weekly update stats thread, weeks 7 & 8

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  • #32688
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    from off the net

    ===

    LMU93

    FootballOutsiders: Week 6 rankings- and some notes…

    http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2015/week-6-dvoa-ratings

    Rams rank 17th overall..
    Offense- 30th
    Defense- 7th
    Special Teams- 11th

    Rams have played 4 of the top 9 ranked teams (2-2 in those games).

    7 of the Rams 11 remaining opponents rank 20th or lower, including Cleveland (20th), Minnesota (26th), Tampa Bay (28th), Detroit (29th), Chicago (30th) and San Francisco (32nd). None of those teams have an offense ranked higher than 23rd overall.

    They have two games remaining vs. a top 8 ranked team (Cincinnati- currently 4th, and Arizona again, too.)

    ===

    AlbaNY_Ram

    SF also only has 2 more games against top 8 teams (ARI and CIN).

    Arizona has 3 remaining gaems against top 8 teams (GB, CIN, and PHI).

    Seattle has 3 remaining games against top 8 teams (ARI twice plus PIT).

    #32694
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    PFF ranks the Rams defense 2nd overall.

    1st in run defense.

    5th in pass rush.

    13th in pass coverage.

    They rank the offense 27th.

    22nd in passing.

    16th in rushing.

    #32767
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    RAMS DEFENSE, WEEK 7 BEFORE THE BROWNS GAME

    Rankings relying on avgs. and percentages because teams haven’t played the same number of games so you can’t compare them straight up. Especially bad ones in red, especially good ones in blue.

    AVG YARDS PER GAME: 10TH

    AVG. YARDS PER PLAY: 7TH

    3RD DOWN CONVERSION PERCENTAGE: 26TH

    RUSHING YARDS PER GAME: 21ST

    YARDS PER RUSH ATTEMPT: 20TH

    COMPLETION PERCENTAGE: 31ST

    PASSING YARDS PER GAME: 10th

    YARDS PER PASS ATTEMPT: 11TH

    AVG. OPPONENT PASSER RATING: 18TH

    SACK PERCENTAGE: 3RD

    INTERCEPTIONS PER GAME: 13TH

    FUMBLE RECOVERIES PER GAME: 10TH

    TAKEAWAYS PER GAME: 8TH

    POINTS ALLOWED PER GAME: 13TH

    POINTS PER GAME BY OPPOSING OFFENSE ONLY: 9TH

    REDZONE SCORING PERCENTAGE (TDS ONLY): 2ND

    ==========

    AVG YARDS PER GAME: 10TH

    POINTS PER GAME BY OPPOSING OFFENSE ONLY: 9TH

    REDZONE SCORING PERCENTAGE (TDS ONLY): 2ND

    Note: this is after facing 3 of the top 13 offenses in terms of yards per game (Arizona 5th, Green Bay 11th, Seattle 13th).

    And also facing 3 of the top 10 offense in terms of points per game (Arizona 2nd, Green Bay 5th, Pittsburgh 8th)

    #32855
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    from off the net

    ===

    aeneas1

    this isn’t a bad offense, personnel wise, certainly not bottom of the barrel bad, yet that’s where the offense currently is, bottom of the barrel…

    but guess who currently ranks 1st in average yards gained on 1st down? that’s right, the rams. not only do the rams rank 1st in average yards gained on 1st down, but they also rank 1st in average pass yards gained on 1st down, and 1st in average rush yards gained on 1st down, so the rams clearly have the ability to move the ball…

    then the wheels come off on 2nd downs… the rams rank 32nd, dead last, in average yards gained on 2nd down, dead last in average pass yards gained on 2nd down, and 27th in average rush yards gained on 2nd down. the 2nd down fall of is so steep that the rams rank 30th in average distance to go on 3rd downs…

    interestingly foles’ 1st and 2nd down numbers are very similar – his completion rate is 62.5 and 63.0% respectively, while his qb rating is 86.8 and 92.3 respectively. however there is a huge difference in his average yards per attempt, his 1st down average is more than twice as much as his 2nd down average – his first down average ranks 1st in the league, his 2nd down average ranks 32nd, dead last.

    one explanation for the difference in average yards per pass attempt could be the element of of surprise, i.e. play action – the rams have passed the ball just 34% of the time on 1st down, teams expect run, which has made them susceptible to play action. conversely the rams have passed the ball 62% of the time on 2nd down. this also probably helps explain why foles has been sacked just once on 41 dropbacks on 1st down pass plays vs 6 times on 52 dropbacks on 2nd down pass plays.

    #32880
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    from off the net

    ===

    laram

    The Rams have run the ball on first down 78% of the time, most in the NFL.

    They avg 7.3 ypa on 1st down,1st in the NFL. League avg is about 5.5 on 1st down.

    Yet they are at 31% on 3rd down conversions, bottom of the league.

    #32937
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    BEFORE today’s game, Browns offense was:

    10th in yards

    12th in yards per play

    11th in points

    #32942
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    BEFORE today’s game, Browns offense was:

    10th in yards

    12th in yards per play

    11th in points

    This is based on today’s numbers, and those don’t include today’s games.

    But in the last 6 games, the Rams have played

    4 teams that were in the top 10 for offensive yards (Seattle-2nd, Arizona-5th, Green Bay-9th, Cleveland-10th)

    and 4 teams that were in the top 12 for average points per game (Arizona-2nd, Green Bay-5th, Seattle-6th, Pittsburgh-8th, Cleveland-12th).

    On the last bit. Here is their avg. points per game, and their score v. the Rams:

    Arizona-33.8…22 v. Rams
    Green Bay-27.3…24 v. Rams
    Pittsburgh-24.2…12 v. Rams
    Cleveland-23.5…6 v. Rams

    avg-27.2…17 v. Rams

    #32969
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    http://theramshuddle.com/topic/reporters-salute-the-browns-game/#post-32967

    We emphasize getting the ball back, making short fields for the offense, not letting them beat us deep,” defensive tackle Michael Brockers said.

    That kind of emphasizes what they do on D, and the numbers…both good and bad…in this thread reflect that.

    Another thing.

    On the last bit. Here is their avg. points per game, and their score v. the Rams:

    Arizona-33.8…22 v. Rams
    Green Bay-27.3…24 v. Rams
    Pittsburgh-24.2…12 v. Rams
    Cleveland-23.5…6 v. Rams

    avg-27.2…17 v. Rams

    ..

    Okay expanding that.

    Here;s those teams avg. turnovers per game, v. their turnoves against the Rams:
    .
    Arizona-1.7, ranked 21st…3 v. Rams
    Green Bay-0.7, ranked 3rd…3 v. Rams
    Pittsburgh-0.5, ranked 1st…1 v. Rams
    Cleveland-1.8, ranked 25th…4 v. Rams

    avg. 1.2…2.75 v. Rams

    #33018
    Avatar photoAgamemnon
    Participant
    #33027
    Avatar photoAgamemnon
    Participant

    Agamemnon

    #33103
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    RAMS DEFENSE, WEEK 8 AFTER THE BROWNS GAME

    Rankings relying on avgs. and percentages because teams haven’t played the same number of games so you can’t compare them straight up. Especially bad ones in red, especially good ones in blue.

    AVG YARDS PER GAME: 12TH

    AVG. YARDS PER PLAY: 10TH

    3RD DOWN CONVERSION PERCENTAGE: 12TH

    RUSHING YARDS PER GAME: 14TH

    YARDS PER RUSH ATTEMPT: 12TH

    COMPLETION PERCENTAGE: 32ND

    PASSING YARDS PER GAME: 17th

    YARDS PER PASS ATTEMPT: 15TH

    AVG. OPPONENT PASSER RATING: 20TH

    SACKS PER GAME: 3RD

    SACK PERCENTAGE: 2ND

    INTERCEPTIONS PER GAME: 17TH

    FUMBLE RECOVERIES PER GAME: 2ND

    TAKEAWAYS PER GAME: 5TH

    POINTS ALLOWED PER GAME: 10TH

    POINTS PER GAME BY OPPOSING OFFENSE ONLY: 4TH

    REDZONE SCORING PERCENTAGE (TDS ONLY): 1ST

    #33128
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    from off the net

    ==

    LMU93

    FootBallOutsiders: Rams up to 16th overall, defense 5th

    http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2015/week-7-dvoa-ratings

    Notes:

    – Offense 30th, defense 5th, special teams 12th

    – Rams have only three games remaining against teams rated higher (@CIN, ARZ, @SEA- all in the top 6); 6 of their other 7 remaining opponents rank 27th or
    lower (including Minnesota, who they talk about in the intro above the rankings).

    – They rank the Rams’ offensive line 27th in run blocking efficiency, 17th in pass blocking

    – Defensive line is rated 3rd in run defense, 2nd in pass rushing

    – Current playoff odds are 39.7%

    This week’s opponent, San Francisco, is rated 32nd overall… (31st on offense, 32nd on defense, and 23rd on special teams)

    #33165
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    As of right now, PFF ranks 6 Rams DL in the top echelons.

    4/3 DEs: out of 46

    Quinn, 6th
    Hayes, 13th
    Long, 15th

    DTs/NTs: out of 71

    Donald, 2nd
    Fairley, 10th
    Brockers, 16th

    They rank the Rams defense overall 2nd, with run defense 1st, pass defense 10th, and pass rush 5th.

    QB? Foles ranks 28th out of 36.

    They rank the Rams offense 28th, with passing game ranked 26th and the run game ranked 8th.

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