ratings, rankings etc. week 13

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  • #78050
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    #78089
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    11 for 11: 2017 Rams by the numbers

    Alden Gonzalez

    http://www.espn.com/blog/los-angeles-rams/post/_/id/36645/11-for-11-the-2017-rams-by-the-numbers

    LOS ANGELES — The Los Angeles Rams are really good. This much is no longer debatable. They’re 8-3 with a plus-123 point differential that stands as the second-highest mark in the NFL. They’re ranked third on ESPN’s Power Rankings despite ranking 27th when the season began. Their Super Bowl odds are 14-to-1 after opening at 100-to-1. Can we just hand Sean McVay the Coach of the Year trophy already? (Do they get a trophy?)

    The Rams, who have already clinched their first non-losing season since 2006, have scored the second-most points and allowed the seventh-fewest. Defense-adjusted Value Over Average — or DVOA, a Football Outsiders metric that measures a team’s success on a given play versus what would have been expected given several factors — has them ranked sixth on offense, fifth on defense and second on special teams.

    The Rams aren’t just good; they’re well-rounded, young and, relatively speaking, healthy. They’ve already done what few would’ve ever imagined and now stand as the No. 3 seed in their conference, with a one-game lead on the Seattle Seahawks in the NFC West. Below, we identified 11 stats that help tell the story of the resurgent, mystifying 2017 Rams through their first 11 games.

    515: The number of yards Todd Gurley has racked up on rushing attempts before first contact, second-most in the NFL. Only the Buffalo Bills’ LeSean McCoy (549) has more. This is crucial, because so many other factors are at play here. It’s a product of a better offensive line, a better receiving corps, a better scheme and a better quarterback. Last year, in five more games, Gurley compiled 442 yards before first contact, ranked 20th.

    62: The number of quarterback pressures by Aaron Donald, according to Pro Football Focus. Donald leads the NFL, even though he spent the entire summer holding out and did not play in the Rams’ first regular-season game. The 62 pressures are seven more than the next interior lineman (the Cincinnati Bengals’ Geno Atkins) and four more than the next defensive player (the Los Angeles Chargers’ Joey Bosa). Donald has a team-high six sacks, but that doesn’t even begin to describe his impact on the entire defense.

    129: The number of points scored by kicker Greg Zuerlein. That’s 18 more than the second-place Stephen Gostkowski. Zuerlein is on pace for 188 points, which would break the record of 186 set by Hall of Fame running back LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006. Zuerlein has made 32 of 34 field-goal attempts, including five of six from 50 or more yards.

    8.2: Jared Goff’s yards per passing attempt. It’s the third-best mark in the NFL, behind only the Houston Texans’ Deshaun Watson (8.33 in seven games before landing on injured reserve) and the New England Patriots’ Tom Brady (8.27). Goff averaged only 5.3 yards per attempt last year. His 2.9-yard increase is on pace to be the largest year-to-year improvement since John Brodie from 1960 to 1961, according to the Elias Sports Bureau (minimum 200 attempts).

    25.0: This is the passer rating from opposing quarterbacks when targeting safety Lamarcus Joyner, according to data compiled by Pro Football Focus. That’s the second-lowest mark at his position (minimum 19 targets). Joyner excelled as a slot corner the past two years — a position he’ll still play intermittently — and has been outstanding at safety this season. Pro Football Focus gives him the ninth-highest grade for a safety in the NFL.

    29.71: Pharoh Cooper’s average yards per kickoff return, which accounts for the best rate in the NFL. One of those was returned for a touchdown. Since replacing Tavon Austin in Week 6, Cooper is also averaging 12.06 yards per punt return, ranked third. Each week, Cooper — a fourth-round pick out of South Carolina in 2016 — seems to grow a little bit more comfortable as a returner.

    9.55: Yards per play on screen passes, the second-highest mark in the NFL — trailing only McVay’s former team in Washington, which is averaging 9.95 yards on screens. If you’ve watched the Rams this year, you know that the screen game — a lot of which comes off play action — has been huge for them. Play action, in general, has been an important weapon too. The Rams are averaging 8.41 yards per play on play action, ranked 12th.

    19: Turnovers forced by the Rams’ defense, tied for fifth-most in the NFL and one more than it forced all of last season. The Rams didn’t come up with any turnovers Sunday, but they could’ve — should’ve — had at least three interceptions against New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees. Rams defensive coordinator Wade Phillips is a master at creating pressure and letting his linebackers and defensive backs make plays on the ball. The Rams have 12 interceptions, also tied for fifth.

    5.15: The number of yards allowed per punt return from the Rams’ coverage unit, the sixth-lowest mark in the NFL. A lot of the credit for that goes to Johnny Hekker, a three-time First Team All-Pro. Hekker set a record last year for punts downed inside the 20-yard line. But he attempted 98 punts that season, second-most in the NFL. This year, 27 players have attempted more punts than Hekker. And that’s as good a sign as any for the Rams’ offense.

    28.6: The percentage of times an opponent’s drive has ended in a touchdown or field goal. That’s the fifth-lowest mark in the NFL, and it’s a good measure for the overall effectiveness of a defense (though field position certainly plays a factor here, too). The Rams’ defense is allowing 1.55 points per drive, which ranks sixth. As Phillips said last week, while somewhat dismissing his unit’s struggles defending the run, “Points are the key thing.”

    11.58: Yards before first contact per reception. It’s the highest mark in the NFL. What does it tell us? That Rams receivers have a lot of room to run after the catch — which means they’re very open, which means McVay’s scheme is creating a bevy of explosive plays. The Rams had 8.72 yards before first contact per reception last year, which ranked 29th.

    #78093
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    collected & formatted by LMU93

    FootballOutsiders week 13 rankings

    http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2017/week-12-dvoa-ratings

    The NFL this year is being dominated by four specific NFC teams, one in each division. So when one of those teams beats another one, in convincing fashion, it’s going to have a major effect on the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings.

    A week ago, the Rams dropped from first to fourth after a loss to the Minnesota Vikings. This week, they’re back in first place after a win over the New Orleans Saints that was not as close as the final 26-20 score. Los Angeles gets 83.7% DVOA for this game, narrowly surpassing Week 7’s 33-0 shutout of Arizona as the Rams’ top DVOA performance of the year.

    This game comes out as one of the top five single-game performances of the year by any team. Using current opponent adjustments, the Rams have three of the top ten games, more than any other team. (The Week 1 win over Indianapolis is the third.) The top two games of the year both came back in Week 3: Jacksonville’s 44-7 dismantling of Baltimore (102.7%) and New Orleans going on the road to clobber Carolina 34-13 (94.5%). By the way, those NFC South rivals will play the rematch this Sunday, and your humble commentator will be reporting from the Superdome in person thanks to a fortuitous bit of midseason vacation planning.

    The fourth of the dominant NFC teams is Philadelphia, of course, which currently owns the league’s best record at 10-1. The Rams may be back in the top spot this week but it’s just barely over the Eagles, by one-tenth of a percentage point, and the Eagles are still No. 1 in Weighted DVOA which drops the strength of September games. The Eagles have not yet clinched a postseason berth but they only miss the playoffs in ONE of our 50,000 playoff odds simulations this week.

    The Rams will complete a run of playing the other three big NFC teams when they host the Eagles next week. Unless there’s a major change in the DVOA ratings next week, the Week 14 Eagles at Rams contest will give us a DVOA Bowl for the third straight season, a midseason matchup of No. 1 and No. 2. Last year, the Week 12 DVOA Bowl between Seattle and Philadelphia was the start of the Eagles’ late-season collapse. The year before, the Seahawks and Cardinals faced off in Week 17 but the DVOA Bowl became pointless when the Cardinals, their playoff seeding assured, sat starters at halftime.

    Los Angeles Rams
    Overall Rank: 1st
    Offense: 7th
    Defense: 5th
    Special Teams: 2nd
    (this week’s opponent, Arizona, ranked 23rd overall)

    Passing offense: 2nd
    Rushing offense: 17th

    Pass Defense: 3rd
    Run Defense: 19th

    Special Teams
    FG/XP: 1st
    Kick coverage: 15th
    Kick return: 1st
    Punt coverage: 6th
    Punt return: 26th

    Offensive Line
    Run blocking: 4th
    Pass protection: 7th

    Defensive Line
    Run defense: 16th
    Pass rush: 10th

    Player Rankings
    QB Jared Goff: 5th among 35 ranked QBs
    RB Todd Gurley: 13th among 35 ranked RBs rushing; 5th among 43 RBs receiving
    WR Robert Woods: 13th among 65 ranked WRs
    WR Cooper Kupp: 21st among 65 ranked WRs
    WR Sammy Watkins- 10th among 65 ranked WRs
    TE Tyler Higbee; 37th among 39 ranked TEs
    TE Gerald Everett: DNQ (less than 24 targets)

    #78094
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    from PFF Power Rankings – Week 13

    https://www.profootballfocus.com/news/pro-2017-pffelo-nfl-power-rankings-week-13?utm_content=buffer6600c&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=nfl

    RANK: 8
    LAST WEEK: 9

    The Los Angeles Rams rebounded nicely from a tough loss in Minnesota to beat New Orleans. While Brees struggled intermediate-to-deep, Jared Goff was fantastic in that spot, completing all three of his passes between 10-19 yards over the middle of the field, including a touchdown. To the degree that it matters, their run defense continues to struggle, allowing 123 yards on 17 carries (including a 74-yard run). Probably more importantly, Trumaine Johnson (49.0) looks to be playing his way out of the long-term money he’s clamored for the last two offseasons. Although he hasn’t allowed a touchdown yet, he’s already surrendered more yardage (582) into his coverage than he did all last season. While returns are almost entirely positive on Sean McVay and the Rams so far this season, it will be interesting to see how they do if they have to a overcome a deficit elicited by poor defense come playoff time.

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    #78097
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    #78101
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    #78106
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    #78107
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    #78108
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    #78109
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