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Billy_TParticipant
I think those late comp picks — which really should be viewed as early picks in the following round — should be used primarily to move up, if the trades are there. I’d also try to set things up for the next draft, by trading some of them for an earlier round in 2024 or 2025. Typically, a 5th rounder this year is worth a 4th founder next year. Not always. But typically.
. . . The Niners got a nice haul this year of seven total. Four is the max, unless a team receives comps for coaching losses due to promotions of minority candidates to HC or GM. That gives the Niners a ton of flexibility with their other comps. If I were their GM, I’d use the late picks for trade-ups and next year’s draft.
The Rams have three comps after the 5th round, and one after the 7th. There’s a big gap between their 3rd rounder (77, from the Dolphins), and their first comp after the 5th (167). Hopefully, they can move up. Not likely, but it would be great if they could trade a player they no longer have plans for . . . but not sure if they have any of those assets left. Wagner and Floyd might have been their last chance for mid-draft picks.
This is obviously going to be a seriously important draft year.
Billy_TParticipantJourdan’s podcast is a coupla days early this week. Ad-free if you have The Athletic. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/inside-the-jalen-ramsey-trade-whats-next-for-rams/id1477535034?i=1000603975002
Is it entirely about the Ramsey trade? If not, maybe it should be it’s own thread? I fixed your ¶s in that one post btw.
Thanks for the edits.
The podcast is mostly about the trade, but she does touch upon Rams philosophy in general, looking ahead to 2024, and some other issues. Ramsey dominates the show, though, and Jourdan gives her opinion on the compensation.
If you think it should be on its own, that’s kewl too.
Billy_TParticipantJourdan’s podcast is a coupla days early this week. Ad-free if you have The Athletic. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/inside-the-jalen-ramsey-trade-whats-next-for-rams/id1477535034?i=1000603975002
Is it entirely about the Ramsey trade? If not, maybe it should be it’s own thread? I fixed your ¶s in that one post btw.
Thanks for the edits, ZN.
The podcast is mostly about the trade, but not entirely. Jourdan gives her take on the comp for the trade, and they touch upon general team issues and looking to 2024. It’s pretty good. Better, IMO, than Jourdan’s recent article on the trade. She’s more to the point. etc. Just my take.
Billy_TParticipantGood catch, ZN.
My bad.
I think I got that (cut and paste) from cbssports after a quick duckduckgo. Looks wrong.
Here’s the list from Ramswire:
Round 2
No. 36Round 3
No. 69
No. 77 (from Dolphins)Round 5
No. 167*
No. 171*
No. 177*Round 6
No. 182
No. 189 (from Titans)
No. 191 (from Packers)Round 7
No. 223 (from Detroit)
No. 251**compensatory pick
Billy_TParticipantTis true, ZN.
Lotsa different ways of looking at this. But the only angle worth a Picasso is mine, all mine!!
;>)
Woman in a Chemise in an Armchair, by Pablo Picasso. 1913
It goes without saying that I’m hoping the Rams make this all work to the max, and they compete well in 2023, and turn things around completely in 2024. I’ve stuck with the Rams since 1966. Not going anywhere.
Billy_TParticipantBut if reports are true that Ramsey asked for his money to be guaranteed in both 23 and 24, then they didn’t do anything except move on from a player they couldn’t afford.
ZN,
I get that they thought they had no choice but to move on, cuz of the guaranteed money. Perhaps for other reasons we don’t know about, as well. The issue to me is the compensation, and why they narrowed the pool of possible trading partners. It’s clear to me they botched that part. It’s also clear to me that they put themselves in the position of having to say no to Ramsey’s contract demands because of their impulsive contract extensions after the Super Bowl, especially Stafford’s.
IMO, Ramsey would have been the better guy to extend than Stafford, if it came down to a choice. More likely to actually see the field for the majority of his new contract. I just don’t see Stafford as playing for much of his. He’s taken a beating throughout his career, and while he’s tough as nails, I’m not sanguine about his future with the Rams. Don’t know how retirement impacts contracts and guaranteed money, but I’d bet Stafford retires after this season, especially if the Rams don’t make it to the playoffs. AD likely too.
In short, I stand with Achebe: Things Fall Apart.
Billy_TParticipantLos Angeles Rams Draft Picks by Round in 2023
Round 2, Pick 36 overall
Round 3, Pick 69 overall
Round 3, Pick 77
Round 5, Pick 167 overall
Round 5, Pick 171 overall
Round 5, Pick 177 overall
Round 6, Pick 182 overall
Round 6, Pick 189 overall (from ATL)
Round 6, Pick 191 overall (from TEN)
Round 7, Pick 223
Round 7, Pick 235
Round 7, Pick 251____
The Rams have a huge gap in the draft, between the 3rd round and the 5th round comps. Roughly 90 picks go by without the Rams having a shot.
I’m guessing the Rams make moves to reduce that gap.
Strange: Have been playing around with some of the NFL mock simulators, and the PFF version keeps giving them #136 (as of this morning). I’m guessing that’s supposed to be a 4th round comp. They seem to have the rest of them mostly in order.
. . . I think they could have gotten a 4th for Floyd or Wagner, at least. It would have required patience, and a great poker face. No public declarations that they’d cut them if they couldn’t trade them, which is always a stupid poker move. But they should have been able to fill that gap. It looks like they’re out of player assets to move, and will have to trade back for more picks, if they want them. Picks for more picks, etc.
Billy_TParticipantQuick comment about the trade, mostly via readings/listenings including Jourdan’s. I think where the Rams really hurt themselves is by limiting their trade partners to AFC only. Jourdan said the return was a lot worse than it should have been, and she suggested that was primarily due to limiting the pool of partners.
My inference is that the Rams would have gotten at least a 2nd, and possibly a 1st, if they had said yes to NFC too. Didn’t see this broken down further by just saying No to their own division, which would have been understandable.
Yes, the guaranteed money was a big factor. But I think that would have been negated if you open things up to at least NFC North, South, and East.
Billy_TParticipantZN,
Responded twice yesterday to your comment about the podcast, but it didn’t post. Not sure if this one will, either. No links in the posts, if memory serves, so not sure why it didn’t go through.
Anyway, I’m good with wherever you want to put the podcast. It’s mostly about the Ramsey trade, but not entirely.
Billy_TParticipantJourdan’s podcast is a coupla days early this week. Ad-free if you have The Athletic.
Billy_TParticipantQuick side note: I tried several times to fix the paragraphs, but it wouldn’t take. Showed it was fine, though, before I posted.
Not sure if it’s on my end or the site’s. Oh, well.
Billy_TParticipantGrading the Jalen Ramsey trade for the Rams: LA loses this deal
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Personally, I think the D- grade above is too generous.
I disagree with Whit here:
Andrew Whitworth@AndrewWhitworthBecause that’s what teams offered. That’s what people are missing! That’s a reflection of You being desperate seller Jalen’s contract value Jalen wanting better contract (why Miami had to guarantee more years) You think the rams chose that deal over two 1st rounders??? No that’s what teams saw as Jalen’s worth with the requirements to get deal done. That’s not that hard to understand. Take out emotion and it’s easyFirst off, he doesn’t know what teams offered. He’s guessing, like everyone else on the outside. Second, it’s not “emotional” to say this was a terrible trade. It’s “emotional,” IMO, to make excuses for the Rams FO in this case, especially if one says they had to do it. If not emotional, then reflexive..No one forced them to make this trade. It was a choice. And if one wants to say the Cap made ’em do it, well, who got them into Cap Hell? Jourdan says the Rams acted “emotionally” after the Super Bowl when they did their extensions of Stafford and others. All of that guaranteed money, when they didn’t have to extend their QB yet, and definitely not with that kind of contract? Ramsey was actually the better bet, if we’re talking guarantees, given his lack of injuries and relative youth..I’m not in the same camp with people who seem to think that because the Rams won the Super Bowl, you can’t criticize any of their decisions. Winning the Super Bowl was fantastic, but those mistakes weren’t necessary ingredients for that win. They won despite the mistakes, and fewer of them likely leads to more Super Bowls..Goff was extended years too soon. Same with Gurley. Same with Stafford. They keep making the same errors, and they keep living in Cap Hell. Dumping players like Floyd and Wagner (plus Lewis, Hendo, Burgess, Hollins) with zero compensation is not good team-building, and it’s not a valid excuse to say they had to, cuz, again, they made their own bed, cap-wise, etc..Bottom line for me: If all I can get for Ramsey is a third and a bench-sitting TE, I pass. I also don’t limit the pool of suitors by worrying about the best landing spot for Ramsey, and I don’t eliminate the NFC cuz I don’t want to face him. That sounds “emotional” to me.Billy_TParticipantThis was a seriously stupid trade, and it didn’t even garner that much Cap relief. According to Ramswire, less than 6 million.
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The entire league knows the Rams are an easy mark. They give up waay too much for players they want, and they ask for waay too little in comp for players they trade away.
To me, this looks like another case of them putting the wishes of a now former player above the best interests of the team. Ramsey wanted to go to Miami, so that’s where they sent him. Very likely Miami knew this and low-balled the Rams as a result.
I think it’s time for new management and an end to this ethos of bending over backwards for players on their way out the door.
Billy_TParticipantJourdan’s podcast is good this week, though she’s not at her best, physically. Working while sick, basically.
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/11-personnel-a-show-about-the-los-angeles-rams/id1477535034
She talks about the Rams FO soul searching, recognizing they made some bad decisions, acting “emotionally,” etc. New contracts given to Stafford and others, for example.
Easy inference: their cap hell wasn’t inevitable. So if they cut or trade players to offload salary this offseason . . . it’s not really just the normal ebb and flow of things. Bad choices, made their own bed, etc. etc.
It’s a hopeful sign, however, that they seem to understand this. McVay and company are kinda sorta growing up before our very eyes.
Billy_TParticipantTo me, the logical thing to do with Ramsey, if they were to keep him, is move him to safety. He likely turns into the best in the league if they do. If he were amenable to it, etc.
Trading him or not trading him this season comes down to this: Roll the dice, play him in 2023, trade him in 2024, but risk a (major?) reduction in compensation.
But if they keep him, again, I’d move him to safety and draft a coupla corners. This is a deep draft for that position. Just so so for safeties.
Billy_TParticipantI have to say… the Rams are quite good at identifying talent, and trading appropriate value to obtain it and quite terrible at extracting value for trading away talent they have.
Perhaps we’ve been looking at this sport all wrong for generations. Perhaps it’s not about building the best possible team, to win the most possible games, including the final test, the Super Bowl. Speaking for myself, at least, that’s been my take on things for a long, long time.
But, recently, I’ve had an epiphany of sorts. It struck me the other day when I was doing my usual tour through the countryside in my horse-drawn carriage. As usual, once I left my estates, the masses were massed three or four rows deep, some running alongside the carriage, shouting my name, hoping to get a glimpse of my Shakespearean troupe and me . . . and so I thought: “What do the people really want in life? They don’t want victories. They just want to know that every NFL player winds up with the team of their dreams, and it’s the duty of every Front Office to make that happen, no matter how difficult or costly this may be.”
And as if they had read my thoughts, several among the adoring masses had signs that said “I desire we may be better strangers!”
Mark my words: McVay/Snead will one day be recognized as true revolutionaries, right up there with Spartacus, Kropotkin, Mrs. Maisel, and Rick Astley.
Billy_TParticipantVan Ness wasn’t a starter, but in their system, that doesn’t really tell us anything. Seniors get the call first, apparently. He looks like the real deal.
All things being equal, you want guys with four years experience as starters. At least three. But in major programs, there is a ton of talent on the bench. Some never see the field. Great scouts can uncover those guys. If memory serves, Edgerrin James didn’t start for Miami, but became a great pro.
I’d bet programs like Georgia, Alabama, Notre Dame, Ohio State, etc. etc. . . . . have really good players that ride the pine their entire football career.
. . .
You just don’t see offensive linemen with Breeland’s size have that vert and broad. Crazy.
i would take bpa at front seven, oline, or defensive back. i think all three are needs if ramsey is traded.
I can go with that, Invader. Sounds smart.
Billy_TParticipantGood overview of top tight ends and wideouts, focusing on their Combines:
Billy_TParticipantDarnell Washington would be great for the Rams. Very likely to help their run game, and his athleticism was under-used in college. He could surprise as a receiver too. 11” hands? Surprising speed, and crazy good shuttle.
Kuntz is someone the Rams could get late, though his Combine performance may have thrown that out of whack. Amazing athlete, with great size. Would be all in for that pick.
Billy_TParticipantRams need Edge, first and foremost. Probably two of them. But if they trade Ramsey, that pushes CB up there as well. They should be able to net a 1st rounder for Ramsey, so that could go for the best Edge available. With #36, I’d take Banks, if he’s there.
Not a good idea to lock yourself into the above, of course. Keep yer options open. But I like picking for need early, and then going for freakiest athlete/BPA later. Ideally, you get the trifecta. Need/BPA/Freakiest athlete. But I think the chances of that trifecta diminish with each passing round. Even within each round.
Also, if their board has a bloc of guys with similar grades, say five or six, do your best to trade back within that range. I also think they should start trading up later. Trade down early. Trade back up later. Or don’t. It all depends.
(Don’t get too cute, IOW. If a great player is there, at #36, take him.)
Overall, I’d rank their needs like this: Edge (maybe two), CB (especially if Ramsey goes), G, C, TE, S, WR, RB. I want them to find a size/speed/jump ball wideout. Not a strong draft for wr, apparently, but they should be able to find a small school hidden gem late.
Billy_TParticipantYeah. Special athlete. Also not sure why he isn’t get a comp with Donald, instead of Kancey. Adebawore has height and weight nearly identical to Donald. Though neither Kancey or Adebawore are cut like him. Kancey, especially, looks a bit out of shape to me. Which, I guess, makes his 40 even crazier.
I like Maryland’s CB too, Deonte Banks. Ran a 4.35, 42 vert, and 11.4 broad. Maryland’s other corner, Jakorian Bennett, was even faster, at 4.31.
Also like Will McDonald for Edge.
I really hope the Rams shift gears a bit and go for special athletes (“freaks”), and don’t shy away from younger players. They need to get faster, younger, and more athletic, in my view.
Billy_TParticipantIn short, I’m a greedy fan. In no way am I trying to minimize the Super Bowl victory. My fandom goes back to 1966, and I was thrilled.
I just want them to keep winning, and make the best possible decisions to make that more likely. I’m guessing that’s the case for everyone on this forum.
Billy_TParticipantWish the Rams had those options.
Maybe they could have if they had gone 6-11 and 3-14 the past couple of years. Personally, I will take Super Bowl LVI, and proceed from there.
As mentioned before, I don’t think it’s an either/or thing. The Rams could have won the Super Bowl and retained more draft capital and cap space. Other teams have. Hell, the Rams did a better job of things after they won in 1999/2000. They competed for the next two years, and IMO, their strongest team was actually the 2001/2002 version.
- This reply was modified 1 year, 8 months ago by Billy_T.
Billy_TParticipantThe Rams built a Super Bowl winner by drafting and trading for a few elite players, surrounding them with solid complementary teammates, mostly from later rounds and UDFAs.
Their model reset the NFL market, but as Jourdan has mentioned, their own success caused it to reset again, pretty much beyond their own ability to stay in the game. In so many words, they priced themselves out of their own revolution.
So how will they respond this year? They still lack the cap space and the draft picks to seriously alter course, and if they trade Ramsey, that just creates another hole. I really have no idea how they’re going to make this work.
Oh, to be in Chicago’s shoes! The first pick and something like 98 million in cap space. I’d trade down a few spots, pick up another coupla firsts and seconds, draft Jalen Carter or Will Anderson . . . and go crazy on the FA market.
Wish the Rams had those options.
February 25, 2023 at 1:48 pm in reply to: Ramsey to be traded? Floyd to be cut? Roster rumors #143054Billy_TParticipantInteresting. Do they ‘have’ to trade him for cap-relief? I would think not, but I dunno. They’d have to get a lot in return for him, for it to make any sense to me, unless they just have to for cap reasons. w v
I’m no cap expert, but I think they were roughly 15 million over, and by cutting Wagner, they save between 5 and 8 million. They don’t have to cut or trade Ramsey, but he has one of those contracts that do yield a lot of savings if they move him. I think they’d save in the neighborhood of 17 million.
A rookie pool is in the 5 million range, give or take. They want to sign new Free Agents too. Probably need another 15 million for that, at least. So they need to find a way to reduce payroll by another 30 million or so. Guessing.
Floyd is a likely cut/trade guy, and he’d save them a lot too. Restructuring Kupp and Stafford are likely.
Hope a cap guru weighs in, or a good article does the trick, etc.
Billy_TParticipantThe Floyd and Ramsey stuff has to be placed in the “Rumor” category until it happens, but the way the wind is blowing, it sure seems like the Rams are clearing cap space by getting rid of players who seemed to be at the core of the philosophy that won them a Super Bowl. It seemed apparent to me that the Rams were investing in critical superstars, and filling the roster with players they acquired by stockpiling a lot of 3rd day draft picks. Now they seem to be shedding that core, and I don’t know what to make of that. To me, losing Wagner, Floyd, and Ramsey without apparent heirs on the roster is crazy. We are now down to Donald on defense. On offense, there is Kupp and an aging Stafford. And whatever Cam Akers shows up. That’s not a competitive roster. And I don’t get it.
Agree with all of that. Plus, if the Rams are down to just Donald, will he stick around beyond this year? I kinda doubt it.
Kupp turns 30 this summer. Stafford turned 35 this month. Donald seems ageless, so I don’t worry about him, other than the likely retirement. But I’m not getting a sense of this team’s overall philosophy regarding core and complementary players anymore. It seemed pretty clear before their Super Bowl season how they were building toward that. Not this season, though.
Winning the Super Bowl was glorious, and the Rams get major props for all of that. They did it their way, etc. But did the aftermath have to go like this? Couldn’t they have found some way to sustain the winning and the window a bit longer?
Billy_TParticipantbetter to part with an aging player a year sooner than a year later. Bobby Wagner = Clay Matthews I really liked both of these players with the Rams, but LBs >30 are not very effective for that kind of money. always remember his Mike Curtis tackle on the trespassing “JOEFAN” vs the 49ers at Levi. Like ZN stated $5M Good Luck
I don’t know about that “aging player” thing. Wagner had 140 tackles, 6 sacks, and 2 interceptions last year, from an inside linebacker spot. That’s clearly All-Pro production.
When was the last time a Rams ILB put up those kinds of numbers?
Is it really likely he’d fall off the cliff that much from there?
Billy_TParticipantDoes anyone here understand how a March release can have a Post-June 1st cut designation?
NFL rules and regs are weird.
Billy_TParticipantApologies in advance, if I’m just missing the obvious. But, I’m not getting how a player can be released in March with a “Post-June 1st designation.”
How does that work, exactly?
One would think the Rams would have to release Wagner after June 1st to do that . . .
???
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