Lichtman predicts: Biden

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  • September 13, 2020 at 11:33 am #120877
    wv
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    Ive been waiting for this. This guy has predicted nine in a row, i believe. Somehow i missed this. Came out in August.

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    prediction:https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/08/05/professor-allan-lichtman-predicts-joe-biden-beat-donald-trump/3304680001/

    WASHINGTON – American University Professor Allan Lichtman, who is well-known for accurately predicting American presidential elections, says former Vice President Joe Biden will beat President Donald Trump in the November election.

    Lichtman, a political historian who has correctly predicted the outcomes of all presidential elections since 1984, with an asterisk, was one of the few forecasters who projected in 2016 Trump would become the 45th president while also correctly predicting Trump would be impeached as president.

    He uses a “13 key factors” system he designed to decide who will emerge victorious. It includes factors like the advantage of incumbency, long and short-term economic figures, scandals, social unrest, and more.

    “The keys predict that Trump will lose the White House,” Lichtman stated Wednesday in a New York Times video op-ed.

    Lichtman believes it will be a close election, predicting with his system that seven of the keys swing towards Biden, while six favor Trump.

    According to Lichtman, Trump has an advantage with being the incumbent as well as not facing a serious primary challenger, nor a serious third party candidate. These are some things that hurt former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in 2016, Lichtman predicted then, pointing to Gary Johnson’s third-party run and the fact she wasn’t an incumbent. …see link

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