Foles, the meltdown of a QB or a rookie who never got better?

I say meltdown.

Here’s a breakdown of his actual play, but units of time and not just seasonal averages. Sometimes seasonal averages disguise things.

I will use qb rating and TD/INT percentages.

The trick in finding groups of games that differ from the avg. is to look at gamelogs and see if the season breaks into different units.

Obviously no stats like this are worth a damm unless they also match up with what you saw. But this (what follows) is what I saw. Numbers are just one way of looking at it.

So for example he has bad games in 2013 and 2014 but they are not consecutive bad games. They punctuate groups of good games, coming at intervals.

In 2012 his avg. qb rating is 79.1, TD% is 2.3%, and INT% is 1.9%
2013 it’s avg. qb rating of 119.2, TD% of 8.5%, and INT% of 0.6%
2014 it’s avg. qb rating of 81.4, TD% of 4.2%, and INT% of 3.2%.

What’s distinctive about 2015 is the way games clump together.

In the 1st 4 games, he avgs. —>
a qb rating of 98, a TD% of 4.5%, and an INT% of 0.9%.

The next 3 games, but falls apart in GB but then is fine for 2 games.

Then there’s the 4 game crash.

In his last 4 games he avgs. —>
a qb rating of 52.8, a TD% of 0.0%, and an INT% of 3.3%.

I would say that the difference between the 1st 4 games and the last 4 is dramatic enough to force the question: what happened?

“Meltdown” to me is as good an explanation as any.

BUT I also think that it was not all “on the field” stuff that led to this. I suspect there was some behind the doors stuff too. I also suspect that Cigs did not handle that well–the behind closed doors meltdown stuff. That is, I think there were tensions, with Foles falling apart a little and Cigz exacerbating it or not handling it right.

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Agamemnon wrote:

Ok, will we ever see the good Foles again? Then, will Fisher draft a QB?

I think he drafts Cook. If he would draft him last year over Gurley(assuming Karraker was right), then he would draft him this year at 10.

But, then, he went ahead and drafted Mannion.

My thotz?

I don’t know if we ever see good Foles again. I don’t rule it out but that’s a rough road.

I think they do draft a qb, probably in either round 1 or 2.

I don’t know if it’s Cook. Might be. But then maybe Cook last year v. this year, when this year he is being compared with different qbs, makes him look different? (I have no idea. Just listing the possibilities.)

The GOLD STANDARD outcome would be:

Keenum plays well, they draft someone good who develops, Mannion comes through.

You may say I’m a dreamer.

I’m probably the only one.

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