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AgamemnonParticipant
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AgamemnonParticipantWin Probability Calculator
Enter a game situation (and optional vegas line) to determine a team’s win probability at that point. For instance, if you are favored by 2 and trailing by 7 in the 4th quarter with 5 minutes left and the ball on your own 20, we calculate your Win Probability to be 4.7%.http://www.pro-football-reference.com/play-index/win_prob.cgi
October 19, 2015 at 12:06 pm in reply to: Wagoner: Garrett Reynolds has much to gain as a starter #32597
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AgamemnonParticipantOctober 18, 2015 at 3:40 pm in reply to: Minnesota Vikings: Should the team move on from Cordarrelle Patterson? #32559
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AgamemnonParticipantWell how do you guys view Snisher’s free-agent signings
so far?Cortland Finnegan, J. Cook, Jake Long, K Britt,
William Hayes…who else?w
vSome work some don’t. You should always look for value. That makes the high price FAs had to get value from. I think, can the player play to the value of his contract? You are better off keeping your own than adding one of theirs.
Finnegan and Cook were almost doomed from the start. Long had a chance. So did Wells. I liked Britt and Hayes and Sims. I like Long, and Laurinaitis and Quinn better. Fairley and Ayers are OK. Reyonolds and Dunbar are fine. That is about it.
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AgamemnonParticipantSo we trade one hyper-athletic guy who can’t catch for one who can’t run routes…

Can Cook run routes? We would save money anyway. 😉
AgamemnonParticipantCan I trade him to Minn for Patterson?
It would save almost 4 million on the cap to trade him.
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Agamemnon.
October 18, 2015 at 10:51 am in reply to: Minnesota Vikings: Should the team move on from Cordarrelle Patterson? #32540
AgamemnonParticipantOctober 18, 2015 at 10:41 am in reply to: Minnesota Vikings: Should the team move on from Cordarrelle Patterson? #32538
AgamemnonParticipantOctober 18, 2015 at 9:43 am in reply to: A closer look at what could be next for Rams and Saffold #32535
AgamemnonParticipantSay, if Saffold was still on IR, his salary would be guaranteed, I think. That is maybe one reason why they decided to do his surgery now. So, he would be healed by March 3.
Looking at all that, it seems like it would be more disruptive to let him go. If they have abundant cap space (granted before signing anyone) then rather than bring in a free agent, why not stay with Saffold.
My only problem with that is, no one really knows why he wasn’t playing well. Maybe he really never got over his injury from the summer.
One thing about shoulder surgeries. It is possible that shoulder surgeries, or at least some kinds, make the shoulder stronger. That’s unlike other injuries, which make that part of the body (whatever it is) less effective (like a knee).
I have no preference in this…just thinking out loud.
.
I don’t have a preference myself. This just gives the Rams an option to make a best choice. Maybe one of the younger players does well enough that he makes an impact on the decision? I think the best thing would be Saffold is healthy, he plays at a high level, and returns value for money.
October 18, 2015 at 1:14 am in reply to: A closer look at what could be next for Rams and Saffold #32524
AgamemnonParticipantThat is fine. I fixed it. cause I mostly did it to focus on Saffold. Making a separate thread is ok.
My bad. Next time I will ask first. Every now and then I get an itchy trigger finger. Fair enough?

No problems. Everything works out..
October 18, 2015 at 12:25 am in reply to: A closer look at what could be next for Rams and Saffold #32518
AgamemnonParticipantIf they plan to spend the money on another vet guard, they might as well keep Saffold. imo
Maybe use some of Saffold’s cap space to resign Barnes? I like our young players on the Oline.
Could you explain what Wagoner was talking about in regards to Saffold’s injury guarantee of 4.5. I would appreciate it.
If Saffold get paid his roster bonus for 2016, his salary for 2016 is guaranteed at that time. Usually is isn’t guaranteed until the actual first game for 4 year vets. That is the way I read it. It really isn’t a big thing.
That isn’t quite right. The bonus and the injury guarantee seem to be separate. March 3 is the date for that counts. Say, if Saffold was still on IR, his salary would be guaranteed, I think. That is maybe one reason why they decided to do his surgery now. So, he would be healed by March 3.
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This reply was modified 10 years, 4 months ago by
Agamemnon.
October 18, 2015 at 12:22 am in reply to: A closer look at what could be next for Rams and Saffold #32517
AgamemnonParticipantYou know I move some of these things because I think they would make cool threads. I hope you don’t mind.
For example I think this is a very interesting point:
I can’t remember a time when the Rams have had this much talent, draft capitol, and cap space all in combination.
That is fine. I fixed it. cause I mostly did it to focus on Saffold. Making a separate thread is ok.
October 17, 2015 at 11:43 pm in reply to: A closer look at what could be next for Rams and Saffold #32509
AgamemnonParticipantnext years draft’s biggest strength is DE. imo
We could replace player/s there Or we could just add one and go with 9 Dline again Or some combination of players.

With an extra 2cd in the 2016 draft and ~45 million in cap space for 2016, we are in good shape and can do most of whatever we want. i.e., we have plenty of draft capitol for talent and plenty of cap space for value. imo
Other teams need for 2106 seem to be mostly OT and CB, especially OT, DE, not so much. One plan could be to sign our DBs and draft DEs or anything else. 😉
We are in a position where we can do almost all of what we want and we don’t have to do anything specific. imo
I can’t remember a time when the Rams have had this much talent, draft capitol, and cap space all in combination. Maybe 1999-2001, but I think this is better, cause of our tremendous cap space. They had better talent and some draft space, but the cap was a killer. imo
October 17, 2015 at 11:37 pm in reply to: A closer look at what could be next for Rams and Saffold #32508
AgamemnonParticipantI think the two big factors are:
1 Is the post-surgery shoulder solid,
and,
2 What other free agent VET guards
would be available if they released Saffold.w
vIf they plan to spend the money on another vet guard, they might as well keep Saffold. imo
Maybe use some of Saffold’s cap space to resign Barnes? I like our young players on the Oline.
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This reply was modified 10 years, 4 months ago by
Agamemnon.
October 17, 2015 at 11:30 pm in reply to: A closer look at what could be next for Rams and Saffold #32507
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2 THINGS: You save 3 million on this year’s cap and 1 million in cap space in 2017 and 1 million in 2018. you actually save 5 million cash but it is spread out.


Spotrac show us paying out 110 million on 38 contracts. So using the cap estimate for 2016 as 155 million, we have cap space of 45 million with Saffold.
I think the odds are they don’t keep him. But it is ok if they do. imo
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AgamemnonParticipant2016 NFL Draft Prospect Preview: Laquon Treadwell
Laquon Treadwell, 6-2/210
By Charlie Campbell
Career Recap: Ole Miss put together a tremendous 2013 recruiting class with some of the top talents in the nation. One of the stars of that class was Treadwell, who was ranked as one of the top players in the nation and among the best wide receivers. Treadwell stepped onto the field and contributed immediately as a freshman. He had 48 catches for 632 yards and five scores while serving as the No. 2 receiver to Donte Moncrief.
As a sophomore, Treadwell played well even though his quarterback Bo Wallace was extremely streaky and missed some opportunities for more completions to Treadwell. He recorded 48 receptions for 632 yards and five touchdowns across nine games.
The year ended on a sour note as Treadwell suffered a gruesome season-ending injury against Auburn. Late in the game with Ole Miss down by four points, Treadwell was about to cross the goal line with a critical touchdown when he was ripped down from behind by a defender. The awkward takedown bent Treadwell’s leg backward the wrong direction and caused a broken fibula and dislocated ankle. The tackle looked like it could have caused even more damage than that. To add insult to injury, Treadwell fumbled the ball just before falling over the goal line for a touchback to the Tigers. That play ended Treadwell’s season, but he still was an All-SEC Second-Team selection.
2015 Season Outlook: The 2015 schedule will provide some excellent tests for Treadwell. After a few warmups, he will go to Alabama and take on cornerback Eddie Jackson. That will be a better test before his first game in October, when Treadwell takes on the best cornerback in the nation: Florida’s Vernon Hargreaves III. If Treadwell gets the better of Hargreaves, that could sent a jolt into the receiver’s draft stock.
Late in November, Treadwell will have back-to-back tests to close out his junior year. LSU has a good cornerback tandem in juniors Tre’Davious White and Rashard Robinson. To end the regular season in the Egg Bowl, Treadwell will see the duo of Mississippi State’s Will Redmond and Taveze Calhoun. The Bulldog corners are big, and it will be interesting to see if Williams can gain separation going against them.
Skill-Set Summary: There is a lot to like about Treadwell. He is a smooth, polished receiver who does everything well. He runs good routes, has reliable hands, has good body control along the sideline, gets separation out of his breaks and uses his size well to shield defenders from the ball.
Treadwell had a nice burst with some run-after-the-catch skills as well. He can break some tackles while using speed to fire into openings and really looks good to pick up yards after the catch. As a sophomore, Treadwell was very good at picking up yards on bubble screens. He is skilled on the back-shoulder routes that are extremely popular with NFL offensive coordinator and quarterbacks.
Treadwell also looks like a team player. There are also plays where he is a beast as a blocker, and when his quarterback runs, he wasn’t becoming a fan.
In speaking with scouts, they said that Treadwell really impressed them and their comment on him was, “he’s the real deal.” However, that is based on his play before his broken leg and dislocated ankle. It wouldn’t be surprising if Treadwell has an injury hangover into the 2015 season.
Read more at http://walterfootball.com/scoutingreport2016ltreadwell.php#1J9jAWQ1ZbEyCtqs.99
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AgamemnonParticipantGarrett Reynolds will step in for Saffold at one of the guard spots. Fisher says Darrell Williams becomes backup swing tackle.
— Nick Wagoner (@nwagoner) October 15, 2015
AgamemnonParticipanthttp://www.stltoday.com/sports/football/professional/article_1314f7db-1d56-5f9b-9aaf-2e5e97cf2d7d.html
Rams’ Saffold out for the season
1 hour ago • By Joe LyonsHeading into their bye-week break, the Rams announced a few roster moves after Thursday’s workout in Earth City.
After waiting a few days for a second opinion, guard Rodger Saffold will have season-ending surgery on his right shoulder sometime in the next few days. Saffold, who had surgery to repair a damaged labrum in his left shoulder in January, has been placed on injured reserve and is done for the 2015 season.
“Our doctors agreed with the second opinion, so he’s been placed on IR,” head coach Jeff Fisher said. “It’s the other shoulder, not the shoulder that we problematic last year, so that’s the best thing for his future.”
Saffold “was obviously very disappointed in the ballgame and then after the ballgame, a little optimistic,” Fisher continued. “But once we got both opinions together, you know, he was willing to try to play, but inevitably (the shoulder) is going to come out again. We just felt for career-wise and future-wise, it’s just best to get it fixed.”
Last year, Saffold played through the injury, playing all 16 games.
“He fought through it last year, so now we’ll get an earlier start,” Fisher said. “His return to 100 percent is estimated somewhere in February or March.”
Garrett Reynolds, a seventh-year pro with 27 career starts, will take over at right guard with rookies Andrew Donnal, Cody Wichmann and Darrell Williams in reserve.
“He played well,” Fisher said of Reynolds, who stepped in for Saffold on Sunday in Green Bay. Signed to a free agent deal in the offseason, Reynolds was a fifth-round draft pick by Atlanta in 2009. After five seasons with the Falcons, he played last year in Detroit.
To fill Saffold’s spot on the roster, the team promoted tight end Justice Cunningham from the practice squad and, as expected, re-signed running back Trey Watts to fill the vacant spot on the practice squad.
Fisher explained that fifth-year tight end Lance Kendricks tore a ligament in his finger in the season-opening overtime win over Seattle to open the season and has been playing through it.
“It needed to be repaired, so we repaired it on Monday, waiting until the bye week,” Fisher said. “Courageous effort since the Seattle game since the injury. He’ll be questionable for Cleveland, so we needed to get Justice up on the roster. Justice has earned the right and so we’ll be fine until Lance is ready to come back. And he may be back for Cleveland, we just don’t know.”
The Rams won’t practice again until Tuesday. Their next game is Sunday, Oct. 25, against the Cleveland Browns at the Edward Jones Dome.
AgamemnonParticipantThey have now. They waited for Saffold’s to go on IR and then added Cunningham from the PS and then added Watts.
W/promotion of Cunningham to active roster, Rams used his practice squad spot to add RB Trey Watts.
— Jim Thomas (@jthom1) October 15, 2015
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