Recent Forum Topics › Forums › The Rams Huddle › Rams to LA? Miklasz, others, and discussion
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August 28, 2014 at 11:22 am #5369rflParticipant
In the news recap post there’s a link to an article by Bernie (link). I know many of you have problems with Bernie, but I think he often makes sense.
In this case, I think he makes a lot of sense:
Bernie: A 4-12 season by the Rams in 2014 could all but kill off the remaining fan interest. I’m probably guilty of overstating that; of course the diehards will continue to support the Rams. But of this I’m certain: Another bad season won’t grow fan interest in Kroenke’s business.
I mean, I dunno from LA. Who knows what to think of a 30 year old stadium morass?
What I do think we know is that the Rams’ place in StL is precarious. Let’s review: they move to StL and suck for years. Then they catch lightning in a bottle and win a title … after which they go back in the tank for record-setting years of futility.
I don’t know that the Rams have ever established a firm fan base to the degree necessary to survive a long, long string of failure. I also suspect that the fan base in the town is not strong enough to hang onto the team if Kroenke goes looking for higher franchise value. I mean, they are valued lowest of all NFL franchises. And I don’t see how the stadium issue in StL gets resolved without firm and unwavering fan support.
That’s why I have said before that this is a crucial year for the franchise. It’s Year 3, and that doesn’t just mean die hards like us being impatient. I really sense that the foundation on which the franchise is based in StL will seriously crumble if they are once again playing meaningless games in November, let alone December.
I mean, think about it. With Bradford hurt again, what is the ticket demand going to be for home games from fans disillusioned by years of frustration? Who is going to care about the rest of the season if they go, say 3-6? Who is going to have any faith in later seasons when, suddenly, after having a franchise QB we look at long term uncertainty at that position? I foresee lots of opposition fans buying up unwanted seats for Ram games.
This is Year 3 of a regime that promised a way out of the wilderness. But it’s also Year 25 or whatever the number is (I’m horrible at numbers) of Ram futility, and the buzz of the GSOT has long dwindled to nothing. The roots in the StL fan base just aren’t deep enough to survive yet another reset.
I have believed all along that we needed a winning year THIS YEAR to stabilize the franchise. Now, there’s good reason to think that won’t happen. Good enough reason to drive StL fans further away, at any rate.
I’m not offering despair here. The franchise MIGHT survive in the city. And I do see possibilities with this year’s team, though I am nowhere near as optimistic as Mac and others.
But I’ll tell you what. They better win AT LEAST the 1st 2 home games. They have to prove to StL fans right away that there is reason to hope. They cannot afford to restart the season after 4 bad games as they did last year.
This is the year. A great deal is riding on this team producing THIS YEAR. And the toughness of the division or the injured QB ain’t going to cut it as excuses.
Another losing season may or may not mean that Fish is fired. But it is going to be a gawdawful blow to the franchise. I find it hard to see it surviving in StL.
By virtue of the absurd ...
August 28, 2014 at 12:52 pm #5384wvParticipantI ‘get’ that view, but the flip-side
is they just lost their starting QB
and they play in the toughest division in the NFL.So, i dunno. What is ‘realistic’ at this point?
I dunno.
Maybe a team that fights-like-hell,
and brings a ferocious crazed-dog-defense
and efficient offense, and skilled
special teams. I think fans would
appreciate that. Maybe.w
vAugust 28, 2014 at 1:12 pm #5386rflParticipantWhat is ‘realistic’ at this point?
I dunno.
Maybe a team that fights-like-hell,
and brings a ferocious crazed-dog-defense
and efficient offense, and skilled
special teams. I think fans would
appreciate that. Maybe.w
vSure. The team might very well earn respect, and, yes, that would support the franchise in StL. Absolutely. There’s opportunity here. There always is in times of duress. And as I say, I can just imagine them having a good season anyway. It isn’t a hail Mary long shot. I dunno … a 35% chance of a wining season? Maybe a 65% chance of playing well enough with limitations that people will appreciate it as you say?
All I am saying is that IF they collapse this year, the consequences will be dire for the franchise. And by the way, a scrappy, tough 7-9 season will only console die hards. Casual fans won’t care. They’ll just see another losing season.
By virtue of the absurd ...
August 28, 2014 at 11:16 pm #5429GreatRamNTheSkyParticipantAugust 29, 2014 at 12:40 am #5435MackeyserModeratorI don’t care where they play. So I don’t want to be seen as taking sides. That’s not my role or why I’m posting in this thread.
I do see some obvious things, obvious to me, anyway, that I want to share.
1) the sale of the Clippers showed that sports franchises in the big market cities are GROSSLY undervalued in current terms. In other words, the Cowboys may be valued at around $2 Billion, but if they were put up for sale? Yeah… they’d go for a LOT MORE than that especially with that new stadium and that very loyal INTERNATIONAL fan base.
2) the Rams moving to Los Angeles would double the value of the team, overnight. That’s really not up for debate. The first NFL franchise in LA will become worth a boatload because the NFL will absolutely demand they have the very best of everything… best stadium, best location…all of it. They’re even likely to hold the next draft in LA. They haven’t announced it, but I’m pretty sure the 2015 NFL draft will be held in LA.
3) St. Louis has NOT been able to establish a loyal fan base over the years. Now, however unfair this may be, the NFL, in evaluating cities, expects fans to come out, win or lose. And they DO for some teams. The Packers sucked for a long time and you still couldn’t pry tickets from a Packer fan. The Steelers went through an extended period of mediocrity (the Tommy Maddox/Kordell Stewart years?) and fans still came out. Now, were they as bad as the Rams extended losing? No. However, the Rams are KNOWN throughout the league as being “home away from home” all too often for teams that travel. Wanna see a bunch of Green Bay fans? Just come to the Ed when the Packers play the Rams. Wanna see a bunch of Cowboy fans? The list goes on. I’m not saying it’s fair or even right. It just is what it is. The people who can afford the good seats are all too happy to sell them to out of towners who show up on TV and make the noise… for the opposing team. And the NFL has noticed. Clearly noticed. As has ownership.
4) St. Louis is broke. Neither the city nor county has money for an NFL team and frankly, for a billionaire to ask them for money is inappropriate. Not that it’ll stop anyone, but still. That said, folks are becoming savvy to this scam of getting cities to pony up hundreds of millions of dollars on 30 year bonds only to potentially lose a team after half that and then be stuck finding an alternate way of paying off those bonds because the stadium can only hold so many “Home Shows” and concerts in a year.
5) Much of the Rams problems in Los Angeles were a direct result of previous ownership. Georgia Frontiere DESPERATELY wanted to be part of Hollywood and they resented her for it. So much so that she couldn’t buy her way in. Literally. Other than fundraisers, she was persona non grata in Hollywood even among feminists who would otherwise bristle at the idea of ostracizing the only female owner in the NFL. When Carol Rosenbloom owned the Rams, they were a darling of Hollywood (granted, they were a better team) and embraced by the city. That’s kind of important because Los Angeles is a star and money driven town. If the Rams go back with monied ownership and the NFL’s glitzy star-powered support, I’d be shocked if the city didn’t rush to embrace them. Finally, stars could see the NFL while filming… Even if they weren’t Rams fans, it’d still for 8 weeks a year be among the hottest tickets in town. And in LA like NY, that MEANS something.
So, it’s always possible that Kroenke will self-finance a stadium in St. Louis. That’s possible. But…why? Other than that the fans would like it… Stan Kroenke is one of the most successful real estate developers in the entire world. Unless he decides to eat a Billion dollars worth of appreciation because of his emotional attachment to keeping the Rams in St. Louis…
I just want the Rams to hoist the Lombardi. I couldn’t care less if they do it as the Topeka Rams. That said, I think at this point, with the NFL appointing an executive specifically to putting a team in LA, Tim Leiweke, former head of AEG that led the Farmers group before is returning to LA reportedly to head up the LA 2024 Olympic bid which would include an NFL football stadium and the momentum that is moving toward LA, I just think it’s bound to happen.
For the loyal St. Louisans, I feel bad. It felt like a gut punch when the Rams left LA and I vowed I would never EVER root for them again and then preseason 1999 came around and I started watching them and the rest is history. It’s not a fait d’accompli, but… imho I don’t see in sussing this out how the Rams stay. None of the “Rams stay” scenarios make any sense to me.
Anyway, that’s my take, right or wrong…
Sports is the crucible of human virtue. The distillate remains are human vice.
August 29, 2014 at 12:08 pm #5460snowmanParticipantI just keep coming back to the fact that the Raiders came and went from LA, the Rams left LA, meaning that the city has had a hard time keeping an NFL franchise there. I really don’t know what has changed in LA over the last 20 years to make a team want to move there, pay relocation fees (I think this still exists), build a stadium and start over with a new fan base. I simply don’t take the LA market as sure thing for the NFL otherwise a team would have moved there long ago.
August 29, 2014 at 1:06 pm #5464znModeratorHere’s a very full, very diverse thread on this. It’s the PD board so you have to step over the occasional do-do post, but it’s as complete a thread on this issue as you will find. BUT you have to read the whole thing. Can’t just browse it. Like many discussions, it takes twists and turns, and one side seems to be dominating than the other does.
http://interact.stltoday.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=15&t=1050697
August 29, 2014 at 4:17 pm #5489joemadParticipantI just keep coming back to the fact that the Raiders came and went from LA, the Rams left LA, meaning that the city has had a hard time keeping an NFL franchise there. I really don’t know what has changed in LA over the last 20 years to make a team want to move there, pay relocation fees (I think this still exists), build a stadium and start over with a new fan base. I simply don’t take the LA market as sure thing for the NFL otherwise a team would have moved there long ago.
consider the NFL ownership groups that left LA, Al Davis and Georgia F.
The LA market would support a team, it did in the past before the Raiders moved to LA from Oakland.
College football has consistently done well there and when the RAMS were the only show in town, they did too.
August 29, 2014 at 5:14 pm #5491DakParticipantI’ll just say that the Rams as an organization has done nothing but try to engage St. Louis fans and improve their product. I think that a public-private partnership is still possible for a new stadium, but that the details will be hidden right up until a plan is complete. I strongly believe that he has been looking at potential stadium sites around St. Louis. I believe that he has postured some to force local and state leaders to engage him in discussion about what it will take to build a premier stadium. He is definitely interested in staying here. And, at the same time, I think it’s always a possibility that he could move the franchise to L.A., but I don’t expect that to happen until after he’s exhausted all of his local options.
And, his decision will have nothing to do with the final record this year. Sorry, but except for a few franchises, when you lose horribly, your fan base erodes. And, this team has been so bad in the last decade, you’d think their fan base would have eroded to nothing. Instead, I see excitement for this team, more excitement than in years. If you replace that gawd-awful convention center stadium with a football stadium experience, fans here will start forking over some more money and showing up. The St. Louis Cardinals baseball team has 81 home games. I know that baseball here is king, but they’ve had down times when attendance dwindled. Now, they have a great organization that puts butts in the seats all season long. I know that a quality Rams’ football product and stadium experience can draw more fans throughout the region. I think that will happen if something can get worked out that doesn’t raise taxes too much.
The one thing hat concerns me is that STL has lost a lot of corporate business offices in recent years. The business climate is such that major corporations are not likely to participate in any type of plan. But, I figure that Kroenke is richer than just about anybody here and can afford to foot the entire private part of any bill for a new stadium experience. Plus, with the way he develops, the stadium would just be part of a larger complex. If he can get the right location, he could develop a regional destination that doesn’t just rely on 8 football games a year … and you just know that he’d book international soccer games and other attractions throughout the year. It’s quite possible that if he can get a good return on investment that there could be minimal public dollars involved, as long as the stadium deal wets SK’s beak quite nicely for any events that t hey can pull in.
August 29, 2014 at 5:17 pm #5492DakParticipantAnd, I mean, Jacksonville?
Really. It’s time to move the Jags to L.A. That makes the most sense to me. Khan would make out like a bandit. But, whatever happens, the NFL is going to have to grease the skids. Isn’t there a huge relocation fee that would make it just about impossible to afford to move to L.A.?
August 30, 2014 at 12:51 am #5514CrazylegsParticipant“And now……Introducing our own Los Angeles Rams” I will be in the stands! Nothing like seeing a real Rams vs. Niners rivalry game again.
August 30, 2014 at 1:51 am #5539InvaderRamModeratorit makes the most sense to me to see either the chargers or rams move to los angeles. they have an existing fan base there. the raiders? probably not solid enough of an organization for the nfl to be supportive of that decision.
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