Projecting Compensatory Draft Picks

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  • #39890
    Avatar photoAgamemnon
    Participant

    http://overthecap.com/projecting-the-2016-compensatory-draft-picks/

    Projecting the 2016 Compensatory Draft Picks
    Posted on January 5, 2016 by Nick

    For details on the basics and methodology of projecting compensatory picks in general, please reference this article.

    To kick this off, 2016 marks the first year in which I have used, as suggested by the resolution allowing comp picks to be traded on December 2, 2015, a “rank[ing] against all players in the League who are on rosters at the end of the season”. At the end of the 2015 season, OTC’s database had a total of 2088 players that were either on the active roster or injured reserve. As explained in the general methodology in the previous link, the cutoffs for each round and for qualifying as a compensatory free agent (CFA) have been established by this projection on certain percentile ranks of all players on the active roster and injured reserve at the end of the regular season, sorted by adjusted APY in descending order and also represented by the player at the cutoff point. For 2016, these cutoffs are as follows:

    This is for 2016 comp picks, but it will give some kind of idea of what the Rams might expect next year in comp picks if they lose a player like Jenkins. The Rams have no comp picks this year. The article is much more detailed if you wish to use the link. If Jenkins gets more than 9M/yr, we could get a 3rd round comp pick. imo

    Agamemnon

    #40216
    Avatar photoAgamemnon
    Participant

    This projects to a 3rd round pick for Jenkins.
    This projects to a 4th round pick for Mcleod.

    Agamemnon

    #40219
    Herzog
    Participant

    Interesting. I can see how letting players walk can help you build a team….if you have some depth and you can draft worth a crap.

    #40344
    Avatar photoAgamemnon
    Participant

    I am looking for Fairley and Sims as possible additions to the list.

    Agamemnon

    #40346
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    This is not the entire list. For that go to the link. One thing I noticed–there are so many projected 3rd and 4th round picks throughout the league this year, that they are less of a boon—the 2017 draft will get watered down by them.

    Rams are projected to get a 3rd for JJ and a 4th for Mc.

    link: http://overthecap.com/draft/

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