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Ran some quick numbers on Team PFF Grades vs. Win Percentage, and this is what I've come up with.
No surprise, the passing grade is highly correlated with winning football games. Do you want to win? Get yourself a top tier QB.
R^2 of 0.3999 pic.twitter.com/UKu9OmAen7
— Magnus Bendixen (@BendixenNFL) April 19, 2019
Team Running Grade vs. Win Percentage?
Presenting evidence #100200302402486t924691821468 that #RunningBacksDontMatter
R^2 of 0.06112 pic.twitter.com/jpfSv8ZjJE
— Magnus Bendixen (@BendixenNFL) April 19, 2019
How about receivers? This obviously doesn't distinguish between RB, WR, or TE.
R^2 of 0.3184
Highly correlated to winning pic.twitter.com/ieAx18it5i
— Magnus Bendixen (@BendixenNFL) April 19, 2019
Team Pass Block Grade vs. Win Percentage
R^2 of 0.03153
VERY surprised this isn't higher. Relates to another surprise later on. pic.twitter.com/n65ZGKBUfG
— Magnus Bendixen (@BendixenNFL) April 19, 2019
Team Run Block Grade correlates (ever so slightly) better to winning than pass blocking? 🤔
R^2 of 0.04013 pic.twitter.com/DtlmR3HayJ
— Magnus Bendixen (@BendixenNFL) April 19, 2019
Team Run Defense Grade vs. Win Percentage.#RunningDoesntMatter
R^2 of 0.03169 pic.twitter.com/52nA4Bgotw
— Magnus Bendixen (@BendixenNFL) April 19, 2019
Team Tackling Grade vs. Win Percentage
R^2 of 0.04037 pic.twitter.com/wFmqvp35kT
— Magnus Bendixen (@BendixenNFL) April 19, 2019
Team Pass Rush Grade vs. Win Percentage
This REALLY surprises me, considering how much the pass rush theoretically impacts the passing game. Very little correlation to winning, apparently.
R^2 of 0.03113 pic.twitter.com/4HFWZgJ9zu
— Magnus Bendixen (@BendixenNFL) April 19, 2019
Team Coverage Grade vs. Win Percentage
Coverage is king, it seems. Highly (!!!) correlated to winning football games
R^2 of 0.2922 pic.twitter.com/R0bvwJJRMH
— Magnus Bendixen (@BendixenNFL) April 19, 2019
So! The plan is to draft a bunch of CBs that can cover.
Agamemnon
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