How do people feel about Foles right now, before anything else happens?

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  • #21177
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    Why are we one of the only boards not debating Bradford still? It’s kind of striking. (And that’s not a negative comment either way. I have debated Bradford myself on other boards recently.)

    For that matter, people aren’t really debating Foles either.

    My impression is that as a rule, people here on Foles feel a generally optimistic version of “wait and see”.

    Is that right?

    #21181
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    This little board is always more of a ‘wait and see’ board.

    This is the ‘nice’ board. We’re nice. Except for Ag.

    w
    v

    #21182
    Avatar photonittany ram
    Moderator

    I think Foles will be fine for what the Rams want out of their QB. I’m not really worried about him as long as the o-line get fixed. O-line is the key.

    #21185
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    This is the ‘nice’ board. We’re nice

    What the hell are you blithering about NOW.

    #21186
    Avatar photoZooey
    Moderator

    Naturally, I’m in a pessimistic “wait and see.”

    I’m looking forward to the pre-season, obviously. I mean…I’ve NEVER seen Foles play. So what the hell do I know? Just what I’ve read.

    #21189
    bnw
    Blocked

    I’m glad not to be wondering how long our QB will play until he is on IR. Foles is a fresh start.

    The upside to being a Rams fan is heartbreak.

    Sprinkles are for winners.

    #21190
    Avatar photojoemad
    Participant

    I’m glad not to be wondering how long our QB will play until he is on IR. Foles is a fresh start.

    Foles has missed 37% of his capable starts (concussion, broken hand and collar bone) Foles is no Lou Gerhig or Cal Ripken.

    I understand the reasoning for the trade (bradford not restructuring salary) thus my gut tells me, Bradford wanted to get out of STL and play in a football city.

    IMO Rams still need a QB.

    #21191
    bnw
    Blocked

    I’m glad not to be wondering how long our QB will play until he is on IR. Foles is a fresh start.

    Foles has missed 37% of his capable starts (concussion, broken hand and collar bone) Foles is no Lou Gerhig or Cal Ripken.

    I understand the reasoning for the trade (bradford not restructuring salary) thus my gut tells me, Bradford wanted to get out of STL and play in a football city.

    IMO Rams still need a QB.

    Foles may be that QB. It is to the point of worrying about Bradford getting hurt breaking the huddle.

    The upside to being a Rams fan is heartbreak.

    Sprinkles are for winners.

    #21192
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    Naturally, I’m in a pessimistic “wait and see.”

    I’m looking forward to the pre-season, obviously. I mean…I’ve NEVER seen Foles play. So what the hell do I know? Just what I’ve read.

    i’m in a cautiously optimistic wait and see.

    i think we’ll see a foles closer to the 2013 foles.

    but what are the rams going to do to help him get back to that “2013 foles”? oline is still worse than it was last year. yikes! i also feel like they need to add one more skill position player on offense.

    also. foles has some injury concerns of his own.

    and then also. what happens after this season? if he plays well, rams are gonna have to shell out big bucks just to keep him. or is there a larger plan? do they draft a qb this year with the intention of developing him for the future?

    • This reply was modified 9 years, 8 months ago by Avatar photoInvaderRam.
    • This reply was modified 9 years, 8 months ago by Avatar photoInvaderRam.
    #21195
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    This is the ‘nice’ board. We’re nice

    What the hell are you blithering about NOW.

    I just dont think anyone on this board buys
    into the “QBs elevate the team” thing.

    I think there’s a consensus on this board
    that if the Rams build a good Defense, good special
    teams units, and finally manage to put a solid,
    healthy OLine together — they just need
    a second or even third tier QB. A Dalton, or
    an Alex Smith type would put them in the playoffs.

    Just seems like Foles can ‘at least’ be a Dalton/Smith
    level QB. If he turns out better than that, fine.

    Nothin will matter on this team if Snisher
    cant put a solid, healthy OLine on the field.
    Part of the ‘health’ thing is out of their hands
    but part of it isn’t. Drafting young and healthy OLinemen
    is a different approach than signing guys like Jake Long….

    w
    v

    #21197
    bnw
    Blocked

    < Drafting young and healthy OLinemen
    is a different approach than signing guys like Jake Long….

    Not if you want to work out your medical staff.

    The upside to being a Rams fan is heartbreak.

    Sprinkles are for winners.

    #21198
    NERam
    Participant

    Cautiously optimistic. Hoping for the best, etc.

    One negative that seems to stand out from reports is Foles tendency to become unstable under pressure. Understood that MOST QB’s come unglued under pressure, but some seem to do crazier things than others.

    If the OL doesn’t get straightened out, I guess were gonna get plenty of chances to see for ourselves.

    #21199
    Winnbrad
    Participant

    Yeah, I’m optimistic about Foles. If he starts and wins one game, that’s more games than Bradford won last year.

    So again, it’s another low bar to clear for us Rams fans! Woohoo!

    #21201
    Avatar photoInvaderRam
    Moderator

    Cautiously optimistic. Hoping for the best, etc.

    One negative that seems to stand out from reports is Foles tendency to become unstable under pressure. Understood that MOST QB’s come unglued under pressure, but some seem to do crazier things than others.

    If the OL doesn’t get straightened out, I guess were gonna get plenty of chances to see for ourselves.

    one thing i want to add in all this is that foles just completed his third season.

    so while it might be true that foles has a tendency to become unstable under pressure. and i’ve also read that he can sometimes hold onto the ball too long. or be careless with the ball. he’s young. he’s supposed to be a tireless worker.

    so it remains to be seen if these are things that he can correct. regardless of the state of the offensive line or the skill position players surrounding him. i’m hoping that improvement from foles himself can contribute to offensive performance. not necessarily foles elevating the offense. but different units elevating each other. a kind of synergistic effect perhaps?

    #21203
    Avatar photoAgamemnon
    Participant

    This little board is always more of a ‘wait and see’ board.

    This is the ‘nice’ board. We’re nice. Except for Ag.

    w
    v

    w
    v ate all the cake and there is none left.

    Agamemnon

    #21204
    NERam
    Participant

    and i’ve also read that he can sometimes hold onto the ball too long. or be careless with the ball.

    I seem to recall an article comparing that tendency to Favre; not comparing skill set or natural ability, but just holding onto the ball while trying to make a play, and then sidearming an ill advised attempt.

    That’s one of those plays where, when it works, the QB is praised as innovative, competitive, doing what it takes…

    When it doesn’t, he holds the ball too long, and makes bad decisions.

    #21216
    Avatar photocanadaram
    Participant

    As it stands right now I have my doubts that Foles is the long term answer. I like a healthy Bradford (does such a person even exist?) better. My concerns about Foles are based mostly on the current state of the Rams oline. I can’t reach a state of cautious optimism about Foles until I’ve reached a state of equanimity about the oline.

    #21219
    rfl
    Participant

    Good thread.

    When I saw the headline of the 1st post, I had one thought. And numerous guys here say the same thing:

    It depends on the OL.

    From what I read, Foles with A) a strong running game and B) solid pass blocking would be a pretty desirable QB. Better than we’ve had in a long time, apart from a few stretches when Sam was healthy and had some tools. I think his record indicates that, under good conditions, he CAN light it up. He has that in him.

    With a poor OL, however, indications are that Foles would struggle worse than many.

    And here we sit, waiting on the OL. That is pretty much what our whole board is doing. And I think we all understand that, until the OL situation breaks one way or the other, we won’t know much.

    I think this is probably a board consensus.

    A last point, though. Foles and Sam both have injury histories.

    Foles’ injuries, however, don’t scare me. They’re bone breaks and a concussion. Concussions can become a problem, but if it’s just 1 it should be OK. And bone breaks heal well.

    Knees and ACLs are long term problems. I personally feel that Sam’s injury record is far worse than a comparison of missed games can indicate.

    By virtue of the absurd ...

    #21227
    NERam
    Participant

    I think his record indicates that, under good conditions, he CAN light it up. He has that in him.

    With a poor OL, however, indications are that Foles would struggle worse than many.

    And here we sit, waiting on the OL. That is pretty much what our whole board is doing. And I think we all understand that, until the OL situation breaks one way or the other, we won’t know much.

    And so, one would hope, that if all things in the universe align correctly, Snish sees and understands that more so than we.

    And will act accordingly.

    #21230
    PA Ram
    Participant

    First of all, this is not a team built around the QB. That’s no secret. They are going to ask simple things from the QB and I see no reason why Nick Foles can’t do those things. But obviously the defense has to play well, the offense has to be able to run the football and the line has to protect him. If that happens they will manage the games and find ways to win.

    The expectations for Foles have to be realistic. He is not, never was and never will be Aaron Rodgers.

    But he could not find himself on a team that is better suited for him, one that will ask him to manage the game and let the wins happen.

    That said, there will be times when he’s going to have to lead the team to that winning drive. I don’t doubt he has the physical and mental tools to do that. But this team is going to need its supporting cast to play well or it won’t matter.

    I’m optimistic. If he is a miserable failure who self-destructs as badly as Austin Davis did toward the end of his run last year I’ll be a bit concerned. But I don’t think he will.

    Still, I’d like to see them take a QB in the third or fourth round. I’d still like the first two rounds saved for that supporting cast. I do not believe that there is a better QB they could have gotten in this years draft better than Foles in the short term for sure. And maybe even in the long term.

    They have to win with Foles.

    "Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away. " Philip K. Dick

    #21234
    Herzog
    Participant

    I hate everything

    #21292
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    The expectations for Foles have to be realistic. He is not, never was and never will be Aaron Rodgers.

    You know one difference that favors Foles?

    Foles: 5 game winning drives/combacks in 24 starts. 20.8%

    Rodgers: 12 game winning drives/combacks in 103 starts. 11.6%

    That’s in a lot of ways a fake stat…numbers of games in this category is not really as important as percentage. That is, how often does the team win when the qb is in that situation.

    But, Rodgers famously has a low-ish percentage when it comes to that.

    ..

    #21297
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    The expectations for Foles have to be realistic. He is not, never was and never will be Aaron Rodgers.

    You know one difference that favors Foles?

    Foles: 5 game winning drives/combacks in 24 starts. 20.8%

    Rodgers: 12 game winning drives/combacks in 103 starts. 11.6%

    That’s in a lot of ways a fake stat…numbers of games in this category is not really as important as percentage. That is, how often does the team win when the qb is in that situation.

    But, Rodgers famously has a low-ish percentage when it comes to that.

    ..

    Well we are gonna find out pretty quickly if Foles is clutch
    or not, cause i strongly suspect a lot of these NFC West
    games are gonna be close, hard-fought struggles. One would
    think the Rams Defense will keep them close.

    Foles will have his chances to show his poise
    and clutch-ness.

    w
    v

    #21305
    Avatar photozn
    Moderator

    Another thing.

    On Foles.

    Foles is consistently very good in the short passing game, but inconsistent so far throwing deep.

    Numbers (plus some watching) say that Foles is very good at the short, ball control passing game AND very good when he gets rid of the ball quickly. If the Fisher offense continues as is, as we know they tend to mix ball control passing and power running and the whole time set up all kinds of big plays. If the ball control passing game is in high form, that obviously makes the set ups more dangerous.

    However, on the long ball, Foles divides in two so far–2013 and 2014 are different. It depends on how much of 2014 was a falling off he can recover from.

    Based on ESPN splits

    In 2013 he was good at the long pass. He was 11 of 23 on passes of 31+ yards or more (47.8%, quite good), with 4TDs and 1 INT.

    In 2014, he was 4 for 21 on passes of 31+ yards or more (19%, very mediocre), with 1TD and 4 INTs.

    PFF does their long ball accuracy differently. As people know they count passes of 20 yards or more.

    In 2013, they have him at 45.5% accuracy, which they rank 13 of 40.

    In 2014, they have him at 35.6% accuracy, which they rank 26 of 39.

    But the main thing with the longer passes in St. Louis IMO will be the receivers. As Mike Martz said, they have not had receivers this good since 2006 or 2007. Not that they’re THAT good (as 2006) but you know what I mean. They were setting things up last year to push the ball downfield more (the receivers being a big part of that), and I think they will continue that.

    #21307
    rfl
    Participant

    First of all, this is not a team built around the QB.

    Hmmmmm. I wonder about this, Man. In fact, I think it’s an error.

    Fisher’s pre-Rams track record says that he builds a team around defense and rushing the football. Not the QB. Now, let’s set aside the issue of how he achieved his best results with a really good QB.

    I guess I would suggest that Fisher’s record with the Rams challenges this common assumption.

    The simple fact is that our offense has for 3 years been dependent on and limited by QB play. Zack S. had a couple dominant games in ’13, but their commitment to him has been slow to develop, spotty, and short-lived. Mason has shown even greater potential, but has been little utilized. Most of our successful games have come from passing, and, to my eye, Schotty turned first to the passing game and only reluctantly to the run. I think the facts of performance oppose the common assumption that Fisher runs a power running game.

    Of course, personnel has been an issue. And Snead has supported Fisher in spending FA $ and draft picks on the OL. The results are what we all know them to be. Lots of misses and few hits on the OL, with 3 good RBs drafted.

    OK, so one might say, “Well, the FO has missed on some OL prospects, but they’ll keep going until they get it right. Then we’ll see the ‘REAL’ Fisher offense/team, develop.”

    The problem with this view again lies in the record. The WV postulate–that they know everything rides on the OL and will commit to solving it–is not playing out so far. Snead has made several substantive moves this off season. Only 1 has involved the OL, and that was for a guy projected as a BUP. The biggest FA acquisitions have been at SAM and DT. The THEORY is that they are trying to play the market shrewdly, but this is a risky strategy if you rate the value of the OL as highly as WV and most of us do.

    And, see, very theme of this thread argues against PA’s assumption. It’s hard to argue that the team is built around a QB when by far the most substantive move made by the FO this off-season has been … the acquisition of a new QB. Values are expressed in actions. We swapped QBs and gained some cap room. Now, had we then gone out and spent that cap room on the OL, one could support the idea that QB is not central to what we are doing. We have not done that. We may STILL spend cap on the OL, but, again, we are risking the “big 3” OL FA’s signing elsewhere. You don’t do that if the OL and running game are more central to your thinking than the QB is.

    I always think it’s important to ask, “What do the actions tell us?” To me, the actions and results of this FO tell me the following:

    1. Fisher famously came here figuring QB was a variable he didn’t have to worry about as he built the roster. Sam’s injuries upset this assumption and led to a swap for a “healthier” option.

    2. The FO has learned bitter lessons here about acquiring OL talent. Wasted $ and draft picks have led to very disappointing results. They don’t want to waste resources again.

    3. They have decided that they can get the same, mediocre results they have recently gotten with less $ and lower draft picks.

    4. Meanwhile, they are committing resources to already good units that they feel more confident in supporting: DT, LB, DB, etc. They’d rather have a surpassing defense and a mediocre OL than a pretty good OL and defense.

    5. They believe that pretty good QBing can cover for a mediocre OL more easily than they can develop a dominant running game. It’s really HARD in today’s NFL to run the ball consistently. They feel that a healthy, good QB can toss the ball to a reasonably talented receiver corps even if the “power running game” never truly emerges.

    If my reading is at all correct, it means, first, that this team is being built on A) the hope of a Top 5 defense and B) a decent QB’s ability to cover OL limitations with a quick-passing game.

    This would, of course, go against all the problems we observe and against common assumptions about who Fisher is. (I keep arguing that Snead and Fish are distinct, but as long as Fish has the bigger name, he’ll be identified with the team’s approach.) We can kvetch all we want, but I would argue that this sort of approach actually stays the course with what they’ve been doing.

    And IF this is our trajectory, then we could make predictions:

    * They’ll sign FA OL at bargain prices and believe Boudreaux can coax tolerable performances with them and developing youngsters. If they lose out on Joe B. Wis, and … the other guy, they’ll figure, “Well, OK, we’ll make the dregs work.”

    * They’ll similarly pick up “bargain” OL in the draft. Robbie didn’t instantly solve their OL problem, and the above would suggest that they won’t draft OL in the 1st again. I am becoming increasingly expectant that they’ll go to another position at #10–maybe on defense!

    * They will NOT develop the mythic Fisher power running game this year. They’ll get value out of Mason and Cunningham, but they will pass a lot. They’ll look for ways to complete passes over a mediocre OL … the SEA model.

    * The OL will remain mediocre this year, except perhaps for Robbie developing and Saffold remaining healthy.

    That’s what I am expecting. I think Fisher is building a far more QB-reliant team than the myth allows people to see.

    Will it work? I dunno. It’s scary to me, as risky as what Chip is doing in Philly. We’ll see.

    By virtue of the absurd ...

    #21308
    rfl
    Participant

    Foles is consistently very good in the short passing game, but inconsistent so far throwing deep.

    Numbers (plus some watching) say that Foles is very good at the short, ball control passing game AND very good when he gets rid of the ball quickly. If the Fisher offense continues as is, as we know they tend to mix ball control passing and power running and the whole time set up all kinds of big plays.

    I would cite this in support of what I just argued above.

    The thing is, you can have a short-passing game without consistent running. Sam did his best work a few years ago throwing underneath with a limited running game and suspect OL. Indeed, you can use a quick-throwing attack to offset weak OL problems WITHOUT running the ball too much.

    If you can run the ball, then of course it’s far better. But I don’t see them acting as if they are deeply committed to a running game.

    I suggest that we stop talking about a power running game until we see them assemble the OL to make one possible.

    Foles may be asked to carry the offense throwing quickly. And, with a great defense and improved WRs, this could be effective enough. Use Cook, Quick and Britt’s big bodies and Bailey’s route running with some Tavon thrown in. I bet they are counting on that a lot more than on developing a better than mediocre OL.

    By virtue of the absurd ...

    #21312
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    …The problem with this view again lies in the record. The WV postulate–that they know everything rides on the OL and will commit to solving it–is not playing out so far. Snead has made several substantive moves this off season. Only 1 has involved the OL, and that was for a guy projected as a BUP. The biggest FA acquisitions have been at SAM and DT. The THEORY is that they are trying to play the market shrewdly, but this is a risky strategy if you rate the value of the OL as highly as WV and most of us do….

    Well, we’ll see. It could be they sign Barksdale and Wiznewski
    and spend two of the first three picks on the OLine.

    I certainly was ‘hoping’ there would be a solid veteran Oline-starter
    signed by now. And it aint happened. Yet.

    w
    v

    • This reply was modified 9 years, 7 months ago by Avatar photowv.
    #21315
    rfl
    Participant

    Well, we’ll see. It could be they sign Barksdale and Wiznewski
    and spend two of the first three picks on the OLine.

    Indeed. And you know I’d be happy.

    Remember, I’m just reacting to the comment that the franchise direction is not based on the QB. And to me, the ACTIONS of the group so far indicate that they value the OL–and a true, power running game–less than they do these other resources. Even if they do as you say, they RISKED getting no one very good in a thin FA class for OL. They’ve already risked that.

    We’ll see on the draft. As you say. I would love to see us draft Scherf, though people say he’ll be gone. I’d love a true, #10-worthy OL pick.

    But I have this sneaking suspicion that that won’t happen.

    ‘Course, I was way off in my expectations regarding Sam’s fate … so what do I know?

    By virtue of the absurd ...

    #21318
    Avatar photowv
    Participant

    Well, we’ll see. It could be they sign Barksdale and Wiznewski
    and spend two of the first three picks on the OLine.

    Indeed. And you know I’d be happy.

    Remember, I’m just reacting to the comment that the franchise direction is not based on the QB. And to me, the ACTIONS of the group so far indicate that they value the OL–and a true, power running game–less than they do these other resources. Even if they do as you say, they RISKED getting no one very good in a thin FA class for OL. They’ve already risked that.

    We’ll see on the draft. As you say. I would love to see us draft Scherf, though people say he’ll be gone. I’d love a true, #10-worthy OL pick.

    But I have this sneaking suspicion that that won’t happen.

    ‘Course, I was way off in my expectations regarding Sam’s fate … so what do I know?

    Well…we both know what’s gonna happen
    if they ‘dont’ fix the Oline.

    And It wont be pretty.

    w
    v

    #21337
    Maddy
    Participant

    Well, if Bradford and Foles are both healthy for the whole year, I think Bradford’s better. But the cap room and the second rounder offset that a little bit. Foles has had success, but may need everything around him to be excellent for that to happen.

    Mark me down for a “yes” on the O-line, as in “we most likely need a superior offensive line in order to win a bunch of games. In fact, that might be the only thing lacking at this point – an excellent offensive line.” Maybe another CB. But for sure OL.

    It would be nice if we didn’t need three full positions filled, and if we didn’t probably have to rely on at least one rookie.

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