and inconsistency at receiver – eventually that will catch up with you. Especially when you are facing the murderers’ row of defenses the Rams faced…Seattle, San Fran, Arizona, etc…

Winston actually “Quarterbacked” better. He used more head movement, and threw with better anticipation of the field than Mariota did. Reminded me why I held him in such high esteem before he started his boneheaded mistake filled year. If he wasn’t a knucklehead I’d draft him over Mariota, but being a knucklehead is something you have to grow out of, and that doesn’t happen overnight.

All 3 of these guys threw one baaaad ball and got it picked. All 3 guys recovered and kept pushing.

I hope he doesn’t drop to #10 and force the Rams into making a bad decision.

I think taking him would be a HUGE mistake.

I don’t think Mariota or Winston are sure things. They are not Manning or Luck.

It’s a weak QB draft and by lack of competition they’ve floated to the top. That doesn’t mean either will be good at the next level. I have this nightmare of Winston falling to # 8 or #9 nor #10 and Fisher sitting there saying–well–I guess we gotta get him now.

I don’t want him anywhere near this team. His talent isn’t THAT special. And even if it is–I just see a knucklehead and sometimes you can’t fix that–it just gets worse.

No thanks.

Yeah, and Fisher isn’t afraid to take a chance on a knucklehead. He’s done it many times with mixed results.

Karl Sweetan is out for the Lions but it doesn’t matter – 17-7 over the Cowboys at the half.

I wonder if Larry Fitzgerald would like to finish his career as a Ram? 😉

Eternal Ramnation wrote:

I know a WR that’s 6’2″ has a 6’7″ wing span and 13″ hands

Draft him and switch him to QB.

Agamemnon wrote:

Bringing back Bradford is the definition of sanity.

I agree. Besides, Bradford isn’t being brought back to “be the starter”. He’s being brought back to “compete for the starting job” with a QB that, according to Fisher, is not yet on the roster. That’s not the same thing. It’s not being handed to him this time. However, I have little doubt that Bradford will win the starting job if healthy because he was a pretty good QB when he got hurt, despite his 79.3 career passer rating. Citing his career passer rating is misleading because it includes his numbers from when he was young working behind a patchwork o-line with lousy receivers. I’m more interested in how he was playing most recently, that is the way he was playing before his injuries. He was easily having his best season (94 passer rating?) when he tore up his knee against Carolina and everything looked like he was gonna be even better this year prior to re-injuring his knee.

zn wrote:

I wonder if people noticed.

Roberson played for Johnson, and Joyner player for Gaines.

Gaines was hurt, but Johnson wasn’t inactive.

I’ll have to check game snaps, but it LOOKS like Johnson was just plain demoted.

I dunno…Johnson still played a lot. I remember he got beat on a slant for a first down.

So if you sit in front of the tv at 1:00 PM expecting a Rams game, forget it. Ain’t gonna happen.

I’m not sure if you’re confused about how time zones work or about how TVs work but that depends on where you’re sitting. If you’re sitting in front of a tv on the west coast at 1:00 pm then you will see a Rams game, assuming you have NFL Sunday Ticket and/or the game is being broadcast in your locality and you are tuned to the appropriate channel and the TV is switched ‘on’ and there is electricity running to the TV and you have the ability to see.

• This reply was modified 10 years, 4 months ago by nittany ram.
• This reply was modified 10 years, 4 months ago by zn.