some context-oriented stats on qbs SB, AD, & SH

For what the heck reasons, here is some context-situated stats on Bradford, Davis, and Hill.

I do the following: qb rating, TD%, INT %.

Here;s what I did.

1. Davis’s season divides into 2sets. In the first set, he starts out well. Then a couple of things happen. He plays teams that have film on him so he’s no surprise (so for example it becomes clear he can’t throw wide consistently), and he starts playing top 10 defenses. When that happens, he regresses stupendously.

So Davis gets a “before” and “after.”

I also don’t count the Vikes game.

2. Hill is just all his 2013 games minus the Vikes game.

3. Bradford, I do the 2012-13 games that meet this criteria: (a) he has a relatively healthy OL (this excludes the 1st half of 2012) and (b) he has a running threat (this excludes the 1st 4 games of 2013). Why a relatively healthy OL? Because all qbs play better behind a relatively healthy OL. Why a running threat? Because most qbs play better with a running threat (and besides Hill and Davis both had running threats). Now is that cherry picking just good games? No. The Rams have some bad games in that set. It’s just that on avg. in those games you’re going to see the real Bradford.

DAVIS games 2-4: (includes games against 0 top 10 defenses):
qb rating 103.26, TDs 5%, Ints 1.7%

DAVIS games 5-9 (includes games against 4 top 10 defenses):
qb rating 76.0, TDs 4.2%, Ints 4.2%

HILL games 8-15 (includes games against 2 top 10 defenses):
qb rating 91.6, TDs 4.4%, Ints 2.2%

BRADFORD 2012-13 (criteria above)(includes games against 6 top 10 defenses):
qb rating 91.4, TDs 5.2%, Ints 1.8%

Since Hill and Bradford seem close, let me add one more factor: percentage of TDs on attempts inside the 10. (This isn’t calculated the same way because you can’t go game by game with it unless you hunt through a couple of dozen play by plays. So I just do Bradford’s overall numbers for both seasons).

Hill: 23%
Bradford: 48%

—