Wagoner: Foles' ranking to to project Rams' win totals

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  • August 26, 2015 at 8:54 pm #29333
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    Using Nick Foles’ place amongst starting quarterbacks to project Rams’ win totals

    Nick Wagoner

    http://espn.go.com/blog/st-louis-rams/post/_/id/20715/using-nick-foles-place-amongst-starting-quarterbacks-to-project-rams-win-totals

    EARTH CITY, Mo. — Earlier this summer, ESPN NFL Insider Mike Sando posted his now annual quarterback tiers story. In it, he revealed how personnel types around the league view the starting quarterbacks for all 32 teams.

    It’s a popular and good read in and of itself. But Sando took things a step further Tuesday by diving into the numbers to see how each team’s quarterback’s spot on the tiers list correlates to projecting win totals for 2015. He used last year’s performance by the quarterbacks in their respective tiers to see how they fared against teams starting quarterbacks in other tiers. That study showed the biggest drop off from the second tier to the third.

    According to Sando’s work, St. Louis Rams quarterback Nick Foles gives the Rams a projected .428 winning percentage or 6.9 wins, which is 16th best in the NFL and falls right in line with Foles’ spot in the third tier. He also notes that if Foles bumped into the second tier, the Rams would project to a total of 9.7 wins.

    Clearly, it’s a fine line between the tiers and opinions on quarterbacks including Foles will vary. But it’s notable to use in the context of the Rams because there has been a lot of discussion about how having a healthy starting quarterback could improve the team’s chances in 2015.

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