Recent Forum Topics › Forums › The Rams Huddle › defensive numbers last 5 games (this is amazing)
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December 1, 2014 at 12:42 pm #12780znModerator
Last 5 games = SF, ARZ, Denver, SD, Oakland
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What I do is look at various stats and calculate the averages for the last 5 games. I then rank the averages as if these numbers held for all 12 games.POINTS ALLOWED: 15
RANK: 1stPASS ATTEMPTS: 42
RANK: 1st, which means the most againstCOMPLETION PERCENTAGE: 67.3%
RANK: 29thPASSING YARDS: 275
RANK: 31stYARDS PER ATTEMPT: 6.5
RANK: 11thSACK PERCENTAGE: 10.4%
RANK: tied for 1stTURNOVERS PER GAME: 2.6
RANK: 1STRUSHING YARDS: 65
RANK: 1stYARDS PER RUSH: 3.38
RANK: 2ndTHIRD DOWN CONVERSION PERCENTAGE: 30.4%
RANK: 1ST—
So if those numbers held for 12 games and we could do comparative rankings, then, the Rams would be
– at the bottom of the league in pass attempts against and completion percentage, BUT 11th in yards per pass.
– mostly 1st but one 2nd in points allowed, sack percentage, yards rushing allowed, yards per rush allowed, turnovers, and third down conversion percentage.
You know, being 1st in points allowed, turnovers, and sack percentage combined? Wow that’s really something.
Now if they can start next year picking up from here…that would be nice.
December 1, 2014 at 1:06 pm #12784Isiah58ParticipantThe last time a Rams’ opponent hiked the ball in the Red Zone against the Rams at home was Seattle back in mid-October.
“Marge, don't discourage the boy! Weaseling out of things is important to learn. It's what separates us from the animals! Except the weasel.” - Homer Simpson
December 3, 2014 at 3:13 pm #12918znModeratorRam Bytes: The Gregg Williams defense is rolling
Bernie Miklasz
Good afternoon.
Here are some notes on my Rams’ flip card:
1. Over their last five games, the Rams defense has played at the level we envisioned when coach Jeff Fisher hired Gregg Williams to as the defensive coordinator. It took the players a while to adjust to the Williams system, but it looks like the fellows have gotten comfortable.
Here’s a list of where the Rams rank among NFL defenses in some key categories since Nov. 2 (five games):
– No. 1 in most takeaways, 13.
– No. 2 in sacks, 22.
– Tied for No. 2 in fewest touchdowns allowed from scrimmage, with six.
– No. 2 in rushing defense, 65 yards per game.
– No. 3 in allowing opponents a third-down conversion rate of 30.4 pct.
– No. 5 in average yards per rushing attempt, 3.39.
The Rams defense still has some problems in pass coverage. The most glaring example of that was San Diego quarterback Philip Rivers, who made it look easy in picking apart the Rams soft coverage from late in the second quarter through the rest of the game.
Because of Rivers’ easy carving, I was disappointed by the play of the defense in that 27-24 loss to the Chargers. (And the Chargers also averaged 5.8 yards per rush in that one.) But looking at it in retrospect, the Rams limited the San Diego to two touchdowns from scrimmage. And the Rams’ defense scored a TD on the pick-six INT by Janoris Jenkins. So the actual damage wasn’t as bad as the numbers on the stat sheet.
Moreover, the Rams’ average yield of 6.98 yards per passing attempt ranks 14th in the NFL since Nov. 2. So we’re still talking about a slightly above-average rate there. Moreover, the Rams’ harassment of quarterbacks — exemplified by those 22 sacks — is a factor in their total of seven interceptions over the last five games. Only four teams have more INTs over that time.
Here’s the bottom line: the Rams have allowed an average of only 10.8 points from scrimmage over the past five games. And while it’s always possible to improve, you can’t ask for much more than that.
After a 1-4 start the Rams have gone 4-3, and the defensive turnaround is a prime factor in the better results.
After a slow start to the season, the Rams’ defense is aggressive, disruptive and a pain in the neck, back and arse to face. And that’s exactly what we anticipated with Williams in charge.
2. The reemergence of defensive end Robert Quinn has been a significant development for the defense. I don’t pay attention to the pass-rush stats that come from the Rams’ offices; I believe they’re inflated. So I turn to Pro Football Focus for a more objective measure. And according to PFF, Quinn has nine sacks, five QB hits, and 17 QB hurries over his last seven games. That’s 31 total pressures for Quinn in those seven contests.
3. We’ve talked about rookie defensive tackle Aaron Donald a lot in this corner, and excuse me while I do it again. Donald is now 12 games into his first NFL seasons, and right now Pro Football Focus has him rated No. 1 among all NFL defensive tackles. Donald is ranked No. 2 in run stops, has six sacks and 28 QB pressures, and grades out better overall than Ndamukong Suh, Gerald McCoy or any DT that you’d care to mention. And this young tiger is still learning the league … imagine how Donald will play after he gains more experience. GM Les Snead and Coach Fisher hit it big when choosing Donald 13th overall in May’s draft.
4. It’s time to talk about (again) another of our favorite players on the 2014 Rams. That would be rookie cornerback E.J. Gaines, from Mizzou. And yes, we’d like Gaines, anyway — just because of the Mizzou connection. But his performance has gone way beyond the scope of the obligatory local rooting interest. Gaines is getting better … and better … and better. According to Pro Football Focus, when opposing teams have targeted Gaines this season they have a passer rating of 77.6. And the quarterbacks have averaged 6.7 yards per passing attempt when going after Gaines. He’s been beaten for one TD pass, and has two INTs. Based on the PFF rankings of pass coverage, Gaines is No. 20 among NFL cornerbacks. And check this out: PFF rates Gaines at No. 8 among NFL corners in run stops.
5. Look, I’m not suggesting that E.J. Gaines is the next Roger Wehrli, a great CB at Mizzou who was voted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame after a fabulous career with the NFL team in St. Louis. But what Gaines is doing here is awfully impressive. And we’d say that if Gaines was the 18th overall pick in the draft. But he was the 188th overall selection, chosen in the 6th round. And that only adds to the admiration we have for Gaines — the player and the person.
6. The Rams apparently have found their slot receiver in Stedman Bailey. This is a small sample from PFF, but when Bailey runs a route from the slot, he’s been targeted 10 times, and he’s caught all 10 passes for 117 yards and a touchdown. That means the Rams’ QB has a passer rating of 148.7 when they go to Bailey as a slot receiver. Overall, Bailey has been targeted 28 times this season and has 20 receptions. That 71.4 percent catch rate is very good.
7. A couple of weeks ago, we talked about the breakaway capability of rookie Rams running back Tre Mason. And after Mason’s big game in the 52-0 win over Oakland, I can update update a statistic from Pro Football Focus. Mason has 569 yards rushing so far, and 257 of the 569 have come on runs that have gained 15+ yards. Among NFL backs that have played at least 25 percent of the snaps this season, Mason’s breakaway percentage of 45.2 percent is the best in the league.
(Explanation: 45.2 percent of Mason’s total yards have been accumulated on 15+ runs. That 89-yarder against Oakland certainly inflated Mason’s percentage … but even before that Mason had one of the top breakaway percentages in the NFL.)
8. I guess it’s fair to say that the Rams won the RG III trade. We may write more on this later in the week; obviously the Rams have benefited from the draft-pick bonanza they received in exchange for the rights to select QB Robert Griffin III. Injuries have badly diminished the benched Griffin, who is 4-14 as a starter since the start of the 2013 season. But one aspect of the trade I didn’t expect: neither Washington or St. Louis has an established franchise quarterback in place.
December 3, 2014 at 3:42 pm #12921DakParticipantThe Donald pick was huge. I think most of us, if not all of us, thought he would become a disruptive force on the interior of the D-line. But, I for one did not foresee that he would provide that type of element immediately. DTs are supposed to take a few years to hit their stride, right? I guess the only knock on him was his size, but sometimes, talent trumps size.
December 3, 2014 at 3:52 pm #12923wvParticipantRam Bytes: The Gregg Williams defense is rolling
Bernie Miklasz
…The Rams defense still has some problems in pass coverage. The most glaring example of that was San Diego quarterback Philip Rivers, who made it look easy in picking apart the Rams soft coverage from late in the second quarter through the rest of the game…
Yeah, I cant say I’m totally sold on the D,
based on what i saw Rivers do to it. He
carved it up, rather easily.So how do we plug ‘that’ fact
into the stats and evaluation ?I know the D is now “good” but it
aint hardly “great” thats for sure.Maybe it will be, we’ll see.
The trajectory is certainly
encouraging.w
vDecember 3, 2014 at 4:07 pm #12925rflParticipantThe defense’s uneven performance is hard to assess, IMO.
I don’t see how anyone could deny that it has improved over the last 5-6 games. Now, to beat my personal favorite dead horse, this raises the question of why they sucked for the first 5-6 games.
But, setting that aside, are they playing better or are they emerging into elite level performance?
I find that hard to gauge. Of course, the DEN game was a triumph. But, Manning does go into funks against good defenses. Even the best teams can have off days now and then. Confirmation requires more quality performances.
The OAK game would seem to offer that. But OAK simply stinks too badly, especially when they get their heads down as they obviously did in the game.
The 2 games that raise serious questions, for me, are the AZ and SD games. Especially the SD game. We didn’t follow up the DEN game as we should have. Yeah, we “almost won” … but our defense stank in that game. It reverted to the bad days of the early season. I tend to think it had mainly to do with Williams’ game plan. But, we just can’t know that.
We need to see consistency. And the last 5-6 games have not shown consistency. Not just wins and losses, but defensive performance. It’s been up and down.
The next few games will tell the tale. If we throttle WASH and AZ–as we should–on a consistent basis, then I will not quibble over the strength of the opposition. I am looking for consistency. When I see it, THEN I will start acknowledging that we are emerging into elite status.
Not before. Roller-coaster performances are not the signs of an elite defense.
By virtue of the absurd ...
December 3, 2014 at 4:08 pm #12926DakParticipantRam Bytes: The Gregg Williams defense is rolling
Bernie Miklasz
…The Rams defense still has some problems in pass coverage. The most glaring example of that was San Diego quarterback Philip Rivers, who made it look easy in picking apart the Rams soft coverage from late in the second quarter through the rest of the game…
Yeah, I cant say I’m totally sold on the D,
based on what i saw Rivers do to it. He
carved it up, rather easily.So how do we plug ‘that’ fact
into the stats and evaluation ?I know the D is now “good” but it
aint hardly “great” thats for sure.Maybe it will be, we’ll see.
The trajectory is certainly
encouraging.w
vI agree that was a bad game, and I wonder if that was a scheme issue or just an example of not being able to beat the Chargers’ offensive line consistently. I think this D will have trouble with any team that has a quality, healthy, stable offensive line. Add a veteran QB to that mix, and it’s even bigger trouble.
- This reply was modified 9 years, 11 months ago by Dak.
December 3, 2014 at 4:23 pm #12930wvParticipantI agree that was a bad game, and I wonder if that was a scheme issue or just an example of not being able to beat the Chargers’ offensive line consistently. I think this D will have trouble with any team that has a quality, healthy, stable offensive line. Add a veteran QB to that mix, and it’s even bigger trouble.
Yeah, the D has definitely improved dramatically
and the “light has gone on” and all…and its great
to see…but there’s still somethin not quite right
about this D. GW seems to have trouble with QBs
that can manage the game, patiently, with short
zingers.w
vDecember 3, 2014 at 8:12 pm #12944c1ramParticipantRivers was masterful in that game. He got it out quickly in 3-step drops and looked ten times better than the slower Manning the previous week. He’s just an underrated QB, imo.
December 4, 2014 at 11:40 pm #13032znModeratorfrom off the net
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Mojo Ram
with the exception of Stanton’s skewed numbers(in relief of Palmer) the Rams haven’t allowed a QB rating over 100 since the Seattle game(which we won anyway).
In the last six games….
-The Rams D has allowed only 4 TD passes.
-Rams have 7 INT’s.
-Average QB rating last six games: 84.5
-Rams have 24 sacks(4/gm avg)
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