our reactions to the Seattle game

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  • #126067
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    Imo the coaching since the Pats game has completely collapsed. These guys just aren’t ready to play maybe the pandemic taking its toll or injuries but they just don’t look sharp. How many times did Goff have to get them lined up? Drops , blown coverages missed tackles missed blocks idiotic play calls over and over. They used to be known as a well coached team now they look like a team that doesn’t practice.

    every team has to deal with the same problems though. i don’t know. it’s all been very depressing.

    having said that they have a real good chance to go 11-5…

    oh wait. goff broke the thumb on his throwing hand…

    #126068
    Herzog
    Participant

    ZN,

    You really don’t care about the turnovers? I’m shocked

    #126070
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    ZN,

    You really don’t care about the turnovers? I’m shocked

    Oh I care about them. I just think that outside of 2 games, they weren’t really as awful as some say. Meaning the numbers.

    #126071
    Avatar photoRamsMaineiac
    Keymaster

    Of course the QB is going to be scrutinized. In looking at other “playoff caliber” QBs, how does Goff compare to any of the seven QBs that have already clinched a playoff spot for their teams (Rodgers, Brees, Brady, Wilson, Mahomes, Roethlisberger, Allen)? Is he better than any of them? Would you not take every single one of these other QBs over Goff if you could? My frustration is that Goff’s agent negotiated a top 3-6 QB salary for five or so seasons, and we are getting nowhere near top 3-6 QB play. Are we even getting top half play?

    Another perspective, in looking at all the major financial bets that the Rams have made in shaping this team, across all positions, which player is playing worse in their defined role, or having a greater impact on the Rams ability to win at a high level this season?

    Top Cap Hits 2020

    1. Jared Goff – $28.8MM
    2. Aaron Donald – $25.0MM
    3. Tyler Higbee – $9.1MM
    4. Robert Woods – $8.4MM
    5. Leonard Floyd – $6.7MM
    6. Andrew Whitworth – $6.6MM
    7. Rob Havenstein – $6.2MM
    8. Jalen Ramsey – $6.2MM
    9. Johnny Hekker – $4.7MM
    10. Troy Hill – $4.4MM
    11. Austin Blythe – $4.0MM
    12. Michael Brockers – $3.8MM
    13. Cooper Kupp – $3.4MM
    14. John Johnson – $2.3MM
    15. Josh Reynolds – $2.3MM
    16. Samson Ebukam – $2.3MM

    Whitworth is injured, but other than that, who among these high rollers has been more disappointing?

    I know no one wants to hear complaints, but I have grievances…

    Grievances

    #126072
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    Of course the QB is going to be scrutinized. In looking at other “playoff caliber” QBs, how does Goff compare to any of the seven QBs that have already clinched a playoff spot

    None of them recently played a game where he was pressured on 55.8% of his passes?

    Cause (1) that’s true, and (2) no qb plays well under those conditions. Unless you can name one–I will check the numbers.

    Goff was pressured on 24 of 43 dropbacks, which is the most in any Rams game since 2017 (and I just don;t know the 2016 numbers).

    Nobody gets a 50+% pressure rate. Nobody. The team leading the league in pressures, the Steelers, avg. a pressure rate of 31.8%.

    There was the exact same discussion in 2007. That year the Rams OL fell apart at an unprecedented level. Guys signed off the street during the season were starting for replacements who got injured after replacing starters. And, there were always people who put it all entirely on the qb. One pretty vocal theory was that Bulger was playing badly because after signing his big contract in 2006, he just didn’t care any more. Responding that no qb plays well under those conditions was often called “making excuses.”

    .

    #126077
    Avatar photoRamsMaineiac
    Keymaster

    His consistency, with turning over the ball, spans two seasons not just one game. So OL, yeah I would say that’s an area of improvement, especially yesterday, but its a second place for me.

    It doesn’t explain his sliding a yard short of a first down, or the couple of times he seemed unwilling to run up a gap when nothing was available, or most of all that that god awful decision to throw the ball to Diggs. There was nowhere near enough pressure to explain his decision making on that play.

    Also, Wilson has been pressured far more over the course of the season than Goff. Yesterday, he was sacked more and hit just as many times, and yet still he put together two TD drives where Goff came away with nothing.

    • This reply was modified 3 years, 10 months ago by Avatar photoRamsMaineiac.
    #126080
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    His consistency, with turning over the ball, spans two seasons not just one game. So OL, yeah I would say that’s an area of improvement, especially yesterday, but its a second place for me.

    The OL IS the problem. And it was a problem through all of 2019. It only recently became a problem in 2020–last 2 games.

    You can throw an INT and win a game. Warner threw 3 in the 99 championship game against Tampa. What you cannot do is win a game against a MASSIVE 55.8% pressure rate. As I said the league’s leader in pressure percentage, Pittsburgh, averages just under 32%.

    The turnovers this year cluster in 2 games. Outside of that they are livable IMO though not desirable.

    What they cannot win with is an OL that gets dominated the way they did against the Jets and Seattle. Then it simply will not matter who the qb is.

    When the OL holds up, the Rams win. In the Tampa and Arizona games they could not run the ball and combined threw it 98 times–for a 78.6% completion rate. 2 wins.

    But if the recent OL regression continues, again, it will not matter who the qb is. NO qb plays well under those conditions.

    And if qb pressure did not make that much of a difference the Rams wasted money signing Donald.

    #126087
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    I think it is true that the OL has not held up well recently. I don’t know why. I mean…Noteboom and the OL did well for a couple of games after Whitworth went down, so why now? Maybe defenses are pressuring differently now, and found a weakness to exploit. I dunno.

    And…I agree Goff’s performance is affected by pressure. All QBs are affected by pressure.

    But that interception was Terrible. He was not under duress when he threw that. And it did not appear that the ball slipped and came out sideways. It looked like he threw it there deliberately, and a QB with his experience should not make a horrendous throw like that. Goff just has an inexplicable quality to him where he goes all D&D and throws the 20-sided dice and makes insanely precise throws or misses his receiver by 5 yards. He has a Beserker arm.

    I am ambivalent about Goff. I don’t think the Rams should get rid of him. He’s okay, and having lived through some genuinely terrible quarterbacks as a Rams fan, I will take Goff. I don’t think he will ever be All Pro. Nothing from yesterday changes my opinion of him. He’s a 10-15 QB still, and I think that’s where he will always be. If everything else clicks, and Akers becomes Good Gurley, than he can be 8-10. He will never be Mahomes or Rogers or Brees. He is not going to the Hall of Fame. He won’t get a State Farm commercial. And I think these questions about him will never be put to rest because days like yesterday are common for him. It contained a WTF interception, and a failure to generate a comeback. I don’t have any confidence that Goff will hit Proehl in the end zone, or connect with Bruce to win a Super Bowl while being hit. Goff just doesn’t have “It.” Whatever “It” is. People talk about “will to win” and other phrases, none of which really hold up to explication, so I will just call it “it.”

    Talk about him lacking toughness should vanish after yesterday, though. Like one of the yapping people on tv said, that was a hockey player move resetting his thumb and finishing the game.

    And I don’t know about the play-calling, either. I will remember this season as the year the Rams never went deep, and Goff threw a million passes that travelled 15 yards horizontally, and 3 yards vertically. They have abandoned throws over 15 yards vertically, and it doesn’t seem like they attack the middle of the field much. This offense is pretty pedestrian, and seems to me they miss Cooks a lot more than I thought they would.

    #126090
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    And…I agree Goff’s performance is affected by pressure. All QBs are affected by pressure.

    But that interception was Terrible. He was not under duress when he threw that.

    Two things.

    1. One of the common mistakes I see when people talk about pressure is this idea that if there is no visible pressure on a particular play, then pressure wasn’t the issue. That is not how it works though. Constant pressure erodes timing, play design, general effectiveness, and confidence. It has an effect on playcalling.It means you’re in more disadvantageous situations more often (like 3rd and long). It usually also means you’re playing from behind, which just increases the pressure issue. In the Rams case it means this–teams like Seattle know they can sit on all those short routes without fear of punishment because the qb will never have time to find a receiver who gets deeper.

    With Goff, what pressure does is get him to press–he tries to make plays when they’re not there, and usually his mechanics are off too. No qb gets the time to go “am I pressured this play or not, let’s see….” They go yikes I am running, the play’s not there, but I need to do something (which is pressing). That was the INT.

    The pressing can be cured. Run out of bounds, don’t make a blind bad throw just to make a play. Used to be this season it led to strip sacks where instead of taking the sack while pressure closed in he would hang in to make a play. Notice that stopped. Now he’s taking sacks, or when he can, bailing for those short runs (which is what led to the INT).

    2. I don’t care about one INT. Warner threw 3 INTs in the 99 championship game against Tampa. It’s not negligible and it’s obviously not desirable, but you can throw one INT–no matter how embarrassing it looks to frustrated fans–and still win.

    What you CANNOT do is win with an OL that gives up 24 pressures at a 55.8% rate, which is massive and has never happened before to the McVay Rams. And it does not matter who the qb is if you give up a pressure rate like that and it makes no difference if they did not throw an INT that game.

    The pressure issue FAR outweighs any other issue on offense. If the OL is not fixed the offense will not be right until it is fixed.

    ….

    #126092
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    I agree with that. He was pressing. And it didn’t cost the game. The failure to score from inside the 1-yard line on two tries is a more significant failure.

    It was still a Terrible throw.

    #126093
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    I agree with that. He was pressing. And it didn’t cost the game. The failure to score from inside the 1-yard line on two tries is a more significant failure.

    It was still a Terrible throw.

    Yeah it was bad. I told him personally he owes the entire huddle board chat room crew pie because of that throw. He said fine, btw.

    I hated the goal line thing though, just hated it.

    #126097
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    BTW, I haven’t seen the Reynolds play at the end of the game mentioned.

    They only showed the replay from behind the play once on TV, but it looked to me like the Seahawk touched Reynolds on the helmet strong enough for Reynolds head to bob on contact as he was headed to the ground. I don’t think Reynolds made a bonehead move. I think the ref missed that Reynolds was down. He had control of the ball as he was going down, so by rule, he was down.

    #126098
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    Also…one more thought. After the Patriots game, I would have said the Rams had pretty good odds on winning the NFC, and not bad odds on winning the Super Bowl. They would have been respectable underdogs, and with the #1 defense in the NFL, they were making me pretty hopeful. McVay appeared to have taken a step in game-planning the offense strategically against Belichick, and we were talking about the division title as theirs to lose.

    And they lost it. They looked bad in both games. The offense has looked as lethargic as the Jeff Fisher era. They’ve become complete longshots now. There is no way this team is getting past the Divisional round of the playoffs, and might not get to the playoffs at all.

    The wheels have come off, and the best we can hope for at this point is a dignified playoff performance in the Wild Card game.

    #126100
    Avatar photoRamsMaineiac
    Keymaster

    How many times was Wilson pressured yesterday?

    Comparatively:
    Wilson 32 drop backs, sacked 5 times, hit 8 times = 2TDs and QBR of 93.9.
    Goff 43 drop backs, sacked 3 times, hit 9 times = no TDs and a QBR of 61.6.

    #126103
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    How many times was Wilson pressured yesterday?

    Comparatively:
    Wilson 32 drop backs, sacked 5 times, hit 8 times = 2TDs and QBR of 93.9.
    Goff 43 drop backs, sacked 3 times, hit 9 times = no TDs and a QBR of 61.6.

    Wilson is better than Goff.

    I don’t think anybody ever disputed that. But we’ve all seen Wilson’s performance significantly compromised by the Rams’ defenses over the years. He held up yesterday, but if the Rams had score 31 points and won the game, his 20 points on the board wouldn’t have his fans bragging about him right now.

    #126104
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    How many times was Wilson pressured yesterday?

    Comparatively:
    Wilson 32 drop backs, sacked 5 times, hit 8 times = 2TDs and QBR of 93.9.
    Goff 43 drop backs, sacked 3 times, hit 9 times = no TDs and a QBR of 61.6.

    First, your pressure numbers are off. PFR puts up pressure numbers on Wednesdays–the sacks and hits numbers are incomplete till then. Second, ESPN measures Goff’s pressures at 24. I have a tweet to that effect in this thread from the Rams ESPN writer.

    Also, Wilson doesn’t matter. He is one of the rare exceptions to the line “all qbs are affected by heavy pressure.” Throughout the years when I bring up the OL and pressure issue I list Wilson and Brady as the 2 exceptions to the “heavy pressure prevails” rule (and have challenged people to name others and I never get any names).

    And even Wilson and Brady have succumbed to pressure at times–Rams have done it to Wilson a couple of games, we’ve seen it.

    ESPN’s 24 pressures number is the most for any McVay Rams team going back to the start. That means the OL is out of whack and unless the OL is fixed the qb will be compromised. Whoever it is.

    #126024
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    Defense played great.

    they played good. i wouldn’t say great. but they played good.

    offense was terrible. absolutely terrible. left at least 10 points on the board. at the very least.

    I dunno Invader. It seemed like around 1/3rd of the game we gave them the ball between the 40 and 50 yet still held them to 20 points. I think the defense played great.

    Yep. They had good starting position frequently.

    And they didn’t turn over the ball. The Rams, crucially, did turn it over on a drive that would have ended in points.

    And they stuffed the Rams twice from inside the one.

    Ball game.

    #126118
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    One of the common mistakes I see when people talk about pressure is this idea that if there is no visible pressure on a particular play, then pressure wasn’t the issue. That is not how it works though. Constant pressure erodes timing, play design, general effectiveness, and confidence. It has an effect on playcalling.It means you’re in more disadvantageous situations more often (like 3rd and long). It usually also means you’re playing from behind, which just increases the pressure issue. In the Rams case it means this–teams like Seattle know they can sit on all those short routes without fear of punishment because the qb will never have time to find a receiver who gets deeper.

    With Goff, what pressure does is get him to press–he tries to make plays when they’re not there, and usually his mechanics are off too. No qb gets the time to go “am I pressured this play or not, let’s see….” They go yikes I am running, the play’s not there, but I need to do something (which is pressing). That was the INT.

    i understand that. it was still a terrible throw. one of his worst.

    and it’s not just a does a qb get affected by pressure or not. it’s not a binary thing. you have some qbs who are pressure resistant. you have some qbs who completely fall apart under pressure. and then you have qbs who fall somewhere between those two points. i think goff is somewhere in between. where that is is debatable.

    #126120
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    and it’s not just a does a qb get affected by pressure or not. it’s not a binary thing. you have some qbs who are pressure resistant. you have some qbs who completely fall apart under pressure. and then you have qbs who fall somewhere between those two points. i think goff is somewhere in between. where that is is debatable.

    No qb is pressure resistant. We’ve seen the Rams demolish Wilson, who is one of the rare qbs who can play effectively behind a problem OL facing pressure…but (as just said) not always.

    And it’s not a matter of “falling apart.” It’s timing and play execution. Seattle sat on the Rams short routes knowing full well that they would not be punished for it because the qb would not have enough time for anyone to get past the coverage. That just means fewer plays are there.

    I’ve never seen anyone name qbs other than the “often but not always” examples of Wilson and Brady who are effective under heavy pressure. I have asked people to name examples going back to 2007 and debates about whether the Rams demolished OL was causing problems or if it was just all Bulger. Starting in 2007, I’ve been through all the “all teams have injuries” responses and the “he’s just playing scared” responses and the “he doesn’t care anymore since he signed his contract” responses and the “good quarterbacks elevate line play” responses and I always ask, give me examples, and never got any. (For the record I originally brought up Brady and Wilson myself in these discussions.)

    Because remember the issue is not “pressure.” It’s a high degree of pressure because the OL is not holding up. That means you have to factor a faltering OL into this.

    Nobody is unaffected by a situation where a faltering OL gives up 55.8% pressures. I have asked endlessly for examples.

    #126121
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    Wilson is better than Goff.

    yeah. it’s not a question of toughness or will to win here. wilson is just a better qb than goff. he’s a hall of famer. he’s one of the best in the last 10 years or so. it’s not a question of if goff is as tough as wilson. wilson’s an elite qb.

    Yep. They had good starting position frequently.

    And they didn’t turn over the ball. The Rams, crucially, did turn it over on a drive that would have ended in points.

    And they stuffed the Rams twice from inside the one.

    Ball game.

    several key plays.

    1. darious williams misses an interception i think in the first quarter. right in the bread basket. and i’m pretty sure he takes it to the house if he doesn’t take off running before securing the ball.

    2. goff throws an interception in the second quarter that most likely takes 3 points away from the rams.

    ok. right there that puts the rams up 16-6 going into the second half.

    3. rams get stuffed two times and fail to score a td from the 1 yard line. i think that was the third quarter?

    4. seahawks. wilson leads seattle on a clutch td drive to ice the game.

    that’s 24 points right there.

    #126122
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    No qb is pressure resistant. We’ve seen the Rams demolish Wilson, who is one of the rare qbs who can play effectively behind a problem OL facing pressure…but (as just said) not always.

    you’re missing the point. my point is there’s a spectrum.

    #126124
    Ozoneranger
    Participant

    My take…like last week, it was the oline folding. And it’s also lack of a burner that can stretch the field. I think we miss Cooks, despite his inconsistent play and injuries. His speed had to be accounted for by DCs. Now, it’s just a short, horizontal passing game. I don’t remember if they took a deep strike at all yesterday.

    What a turn of events in two weeks…in control of the division, then the humiliation of losing to the Jets and now the injuries.

    2020

    #126127
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    you’re missing the point. my point is there’s a spectrum.

    Okay. I’m not sure the degrees of difference between qbs are big ones though. I think there’s guys who can often (not always) handle it (Brady, Wilson) and then everyone else–with maybe nuances of difference between and among everyone else.

    But with minor differences I think we’re saying more or less the same thing, so, no board war. 😎 Of course if Ozone is right (post before mine) the scheme factors into this too. Right now the scheme looks like it’s easy for some defenses to shut down. Could be.

    #126129
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    Okay. I’m not sure the degrees of difference between qbs are big ones though. I think there’s guys who can often (not always) handle it (Brady, Wilson) and then everyone else–with maybe nuances of difference between and among everyone else.

    But with minor differences I think we’re saying more or less the same thing, so, no board war. Of course if Ozone is right (post before mine) the scheme factors into this too. Right now the scheme looks like it’s easy for some defenses to shut down. Could be.

    jourdan rodrigue wrote an article. either yesterday or today. describing how mcvay went from scrapping any kind of a vertical passing game to going almost exclusively horizontal. i wonder if defenses have figured it out and are sitting on these short routes.

    https://theathletic.com/2287161/2020/12/28/jared-goff-john-wolford-thumb/

    i don’t know if i can copy and paste the article. it’s a paysite.

    • This reply was modified 3 years, 10 months ago by Avatar photoInvaderRam.
    #126133
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    i don’t know if i can copy and paste the article. it’s a paysite.

    I already posted it. It’s here: http://theramshuddle.com/topic/the-press-others-on-the-seattle-loss/#post-126069

    #126140
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    max

    YOU RARELY WIN GIVING UP 15 PRESSURES

    according to PFF Rams OL gave up 15 pressures, Noteboom had 5, Blythe 3. I think the 2 boneheaded plays by Goff masked how poorly the OL has played. You rarely win with 15 pressures.

    I also think McVay is covering for how poorly the OL has played the last 2 weeks and as a result he is taking the heat himself.

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