Recent Forum Topics › Forums › The Rams Huddle › Grayson, Hundley, Petty, Carden etc. … the qbs this year
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April 10, 2015 at 12:01 am #22486znModerator
from off the net
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jrry32
Garrett Grayson QB Colorado State
Analysis: Garrett Grayson does not have outstanding physical tools but he makes up for his average physical talent with great instincts, sound mechanics, and consistent ball placement. Grayson’s arm strength is middle of the pack and would likely be considered below average for a current NFL starter but it is adequate for the next level. Due to his polished footwork, he gets good zip on the majority of throws. Some of the deeper throws to the sideline can be tough for him. However, him and Nick Foles both are similar in terms of arm strength so Grayson’s arm is more than enough. Grayson really shines in ball placement. His polished footwork, throwing base, and upper body mechanics allow him to throw a very consistent ball. He is coming from a pro style offense so he’s used to throwing pro style routes and locates the football well especially on deep routes. Grayson also shows nice touch on the ball although he needs to do a better job of lofting it when trying to get over the LOS without a throwing lane as he had some issues in college with batted passes. Grayson also had a slight hitch in the back side of his throwing motion but has reportedly been working this off-season to clean that up.
Grayson’s poise under pressure, pocket presence, and pocket movement are some of the most impressive parts of his game. Grayson feels pressure and understands how to slide in the pocket to find and create space while still keeping his eyes down-field. Grayson also understands when to take a sack and protect the football. His OL was inconsistent so he dealt with quite a bit of pressure and has a lot of experience standing tall and making accurate throws with the knowledge that he’s about to get hit. He’s a very tough kid (played through an ankle injury during the season despite it visibly hobbling him in some games…and played well). Grayson also has flashed NFL caliber anticipation (seen him start his motion on quite a few NFL out routes before the WR has even began gearing down to make his break) although he needs to be more consistent with it, his timing, and his internal clock. Will throw late at times or hold onto the ball too long at times but this should improve with experience and coaching at the next level. Grayson has shown the ability to work through NFL style route combinations and progressions. He will hit the checkdown when nothing is there or throw it away when necessary. He’s a good decision maker that protects the ball. He needs to be more deceptive with his eyes as he will lock onto targets at times. Grayson also needs to be more consistent with his timing in moving through progressions. His mental processing speed looks great at times and at other times, he’s slow to come off his first read. But again, these are things that typically improve in the NFL. I like Grayson a lot as a prospect. I think he’s got the ability to develop into a starter for a team at the next level.
April 18, 2015 at 11:44 pm #22862znModeratorWill Rams take the QB plunge this year?
By Jim Thomas
Last year at this time, the Rams spanned the country evaluating quarterbacks in a private workout setting. They looked at all of them, or at least most of them — from Johnny Manziel to Aaron Murray and A.J. McCarron to Tom Savage — in what was regarded as a deep quarterback class.
The team planned to take a quarterback in the middle rounds. Some thought it could happen as early as Round 2 — in range for Derek Carr or Jimmy Garoppolo — if they picked up an extra second-rounder via trade.
Then the draft came and they did next to nothing. They made SMU’s Garrett Gilbert the 14th — and final — quarterback picked in the draft, selecting him late in the sixth round, No. 214 overall.
Gilbert didn’t make it out of training camp, spending part of the season on the practice squad before getting released from the practice squad Oct. 28. He’s now on New England’s offseason roster.
So as a Rams contingent headed by coach Jeff Fisher and general manager Les Snead fanned out on another quarterback workout tour this weekend, one question came to mind:
Do they mean it this year?
In other words, will they actually draft a quarterback with starter’s potential? From the Senior Bowl to the NFL Scouting Combine and on through the pro days and private workouts, the Rams once again have looked at just about every quarterback prospect who could walk and chew gum simultaneously this offseason.
At the NFC coaches breakfast last month in Phoenix, Fisher went on record as saying the team planned to draft a quarterback this year.
We’ve heard that before. After last year, seeing will be believing. Waiting until the 214th pick to select a QB makes it an afterthought. As a result the Rams missed out on a chance to groom a young quarterback behind injury-prone Sam Bradford.
With Bradford traded to Philadelphia in March, after an offseason of bluster from Fisher and Snead about how important he was to the team’s plans, the quarterback dynamic has changed at Rams Park. But the need to draft a quarterback with a future seems just as urgent.
Trouble is, the quarterback pool isn’t nearly as deep this year as in recent seasons. Not even close, actually, especially when you compare it to the 2014 draft.
“It’s just not a very good year — it just isn’t,” said former Rams assistant coach Rick Venturi, currently an NFL radio analyst based in Indianapolis. “It’s kind of swing and miss on that position.”
One thing seems obvious: If the Rams are going to dip into the quarterback pool this year, they better do it early.
If the Rams don’t take a QB in Round 2, they’re in danger of missing out on Bryce Petty of Baylor and Brett Hundley of UCLA. If they wait until Round 4 to go quarterback, they could miss out on Garrett Grayson of Colorado State and Sean Mannion of Oregon State.
When you add headliners Jameis Winston of Florida State and Marcus Mariota of Oregon, that makes six — and only six — quarterbacks worth getting even moderately excited about in this year’s draft.
The most interesting thing about this year’s Rams quarterback caravan is that it included both Winston and Mariota, who are expected to go 1-2, respectively, in the draft April 30.
Is this just a case of due diligence by the Rams in case one — or both — slides in the draft? Or are the Rams actually willing to trade up for one of the two? History tells us to expect just about anything from Fisher and Snead on draft day.
Headed by the blockbuster trade of the No. 2 overall pick in 2012 to Washington, the so-called RGIII trade, the Rams have made seven draft trades in their three previous drafts under Fisher and Snead.
Besides the deal that landed Washington quarterback Robert Griffin III, three other draft trades under Fisher and Snead have involved first-round picks:
• They traded down with Dallas in 2012, ending up with defensive tackle Michael Brockers and an extra second-rounder.
• They traded up with Buffalo for wide receiver Tavon Austin in 2013.
• They traded down with Atlanta, ending up with linebacker Alec Ogletree late in the first round and getting wide receiver Stedman Bailey in the third round, also in 2013.
It’s always difficult to know what’s truth or smokescreen, but it now appears likely this time around that Mariota will either be taken No. 2 overall by Tennessee, or someone will trade up to that spot for Mariota.
Could that team possibly be the Rams?
At various times this offseason, neither Snead nor Fisher have discounted that possibility even though the Rams don’t have many bargaining chips with just six picks this year.
“It’d probably take future picks,” Snead said way back in January.
At the owners meetings in March, Fisher called such a move-up for Mariota “highly unlikely,” but didn’t rule it out.
At a minimum it would probably take this year’s first-rounder, next year’s first-rounder and more to even reach the grown-up’s table for Mariota. One thing to keep in mind: Thanks to the Bradford trade, the Rams have an extra second-rounder in 2016 that they could use to sweeten the pot.
But more likely than not, the Rams will be deciding between Petty, Hundley, Grayson and Mannion. If they take the quarterback plunge, that is.
April 19, 2015 at 1:15 am #22865znModeratorNFL draft: A look at the quarterbacks
By Jim Thomas
CREAM OF THE CROP
Jameis Winston • Florida St., 6-4, 231
Lots of skill, but is he mature enough to succeed in the NFL?
Marcus Mariota • Oregon, 6-4, 222
Best athlete among QBs; must make adjustment to pro style.
Bryce Petty • Baylor, 6-3, 230
Also must transition from pinball-style spread offense to pros.
Brett Hundley • UCLA, 6-3, 226
Prototype size, arm strength; questionable pocket presence.
Garrett Grayson • Colorado St., 6-2, 213
Plays with poise, confidence; doesn’t have overwhelming skills.
DON’T OVERLOOK
Chris Bonner, Colorado State-Pueblo
Brandon Bridge, So. Alabama
Shane Carden, East Carolina
Connor Halliday, Washington St.
Sean Mannion, Oregon State
FUN FACT
Before transferring to South Alabama, Brandon Bridge picked up the nickname “Air Canada” at Alcorn State. He’s from Toronto.
QUOTABLE
“I don’t think this quarterback class is anywhere near some of the ones in the past, but I think (Winston and Mariota) are quality guys.”
—Arizona Cardinals coach Bruce Arians
RAMS NEEDS
All three quarterbacks on the current roster — Nick Foles, Case Keenum and Austin Davis — have contracts that expire after the 2015 season. (And that’s assuming Davis doesn’t get an outside offer as a restricted free agent. The deadline for such offers is April 24.) Even with his outstanding 2013 season in Philadelphia, Foles is far from a sure thing. So it seems imperative that the Rams add a quarterback via the draft, and take one early. Under that scenario, Keenum and Davis would battle for the No. 2 job in camp, with the drafted QB watching and learning.
RATING THE FIELD
As Arians mentioned above, this is a thin class devoid of starting-caliber talent. For that reason some of the second-tier QBs — a group that includes Petty, Hundley, Grayson and Mannion — could be pushed up a round or two in the draft. Winston and Mariota, who are expected to go 1-2 overall, are the only probable first-rounders.
April 19, 2015 at 2:33 pm #22874wvParticipantESPN NFL Insider Mike Sando went to Orlando, Florida, to watch Jon Gruden’s QB Camp taping with Colorado State quarterback Garrett Grayson. Sando has written, in Gruden’s voice, Gruden’s biggest takeaways from the interview and throwing sessions.
You can see Gruden’s episode with Grayson Saturday at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN.
1. Mental quickness within a pro-style mindset is what separates Grayson from the others.
This guy has had a vast amount of training and is further along than most guys I’ve met in the last 3-4 years because of Steve Fairchild and the staff Jim McElwain had at Colorado State. Grayson has had a different type of training, being with two different guys who have been in the NFL. He is very quick mentally, and he just knows what I’m talking about. We covered four hours of film in an hour. You can cover a week’s worth of football in a day with him.
Grayson has great recall. As soon as a play came up on the tape we watched together, he knew what it was. He could remember every single aspect of the play. The game-winner against Boston College, he found his fifth option on a route they had never even run before. That is a dead route. He threw the dead route on the biggest play in Colorado State history. He just has unbelievable recall, a photographic mind. That is impressive. He is obviously wired into this stuff pretty good. I like him a lot.
2. His arm isn’t going to blow you away.
Grayson does not try to overpower you with the ball. You can tell he is more interested in location. He did not spin it great at our workout, but these were not great balls, either. Overall, he is pretty accurate. He did great in the key drill. I just think he is what you are looking for. Quick-minded as can be. Can kill a play, no problem. Opposite, ringo, lucky, laser, razor — he makes all the calls. And he runs 4.7 and has 10½-inch hands and can play in bad weather. He is a great kid, too.
3. Grayson’s draft stock could be a lot higher than people realize.
A team with an offense that wants to do a lot of things is going to like Grayson. I’m not talking about a zone-read, dive-option offense. I’m talking about a team that wants to do what New England is doing in preparing Jimmy Garoppolo after taking him early in the 2014 second round. I could see this guy going in the second round — easily. I would be shocked if he isn’t taken that early. I could even see him sneaking into the first round when you look at a lot of the teams that need quarterbacks.
His stock will be rising, especially after he had a great pro day. He didn’t run in Indianapolis. He was MVP of the Senior Bowl. If you are not real careful with this kid, he will get off the mat and kick your butt. He just won’t quit. Ask Boston College. He will gray shirt, he will redshirt, he will go to his home in Vancouver, Washington, catch a salmon, come back and kick your butt. He did it against Washington State; he did it against Utah State.
4. Three kinds of quickness matter a great deal for quarterbacks, and Grayson has a head start on the most important one.
We talk about the three kinds of quickness: the mental quickness, the arm quickness and the foot quickness. He has the mental quickness, and that is the hardest quickness to achieve. You can get a quarterback coach who can increase the quickness of your arm. We did a couple of drills to work on quickening Grayson’s release. You can get your feet a little quicker by working plyometrics and things like that. To have this type of mental quickness at this stage of the game is going to serve him very well. He can take what is inside out onto the field, no problem.
#1Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 04/18/2015 02:44PM by Rams43.
- This reply was modified 9 years, 8 months ago by wv.
April 19, 2015 at 2:57 pm #22876PA RamParticipantI would hate to see the Rams reach for a QB in the second round at the expense of another player. Getting Foles saved them from reaching for a guy early, IMO. If it was Bradford, Davis and Keenum they might have to roll the dice and hope. Of course Foles CAN get hurt, but he doesn’t have Bradford’s history at least. And this group of QBs doesn’t make you stand up and take notice. Last year was the year to grab one and they didn’t(not counting Gilbert). This year these guys will go higher than they deserve. But I would not take one in round two even if that means missing on Petty or Hundley or Mannion. I’d even be iffy in round 3 but we’ll see what it looks like.
Sometimes positions just don’t fall your way for a particular draft.
It’s a great wide receiver draft and a good lineman draft. That’s where I’d look.
- This reply was modified 9 years, 8 months ago by PA Ram.
"Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away. " Philip K. Dick
April 19, 2015 at 3:19 pm #22878znModeratorPA…still need you to respond to my query. Thanks.
April 19, 2015 at 3:25 pm #22879bnwBlockedI would hate to see the Rams reach for a QB in the second round at the expense of another player. Getting Foles saved them from reaching for a guy early, IMO. If it was Bradford, Davis and Keenum they might have to roll the dice and hope. Of course Foles CAN get hurt, but he doesn’t have Bradford’s history at least. And this group of QBs doesn’t make you stand up and take notice. Last year was the year to grab one and they didn’t(not counting Gilbert). This year these guys will go higher than they deserve. But I would not take one in round two even if that means missing on Petty or Hundley or Mannion. I’d even be iffy in round 3 but we’ll see what it looks like.
Sometimes positions just don’t fall your way for a particular draft.
It’s a great wide receiver draft and a good lineman draft. That’s where I’d look.
Offensive line and wide receiver picks make most sense for need and perceived quality in this draft class so I agree and hope for Foles to remain healthy.
The upside to being a Rams fan is heartbreak.
Sprinkles are for winners.
April 19, 2015 at 4:44 pm #22880PA RamParticipantPA…still need you to respond to my query. Thanks.
Check your email.
"Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away. " Philip K. Dick
April 19, 2015 at 5:08 pm #22881znModeratorPA…still need you to respond to my query. Thanks.
Check your email.
Oh. That thing where you rant on about how HG Wells was right. (About what, is not said.)
Um. Okay. Uh. Thanks.
April 19, 2015 at 6:24 pm #22882InvaderRamModeratori just wonder what weinke thinks of these quarterbacks.
specifically hundley. he’s tempting if only cuz he’d likely be available in the second round.
i also wonder how much weinke’s opinion counts for.
April 25, 2015 at 8:34 pm #23148znModeratorRating the NFL draft prospects: Quarterbacks
By Bob McGinn of the Journal Sentinel
The Journal Sentinel’s Bob McGinn assesses the top quarterbacks in next week’s draft. Included is each player’s height, weight, 40-yard dash time and projected round.
1. MARCUS MARIOTA, Oregon (6-3 ½, 222, 4.45, 1): Captured 2014 Heisman Trophy with the second-largest margin of victory ever. “He has a strong arm,” one scout said. “He throws on the move as well as anybody I’ve seen. Mechanics are good. He threw three interceptions this year. Only negative is he carries the ball loose and he has fumbled. He’s got the athletic ability to be an all-time great.” Posted a 36-5 record and 121.3 passer rating (128.4 in ’14) on the NFL scale. “He’s like a better Colin Kaepernick,” another scout said. “This guy is smarter and farther along.” Fourth-year junior was lightly recruited out of Honolulu. Tied Brett Hundley for best vertical jump (36 inches) among QBs and had the best 20-yard shuttle (6.87). His 40 time wasn’t as good as Michael Vick’s 4.33 in 2001 or Robert Griffin III’s 4.36 in 2012, but it was easily the fastest at the position this year. “I would much rather have this guy than Winston,” a third scout said. “At least you’re going to get the best he has all the time.” Also rushed for 2,237 yards (6.6-yard average) and 29 touchdowns. “Ben (Roethlisberger) took everything in shotgun at Miami (Ohio), too,” a fourth scout said. “He doesn’t have Ben’s arm. I do like a lot of things he brings to the table. But that running thing in the NFL? The guy (Griffin III) who plays for the Redskins found out that doesn’t work.” Scored 33 on the 50-question Wonderlic intelligence test.
2. JAMEIS WINSTON, Florida State (6-4, 231, 4.96, 1):Third-year sophomore won the Heisman Trophy in 2013 for the national champion Seminoles. “He’s an unbelievable competitor,” said one scout. “The football stuff, he embraces that. He’s not a great athlete, but he has great instincts, awareness and a knack in the pocket. He’s not going to dominate you just off pure physical ability. He will beat you with his mind, his patience. He sees things at a rate that a lot of good quarterbacks in the league take four, five years to see.” Engineered numerous fourth-quarter come-from-behind victories in posting a 26-1 record and passer rating of 107.9. Better in 2013 (125.8) than in ’14 (93.2), when his interception count swelled from 10 to 18. “I’ve seen too many interceptions,” another scout said. “He’s your drop-back guy, but he’s got that long release. It kind of reminds me of the guy who used to play for Marshall (Byron Leftwich).” Played right field for FSU in 2013 and served as the closer in ’14, using a mid-90s fastball to post a 1.94 earned run average in 60 career innings. “Jameis has gotten too big,” said a third scout. “In high school (Bessemer, Ala.) he was a quick-twitch athlete. Now he’s kind of sluggish.” Posted dismal workout numbers at the combine. “I had no idea he’d run that poorly,” a fourth scout said. “Quarterbacks without leg explosiveness have a terrible history. I don’t like his off-field and I don’t like the way he conducts himself on the field sometimes.” Wonderlic of 27.
3. BRYCE PETTY, Baylor (6-3, 229, 4.83, 2): Battling to surpass Robert Griffin as coach Art Briles’ best NFL QB. “He plays in a kid’s offense, like a Thanksgiving Day game offense,” one scout said. “He’s going to have to be retooled. He’s got size, feet, quickness of release, a strong arm. How long will it take to reshape him?” Never called a play for the Bears in Briles’ high-octane, simplistic, shotgun attack. “I remember Art saying he’s a better passer than Griffin and a similar athlete but not as fast,” a second scout said. “If you’re an athlete, don’t you think you can get under center? Problem is, everybody wants instant success today.” Two-year starter from Midlothian, Texas. Played with a bad back most of 2014. Passer rating was 114.3. “He’s Christian Ponder-like with a better arm,” a third scout said. “Somebody’s trying to create something there. I’m not going to rule out that he won’t start some games. But then people will realize he has some deficiencies.” Wonderlic of 31. Said a fourth scout: “He’s accurate deep — at times. In a quarterback-friendly system he’s not very accurate (62.7%).”
4. BRETT HUNDLEY, UCLA (6-3, 227, 4.63, 2): Fourth-year junior with 40 starts. “He has the physical tools,” one scout said. “Got a strong arm. Yes, he’ll be a starter at some point. It’s not a refined talent. Probably not unlike a Blake Bortles. He can be developed.” Biggest knock is accuracy. “He’s a running back playing quarterback, OK?” another scout said. Surpassed 100 passer rating all three seasons for resurgent Bruins, finishing at 103.7. Added 1,747 rushing yards and 30 TDs. According to one scout, his pro-day workout was the best of the leading QBs. “I wonder about how coachable this guy is,” another scout said. “There’s a lot of ability there.” Wonderlic of 26. From Chandler, Ariz.
5. GARRETT GRAYSON, Colorado State (6-2 ½, 214, 4.75, 3-4):Started 35 games during an injury-riddled four-year career. “Good processor of the game,” one scout said. “Got a pretty quick mind. Average physical characteristics. At best he becomes a guy like Jon Kitna or (Ryan) Fitzpatrick. That’s not a negative. I see him better than Matt Flynn.” Broke his collarbone three times. Passer rating of 97.1. “Pocket guy,” another scout said. “Little better athlete than you think. He can at least escape the rush and get the ball off under duress.” Wonderlic of 20. From Vancouver, Wash. “He’s average, at best,” said a third scout. “Career backup probably.”
6. SEAN MANNION, Oregon State (6-5 ½, 226, 5.10, 4-5): Started 43 of 47 games, rewriting the Beavers’ record book in a prostyle offense. His 13,600 passing yards rank eighth in Division I annals. “He spins a really good deep ball,” one scout said. “He’s very accurate and incredibly smart (Wonderlic of 40). People will knock him because of his 40 time, but he’s got good enough feet to move around and slide in the pocket. I just like his presence.” Coach’s son from Pleasanton, Calif. Beavers were just 5-7 in 2014. Passer rating is 89.5. “Long, slow delivery,” another scout said. “He reminds me of Derek Anderson, who came out of Oregon State 10 years ago. He’s everybody’s backup. This kid is so smart, he’s playing to every bit of his ability.”
7. CODY FAJARDO, Nevada (6-1 ½, 223, 4.58, 6-7): Four-year starter with passer rating of 91.3. Rushed for a whopping 3,482 yards (5.5) and 44 TDs in a pistol offense. “He took over for Kaepernick,” one scout said. “He’s a better pure passer than Kaepernick but not as big or strong. Really a nice athlete. But he’s short and hot and cold.” Wonderlic of 31. “Not really an established or consistent passer,” another scout said. “Somebody that you could develop because of the athletic traits.” From Brea, Calif.
8. CONNOR HALLIDAY, Washington State (6-3, 196, 4.9, 7-FA):Started for 2½ seasons and had an 88.2 passer rating. “He’s got a talented arm,” one scout said. “Plays in a wide-open system. He’s smart enough (Wonderlic of 22). He’ll need a little bit of work on his footwork, but he’s got enough to take a shot on.” Suffered a broken ankle Nov. 1 and still can’t work for scouts. “He finds the open guy well at times but then he throws into coverage too often,” another scout said. “Nobody there was sorry to see him go. I can’t find anybody there that liked this guy.” Out of Spokane, Wash.
9. SHANE CARDEN, East Carolina (6-2, 218, 4.92, 7-FA): Three-year starter with a passer rating of 99.5. Same size as Brett Favre and bears facial resemblance. “He reminds me of Favre,” one scout said. “He’s got some swagger. Really good leadership ability. His physical skill is OK. Some quarterback coach is going to love him because of what’s in his heart and between his ears (Wonderlic of 25).” From Houston. “I like his mind,” said another scout. “Physically, I don’t think he’s going to have the arm.”
10. ANTHONY BOONE, Duke (6-0, 218, 4.95, 7-FA): Made one start behind Sean Renfree in 2012 before becoming a two-year starter. “He’s won a lot of games,” one scout said. “He’s short. Just an average passer. He’s a camp quarterback that doesn’t really have enough up side.” Posted a passer rating of 79.9. Wonderlic of 20. From Weddington, N.C.
OTHERS: Brandon Bridge, South Alabama; Bryan Bennett, Southeastern Louisiana; Taylor Heinicke, Old Dominion; Jerry Lovelocke, Prairie View A&M; Blake Sims, Alabama.
April 25, 2015 at 8:40 pm #23165znModeratorRating the NFL draft prospects: Quarterbacks
By Bob McGinn of the Journal Sentinel
from off the net
==
jrry32
Keep in mind that McGinn’s piece warned us about RGIII back when the media tricked a lot of us (including me) into believing he was a high character guy.
“He (RGIII) has better arm action and is more accurate with his deep ball, but he’s not as good as Cam Newton,” a fourth scout said. “As much as is written about his athleticism, his athleticism under duress in the pocket isn’t even close to Cam Newton’s. This guy, the only way he gets big plays with his feet is if he’s got a wide-open field and the sea opens for him. He’s got a little bit of a selfish streak, too. Everybody was laying on Cam, but for some reason this guy has become gloves off. He doesn’t treat anybody good.” Another scout also questioned the way Griffin deals with people.
I still think Winston, Mariota, and Grayson are the guys to come away with in this class.
April 25, 2015 at 10:40 pm #23166AgamemnonParticipantApril 27, 2015 at 10:03 am #23217znModeratorMcGinn is the new Rick Gosselin. Gosselin had good connections within the league.
Yeah he’s good, a must read.
Then of course there’s also this.
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A closer look at the ‘other’ quarterbacks and the Rams
By Nick Wagoner
EARTH CITY, Mo. — The standard perception among NFL draft pundits is that this year’s quarterback class is limited to the two stars at the top of the list: Florida State’s Jameis Winston and Oregon’s Marcus Mariota.
Our group at Scouts, Inc. has the biggest drop off from No. 2 (Mariota) to No. 3 (Baylor’s Bryce Petty) in terms of grades in any draft class over the past decade. Mariota has a grade of 93 and Petty checks in at 71.
And while that might be a good reason to believe the quarterback class doesn’t offer much besides a whole lot of questions after that top duo, there’s also some statistical history that would indicate there might be value to be found beyond Winston and Mariota. That could be good news for the St. Louis Rams, a team that has made clear its interest in quarterbacks but doesn’t have the draft position to land either of the top two.
To wit, courtesy of ESPN Stats & Information:
Half of the quarterbacks taken in the second and third rounds between 2011 and 2014 are projected starters in 2015. It’s a list that includes Seattle’s Russell Wilson, San Francisco’s Colin Kaepernick and the Rams’ Nick Foles, among others.
Since 2011, quarterbacks taken in the second or third rounds have combined for a better record, total QBR and more than double the playoff wins than first rounders taken in that span.
Each of the past three Super Bowls has featured a starting quarterback taken in the second or third round.
Of course, nothing is guaranteed when it comes to any players in the draft, especially quarterbacks. The Rams find themselves in a position where they’re very interested in quarterbacks but will have no shot at Winston or Mariota. Which means they could be in the market to take the next signal-caller available. In addition to the top two, they’ve worked out Petty, UCLA’s Brett Hundley, Colorado State’s Garrett Grayson and Oregon State’s Sean Mannion.
With that in mind, let’s take a look at the next tier of quarterbacks after Mariota and Winston (all statistical tidbits courtesy of ESPN Stats & Information):
Bryce Petty
Petty put up video game numbers for Baylor and possesses better-than-advertised athleticism and perhaps the strongest arm of the rest of the group. He led all FBS quarterbacks last season with 20 touchdown passes on throws 20 yards or longer, with 13 of those traveling 30 yards or longer in the air. Only four other FBS quarterbacks completed more than 13 throws of that distance all season. In the past two seasons, Petty was one of three quarterbacks in a Power 5 conference to complete at least 60 percent of his throws combined with an average air yards distance of 10-plus yards.
Of course, with Petty, the biggest question will always be whether he was merely a product of the Baylor system. He played only 48 snaps with five pass attempts from under center last season. It wasn’t until the Senior Bowl in January that Petty actually had to get a play call, spit it out in a huddle then execute it, which could make for an extremely steep learning curve in the NFL.
Garrett Grayson
Aside from Winston, one could argue Grayson is the most polished pocket passer in the draft. He threw 31 touchdowns and five interceptions from the pocket last season. He was second among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts in yards per attempt (10.0), third in touchdown-interception differential and first in 20-plus-yard plays (60).
The question with Grayson is whether his success was a function of playing lower-level competition. Grayson faced only three opponents with a top-40 defensive efficiency (Boise State, Utah State and Utah) last season. He threw three touchdowns and three interceptions in those games and was sacked 13 times of the 26 he had all season in those contests. In the 10 other games, he had 29 touchdowns against just four interceptions.
Brett Hundley
Hundley probably isn’t far behind Mariota when it comes to speed, athleticism and running ability. He had 510 scrambling yards on third down alone in 2014 and escaped pressure 18 times for gains of at least 10 yards. From 2012-2014, only Johnny Manziel exceeded that production on the ground.
On the other side of that, Hundley leaned on his escapability a little too much. He took 125 sacks in his career for the Bruins, 26 more than any other FBS quarterback during that time. He was sacked 75 times when facing four or fewer rushers, most among Power 5 conference quarterbacks since the start of 2012.
Sean Mannion
In terms of pure look, perhaps no quarterback looks the part more than Mannion, who uses that size to his advantage and stands firm in the pocket to excel against the blitz. Since the start of 2013, Mannion threw 27 of his 52 touchdown passes when facing five-plus pass-rushers. Only Winston had more in that time.
But Mannion’s production dipped in 2014 after watching as Brandin Cooks took his talent to the NFL. Mannion’s total QBR dropped by 26.1 points from his junior to senior seasons, the second-largest decrease among FBS quarterbacks.
Mannion completed 74.1 percent of his passes with an average of 10.6 yards per attempt when targeting Cooks in his career. Without Cooks, those numbers dropped to a 62.9 percent completion rate with an average of 6.9 yards per attempt to all other wideouts
April 28, 2015 at 2:11 am #23252AgamemnonParticipantOregon St.'s Sean Mannion 3rd-rated QB on few boards. Big (6-5.5, 230). Improved footwork, Productive. Gym rat. Coach's son. Highest FB IQ
— Chris Mortensen (@mortreport) April 28, 2015
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