will Tavon step up in 2015?

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  • #24614
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    from off the net

    ==

    CoachO

    How they are able to utilize Tavon Austin has more to do with Tavon Austin, than it does with the scheme or design of the offense.

    He is entering his 3rd year, and this far he has been unable to find a way to be a factor in the passing game. People seem to think that by somehow “designing special plays” for him they should be able to “use him properly”. But more than any play design, its more about how HE understands how to attack defenses, and become more of a factor within the system. It/s not by accident that he had more carries, than receptions last year. He just hasn’t shown he understands how to get open as a receiver. And that is with 4 different QBs. It cannot all be about the OC or QB. At some point, maybe we say its the receiver.

    The problem, and this has been discussed numerous times before, is that thus far, Austin isn’t capable of being a difference maker when teams play zone against this offense. In his only real breakout game, Indianopolis inexcusably played straight man to man all day vs. Rams, and both Austin and Givens had huge days on crossing routes. The problem is, MOST teams don’t do that against the Rams. So to simply say that he will be able to beat single coverage, IMO, is not looking at the big picture here.

    The thought process to drafting him, IMO, was that he was going to be a quicker, faster “Danny Amendola” type. But that hasn’t been the case. I have watched them try to run him on the option routes (arrow routes) and crossing routes in training camp, and he just isn’t very good at it. And when forced to settle into the soft spots of the zone coverage, and being forced to virtually come to a complete stop, Austin loses his advantage. In the open field, or catching the ball on the move he is as dangerous as any receiver in the game. But he just doesn’t have the stop and start quickness they envisioned.

    Until Austin himself shows he can figure it out, I just don’t see why so many think they should design the offense around getting him the ball. Until he does that, he will have his role in the offense, but not like many seem to hope he will, and will again be about the 4th or 5th best option on most days.

    #24615
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    i haven’t given up on tavon yet. i don’t think he’ll ever be a primary feature of this or any offense, but i think we have yet to see the best of him. but he’s still got 71 receptions for 660 yards through two seasons.

    but yeah. this is a pivotal season for him. i wouldn’t say make or break. but yeah. i’d say it’s pivotal.

    #24640
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    i don’t think he’ll ever be a primary feature of this or any offense, but i think we have yet to see the best of him. but he’s still got 71 receptions for 660 yards through two seasons.

    I agree with that. I don’t think this whole issue has anything to do with how he is “utilized.” I think this whole issue has to do with what Austin is good at.

    When he becomes a better receiver—capable of reading defenses, setting up defenders, disguising and executing routes—he will get more targets. So I pretty much agree with CoachO’s take on this.

    As it stands, they use him to do what he is good at. Having said that, I also don’t think he actually is a receiver, per se. That’s not my expectation. I think of him as a multiple purpose, combined yards weapon. He will get yards returning, he will get yards rushing. What he needs to do is improve enough as a receiver to get some more yards receiving, adding to the combined total

    #24642
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    Well i agree with everything thats been said,
    but i ‘also’ think they could use him
    better. I’d use him more on deep routes
    for example. I would not want him
    running little stop routes in the
    middle of zones.

    At any rate, we know they are ‘simplifying’
    some things on offense. So they
    must have decided they needed
    to adjust more to the players
    they have.

    w
    v

    • This reply was modified 9 years, 6 months ago by Avatar photowv.
    #24645
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    I’d use him more on deep routes
    for example.

    They did though. From what I saw, Hill wouldn’t throw them, Bradford and Clemens would, and with Davis they didn’t even bother.

    That was one of the things they DID do with Austin. And I assume, they will continue doing it.

    Teams just don’t throw long that much. It’s like anywhere from 2-3 times a game.

    #24656
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    from off the net

    ==

    CoachO

    SOME FOLLOW UP

    I am not sure why some feel Austin has shown he is capable of running a complete route tree. Everything I have seen, from firsthand at training camp, attending the home games, to watching on tv, tells me that is just not the case.

    He is slow to diagnose coverages, and when his route calls for him to run anything other than the “4 routes” he just doesn’t look like he is sure where he is supposed to go.

    Teams play primarily zone coverage against the Rams, and that calls for him (and everyone else) to be able to find the soft spots in coverage, and get to the window.

    It’s never as simple as just saying run a “go” route, and use your speed to get behind everyone. And that doesn’t even address his issues with getting off the LOS without having to run around the press coverage, and so throwing the timing off on his route.

    One glaring example for me, is when they ask him to run an option route. Like the “arrow” route. This is the same route that Amendola made a living on here. Austin just doesn’t run it very well. Last year someone like T.J. Moe continually gets open, and catches the ball in tight spaces, running the exact same route. But when they try to run Austin, he either gets caught up in the traffic, or doesn’t get the proper depth on the route. This comes down to figuring out the mental part of the position.

    I don’t think its by coincindence that four different QBs in the past two years have been unable to get him involved in the passing game. It’s not about dedicating the system to fit ONE player, its about that player fitting into the system. And thus far, Tavon Austin hasn’t shown that he can adapt his game at this level.

    .

    #24659
    Avatar photoAgamemnon
    Participant

    Everything he says is true. But still, if you run down the field, they will have to account for you. That stuff has worked against Givins, but he can’t catch the ball even if we would have had someone who could throw it. Last year sort of proved that.

    Agamemnon

    #24668
    rfl
    Participant

    No.



    I don’t disagree with C O’s analysis, so far as it goes. But I’d say something more basic.

    T A does not FIT our offense. You guys all know my spiel about Tavon needing a downfield threat to open space for him underneath. That’s a team fit issue.

    But then, suppose our TEs and WRs do establish a medium-to-long passing game. Would we really need Tavon underneath?

    Well, not if our RBs are what we hope they’ll be. A synergy between running game and perimeter passing is a much more fundamentally sound way to break defenses down than using a tiny, gadget slot man.

    Of course, the one area in which they HAVE gotten some production from Tavon is … the running game. He helped out last year with a lousy OL and inconsistent RB play.

    But this, again, is where the question of fit arises. We’re going out there with, theoretically, a power OL and 2 potent RBs. Do we need a tiny, gadget RB as well? Are we going to take touches away from TM, TG, and BC … for Tavon? Really?

    Especially when BC and TG are proven receiving RBs?

    I just don’t see a place for Tavon. He’ll be an afterthought this year. He’ll return kicks and get a touch now and then and then probably wander off when his contract expires. I could easily see him getting cut.

    Looking back, I would argue that the Tavon pick was a mistake. I mean something specific by that. It was a mistake for a Fisher/Schotty team to draft him. He never fit their vision. The 1st year, they tried to use him in gimmick plays that, I would argue, didn’t integrate organically with what they were trying to do. Then they gave up. Since then, only in the running game have they ever found anything that sorta worked. And as I’ve argued, there won’t be much value in that going forward.

    It isn’t that Tavon sucks. He doesn’t. Even if you buy C O’s argument, it’s not a hopeless situation. Put him on NE’s roster and Bellichix would find a way to use him and to teach him how to be productive. What Tavon offers would fit in there.

    He never has in StL and I don’t see the slightest reason to imagine that he ever will.

    By virtue of the absurd ...

    #24670
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    a couple things i disagree with on the original post.

    1. i do think he has the stop and start quickness the rams thought he had. i think the main problems are his size and the fact that he is thinking too much when he is out there. he won’t ever be able to overcome the size problem, but as far as the thinking too much. he’s only entering his third year. i would think there is still room to grow there, and as he starts to think less and just react, maybe the production will start to go up.

    2. also. the issue of using him properly. there could be some validity to the argument. fisher himself has alluded to the fact that he was misused in 2014 and that they plan to correct that this year. maybe cig has some ideas. maybe it’s just a matter of simplifying some things. regardless, fisher saw some issues on defense and adjusted last year. maybe fisher and cig saw some issues with the offense in 2014 and plan on making adjustments. maybe these involve tavon. maybe they don’t. but i don’t think it can just be dismissed.

    #24671
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    . fisher himself has alluded to the fact that he was misused in

    I didn’t interpret Fisher as having said that, myself.

    Ithink the main problems are his size and the fact that he is thinking too much when he is out there.

    I agree with you that a lot of this is Tavon not being ready to be a pro-level receiver when he first arrived….and that that problem continued last year.

    #24672
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    a couple things i disagree with on the original post.

    1. i do think he has the stop and start quickness the rams thought he had. i think the main problems are his size and the fact that he is thinking too much when he is out there. he won’t ever be able to overcome the size problem, but as far as the thinking too much. he’s only entering his third year. i would think there is still room to grow there, and as he starts to think less and just react, maybe the production will start to go up.
    2. also. the issue of using him properly. there could be some validity to the argument. fisher himself has alluded to the fact that he was misused in 2014 and that they plan to correct that this year. maybe cig has some ideas. maybe it’s just a matter of simplifying some things. regardless, fisher saw some issues on defense and adjusted last year. maybe fisher and cig saw some issues with the offense in 2014 and plan on making adjustments. maybe these involve tavon. maybe they don’t. but i don’t think it can just be dismissed.

    I tend to agree
    with all that.

    They will start the season with a ‘starting caliber’ QB
    this year, and Stedman and Tavon are in year three,
    and Fisher is ‘simplifying’ some things on offense —
    I would think that suggests we’ll see
    a little better offense this year.

    w
    v

    #24677
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    a little more on the not being pro-ready.

    tavon came to west virginia as a running back. and converted to receiver his freshman year. he had 15 receptions the first year and then 58 receptions the second year. wasn’t until his junior year that he really took off. now i’m not saying he is going to have 100 receptions next year. but i think 50 receptions is reasonable. with more explosive plays.

    as far as what fisher said. it could be open to interpretation. i take it as fisher thought they could have done a better job getting him in mismatches and getting him the ball where he could do damage. he also talked about lining him up wide. could it just be lip service? possibly. but for now at least i’ll take fisher’s word.

    #24678
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    a little more on the not being pro-ready.

    tavon came to west virginia as a running back. and converted to receiver his freshman year. he had 15 receptions the first year and then 58 receptions the second year. wasn’t until his junior year that he really took off. now i’m not saying he is going to have 100 receptions next year. but i think 50 receptions is reasonable. with more explosive plays.

    as far as what fisher said. it could be open to interpretation. i take it as fisher thought they could have done a better job getting him in mismatches and getting him the ball where he could do damage. he also talked about lining him up wide. could it just be lip service? possibly. but for now at least i’ll take fisher’s word.

    I don’t think it was lip service. I just don’t think he said those specific things. For one thing they did line him up wide. That’s one of the things he CAN do, IMO. Eg. he had 15 catches (out of 40 total) in 2013 on the sidelines. That was 10 for 138 yards with a long of 57. In 2014 it’s 14 of 31 receptions on the sidelines with a long of 28. So technically, 1/3 of his receptions are on the outside.

    #24682
    laram
    Participant

    a couple things i disagree with on the original post.

    1. i do think he has the stop and start quickness the rams thought he had. i think the main problems are his size and the fact that he is thinking too much when he is out there. he won’t ever be able to overcome the size problem, but as far as the thinking too much. he’s only entering his third year. i would think there is still room to grow there, and as he starts to think less and just react, maybe the production will start to go up.

    2. also. the issue of using him properly. there could be some validity to the argument. fisher himself has alluded to the fact that he was misused in 2014 and that they plan to correct that this year. maybe cig has some ideas. maybe it’s just a matter of simplifying some things. regardless, fisher saw some issues on defense and adjusted last year. maybe fisher and cig saw some issues with the offense in 2014 and plan on making adjustments. maybe these involve tavon. maybe they don’t. but i don’t think it can just be dismissed.

    First of all I agree 100% with everything that Coach said, and have said the same things myself.

    I tend to disagree with you here Invader, I’ve posted more than once during the season on TA’s lack of stop and start quickness.

    IT was really startling to me for at his size one would think he would be a lot quicker.

    Go back and watch his 2013 season, he couldn’t consistently allude even one man at the NFL level. I was really taken aback by it. Its why they threw him so many bubble screens, because they anticipated him doing damage. After they saw that he couldn’t, they stopped throwing them.

    TA never ran the route tree in college and he had like a 7 Wonderlich score so I’m sure he has great difficult reading coverages.

    Receiver have to do that as much as the qb does.

    I didn’t want them to draft him, but he has been an even bigger disappointment than I anticipated.

    If you can’t break tackles you damn sure better be able to allude them.

    Laram

    #24683
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    fair enough. i still want to see how he does this season. if he doesn’t show some major improvement this season, then yeah, i’ll probably start thinking it’s never gonna happen.

    the start stop or the lack thereof. i’m still of the opinion right now that it’s more a mental thing than it is a physical thing.

    but it is very possible that he never learns how to be a receiver. how to run routes. how to read coverages. that could be a big problem. that might be my biggest worry about him.

    #24685
    Avatar photoAgamemnon
    Participant
    #24686
    Herzog
    Participant

    I have zero confidence in him. Shrimp wideouts in the NFL just don’t do well. Wasted pick. NEXT!

    #24687
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    He’s a punt returner.

    #24691
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    He’s a punt returner.

    I don’t agree.

    He does catch passes, and does do a combo of things in the passing game. IMO he is only a “failure” in that regard if someone expected him to be a pure receiver.

    He also can run the ball out of the backfield.

    And he can also return punts.

    As for what Fisher said…he tellingly states (just paraphrasing not directly quoting) “one thing he CAN do is run past you downfield.” That is, he ends up talking about what Tavon is CAPABLE OF (presumably, capable of, so far.)

    I also think there’s this mistaken view out there that says they didn’t use him to on deep routes. Well, yeah, they did. They did it with Bradford and Clemens. I don’t think they bothered to do it with Davis. They did do it with Hill, Hill just never threw to him.

    Anyway, Tavon is controversial. That makes discussing him very interesting. And as such, lots of people with different opinions Declare The Truth Of Tavon. I do it myself, though part of me also tries to remember that there are widely different views on this. When it comes to that, I am personally more aligned with invader, who sees a guy who isn’t prepared or ready yet. What’s the difference between a player who CAN’T (do XY or Z) and a player who DOESN;T KNOW HOW TO YET (do XY or Z). I think sometimes people don’t account for the intangibles stuff–like when is a player lacking in a particular talent and when is he just playing without confidence or with mental hesitations. My own view is not that he is a “failure,” my view is that he needs to improve in a couple of areas, and that like Quick he’s slow to do it. This is the disadvantage of taking highly talented guys out of spread offenses—they are not pro ready, and sometimes take a couple of years to get it worked out. That makes them harder to judge.

    So anyway, yeah, he’s controversial. Here’s a typical exchange, from off the net.

    —-

    from off the net

    we could have done a better job of that” I agree. He is basically saying we didn’t use him as well as we could have. Also mentioned using him on deep routes (tell me why we never even tried to??? telling me he cant run a go route?)

    X

    Well, think about what you’re implying.

    Schotty didn’t know TA could run a 9 or go route, but you did.

    OR
    Schotty knew he could, but chose not to use him in that capacity, because Schotty doesn’t like to move the ball downfield.

    Meanwhile, he used the crap out of Givens as a rookie on deep patterns and it worked.

    #24692
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    I don’t agree.

    He does catch passes, and does do a combo of things in the passing game. IMO he is only a “failure” in that regard if someone expected him to be a pure receiver.

    He also can run the ball out of the backfield.

    And he can also return punts.

    As for what Fisher said…he tellingly states (just paraphrasing not directly quoting) “one thing he CAN do is run past you downfield.” That is, he ends up talking about what Tavon is CAPABLE OF (presumably, capable of, so far.)

    I also think there’s this mistaken view out there that says they didn’t use him to on deep routes. Well, yeah, they did. They did it with Bradford and Clemens. I don’t think they bothered to do it with Davis. They did do it with Hill, Hill just never threw to him.

    Anyway, Tavon is controversial. That makes discussing him very interesting. And as such, lots of people with different opinions Declare The Truth Of Tavon. I do it myself, though part of me also tries to remember that there are widely different views on this. When it comes to that, I am personally more aligned with invader, who sees a guy who isn’t prepared or ready yet. What’s the difference between a player who CAN’T (do XY or Z) and a player who DOESN;T KNOW HOW TO YET (do XY or Z). I think sometimes people don’t account for the intangibles stuff–like when is a player lacking in a particular talent and when is he just playing without confidence or with mental hesitations. My own view is not that he is a “failure,” my view is that he needs to improve in a couple of areas, and that like Quick he’s slow to do it. This is the disadvantage of taking highly talented guys out of spread offenses—they are not pro ready, and sometimes take a couple of years to get it worked out. That makes them harder to judge.

    yeah. we are in agreement. he’s not going to be a dominant pure wide receiver. but i think there’s certainly the capacity to get better as a receiver. plus he contributes big plays in a variety of ways. he’s a receiver/runner/returner. he’s a slash player.

    #24693
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    the arizona run at the end. and the chicago bears run where he stops on a dime and reverses. beautiful runs.

    #24696
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    yeah. we are in agreement. he’s not going to be a dominant pure wide receiver. but i think there’s certainly the capacity to get better as a receiver. plus he contributes big plays in a variety of ways. he’s a receiver/runner/returner. he’s a slash player.

    yes. We see it pretty much the same way.

    And I think you and I are not ruling out him getting better, and doing more, as a receiver. But he will never be A receiver. He can do more as a receiver than he has, but that will never be what he IS.

    #24697
    laram
    Participant

    the arizona run at the end. and the chicago bears run where he stops on a dime and reverses. beautiful runs.

    Invader when you get a chance check out this Football Outsiders breakdown on TA.

    http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2014/factors-tavon-austin

    Laram

    #24698
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    He’s a punt returner.

    I don’t agree.

    He does catch passes, and does do a combo of things in the passing game. IMO he is only a “failure” in that regard if someone expected him to be a pure receiver.

    He also can run the ball out of the backfield.

    And he can also return punts.

    He can do those things, yes. A few times a game.

    I see him as a poor man’s Amp Lee.

    #24699
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    the arizona run at the end. and the chicago bears run where he stops on a dime and reverses. beautiful runs.

    Invader when you get a chance check out this Football Outsiders breakdown on TA.

    http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2014/factors-tavon-austin

    well the article refers a lot to his lack of physicality. he’s too easily pushed around on routes, and he struggles to maintain balance when he takes a hit. those are all things i agree with. his hands last year were bad. yeah. that seems correct.

    still. i think he can be a useful player. i don’t think he’ll ever live up to his draft status. but i see him as a valuable player. i see him as a rich man’s amp lee…

    ha!

    #24700
    laram
    Participant

    the arizona run at the end. and the chicago bears run where he stops on a dime and reverses. beautiful runs.

    Invader when you get a chance check out this Football Outsiders breakdown on TA.

    http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2014/factors-tavon-austin

    well the article refers a lot to his lack of physicality. he’s too easily pushed around on routes, and he struggles to maintain balance when he takes a hit. those are all things i agree with. his hands last year were bad. yeah. that seems correct.

    still. i think he can be a useful player. i don’t think he’ll ever live up to his draft status. but i see him as a valuable player. i see him as a rich man’s amp lee…

    ha!

    1. Screen, smoke, suck
    So here’s this first-round slot receiver the Rams invested the No. 9 overall pick on. You would think maybe he’d be shifty enough to actually garner a missed tackle or two on some screens.
    Instead, Austin seemed almost utterly preoccupied with how fast he could put his foot in the ground and get upfield. It is true that Austin’s speed is world-class — that stood out even on these failed screens. But Austin was not powerful enough to take a hit while shifting his weight, nor does he have the balance to re-establish himself on glancing blows of the NFL caliber.
    The result was that the Rams had an 18 percent Success Rate on screen passes to their jitterbug receiver. Did Schottenheimer have some involvement in this? Sure. His screen designs were either completely base or so agonizingly complicated that you’d think he found them in Ulysses.
    But the main problem the Rams had with these plays last year was that Austin had no ability to make anyone miss in open space. After watching some college tape, I don’t think he completely lacks this ability. But I do think he never properly adjusted to the NFL’s speed and tackling, and I do wonder how coaching may have contributed to that.

    • This reply was modified 9 years, 6 months ago by laram.

    Laram

    #24703
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    But the main problem the Rams had with these plays last year was that Austin had no ability to make anyone miss in open space. After watching some college tape, I don’t think he completely lacks this ability. But I do think he never properly adjusted to the NFL’s speed and tackling

    I agree with that. In other words, although we see it in different ways and put different emphasis on different parts of it, we see him—quite possibly— as still adjusting.

    #24704
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    1. Screen, smoke, suck
    So here’s this first-round slot receiver the Rams invested the No. 9 overall pick on. You would think maybe he’d be shifty enough to actually garner a missed tackle or two on some screens.
    Instead, Austin seemed almost utterly preoccupied with how fast he could put his foot in the ground and get upfield. It is true that Austin’s speed is world-class — that stood out even on these failed screens. But Austin was not powerful enough to take a hit while shifting his weight, nor does he have the balance to re-establish himself on glancing blows of the NFL caliber.
    The result was that the Rams had an 18 percent Success Rate on screen passes to their jitterbug receiver. Did Schottenheimer have some involvement in this? Sure. His screen designs were either completely base or so agonizingly complicated that you’d think he found them in Ulysses.
    But the main problem the Rams had with these plays last year was that Austin had no ability to make anyone miss in open space. After watching some college tape, I don’t think he completely lacks this ability. But I do think he never properly adjusted to the NFL’s speed and tackling, and I do wonder how coaching may have contributed to that.

    I always enjoy reading your opinions, LA. I have noticed
    over the years that you are usually right about
    your ‘personnel evaluations’.

    Good to see you on the ‘little’ board 🙂

    Doesn’t look like Tavon was worth the trade-up
    at this point. But…perhaps he will improve
    this year. We’ll see.

    w
    v

    #24711
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    It is true that Austin’s speed is world-class — that stood out even on these failed screens. But Austin was not powerful enough to take a hit while shifting his weight, nor does he have the balance to re-establish himself on glancing blows of the NFL caliber.

    i agree with you. but i think the most important part is this. the screens failed because the slightest contact would knock him off balance. he simply does not have enough bulk to absorb those blows. and no player is going to be so quick that he can avoid contact altogether.

    i don’t know. i just see him on punt returns. and i see those runs against the bears and cardinals, and i’m thinking. yeah. he’s got abilities in open space. all the different gears. the change of direction.

    i’m giving him another year. after that. i’ll reformulate my opinion.

    but also. i trust your opinion and others a lot. so i’ll be keeing that in mind as well.

    #24712
    bnw
    Blocked

    For a first round draft pick TA has been a bust and I don’t see another player on this years squad to open space for him. If that is what TA really needs. Far greater value and I think upside on Bailey taken rounds later.

    The upside to being a Rams fan is heartbreak.

    Sprinkles are for winners.

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