Forum Replies Created
-
AuthorPosts
-
MackeyserModeratorNO.
Maybe the easiest question I’ve ever answered.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorSo… my son who works at a grocery store stayed home today.
Mild fever and sore throat. He’s isolating and we’re hoping it’s any number of other things. He feels fine.
We’re a very huggy family, so it’s very hard not to hug someone in the family. Isolating folks for us is very hard.
Seems the worry will continue.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorMellow Greatings and Salutations, Billy. I may be the worst of the bunch insofar as I disappear for months or even years at a time, sadly. I’m very much an “in the moment, what’s in front of me” type which can lead to unfortunate lack of connections with family and friends.
It shouldn’t be unsaid that we and by extension I wish you well. (I turned the phrase around on purpose) We do.
Very sorry you’re going through all of this.
Lastly, there’s absolutely NOTHING wrong and everything right for seeking connection as a human being. We are herd animals and all puns aside, we want to know that we’re still in the herd. Rest assured, you are.
Be well, BillyT, and have a Joy Joy day! (Sorry, on another Demolition Man kick…)
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorThe idea of having Aaron Donald, A’Shawn Robinson and Michael Brockers on the same DL gives me chills.
I think it would be highly unlikely, but I think getting Brockers back would be more important than having Floyd as it’s unlikely that we can afford both.
Yeah, I know we can refinance Goff, but that makes next year much harder.
The pisser about drafting well is that it’s hard to pay everyone.
I dunno. It’s all chaos. I don’t see any patterns right now, so I have no idea what we’re gonna look like on opening day.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorOkay, that last one has me laughing at my keyboard.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorDamn you guys!!!
I thought “I’ll watch the first episode and then decide if I want to put it in my queue.”
I finally had to tap out because I had to sleep…Great, now I’m on the hook to another amazing show…
Btw, Thomas Jane is just grand in this and the special effects are pretty good and certainly not so bad as to offend which is really nice.
-
This reply was modified 4 years, 8 months ago by
Mackeyser.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorThose Wuhan numbers come with a caveat: right as the curve was set to spike, the Chinese did massive interventions, not just instituting a rigid quarantine, but also literally removing symptomatic people from their homes.
Such radical measures, limited both continued spread and mortality
Had the Chinese been handling this like the US is, we’d already be seeing deaths in the 100k-1M range and growing rapidly.
Thus, while the R naught value and the fatality rates are important to know, when that’s a function of number of infected, the scale gets out of hand really quickly.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorShe’s legit. When she did her bit on the SIX PAGE questionnaire for SNAP, it was amazing.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorI totally disagree and I haven’t even seen the video.
EDIT: Saw the video. Corona virus Czar??? Not remotely enough. Without systemic changes, that’s just signing up to be frustrated.
Bernie needs to stay in for ONE reason: If Bernie drops out, then the DNC could just have Biden give his delegates to anyone else and no one could say anything since technically no one would be running.
Bernie staying in prevents the DNC from simply appointing their candidate of choice.
-
This reply was modified 4 years, 8 months ago by Mackeyser.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorWell, I’m a Service Connected Disabled Vet, 51, married 30 years with 4 adult kids (27, 25, 21, 19). One child passed.
All of our parents are alive, Dad 79, Step Dad 77, his wife 77, my mom, 69, her mom 79, her dad (I dunno, he disowned her for marrying someone part black)
Dad has hypertension and diabetes, but everyone else is relatively healthy. Wife’s mom had open heart surgery a few years ago and has been pretty frail since.
I am in that highest risk category as I’ve got asthma, compromised immune system from Crohn’s (in remission) and two near fatal bouts of pneumonia. With the pollen here being ridiculous, I keep having symptoms that mimic the early signs and then they dissipate. I’m mostly isolated anyway (daily migraines will do that), but my eldest son works in a grocery store and I worry for both him and me.
Mostly I spend my time gaming and being online and watch movies when I’m not up to being on the computer.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorhello all.
i’m a dentist. i work for the government. so my job is pretty safe. my wife and i don’t have to worry too much. we’re relatively young i think. i’m 45. my wife is 39. no kids. just one dog. we’ll be ok most likely.
oddly enough our lives have not really changed. we rarely go out. and so there hasn’t been much of an adjustment to make. although it’s made me wonder if there was something wrong before. perhaps when this is over, we’ll try and make more of an effort to connect with the outside world!
we do worry about our parents who are all still alive. i especially worry for my father and my father in law both of whom have diabetes. which puts them at a higher risk of developing complications. and we live in la. not densely populated like new york and san francisco. but still. that doesn’t it make it any easier for them. we pretty much just stay away from them for the time being.
I’ll post mine in a bit, but I gotta share this. I had this premonition not long after Earthworm Jim, the video game came out. Well, the game came out in ’94, but I dunno when I played it. Might not have been until sometime between 95-2000. Very funny game about an earthworm superhero saving the world or something. Super funny lines. Anyway, I had this premonition that I shared with the wife of this image in the artwork style kinda similar to that (I had no other frame of reference) and text message saying “I’m a dentist. I work for the government…” which I thought was very strange. It was followed with this image of long lines of “shadow people’ all marching in these long lines off into the distance. Was kinda off-putting to be honest and I’ve only thought about it a few times.
UNTIL TODAY!!! As soon as I read InvaderRam’s post, it all hit me like a truck. Like, I saw that text 20 years ago AND told my wife about it. I’m not sure how I feel about all this right now. Like, most of my premonitions I guess could be dismisses as deja vu where it’s simply a malfunction of how the brain observes something and it gets routed through memory instead and makes you believe you’re remembering but you’re not. But this one… We had a conversation about it and everything. I’m gonna do some deep breathing rn…
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
March 15, 2020 at 1:51 am in reply to: notes from expert panel on the virus & other expert views #112322MackeyserModeratorInvader, it is important when comparing numbers to study not just the pathology, but the external factors.
China was initially in denial and engaged in half measures. By the time they really understood, they had to brutally lockdown 60M people and were literally spraying the streets down every night with tanker trucks and literally rounding up symptomatic people (ignoring for now the speculation about what happened to those people, the rumors are pretty out there and may be true, we just don’t know).
But think about this… China, for the first time, shared actual data in real time. The infectious disease community was first surprised and then very, very concerned.
South Korea was VERY proactive, started MASSIVE testing and that has lead to significantly better results.
Italy was at first very lax and ran into the same issues as China, had to quarantine a whole section of the country and they have ERs where they are literally performing battle field triage. In this case, old people who present are simply not treated and allowed to die. These reports have been confirmed by multiple accounts. When ERs get overrun, it’s all they can do.
Iran has such a high rate because they cannot even get masks due to the economic sanctions.
So, where are we? We’ve performed by far the least testing per capita among major countries and among industrialized nations in the entire world. We have 50+ depts of health for states and territories, all governed in part by political appointees, so the reactions have ranged as you would expect. However, there are NO places where one can just go to get tested even if you have confirmed symptoms and can trace the infection to a direct cause (travel abroad) or contact with that person. If anything, testing has almost ground to a halt based on the CDC’s numbers.
Moreover, unlike everywhere else in the world except maybe the UK, a large number of young people are gathering I guess to spite the situation. The problem is that the numbers from South Korea show that 30% of those mass tested were in that 18-29 age bracket. The reason Italy’s numbers skew so much older is that they ONLY test those who are already symptomatic suggesting that young people may be able to spread this prior to them becoming noticeably symptomatic.
This is yet another vector for community spread which could make this so much worse.
Listen, I’m in that highest bracket as I’ve got a compromised immune system (Crohn’s in remission), I have asthma AND I’ve had multiple bouts of pneumonia including two that were nearly fatal, one of which it was divine providence that it didn’t as I should have been dead by rights.
I would really love if this was all hype and media bullshit, but the science doesn’t bear that out.
even best case scenario of 40% spread and 0.7% morbidity rate, that’s 329M x .4 x 0.007 = 921k
Think about that. The BEST case scenario which ignores how badly we’re fucking this up mean nearly a MILLION dead.
That’s nearly as many soldiers that have died in every US war…EVER. All within a period of a few months. And if it mutates like the Spanish Flu did (there is already an S and L variant…the S being the ancestor and the L being a newer, more damaging strain), then we’re looking at multiple rounds of this.
I still think that most people just can’t wrap their heads around this, but once they do… it seems we need to see hospitals overwhelmed to believe how bad it is gonna be.
I mean think about it. China basically shut down their manufacturing exports for MONTHS for this. Think how serious it would need to be for them to do that…
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorI couldn’t get through all of that… fucking Bill Maher…
As someone who’s VERY loud on twitter pushing the #NeverBiden and #BernieOrBust, I make it clear to every shitlib who makes the mistake of coming at me what’s up.
And it’s all your guys’ fault asking me if my principles matched my politics all those years ago…
Now I’m nearly a leftist… LOL
but for real, tho… I won’t vote for any Dem again. Period. Not even AOC if she runs in 2024.
That party needs to die in a fucking fire and the ONLY way that happens is if we stop acquiescing to this “lesser of two evils” nonsense… which it is because as we all know, it’s more accurate to say “the different of two evils”.
If anything, Trump’s incompetence has led him to do LESS harmful shit than Obama did… no new wars and very few legislative achievements unlike Clinton who woulda worked with McConnell to give the Republicans not only everything they wanted, but cover because it happened under a Dem President.
Nah, progressives and the left need a third party that actually represents what we want. Every time we vote for ANY Dem, we sabotage our own efforts and I won’t do it anymore.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorAnger is the only rational response… even in an 80s prom dress…
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
March 13, 2020 at 8:35 pm in reply to: notes from expert panel on the virus & other expert views #112240MackeyserModeratorTesting is crucial. It’s why South Korea is testing so much.
It tells medical professionals how many are actually infected. That lets planners know how based on symptom progression what the future demand will be on the system and gives real data about the infection progression.
It also can give data which could indicate viral mutation or hopefully, the end of the virus’ infection period.
As for the testing capacity, 1k per day is through the CDC which doesn’t allow automated testing.
if they allow automated testing and outsourcing to approved labs, that could easily increase 10 fold or more.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorTDMS research is just a guy who’s aggregating exit polls, mostly by Edison Research a respected polling company,but all the exit polls are either from Edison or the media companies, themselves.
They are legit, they match the anecdotal evidence.
It’s not conspiratorial any more than surveillance video of a robbery is conspiratorial.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorPeople are pissed now. And I think you absolutely WILL see a decrease in Leftist turnout for Biden this time….
….
….This is because the DNC would rather lose to Trump than win with Sanders. THEY are to blame for this. The media will blame the Left. And THIS time they will at least most likely have evidence that supports that. And when the DNC actually BELIEVES that the Left cost them the election, maybe THEN it will start to do something about it.==================
Well, ok, but we (leftists) have been down this road over and over and over. None of this is new, as you know.
So, what…exactly…should…leftist VOTERS do with their VOTES. (I am not asking about what they should be doing with the other 364 days of the year…)
I am basically asking, why shouldnt all the leftists get together and say “fuck the democrats” lets vote for the Green Party. And keep voting Green UNTIL the Dems give us SOMETHING. Some crumbs. Some Policies. SOMETHING.
I know it would mean Reps would be elected. I get that. But it would also mean, eventually the Dems would HAVE to come to the table with SOMETHING.
Unlike now.The argument I always here is (as you know) Trump is just TOO Awful to consider, blah blah blah.
Problem with that is i heard the same thing about Bush. Its always the same argument.
How long do leftists play a LOSING game? Same Old Sorry ASS Lesser-Evil Game.
I think its worth playing — ONLY IF — the left actually gets SOMETHING> Thats how coalitions work in Europe.
w
vForming an actual progressive if not fully left third party. Not sure if it should be the Progressive Party, the People’s Party or something else. It’s worth the effort because the Dems will NEVER give an inch to the left or even move back just to the center. They’re a center right corporate neolib neocon party and as long as they have corporate backers so that they don’t have to answer to the people, they won’t.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorI do believe Sanders would beat Trump and all the polls back it.
For a thousand reasons, I don’t think Biden has ANY chance of beating Trump.
My only response to that is in the last primaries, including Super Tuesday, and most recently, last week, including the state that gave Trump the Presidency-Michigan-the voters overwhelmingly disagreed with you and apparently the polls you referenced. Why?
Operation Chaos
These are the votes in Michigan based on votes for a party, not party affiliation
2016
Dems 1.3M
Reps 1.2M2020
Dems 2.3M
Reps 680KThis is why Biden won every county in Michigan. It’s also why Biden roflstomped in South Carolina.
Reps KNOW how weak Biden is, they KNOW about the #NeverBiden movement and are capitalizing on it.
And it’s working in open primary states. This is the first time this kind of open sabotage has been engaged in massively and it’s been successful. Both dems and reps have mentioned it, but there’s no forensic or exit polling proof before these primaries that it every affected the outcomes.
It’s absolutely not an indication that Dems overwhelmingly are picking Biden. The data doesn’t support such a conclusion.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorWorst possible president at potentially the worst possible time.
Merkel recently told Germans that 70% of their country could catch the virus. Its lethality rate hasn’t been determined yet, but the usual estimates are somewhere between 1-4% of those who contract it. If just a quarter of Americans catch it, we could be looking at well over a million fatalities here.
Trump has lied about all of this from Day One, seeing it as a crisis for himself, his reelection, Wall Street and Corporate America, not as a public health crisis. He isn’t even trying to hide this, except in his scripted speeches, and even in those, he keeps lying about the science.
At this point, I almost don’t care who the Dem nominee is. They could run a ham sandwich and the nation would be better off, if the ham sandwich beats Trump. We won’t be proactively better off, of course. It’s a matter of “less damage.” But I prefer that to more damage.
Regardless, this is really one of those proverbial “chickens coming home to roost” moments. The deadly combo of capitalism and right-wing ideology, weaponized by both major parties, has left us largely without the tools we need to cope with this. Centuries of gaslighting about its supposed wonders, while it’s worked to destroy our capacity to act collectively to solve the crises it (capitalism and wingnuttery) creates.
We’re hollowed out. We’re gutted. Our Commons is in tatters. But our ethos remains “I got mine, go fuck yourself!!”
At a moment when we need to do a 180° on that ethos, etc. etc.
Italy 2.6%
China 3.5%
Iran 10.6%USA is currently at 2.7% We’ve only conducted 7000 tests TOTAL in the entire US thus far.
We have ZERO handle on this, Drs are SCREAMING about symptomatic patients not being able to get tested and NO ONE knowing what to do if they clearly have COVID.
It is entirely possible using the 70% threshold and just Iran’s numbers (ours could be substantially worse considering the federal and state responses), we’re looking at potentially 24.4M DEAD.
In order for us to remain at 2.7%, we’d need to RADICALLY shift the entire healthcare system to addressing this as they did in Italy and China.
But we won’t. Which is why so many are gonna die.
If you look at what this looks like for countries that are ahead of us in this by a few weeks, it’s literally the stuff of nightmares.
That’s it. Nightmares.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
March 13, 2020 at 11:34 am in reply to: notes from expert panel on the virus & other expert views #112220MackeyserModeratorhttps://www.livescience.com/how-long-coronavirus-last-surfaces.html
A new analysis found that the virus can remain viable in the air for up to 3 hours, on copper for up to 4 hours, on cardboard up to 24 hours and on plastic and stainless steel up to 2 to 3 days.
ON the mortality rate:
I think that mortality rate is really low. The mortality rate of flu is .1% which would put 10x mortality rate at 1%.
As of Feb 27th. US had barely started reporting cases. Latest US 2.7% with massive underreporting of COVID19 cases
China 3.5%
Italy 2.6%
Iran (due to sanctions) 10.6%
Hong Kong 2.1%And considering that where this got out of hand early, in Italy, China and Iran, the mortality rate was respectively 2.6%, 3.5% and 10.6%.
Napkin math. If 70% contract this with a 10.6% mortality rate, the US could see:
329M x .70 x .106 = 24.4M dead…in the US alone.
Thus, the idea that people are scared of 1M deaths grossly underestimates what can happen as we see hospitals doing wartime triage and deciding who lives and dies as they present at overwhelmed ERs and other healthcare/quarantine facilities.
On Wednesday, Mar 11th, in the entire US according to the CDC, 8 COVID-19 tests were done. EIGHT!!!
Overall, we’ve done 7k. TOTAL. South Korea is doing 10k PER DAY.
Thus based on the lack of testing, the lack of coordination with state Depts of Health and Hospital systems I honestly think we’re looking at numbers AT LEAST as bad as China, but more likely Iran… 10.6%
Also, this virus wouldn’t have been handled much better under Obama. During Swine Flu, as I became unfortunately PERSONALLY aware, there was inadequate testing and community spread was rampant. I tested positive for Swine Flu at the VA when the state of Florida had just announced SIX confirmed cases. Moreover, I never heard of my family counted and no cases were reported for my county for weeks.
So while Trump is a disaster on this, Obama/Biden wasn’t much better on a less serious flu variant.
Thus, with less beds per capita, areas of the country with ZERO beds per capita and the complete lack of testing (there are thousands on Twitter alone that have been told they meet ALL of the criteria for COVID testing and they’ve been sent home to self isolate. Thus, the lack of positive tests is more a function of lack of tests than lack of infection.
Folks, I dunno how to overstate this beyond just running down the street screaming, “we’re all gonna die”.
The science is clear and our fractured healthcare system is guaranteed to make this problem so much worse than it is.
Also, to add to this morbid topic… we don’t have the facility to deal with the bodies, even if it is only 1M within a few months.
Oh, sorry… good morning, everyone!
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorWe’re about the same! On the chart. If not exactly the same.
Interesting evolution, Mack.
Yet I also have this feeling that your core principles are the same. Do you think that’s accurate? They’re moral, and grounded. WV has talked about how he used to identify with the thoughtful and philosophical right of the old generation stellar conservatives.
Yeah, I’ve bounced this off the wife and she doesn’t see that I’ve altered my moral compass so much as put my political compass in line with my moral compass.
It’s likely I’ve changed some over the years in that I would have had trouble answering many of these questions as a young man and the only difficulty I have now are with the framing of some questions, so maybe in my certitude?
I dunno. But yeah, it’s interesting.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorA) Called it. July 19th, though I think I had other posts even before
Oh, before he goes to trial, if the powers that be think he's going to name names, his ass is gonna be deader than dead.
It'll be something like "Jeffrey Epstein committed suicide in jail awaiting trial today. According to DoC sources, he stabbed himself in the back 21 times.
— Sasapelehele 🌹 (@Mackeyser) July 20, 2019
B) Epstein was taken off suicide watch. After first “apparent suicide attempt” there was no rationale given.
C) Apparently, the cameras in the unit were “broken”. So no video.
D) People who’ve been in that Federal jail awaiting trial have posted that there are no bars or other ways to commit suicide like that. So, how he successfully committed “suicide” is raising a LOT of questions.
E) Based on an anonymous reddit post by someone claiming to have worked in the jail at the time, a military vehicle entered the receiving area, Epstein was moved into a single person cell and then was removed. None of this was allowed to be logged.
So, either Epstein was killed to protect his rich and powerful pedophile friends OR… he was spirited out by Trump… to protect his rich and powerful pedophile friends.
I don’t know or really care which.
I DO very much care that the victims get justice beyond a sealed and NDA protected confidential settlement with no admission of wrongdoing.
I DO very much care that the perpetrators ALL are held criminally liable.
I DO very much care that we need to aggressively dismantle this system which protects rich pedophiles 1000x times better than children at school.
That’s all I could put together. That much grossness wore me out today and I just wanna play WoW and watch the Rams…
-
This reply was modified 5 years, 3 months ago by Mackeyser.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorTulsi voted for the NDAA because she included the Stop Arming Terrorists Act as an amendment and she wanted to see that become law.
So now, the US by law can’t sell arms to Al Queda in a proxy war to dethrone Assad.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorSaw that clip of Homan.
Most of the asylees are separated at legal points of entry.
fucking fascists…
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorWasn’t sure where to put this.
Redid my political compass and I keep moving left, it appears.
Here’s my latest:
https://www.politicalcompass.org/yourpoliticalcompass?ec=-9.25&soc=-7.44
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorThere is a whole truck of unpacking with the statement I’m about to make, but I’mma make it anyway:
Mark Blythe is my economic spirit animal…
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorI dunno, I think we do, just that there’s so much programming out there that it’s hard to wade through it all.
Ray Donovan is the shit. Like, I’m almost caught up and it’s just amazing.
GoT was amazing until the end of season 6. Like maybe the best, ever. Now, it’s dead to me and those assholes who ruined it deserve a bad case of jock itch for the rest of their lives. Worse, they’re going to ruin the next Star Wars trilogy. Fuck those guys.
Kidding is supposed to be amazing…with Jim Carrey, but it’s a bit sad for me which is saying something because I tend to gravitate towards that stuff.
OZ was fucking AMAZING and makes my top 10 of all time.
One can always rewatch the Sopranos. It still holds up super well.
Boardwalk Empire was dope.
I’ve really enjoyed Silicon Valley, but I worked in both the IT and dot.com space in the late 90s, so much of the inside humor is real for me.
The first season of True Detective was supposedly a tour d’force. I believe it and I’m saving that nugget as a treat. Each season they have new detectives.
Westworld was way better than I imagined, but it’s coming so slow that it’s hard to maintain enthusiasm. Still, the first two seasons that are out are damned stunning.
There are also a few on Showtime I didn’t mention as well as Amazon Prime.
It’s a lot to wade through, but there’s some really, really good stuff out there.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
July 2, 2019 at 10:34 pm in reply to: the circular firing squad: Sanders v. Warren supporters #102589MackeyserModeratorHey, WV, check your email inbox.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorIt’s @mackeyser
go figure. I wanted to try something different
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
MackeyserModeratorSaw that on Twitter (where I dwell sometimes) and that guy is a massive asshole.
Glad she didn’t back down.
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
-
This reply was modified 4 years, 8 months ago by
-
AuthorPosts
