Trump may very well win

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  • #120126
    waterfield
    Participant

    I just came back from a car vacation through the heartland of the good old USA. Tragically, there were very, very few people who were going to vote for Biden. Rather than arguing on behalf of Trump’s policies or lack of, they were for the most disgusted with the Democrats-across the board. Indeed there was as much hate for the Democrats-centrists like Biden- as seen on this board-but for totally different reasons. “Ok Trump’s a crook but we need a crook or someone strong like him to get rid of those stupid liberals. ” “It’s about time America kicked some ass. Biden won’t Trump will”. “The economy is doing great. The banks are giving away money”. (on this I agree) “Who cares about Ukraine, Russia, Europe. My worry is China and Trump has shown he has the balls to go after China”. Tump looks and sounds tough while Biden looks soft”. ” People are responsible for themselves and their decisions- I don’t want the Demos giving away my dough to others who fucked up”. “Liberals want to take care of everybody with my money”. “Biden is a socialist”. “If the democrats had someone as tough as Trump I might vote for him”. (IMO Hillary was tougher than Trump by a wide margin-but she was a woman) “Trump says it the way it is w/o fancy words”. ” This BLM bullshit is nothing but a bunch of communists”. One young man had the gall to say “look how Hitler improved the German economy”. An evangelic woman said to me: “I don’t care what you say about Trump and his morality-he had the divine right given to him by the creator to appoint judges who believe in life and not abortion”. “Liberals want to tear down our country with their political correctness-tearing down statues, renaming our football teams, right or wrong this is part of our country”. “Trump talks to me like a neighbor-not like some fancy highfaluten professor”. “Blacks came from Africa-enough said” (I swear I heard a rather intelligent woman tell me this) “Global warming? Hah I’ll be dead”. “I want a street fighter like Trump not a wimp like Biden”. ” Have you heard the woman AOC ? She will destroy this country and Biden is even worse”. Another Evangelist (man) told me our country was founded by the Lord and we are divine and must do what needs to be done to rectify this world”. “Liberal is another word for communist shit”.

    Blah blah blah.

    Right now close to half the people in this country express these beliefs. Maybe more if they were honest. I don’t care what the polls show now. I have an “acquaintance” in Newport Beach-a wealthy woman who graduated from an Ivy school with a masters degree in economics say to me (messenger) on face book immediately after the Republican convention ended: “I just watched the most beautiful political convention I have ever seen.”

    God help us.

    #120132
    TSRF
    Participant

    Ugg. On a brighter note, most of my redneck in-laws who voted for Trump last time say they aren’t going to vote at all this time.

    So there is that.

    #120133
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    Yeah, thats rightwing-citizenry, Certainly in most of West Virginia, anyway.

    65 days until the election.

    w
    v

    #120135
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    Trump has far, far less support than people think.

    First off, most of his support comes via the Republican Party. As in, folks who follow the Red Team wherever it goes. Any Republican president would have, at this moment in time, at least as much support as Trump, and likely more if he or she weren’t such an obvious Nazi asshole (I suspect most Red Teamers would prefer quieter, less conspicuous Nazi assholes).

    Remember that Bush had the same kind of diehard support right up until the end of his eight years. For the GOP faithful of that time, if you weren’t for him, you were against Amerika!! If you so much as said you were ashamed of being from the same state, your entire career was ruined and you got death threats (The Dixie Chicks).

    Trump benefits a great deal from mass amnesia, which he provokes through endless gaslighting. His entire life he’s been “faking it until he makes it.” If he truly were so popular, why did he receive just 26% of the electorate’s vote last time, losing to perhaps the worst, most unpopular candidate the Dems have ever run? Why are his disapproval numbers consistently in the high 50s to low 60s? The way some talk about him, one would think those numbers would be at least below 50%.

    Again, his support is very, very thin, and primarily cuz Red Teamers vote Red Team. Oh, and there are more Blue Teamers than Red Teamers in America. It’s a matter of voter turnout/voter suppression.

    _____

    I guarantee this: When Trump loses, it will take less than two years total for people to go full-on Peter and thrice deny him. Red Teamers will act all, “I never liked him. I was always against his racism, blah blah blah.”

    #120144
    Avatar photonittany ram
    Moderator

    Yeah, rural voters still like Trump.

    I was in northern NH a couple weeks ago. Way north – just a couple miles from the Canadian border. Every third house or so had a Trump sign in the front yard. While driving through this area it was depressing seeing all the love for Trump, but then I would remind myself that all the support I’m seeing all over this vast area only represents about a thousand votes.

    Rural love aside, Trump doesn’t have enough support to win this election. He can’t really win it, but the Anti-Trumpers could lose it if they don’t get out and vote or if too many obstacles are put in place to keep them from voting.

    #120290
    Avatar photojoemad
    Participant

    I hope you’re right Nittany…. but support for Trump seems to on the rise here in California. Sure he’ll still lose big here, but a lot of people are displaying support for IQ45…

    #120293
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    IMO,

    It boils down to this. Trump and his handlers have mastered the Art of Bullshit. And it helps them greatly that Trump has absolutely no shame, no morals, no ethics, and no principles, so he’s fine with lying, conning and bullshitting all day long. He’s fine with just making shit up and sticking with the shit he’s made up, relentlessly. He basically can outlast and exhaust Americans and the system via his relentlessness, and the GOP sees this and protects him, with rare deviations.

    His handlers have the perfect (empty) vessel for this. A true sociopath, Trump will say and do anything to push his alternative universe, to get what he wants, and he virtually never backs down. It’s beyond obvious that he doesn’t care how many people die in the process.

    All too many Americans react positively to unified leadership that does not waver in the face of criticism, reality, evidence. A plurality of Americans seem to actually admire this in a demagogue. The projection of confidence either fools them entirely or makes them feel they can live vicariously through that projection. They join Team Bullshit, knowingly, unknowingly, etc.

    But this spell isn’t permanent. Dubya, for instance, while not in the same class of sociopath as Trump, bullshitted his way into war, and held the vast majority of Republicans spellbound for nearly eight years. Then they turned on him, finally.

    This will happen to Trump, too, if he loses in November. We’ll see his “base” shrink from roughly 40% to single digits over time, and countless numbers of righties will become Peters and thrice deny him.

    But if he wins . . . it’s truly Katy bar the door, and American Fascism, mainstreamed.

    #120302
    waterfield
    Participant

    I hope you’re right Nittany…. but support for Trump seems to on the rise here in California. Sure he’ll still lose big here, but a lot of people are displaying support for IQ45…

    Yes. I live in Orange County and there’s at least three or four factions that make up his support. 1) The very wealth who own businesses and while knowing he’s a liar, immoral, and generally a snake oil salesmen, believe he is the only candidate “tough” enough to bring the economy back for their businesses. 2) the Evangelic Christians who won’t dispute his immorality but excuse it on the belief that “everyone does it” and he will put pro-life judges on the bench and eventually overturn Roe v Wade; 3) the ignorant. Those who are simply stupid and will simply vote for the person with the most displayed flags-especially those behind big trucks with huge tires driven by burly camouflaged young adults with baseball caps and scraggly beards. 4) the outright racists. That is a formidable group to defeat.

    For whatever reason we’ve lost the value of being intellectual which is now looked down upon. When did it become cool to be anti-intellectual? The sociological question is WHY ? Corporations ? Television ? Sports ? Talk radio ? Cable tv ? Computers? social media?

    • This reply was modified 4 years, 2 months ago by waterfield.
    • This reply was modified 4 years, 2 months ago by waterfield.
    #120313
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    It is demoralizing that this election is even close.

    His covid response alone ought to sink him.

    But the right wing media has convinced around 30% of Americans that the Democrats are a menace to freedom, and will steal what they have, and give it away to freeloaders while letting our enemies rape our wives and daughters.

    Beyond that, Trump has another ~12% support from the other groups W identified…bottomline businessmen, and so on.

    He could win.

    IMO, it’s too late for the planet anyway. We crossed the Rubicon on climate change two decades ago, and we’re screwed. It would be nice to have quality palliative care on the way out, but it’s probably too late for that now, too. If Trump wins, we get a Fascist American Experience on the way out the cosmic door. The only bright side I see is that the conservative crowd is dying off with increasing rapidity while the millennials and Gen Z are facing the reality of climate catastrophe and rigged economies in a more clear-eyed fashion. It’s too little, too late, but the sea currents are on the side of progressives. Should be a spectacular finish. I guess I hope I get to watch it from a bungalow in Borneo rather than a waterboard in Guantanamo.

    #120316
    waterfield
    Participant

    It is demoralizing that this election is even close.

    His covid response alone ought to sink him.

    But the right wing media has convinced around 30% of Americans that the Democrats are a menace to freedom, and will steal what they have, and give it away to freeloaders while letting our enemies rape our wives and daughters.

    Beyond that, Trump has another ~12% support from the other groups W identified…bottomline businessmen, and so on.

    He could win.

    IMO, it’s too late for the planet anyway. We crossed the Rubicon on climate change two decades ago, and we’re screwed. It would be nice to have quality palliative care on the way out, but it’s probably too late for that now, too. If Trump wins, we get a Fascist American Experience on the way out the cosmic door. The only bright side I see is that the conservative crowd is dying off with increasing rapidity while the millennials and Gen Z are facing the reality of climate catastrophe and rigged economies in a more clear-eyed fashion. It’s too little, too late, but the sea currents are on the side of progressives. Should be a spectacular finish. I guess I hope I get to watch it from a bungalow in Borneo rather than a waterboard in Guantanamo.

    I love that whole post. Well maybe not love it. Quite depressing actually. I guess I just agree with it. But for my own sleep, I would like an answer to my questions-why?

    #120347
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    But for my own sleep, I would like an answer to my questions-why?

    Beats me, W.

    Treating other human beings with basic decency does not seem to be that tall of an order to me.

    But people who love power and wealth more than anything else are evidently willing to invest money in distorting the thought processes of their neighbors, whom they apparently regard as widgets, rather than humans.

    #120352
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    It is demoralizing that this election is even close.

    His covid response alone ought to sink him.

    But the right wing media has convinced around 30% of Americans that the Democrats are a menace to freedom, and will steal what they have, and give it away to freeloaders while letting our enemies rape our wives and daughters.

    Beyond that, Trump has another ~12% support from the other groups W identified…bottomline businessmen, and so on.

    He could win.

    IMO, it’s too late for the planet anyway. We crossed the Rubicon on climate change two decades ago, and we’re screwed. It would be nice to have quality palliative care on the way out, but it’s probably too late for that now, too. If Trump wins, we get a Fascist American Experience on the way out the cosmic door. The only bright side I see is that the conservative crowd is dying off with increasing rapidity while the millennials and Gen Z are facing the reality of climate catastrophe and rigged economies in a more clear-eyed fashion. It’s too little, too late, but the sea currents are on the side of progressives. Should be a spectacular finish. I guess I hope I get to watch it from a bungalow in Borneo rather than a waterboard in Guantanamo.

    Like W, I agree with that. But, yeah, it’s damned depressing.

    And Trump keeps throwing more bombs, daily, if not hourly. His latest may just have won him the election.

    He actually told his followers (yesterday) to vote twice, and Bill Barr supported him on this (CNN interview). Vote once by mail, and then again in person — he told them. And given the way his followers seem to view most Dems as god-hating anarchists, if not pedophile cannibals, a goodly percentage may take him up on his (felonious) suggestion.

    All of his talk of “rigged elections” helps them rationalize this even more, and Trump has basically asked Russia, in public, to swamp the Postal Service with fake votes.

    Which leads me to this: Our MSM and all too many Dems are guilty of political malpractice on a host of issues, but this one is huge. Every time Trump throws one of these bombs, they seem to think the best way to counter it is by “fact-checking” his assertions, instead of actually calling them out for what they are:

    A confession. A projection. An admission. A call to his supporters. The media and the Dems have to stop saying stuff like, “There is no evidence that the elections have been rigged in the past, and voting by mail is just fine. There is virtually zero voter fraud.”

    They’re missing the point here. Trump is actually telling us all he’s rigging the election, now, as we speak. The history of our elections is irrelevant. That was then, this is now. He’s rigging it from every power lever at his disposal, and he holds god-awful power in his hands.

    #120386
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    Spent the week in a cabin near Ohiopyle Pennsylvania. Rural western Pennsylvania. Looks a lot like WV. Mountains, Pickup Trucks, curvy-roads, hunters, fishermen, pies, pitch-forks.

    Saw five-gazillion Trump signs.

    Not one single solitary Biden sign. I looked for em. It became a game. Find Biden Sign.

    I’m not making too much of it, though. I’m sure there’s plenty of western pa folks who will vote for Biden. But they aint excited about him, apparently. Not excited enuff to put up a sign.

    w
    v

    #120390
    waterfield
    Participant

    But for my own sleep, I would like an answer to my questions-why?

    Beats me, W.

    Treating other human beings with basic decency does not seem to be that tall of an order to me.

    But people who love power and wealth more than anything else are evidently willing to invest money in distorting the thought processes of their neighbors, whom they apparently regard as widgets, rather than humans.

    I hate to even write this but I do believe there are an enormous number of people -while they won’t admit it-admire ass holes. Especially if the ass hole says stuff that they believe, deep within themselves. After all, only an asshole can make waves that scare people out of the water.

    #120401
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    I’m not sure this blog post belongs here, but it’s about Trump, and I agree with it, and wanted to share it.

    https://taibbi.substack.com/p/the-trump-era-sucks-and-needs-to

    The Trump Era Sucks and Needs to Be Over
    The race is tightening. Is America sure it’s ready to give up its addiction to crazy?
    Matt Taibbi
    23 hr
    513
    668

    In Donald Trump’s interview with Laura Ingraham last week, he talked about the “shadow people” he believes lurk behind Joe Biden:

    INGRAHAM: Who do you think is pulling Biden’s strings? Is it former Obama officials?

    TRUMP: People that you’ve never heard of. People that are in the dark shadows.

    Fifteen years ago, the Fox News personality was likely to be the one pushing the conspiratorial envelope. Glenn Beck playing with rubber frogs while railing about assassination plots or spinning elaborate tales connecting Barack Obama to both Hitler and Stalin represented the outward edge of crazy in mainstream discourse.

    Today the Fox anchor is the voice of restraint, pleading with the President of the United States to stay on planet earth while cameras roll:

    INGRAHAM: What does that mean? That sounds like conspiracy theory.

    TRUMP: No, people that you haven’t heard of. They’re people that are on the streets. They’re people that are controlling the streets…

    We’ve been living with Trump for so long, we’ve gotten out of the habit of asking the basic questions we normally ask, when a famous person says something odd. What is he thinking? Is he being serious? Does he mean this as metaphor — is he talking about the donors and party higher-ups who may indeed have outsize influence behind his elderly opponent’s candidacy — or does he really believe in a nebulous, Three Days of the Condor-style secret spooks’ club, working after hours to install a socialist dictatorship through Joe Biden?

    Donald Trump is so unlike most people, and so especially unlike anyone raised under a conventional moral framework, that he’s perpetually misdiagnosed. The words we see slapped on him most often, like “fascist” and “authoritarian,” nowhere near describe what he really is, and I don’t mean that as a compliment. It’s been proven across four years that Trump lacks the attention span or ambition required to implement a true dictatorial regime. He might not have a moral problem with the idea, but two minutes into the plan he’d leave the room, phone in hand, to throw on a robe and watch himself on Fox and Friends over a cheeseburger.

    The elite misread of Trump is egregious because he’s an easily familiar type to the rest of America. We’re a sales culture and Trump is a salesman. Moreover he’s not just any salesman; he might be the greatest salesman ever, considering the quality of the product, i.e. himself. He’s up to his eyes in balls, and the parts of the brain that hold most people back from selling schlock online degrees or tchotchkes door-to-door are absent. He has no shame, will say anything, and experiences morality the way the rest of us deal with indigestion.

    Pundits keep trying to understand him by reading political scare-tracts like The Origins of Totalitarianism or It Can’t Happen Here, but again, the books that explain Trump better tend to be about things like pro wrestling (like Controversy Creates Cash or The Business of Kayfabe) or the psychology of selling (like Pre-Suasion or Thinking Fast and Slow). The people howling about outrageous things Trump says probably never sat in a sales meeting. In Pre-Suasion, psychology professor Robert Cialdini, who went undercover with salespeople to discover their secrets, describes how one got clients to agree to his company’s $75,000 fee:

    Instead, after his standard presentation… he joked, “As you can tell, I’m not going to be able to charge you a million dollars for this.” The client looked up from his written proposal and said, “Well, I can agree to that!” The meeting proceeded without a single subsequent reference to compensation and ended with a signed contract…

    Sound familiar? When Trump first hit the campaign trail in 2015-2016, reporters were staggered by the outrageous promises Trump would toss out, like that he’d slap a 45% tariff on all Chinese products, build a “high” wall across the Mexican isthmus, or deport all 11.3 million undocumented immigrants (“They have to go,” he told Chuck Todd).

    Those of us with liberal arts educations and professional-class jobs often have trouble processing this sort of thing. If you work in a hospital and someone asks you a patient’s hematocrit level, no one expects you to open with fifteen times the real number. But this is a huge part of Trump’s M.O.

    By the end of the 2016 race, some of us in media were struggling with what to tell readers about Trump’s intentions, given that he would frequently offer contradictory proposals (with matching impassioned explanations) within minutes of each other, sometimes even within the same sentence. He would tell one crowd to whoops and hollers that he couldn’t wait to throw all them illegals back over the river, then go on Hannity that same night and say he was open to a “softening” on immigration:

    Everybody agrees we get the bad ones out… But when I meet thousands and thousands of people on this subject…they’ve said, ‘Mr. Trump, I love you, but to take a person that has been here for 15 or 20 years and throw them and the family out, it’s so tough, Mr. Trump.’

    Read what sales books have to say about morality or belief systems and Trump starts to make even more sense. What did Cialdini notice about John Lennon’s idealistic clarion call, Imagine? That Lennon increased his chances of selling political change with the line, “But I’m not the only one…” It turns out you can increase demand for anything from government policies to items on a Chinese menu simply by asserting, as Trump constantly does, that “everybody’s talking about it.” Ask students to draw long and short lines on a piece of paper, and when asked, the people drawing long ones think the Mississippi River is longer. Trump’s constant invocations about a future of “so much winning” worked, even with people who tried consciously to dismiss it as bullshit.

    Read Brian Tracy’s The Psychology of Selling and you learn that the key to closing a sale not only involves identifying the “needs of your prospect,” but making sure to promise a big enough change to make action seem worth it:

    The customer must be substantially better off with your product or service than he is without it. It cannot represent a small increment in value or benefit… [it must be] great enough to justify the amount of money you are charging, plus the amount of time and energy it will take to implement your solution.

    The question, “What is Trump thinking?” is the wrong one. He’s not thinking, he’s selling. What’s he selling? Whatever pops into his head. The beauty of politics from his point of view, compared to every other damn thing he’s sold in his life — steaks, ties, pillows, college degrees, chandeliers, hotels, condominiums, wine, eyeglasses, deodorant, perfume (SUCCESS by Trump!), mattresses, etc. — is that there’s no product. The pitch is the product, and you can give different pitches to different people and they all buy.

    In 2016 Trump reeled in the nativist loons and rage cases with his opening rants about walls and mass deportations, then slowly clawed his numbers up with the rest of the party with his “softening” routine. Each demographic probably came away convinced he was lying to the other, while the truth was probably more that he was lying to all of them. Obviously there are real-world consequences to courting the lowest common denominator instincts in people, but to Trump speeches aren’t moral acts in themselves, they’re just “words that he is saying,” as long-ago spokesperson Katrina Pierson put it.

    In this sense the Republican Party’s 2020 platform is genius: there isn’t one, just a commitment to “enthusiastically support the President’s America-first agenda,” meaning whatever Trump says at any given moment. If one can pull back enough from the fact that this impacts our actual lives, it’s hard not to admire the breathtaking amorality of this, as one might admire a simple malevolent organism like a virus or liver fluke.

    Trump blew through the Republican primaries in 2015-2016. His opponents, a slate of mannequins hired by energy companies and weapons contractors to be pretend-patriots and protectors of “family values,” had no answer for his insults and offer-everything-to-everyone tactics. Like most politicians, they’d been protected their whole lives by donors, party hacks, and pundits who’d turned campaigns into a club system designed to insulate paid lackeys from challenges to their phony gravitas. Trump had no institutional loyalty to the club, shat all over it in addition to its silly frontmen, and walked to the nomination.

    So long as he was never going to win the actual presidency, this was funny. The Republicans deserved it. Watching GOP chair Reince Priebus try to pretend he wasn’t being forced to eat the biggest-in-history shit sandwich by embracing his obese conqueror at the 2016 convention was a delicious scene, similar to what most Americans probably felt watching Bill Belichick squirm at the podium after the Eagles pummeled him in the Super Bowl.

    The Democrats aren’t much better, though, and the spectacle of “inevitable” Hillary Clinton being too shocked to ascend to the Javits Center podium, instead sending writhing campaign creature John Podesta to announce through a forced smile that the mortified audience shouldn’t worry and should get some sleep instead, was also high comedy, not that I really saw it at the time.

    They all deserved it, every last politician ruined that year. The country did not, however, which is why the last four years have been a nightmare beyond all recognition. The joke ended up being on us.

    The paradox ensnaring America since November, 2016 is that Trump never intended to govern, while his opponents never intended to let him try. In an alternate universe where a post-election Donald had enough self-awareness to admit he was out of his depth, and the D.C. establishment agreed to recognize his administration as legitimate for appearances’ sake, Trump might have escaped four years with the profile of a conventionally crappy president, or perhaps a few notches below that — way below average, maybe, but survivable.

    Instead it was decided even before he was elected that admitting the president was the president was “normalizing” him. Normally no news is good news, and the anchorman is encouraged to smile on a day without war, earthquakes, terror attacks, or stock market crashes. Under Trump it became taboo to have a slow news day. A lack of an emergency was a failure of reporting, since Trump’s very presence in office was crisis.

    We spent four years moving from panic to panic, from the pee story to the Muslim ban to Michael Flynn’s firing to the Schiff hearings in March 2017 to Jim Comey’s dismissal to Treason in Helsinki to Charlottesville to the caravan to the Kavanaugh hearings and beyond. When Trump fired Jeff Sessions, perhaps the most determined enemy of police reform in recent history — one of his last acts as Attorney General was issuing an order undermining federal civil rights investigations — liberal America exploded in media-driven street protests:

    The problem was this all played into Trump’s hands. Instead of crafting a coherent, accessible plan to address the despair and cynicism that moved voters to even consider someone like Trump in the first place, Democrats instead turned politics into a paranoiac’s dream, imbuing Trump’s every move with earth-shattering importance as America became a single, never-ending, televised referendum on His Orangeness.

    The last four years have been like living through an O.J. trial where O.J. testifies all day (and tweets at night). Not only has this been maddening to those of us who desire a more Trumpless existence, especially since it’s constantly implied that being anything less than enthralled by the Trump show is an inexcusable show of privilege, it’s massively increased the chances of the whole exhausting spectacle continuing, by giving Trump something to run on again.

    Ever since Trump jumped into politics, the pattern has been the same. He enters the arena hauling nothing but negatives and character liabilities, but leaves every time armed with winnable issues handed to him by overreacting opponents.

    His schtick is to provoke rivals to the point where they drop what they’re doing and spend their time screaming at him, which from the jump validates the primary tenet of his worldview, i.e. that everything is about him. Political opponents seem incapable of not handing him free advertising. They say his name on TV thousands of times a day, put his name on bumper stickers to be paraded before new demographics (e.g. “BERNIE BEATS TRUMP”), and then keep talking about him even off duty, at office parties, family dinners, kids’ sports events, everywhere, which sooner or later gets people wondering: who’s more annoying, the blowhard, or the people who can’t stop talking about the blowhard?

    Nearly the whole of Trump’s case for re-election in 2020 comes from the wreckage of these endless, oft-overheated Spy vs. Spy-style intrigues against him. What would he be running on, if he didn’t have Russiagate, “fake news,” and impeachment? When the Democrats failed to bring the latter up even once during the recent DNC, conspicuously disinviting key impeachment players like Adam Schiff and Tom Steyer, it made Trump’s martyrdom argument for him: if Ukraine was the Most Important Issue In the Universe just eight months ago, where is it now?

    American politics has become an interminable clash of off-putting pathologies. Call it the hydroxychloroquine effect. Trump one day in a press conference mutters that a drug has “tremendous promise” as a treatment of coronavirus. Within ten seconds a consensus forms that hydroxycholoroquine is snake oil, and the New York Times is running stories denouncing Trump’s “brazen willingness to distort and outright defy expert opinion and scientific evidence when it does not suit his agenda.”

    Then you read the story and find out doctors have been prescribing the drug, that “early reports from doctors in China and France have said that [it] seemed to help patients,” and moreover that the actual quote about it being a “game changer” from Trump included the lines, “Maybe not” and “What do I know? I’m not a doctor.” In response to another Trump quote on the subject, “What do you have to lose?” journalists piled on again, quoting the president of the American Medical Association to remind audiences “you could lose your life” — as if Trump had recommended that people run outside and mainline the stuff.

    Trump being Trump, he responded to this criticism by doubling down over and over, eventually re-tweeting a video boosting the drug by a doctor named Stella Immanuel. She turned out to believe that alien DNA had been used in medical treatments, atheist doctors were working on a religion vaccine, and uterine endometriosis is caused by demon sperm. Asked about this “misinformation,” Trump somehow managed to include both a xenophobic putdown about the Nigerian doctor and a lie about his enthusiasm for her, saying, “I don’t know what country she comes from… I know nothing about her.”

    All of which is insane, but so is rooting for a drug to not work in the middle of a historic pandemic, the clear subtext of nearly every news story on this topic dating back to March. Rule #1 of the Trump era is that everything Trump touches quickly becomes as infamous as he is, maybe not the biggest deal when talking about an obscure anti-malarial drug, but problematic when the subject is America itself.

    Trump’s argument is, “They lie about me.” He attracts so much negative attention, and so completely dominates the culture, that the line between him and the country that elected him becomes blurred, allowing him to make a secondary argument: “They lie about you.” This incantation works. The New York Times just ran a story about how “Chaos in Kenosha is already swaying some voters” that quoted John Geraghty, a former Marine. Geraghty’s first vote was for Barack Obama, and called Trump’s handling of coronavirus “laughable,” but still:

    Mr. Geraghty said he disliked how Mr. Trump talked but said the Democratic Party’s vision for governing seemed limited to attacking him and calling him a racist, a charge being leveled so constantly that it was having the effect of alienating, instead of persuading, people. And the idea that Democrats alone were morally pure on race annoyed him.

    With the election just a few months away, the country is coming apart at the seams. In addition to a pandemic, an economic disaster, and cities simmering on the edge of civil war, we’re nursing what feels like a broken culture. Life under Trump has been like an endless Twitter war: infuriating, depressing, filling us all with self-loathing, but also addictive. He is selling an experience that everyone is buying, even the people who think they oppose him the most.

    My worry is with that last part. Institutional America is now organized around a Trump-led America. The news media will lose billions with him gone (and will be lost editorially). The Democratic Party has no message — literally none — apart from him. A surging activist movement will be deflated without him, along with a host of related fundraising groups and businesses (watch what happens to “dismantling white supremacy training” in a non-Trump context).

    It feels like a co-dependent relationship, and the tightening poll numbers in battleground states make me wonder about self-sabotage. He’ll likely still lose, but this is all beginning to feel like a slow-motion rerun of the same car crash from four years ago, when resentment, rubbernecking, and lurid fascination pulled him just across the finish line. People claim to hate him, but they never turn off the show in time, not grasping that Trump always knows how to turn their negative attention into someone else’s vote.

    Isn’t four years of this enough? I don’t even care anymore whose fault it is: Trump has made us all crazy, and it’s time for the show to be over. We deserve slow news days again.

    © 2020 Matt Taibbi. See privacy, terms and information collection notice
    Publish on Substack

    #120405
    waterfield
    Participant

    That’s lengthy and I’m not sure I understood it all. But I agree with the central point which is no one knows how to handle Trump. Even at the Dems convention Trump was center stage with Biden being held up in contrast with Trump. The way to handle him, IMO, is to forget about him. Take him off the stage and concentrate on the policies that matter to people. Biden being a nice family guy won’t beat the ass hole. But he can beat him on issues. The Dems have to get rid of Tom Perez the DNC head. He simply doesn’t get what Trump is all about. By making Trump the target he does nothing but put the guy on the stage. And that’s a huge mistake because he comes off as being a battler and people love those who battle.

    #120410
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    I’m not sure this blog post belongs here, but..
    —-

    In Donald Trump’s interview with Laura Ingraham last week, he talked about the “shadow people” he believes lurk behind Joe Biden:
    INGRAHAM: Who do you think is pulling Biden’s strings? Is it former Obama officials?
    TRUMP: People that you’ve never heard of. People that are in the dark shadows.

    Fifteen years ago, the Fox News personality was likely to be the one pushing the conspiratorial envelope. Glenn Beck playing with rubber frogs while railing about assassination plots or spinning elaborate tales connecting Barack Obama to both Hitler and Stalin represented the outward edge of crazy in mainstream discourse.

    Today the Fox anchor is the voice of restraint, pleading with the President of the United States to stay on planet earth while cameras roll:

    INGRAHAM: What does that mean? That sounds like conspiracy theory.

    TRUMP: No, people that you haven’t heard of. They’re people that are on the streets. They’re people that are controlling the streets…

    We’ve been living with Trump for so long, we’ve gotten out of the habit of asking the basic questions we normally ask, when a famous person says something odd. What is he thinking? Is he being serious? …

    =================

    Well see, this is where i part company with a Lot of people, including Taibbi, who i like as you know.

    I dont think there is anything weird about Trump’s comment. I dont think its crazy-conspiratorial. I think its intelligent-conspiratorial.

    There ARE mega-rich-corporate weasels behind Biden. As there were with Obama, and Clinton, and Reagan, and Bush, and on and on. There’s actually plenty of quotes about this BY past Presidents going all the way back to Jefferson.

    There’s always the Politician-Front-Man, and then there’s the Money-People behind the scenes. Why does Taibbi think thats crazy-conspiratorial?

    Isnt it also true about Trump? I dunno. Trump’s a billionaire-Narcissist-Ass-Clown. So, ironically, he may be the first President its NOT true of. I dunno.

    This is all a minor point, but its just a thing with me. I hate it when MSM-types or Taibbi-types act like ALL talk of shadow-government-power is crazy talk. I wanna tell them grow up. Of COURSE there’s mega-money people in the shadows. Duh.

    w
    v

    #120411
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    Donald Trump is so unlike most people, and so especially unlike anyone raised under a conventional moral framework, that he’s perpetually misdiagnosed. The words we see slapped on him most often, like “fascist” and “authoritarian,” nowhere near describe what he really is, and I don’t mean that as a compliment. It’s been proven across four years that Trump lacks the attention span or ambition required to implement a true dictatorial regime. He might not have a moral problem with the idea, but two minutes into the plan he’d leave the room, phone in hand, to throw on a robe and watch himself on Fox and Friends over a cheeseburger.

    The elite misread of Trump is egregious because he’s an easily familiar type to the rest of America. We’re a sales culture and Trump is a salesman. Moreover he’s not just any salesman; he might be the greatest salesman ever, considering the quality of the product, i.e. himself. He’s up to his eyes in balls, and the parts of the brain that hold most people back from selling schlock online degrees or tchotchkes door-to-door are absent. He has no shame, will say anything, and experiences morality the way the rest of us deal with indigestion.

    Ironically, the above tells me that Taibbi bought into Trump’s sales pitch, while thinking he sees through it all.

    I’ve been saying (from the getgo) Trump is all about sales, too, and that Politics in general is. But Taibbi falls off the Logic Train in thinking that totalitarians in the past haven’t been great at sales too, or that it actually matters that someone like Trump has the attention span of a gnat. He has his own teams. He has a massive government bureaucracy underneath him, with ginormous powers attached.

    Trump, himself, may actually do little beyond watching TV, tweeting, and screaming at his subordinates, and doesn’t need to do much of anything beyond being the face his fascist base adores. Taibbi must have been asleep the day they invented Phones, Radio, TV, Computers, the Internet, Editing, etc. In the age of Digital Mass Communication and Digitized Fordism, Trump doesn’t need an attention span. He has staff surrounding him who never sleep.

    “They call it ‘delegating authority.'”

    In short, a president without an attention span, a buffoon, a huckster, a grifter, an idiot, can implement fascism too. Taibbi is incredibly naive to think this isn’t possible, or to think it requires some kind of genius planner at the helm.

    #120413
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    Another takeaway for me:

    Taibbi seems to actually feel sorry for Trump — another indication that he’s bought into his con. He, like several other lefty/righty pundits, forgets that Trump actually did collude with Russia to help him win the election, which was reconfirmed by the GOP-led Senate committee recently. And he’s still getting the help. In fact, their report indicates the Mueller investigation was purposely narrow and the “real story” is far worse.

    And it was Trump’s own DoJ, headed by a series of Republicans, most of whom Trump picked himself, that started the Mueller investigation, with Republican Mueller at the helm. And it was a slew of Republicans who testified against him in the Ukraine investigation, again, many of whom Trump appointed.

    Taibbi, and other lefty/righty pundits want us to believe that it was the MSM and the Dems who made mountains out of molehills here, when it was actually Trump’s own appointees who did most of the (much needed) damage, and Trump himself who committed the crimes. As in, he gives Trump’s lame opposition far too much credit, and sees the MSM and the Dems as far more powerful than they really are. The flipside, of course, is that Taibbi and company seem to think Trump is a powerless victim in all of this.

    I find that entire way of thinking to be bizarre, irrational, and dangerous.

    #120414
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    I’m not sure this blog post belongs here, but..
    —-

    In Donald Trump’s interview with Laura Ingraham last week, he talked about the “shadow people” he believes lurk behind Joe Biden:
    INGRAHAM: Who do you think is pulling Biden’s strings? Is it former Obama officials?
    TRUMP: People that you’ve never heard of. People that are in the dark shadows.

    Fifteen years ago, the Fox News personality was likely to be the one pushing the conspiratorial envelope. Glenn Beck playing with rubber frogs while railing about assassination plots or spinning elaborate tales connecting Barack Obama to both Hitler and Stalin represented the outward edge of crazy in mainstream discourse.

    Today the Fox anchor is the voice of restraint, pleading with the President of the United States to stay on planet earth while cameras roll:

    INGRAHAM: What does that mean? That sounds like conspiracy theory.

    TRUMP: No, people that you haven’t heard of. They’re people that are on the streets. They’re people that are controlling the streets…

    We’ve been living with Trump for so long, we’ve gotten out of the habit of asking the basic questions we normally ask, when a famous person says something odd. What is he thinking? Is he being serious? …

    =================

    Well see, this is where i part company with a Lot of people, including Taibbi, who i like as you know.

    I dont think there is anything weird about Trump’s comment. I dont think its crazy-conspiratorial. I think its intelligent-conspiratorial.

    There ARE mega-rich-corporate weasels behind Biden. As there were with Obama, and Clinton, and Reagan, and Bush, and on and on. There’s actually plenty of quotes about this BY past Presidents going all the way back to Jefferson.

    There’s always the Politician-Front-Man, and then there’s the Money-People behind the scenes. Why does Taibbi think thats crazy-conspiratorial?

    Isnt it also true about Trump? I dunno. Trump’s a billionaire-Narcissist-Ass-Clown. So, ironically, he may be the first President its NOT true of. I dunno.

    This is all a minor point, but its just a thing with me. I hate it when MSM-types or Taibbi-types act like ALL talk of shadow-government-power is crazy talk. I wanna tell them grow up. Of COURSE there’s mega-money people in the shadows. Duh.

    w
    v

    WV,

    The “shadow people” is in reference to supposed hordes of “antifa” helping Biden. It comes from a Facebook rumor in June that was debunked, about seven people on a plane, all dressed in black, apparently headed to Portland to stir up riots. Nearly three months later, Trump brings it up again, trying to sell it as “new.”

    #120415
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    There’s always the Politician-Front-Man, and then there’s the Money-People behind the scenes. Why does Taibbi think thats crazy-conspiratorial?

    Isnt it also true about Trump? I dunno. Trump’s a billionaire-Narcissist-Ass-Clown. So, ironically, he may be the first President its NOT true of. I dunno.

    This is all a minor point, but its just a thing with me. I hate it when MSM-types or Taibbi-types act like ALL talk of shadow-government-power is crazy talk. I wanna tell them grow up. Of COURSE there’s mega-money people in the shadows. Duh.

    w
    v

    WV,

    We know for a fact that, yes, Trump, too, has massive mega-donors and billionaires supporting him, guiding him, pushing tax laws, deregulation, privatization schemes on him. He hired several to sit on his cabinet and run key government departments, and tried to get several more to run military wings, but they were rebuffed by the GOP-led Senate at the time.

    And every other day, we find out about a new scandal involving people surrounding Trump, stealing from taxpayers, or moving millions of dollars from Trump’s inauguration committee into Trump’s own bank account.

    I know you don’t believe this, but it’s true: Trump and the GOP are far more beholden to those “money men” and corporate America than the Dems could even dream of being. It’s not at all close. And no president has ever lined his own pockets with such success or ferocity.

    The Dems, in comparison, are back alley crap game hosts.

    #120417
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    I think his main point is that making the election about Trump is a losing strategy. It should be about policy.

    I agree that Biden should be crushing Trump in the polls. Trump’s term has been one policy failure after another, and he has done NOTHING to help the people whose dissatisfaction with their marginalization led to his election. If you make the campaign about policies, then that failure is emphasized. When you make it about Trump, you are making it about showbiz, a terrain that favors bombast.

    I am starting to see Trump stuff pop up on vehicles now. (I haven’t seen a single Biden). And a common Trump sticker/sign is “Trump 2020: Make liberals cry again.”

    And I think, actually, that that is pretty much the core of Trump’s appeal to a lot of people. And I think if the Democrats let the election be about culture war, they are more likely to lose. IMO, they ought to be saying, “Your jobs didn’t come back. Health care hasn’t been fixed. The Swamp has been added to, not drained. His family has literally made hundreds of millions of dollars for themselves, and you are right where you were four years ago.”

    Of course, it would be helpful if they had a plan to do something about wages and job security and healthcare, but they don’t. So maybe that’s why they’re taking their chances on amping up the people who hate Trump.

    #120418
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    I think his main point is that making the election about Trump is a losing strategy. It should be about policy.

    I agree that Biden should be crushing Trump in the polls. Trump’s term has been one policy failure after another, and he has done NOTHING to help the people whose dissatisfaction with their marginalization led to his election. If you make the campaign about policies, then that failure is emphasized. When you make it about Trump, you are making it about showbiz, a terrain that favors bombast.

    I am starting to see Trump stuff pop up on vehicles now. (I haven’t seen a single Biden). And a common Trump sticker/sign is “Trump 2020: Make liberals cry again.”

    And I think, actually, that that is pretty much the core of Trump’s appeal to a lot of people. And I think if the Democrats let the election be about culture war, they are more likely to lose. IMO, they ought to be saying, “Your jobs didn’t come back. Health care hasn’t been fixed. The Swamp has been added to, not drained. His family has literally made hundreds of millions of dollars for themselves, and you are right where you were four years ago.”

    Of course, it would be helpful if they had a plan to do something about wages and job security and healthcare, but they don’t. So maybe that’s why they’re taking their chances on amping up the people who hate Trump.

    Taibbi basically admits that “policy” is irrelevant when it comes to Trump. But he doesn’t seem to draw the logical inference from that and extend it to politics/voters in general. Trump won because he was able to easily sell a crap sandwich to his base, and actually make his voters love that crap sandwich. The Dems are terrible at that. They can’t even sell edible stuff.

    With few exceptions, and for decades now, the Dems have been terrible at sales. They seem incapable of staying on message, projecting confidence, strength or certainty in their own agenda, and rarely show anything approaching a unified front. And the MSM amplifies these weaknesses and divisions constantly. They get a lot of clicks from said stories.

    It would be awesome if the Dems countered with at least social democratic/Bernie-style policy platforms, but none of that would matter without sales prowess, which they lack. Conversely, of course, if they actually were as good at sales as Trump is, they could sell a far more ambitious slate, with far better results, well to the left of Sanders. The kind we (here) would love, etc.

    Again, they can’t even sell centrism, except to that trickle of ex-Republicans who aren’t a big enough voting bloc to matter.

    IMO, without decent salespersons, they need to make this about Trump. But all in, for the jugular, take the gloves off.

    #120419
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    Remember, Trump “won” primarily by focusing on Obama and the Clintons. He didn’t run on his own agenda, beyond vague bumper stickers like Bannon’s “Build the Wall!!” He won by endlessly attacking them and painting “Obama’s America” as a hellscape, and Clinton as dangerously corrupt beyond measure.

    He ran as the “outsider” against the incumbents and dynasts.

    The shoe is on the other foot now. Trump is the would-be dynast, and his corruption makes the Clintons look like Theresa of Avila and Francis of Assisi. Throw in his fascist rhetoric, his endless attacks on POCs, his support for the Confederacy, his endless scandals, and he presents a target a thousand fold larger than Obama and the Clintons. An obvious target. With 21,000 documented lies to boot.

    To me, if Trump can win an election doing virtually nothing but attacking his opponent, Biden and the Dems can play the same game and win. I’d bet a virtual fortune that 99 out of a 100 seasoned campaign directors would rather use that strategy against Trump (2020) than Obama/Clinton (2016).

    • This reply was modified 4 years, 2 months ago by Avatar photoBilly_T.
    #120425
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    I think his main point is that making the election about Trump is a losing strategy. It should be about policy.

    I agree that Biden should be crushing Trump in the polls. .

    ==================

    Well, maybe in Portugal. Or Finland.

    Not in Corporate-Capitalism-Central.

    The System made too many Red-State versions of Idiots and Blue-State versions of idiots.

    How could there be a landslide by either side on the planet-of-the-apes?

    w
    v

    #120428
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    I think his main point is that making the election about Trump is a losing strategy. It should be about policy.

    I agree that Biden should be crushing Trump in the polls. .

    ==================

    Well, maybe in Portugal. Or Finland.

    Not in Corporate-Capitalism-Central.

    The System made too many Red-State versions of Idiots and Blue-State versions of idiots.

    How could there be a landslide by either side on the planet-of-the-apes?

    w
    v

    WV,

    That’s damn fine thinking there. Scary, too.

    . . . This video may segue into an all too appropriate advertisement/reminder at the end. A nice “corrective” to this might be “The Boys,” on Amazon, if you haven’t seen it. Deals with the commodification of superheroes. Of course, it’s on a service owned by the richest man in the world, at least officially ($200 billion now. Got that way by wiping out millions of jobs and paying slave wages.

    As Norman Mailer said in the pages of Dissent, back in the 1950s:

    Capitalism follows you everywhere.

    #120431
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    On the polls and such:

    I think if Americans weren’t constantly gaslit, and everyone had real edjucajuns that open up the multiverse to all, that inspire critical thinking skills, etc. etc. . . . and didn’t feel the need to blindly follow Team Blue or Team Red . . . this would be the typical scenario for the two major parties, when they held power, respectively:

    Generic Dem: Approval rates roughly in the 10-25% range.
    Generic Republican: Approval rates roughly in the 3-10% range.

    Allowances made for “exceptional” leaders (and times), for better or worse, etc.

    #120449
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    Taibbi basically admits that “policy” is irrelevant when it comes to Trump.

    Well…Message, then. The Democrats only message seems to be “Not Trump.”

    Biden has a slogan, apparently written by Melania, that I do not even understand: Build Back Better. WTF does that even mean?

    There is no promise to increase people’s well-being through wages or healthcare or whatever. They’re not Trump.

    #120463
    Avatar photoBilly_T
    Participant

    Taibbi basically admits that “policy” is irrelevant when it comes to Trump.

    Well…Message, then. The Democrats only message seems to be “Not Trump.”

    Biden has a slogan, apparently written by Melania, that I do not even understand: Build Back Better. WTF does that even mean?

    There is no promise to increase people’s well-being through wages or healthcare or whatever. They’re not Trump.

    I must be overly ornery today. Gotta get to my favorite mountain places tomorrow and fine some semblance of peace.

    Anyway, how about this? The Dems do both? Push an agenda that will actually improve lives and help save the planet, and go after Trump when needed?

    He keeps adding fuel to the fire:

    Trump targets ‘white privilege’ training as ‘anti-American’

    WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump has directed the Office of Management and Budget to crack down on federal agencies’ anti-racism training sessions, calling them “divisive, anti-American propaganda.”

    OMB director Russell Vought, in a letter Friday to executive branch agencies, directed them to identify spending related to any training on “critical race theory,” “white privilege” or any other material that teaches or suggests that the United States or any race or ethnicity is “inherently racist or evil.”

    He’s really working overtime for the Nazi vote.

    #120475
    PA Ram
    Participant

    I live in a city in the outskirts of the Philly suburbs and I can tell you that if anyone here has any enthusiasm for Joe Biden at all,it isn’t showing. This city is mostly Latino and the Democrats are failing somewhat miserably in engaging them at all.

    No one I know of is voting FOR Biden. If they vote at all it is AGAINST Trump. This seems like a strategy we have seen before by the Democrats. They are very anti-populist and are running on a strategy of conveying competence vs. chaos. That’s great. But will it be enough to motivate people to vote?

    Very few Biden signs here.

    New Republican voter registration is outpacing Democrats.

    I think it is entirely possible Trump wins Pennsylvania again. This state seems to be turning red. The rural vote rules. Trump signs everywhere.

    The cities? Apathy.

    I think Biden CAN win but I also think it is a toss-up. Biden excites no one.

    We shall see.

    Maybe Biden will not need Pennsylvania.

    "Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away. " Philip K. Dick

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