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June 7, 2022 at 8:45 pm #139201znModerator
2022 NFL Head Coach Rankings: Bill Belichick, John Harbaugh and Andy Reid lead the way
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TIER 1: HALL OF FAME COACHES
These coaches are set to one day admire their busts in Canton. All have enjoyed success for at least a decade, won at least one Super Bowl and played in multiple conference championships. There is room for debate as to their exact ordering and the exact approximations of their effects, but their accomplishments and longevity speak for themselves.
1. BILL BELICHICK, NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (11.7-5.3 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 1/26 (+121 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 1/26 (-32 points allowed a season)
Bill Belichick is the best head coach in NFL history. Moving on…
2. JOHN HARBAUGH, BALTIMORE RAVENS (10.7-6.3 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 2/26 (+90 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 4/26 (-11 points allowed a season)
Harbaugh’s head coaching career includes many iterations of offenses helmed by the typically solid yet unspectacular Joe Flacco that generally lacked upper-echelon talent. Despite this, the Ravens have always fielded above-average offenses — and tremendous defenses.
3. ANDY REID, KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (10.1-6.9 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 4/26 (+77 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 17/26 (+5 points allowed a season)
One of the best offensive minds in the league for over two decades, Reid comes in at the bottom of this Hall of Fame tier. This is mostly due to his defenses, which are usually not much to complain about, but that does knock him when compared to the best of the best.
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TIER 2: GOOD COACHES
Many of these coaches are either rising stars or have had comfortable amounts of success in their careers at the helm. In any given year, the teams they coach will likely be in the playoffs, although they generally either struggle on one side of the ball or simply haven’t sustained their success over time.
4. KLIFF KINGSBURY, ARIZONA CARDINALS (10.0 – 7.0 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 3/26 (+81 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 23/26 (+12 points allowed a season)
Outside of quarterback Kyler Murray and wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins, Kingsbury has not had much to work with in terms of offensive talent in the desert, yet he’s still managed to make the offense hum. Unfortunately, Kingsbury has left much to be desired on the defensive side of the ball thus far.
5. PETE CARROLL, SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (9.9 – 7.1 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 12/26 (+42 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 3/26 (-18 points allowed a season)
While Carroll’s tenure in Seattle will certainly be defined by the Legion of Boom years, it is worth appreciating that the Seahawks have managed to field solid defenses for the better part of a decade. His tenure will also be defined by the “Let Russ Cook” movement, which advocated for giving now-Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson more opportunities to shine amid Carroll’s noted reliance on the running game.
6. MATT LAFLEUR, GREEN BAY PACKERS (9.8 – 7.2 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 8/26 (+55 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 9/26 (-3 points allowed a season)
Despite having future Hall of Famer Aaron Rodgers at the helm, LaFleur has still managed to elevate the Packers’ offense while maintaining strong defenses during his entire stay in Green Bay.
7. KYLE SHANAHAN, SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (9.8 – 7.2 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 6/26 (+64 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 16/26 (+5 points allowed a season)
Shanahan has been publicly lauded for impressive offensive outputs despite middling passers running his offense, and this is borne out in the data, as well. Unfortunately, his overall mediocre defensive outputs considering the talent at his disposal has been captured, too.
8. MIKE VRABEL, TENNESSEE TITANS (9.7 – 7.3 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 7/26 (+56 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 12/26 (+0.9 points scored a season)
Vrabel is at times maligned for his reliance on the running game and star running back Derrick Henry, but the results suggest that it works on the macro level. The performance of his offensive units has actually been his calling card, as he’s been a part of only average defensive results.
9. FRANK REICH, INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (9.7 – 7.3 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 10/26 (+49 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 8/26 (-3.9 points allowed a season)
Reich has dealt with an unfortunate revolving door of passers Indianapolis but has maintained strong levels of offensive success in spite of that. His maintenance of a solid defense has also helped weather the storm of sometimes erratic play from his passers.
10. MIKE MCCARTHY, DALLAS COWBOYS (9.7 – 7.3 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 5/26 (+68 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 25/26 (+15 points scored a season)
While there were criticisms of McCarthy’s play calling in Green Bay — he doesn’t call plays in Dallas — he has had no issue helming prolific offenses throughout his career. His Achilles heel, however, is his seeming inability to oversee defensive performances that live up to his teams’ talent level.
11. SEAN MCVAY, LOS ANGELES RAMS (9.6 – 7.4 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 9/26 (+55 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 15/26 (+4.3 points scored a season)
The data suggests that McVay lives up to his reputation as a fantastic offensive play-caller, as he’s overseen great offenses in his time as the Rams’ head coach.
12. BRANDON STALEY, LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (9.4 – 7.6 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)
- Offensive Rank: 11/26 (+46 points scored a season)
- Defensive Rank: 20/26 (+8 points scored a season)
The former defensive coordinator has done a strong job embracing analytical ideas and done a respectable job overseeing strong offensive outputs. However, for his success to continue, his defensive output will need to follow suit
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June 8, 2022 at 4:54 pm #139215znModeratorThe best team in the NFL is ___? https://t.co/bxzUTjm4Qz
— PFF (@PFF) June 8, 2022
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link above
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TRUE CONTENDERS
1. BUFFALO BILLS
It’s tough to look beyond the Bills as the single best roster in football. They didn’t even make it to the AFC Championship last season, but they were 13 seconds and some suicidal defense away from doing so at the end of the game against the Kansas City Chiefs. Josh Allen proved that his breakout year was no fluke, and the Bills has been able to add luxuries such as Von Miller to try and put them over the top.
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2. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Until we see real evidence of Tom Brady‘s decline, we have to assume that he will remain as one of the truly elite quarterbacks in the game, which makes the Bucs immediate contenders every year he is at the helm. Brady’s un-retirement paved the way for several other players that were scheduled to hit free agency to return, and the team patched up the holes that did appear in the draft. Adding a receiver such as Russell Gage, who was an underrated weapon in Atlanta and averaged 1.96 yards per route run last season, could make a real impact on the offense.
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3. LOS ANGELES RAMS
The defending Super Bowl Champions are already being disrespected! Before we go overboard, remember that the Rams were the No. 4 seed a year ago and needed Matthew Stafford to up his play from an 80.7 regular season PFF grade to 89.5 in the postseason to go on the run that they did. The Rams also lost critical parts of the roster, as Robert Woods, Odell Beckham Jr., Sebastian Joseph-Day and Von Miller now play elsewhere. The Rams added Allen Robinson and Bobby Wagner to help offset those losses, but there’s a good chance that, at best, they have taken a sideways step in an offseason where several contenders got better.
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4. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
With the rest of the NFL’s contenders in an arms race, the Chiefs chose to trade away one of the most potent weapons in the NFL in Tyreek Hill. They look to replace him not with any one player but in the aggregate with the Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Juju Smith-Schuster and Skyy Moore additions, and while that may be the best thing for the long-term cap health of the roster, it’s tough to argue that the Chiefs won’t take a small step backward initially. Nonetheless, as long as Patrick Mahomes is the quarterback, the Chiefs will be amongst the real contenders.
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5. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
Few teams were as aggressive this offseason as the Chargers, who seem determined to capitalize on the talent they have at quarterback in Justin Herbert. Far from regressing, Herbert’s second season built on his stellar rookie campaign, so the Chargers spent a ton of money to surround him with talent. Adding a player such as Khalil Mack should improve everything up front, and J.C. Jackson adds to a secondary that has a lot of ball skills as a unit. Drafting Zion Johnson should ensure that the line in front of Herbert remains solid.
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